|
|||||||||
| If
a path to the better there be, it lies in taking a full look at the worst. -- Thomas Hardy
What becomes of the surplus of human
life? It is either, 1st. destroyed by infanticide, as among the Chinese and
Lacedemonians; or 2d. it is stifled or starved, as among other nations whose
population is commensurate to its food; or 3d. it is consumed by wars and
endemic diseases; or 4th. it overflows, by emigration, to places where a surplus
of food is attainable. |
|||||||||
This web site is maintained and paid for
by Jay Hanson -- an individual. Please help me pay the rent on this web site, click on
the link below and buy a book (at regular Amazon prices).
|
|||||||||
|
|
|
"Industry deregulation of electric utilities in
the U.S. has cut utility investment in energy saving programmes by 45 percent." [Reuters,
10/02/98]
ENERGY AND RESOURCE QUALITY,
by Charles A.S. Hall, et al. (1992)
Is USGS 2000 assessment reliable
?, by Jean Laherrere; e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr; May 2, 2000; published on the cyberconference of the WEC on May 19, 2000
NOT ALL FIRST WORLD ECONOMIES DEPEND ON POPULATION GROWTH: IMMIGRATION SINCE THE OIL SHOCK IN FRANCE AND EUROPE, By Sheila Newman;
mailto:smnaesp@alphalink.com.au
Oceanic Hydrates: an elusive resource,
by e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr
THE
HUBBERT CURVE : ITS STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES; by
J.H. Laherrère e-mail: j.h.laherrere@infonie.fr
An Analysis of U.S. and World Oil Production Patterns Using Hubbert-Style Curves, by Albert A. Bartlett, Department of Physics, University of Colorado at Boulder, 80309-0390;
Albert.Bartlett@Colorado.EDU
"Quels sont les problèmes quand on parle de réserves?",
Jean Laherrère e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr
site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere
; Conférence AFTP du 31 Mars 1999 "Estimation des réserves et réduction de
l'incertitude"; Pétrole et Techniques n°423 Nov./Dec. 1999 p37-47
NEVER PUBLISHED ANYWHERE BEFORE!
Oil Production Curves for all 42 Countries, by Richard Duncan.
link to THE
IMMINENT PEAK OF WORLD OIL PRODUCTION, by C.J. Campbell; A
Presentation to a House of Commons All-Party Committee on July 7th
1999,
THE
WORLD
PETROLEUM LIFE-CYCLE: Encircling the Production Peak #3, by Richard Duncan, Institute on
Energy and Man, Seattle, WA, 1999.
The Post-Petroleum Paradigm -- and
Population, by Walter
Youngquist; Population and Environment, March 1999
The Olduvai Theory: Sliding Towards a
Post-Industrial Stone Age, by Dr. R. C. Duncan, July 1996
The End of Cheap Oil, by Colin J. Campbell and
Jean H. Laherrère, Scientific American, 3/98
THE COMING OIL CRISIS, by C. J. Campbell,
1997.
Energy and Human Evolution, by David Price, 1995
Complexity, Problem Solving, and Sustainable Societies, by Joseph
A. Tainter, 1996
Evolution
of "development lag" and "development ratio", presented
at "Oil reserve conference" in Paris November 11, 1997 International
Energy Agency, Jean Laherrère, Associate consultant Petroconsultants,
e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr ,
site: http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere.
Distribution
and evolution of "recovery factor", presented at "Oil
reserves conference" in Paris November 11, 1997, by International Energy
Agency, Jean Laherrère, Associate consultant Petroconsultants, e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr
, site: http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere
The
Impact of Declining Major North Sea Oil Fields Upon Future North Sea
Production, by Roger D. Blanchard, Northern Kentucky University.
THE
EVOLUTION OF THE WORLD'S HYDROCARBON RESERVES, by J.H. Laherrère
e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr, lecture given in French on June 17, 1998 in Paris to SPE France
Assessing
Oil and Gas Future Production, and the end of Cheap Oil?, by J. H. Laherrere, e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr, site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere,
for Canadian Society of Exploration Geophysicists in Calgary April 6, 1999
Reserve
Growth: Technological Progress, or Bad Reporting and Bad Arithmetic?
by J. H. Laherrère; Geopolitics of Energy Issue 22 n°4, p7-16, April 1999
What
goes up must come down: when will it peak? by J. H. Laherrère Consultant
Paris France: e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr
site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere
Titanic Sinks, by Jay
Hanson, June 24, 1998
GeoDestinies, by Walter Youngquist PhD
& Chair Emeritus, Department of Geology, University of Oregon, 1997.
Renewable Energy: Economic and
Environmental Issues, by David Pimentel, G. Rodrigues, T. Wane, R. Abrams, K. Goldberg, H.
Staecker, E. Ma, L. Brueckner, L. Trovato, C. Chow, U. Govindarajulu, and S.
Boerke.
(Originally published in BioScience -- Vol. 44, No. 8, September 1994)
eMergy
Evaluation, by Howard T. Odum, May 27, 1998
Scientists sense urgency to
find future energy sources, Nando Times, October 28, 1998 3:08 p.m
Here We Go Again: The Oil Surplus Won't Last as Long as we Might Wish,
by James Srodes, Barrons, Oct 19, 1998
link to Joy Ride to Global
Collapse, by Jim Minter (1966)
Life-Expectancy of Industrial Civilization, Robert L.
Hickerson,
August 2, 1997
WHEN WILL THE JOY RIDE END? Community Office for Resource
Efficiency
a snip from ENERGY AND THE ECONOMICS OF SUSTAINABILITY by John
Peet; Island
Press, 1992.
the prologue to BEYOND OIL: The Threat to Food and Fuel in the Coming Decades.
Third Edition (1991) by John Gever, Robert Kaufman, David Skole, Charles
Vorosmarty.
Some fear the world may be running out of oil. September 5, 1998, Nando
Times.
SPENDING
OUR GREAT INHERITANCE -- THEN WHAT? by Walter Youngquist. Geotimes, July 1998, pages
24-26.
link Energy apocalypse looms
as the world runs out of oil. Forget the Caspian bonanza! Peter Beaumont and
John Hooper in Rome report that producers misled everybody, Sunday July 26, 1998, Observer
(london)
link June
15 issue of Forbes! CHEAP OIL: enjoy it while it lasts. p. 84 Franco Bernabe, chief
executive of the Italian oil company ENI, sees a global oil production peak and
1970s-style oil shocks beginning between 2000 and 2005.
A Peak Under the Covers, by Jay Hanson,
11/11/97.
The Death of the Oil Economy, by Ted
Trainer, Spring, 1997.
Get Ready for Another Oil Shock, by
L.F.
Ivanhoe, February, 1997.
Future world oil supplies: There is a
finite limit. Ivanhoe on Hubbert (1995).
link to the Coming Global Oil Crisis!
link to
M. King Hubbert Center
for Petroleum Supply Studies
ECONOMIC
THEORY

Despite the madness of war, we lived for a
world that would be different. For a better world to come when all this is over. And
perhaps even our being here is a step towards that world. Do you really think that,
without the hope that such a world is possible, that the rights of man will be restored
again, we could stand the concentration camp even for one day? It is that very hope that
makes people go without a murmur to the gas chambers, keeps them from risking a revolt,
paralyses them into numb inactivity. It is hope that breaks down family ties, makes
mothers renounce their children, or wives sell their bodies for bread, or husbands kill.
It is hope that compels man to hold on to one more day of life, because that day may be
the day of liberation. Ah, and not even the hope for a different, better world, but simply
for life, a life of peace and rest. Never before in the history of mankind has hope been
stronger than man, but never also has it done so much harm as it has in this war, in this
concentration camp. We were never taught how to give up hope, and this is why today we
perish in gas chambers. -- Borowski,
pp. 121-122
Los Sangre Es en Tus Manos,
by Jay Hanson, April, 1999
"The Foulest of Them All", by Jay Hanson, Jan, 1999
Dangerous Currents,
by Lester Thurow; Random, 1983
"The Market" is simply "Too Cheap to Meter", by
Jay Hanson, 11/01/98
It's the Money, Stupid!, by Jay Hanson, August 10, 1998
Energy and Economic Myths, by Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen (1975)
What is Life?, by Erwin
Shrödinger. First published in 1944
Lunatic Politics, by Jay Hanson, June 6, 1998
THE ECONOMICS OF THE COMING
SPACESHIP EARTH, by Kenneth E. Boulding, 1966
Decision Making and Problem Solving,
by Herbert A. Simon and
Associates, 1986
Opposing Globalization Could Justify
Resource-Based Basic Income, by Mary Lehmann
FREE TRADE - NAFTA - WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING
MYTHS OF THE POLITICAL-ECONOMIC WORLD VIEW,
by John Peet, 1992.
Energy, Entropy, Economics, and Ecology
defines "entropy" and how it relates to the economy.
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH: An Impossibility
Theorem, by Herman E. Daly (1993)
A Systems Perspective on the Interrelations
Between Natural, human-made, and cultural capital, by Fikret Berkes & Carl Folke, Oct.
1991
THE 4P APPROACH TO DEALING WITH SCIENTIFIC
UNCERTAINTY, by Robert Costanza and Laura Cornwell (1992)
THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE, is an
alternative to cost/benefit analysis
TOO MANY RICH PEOPLE: Weighing Relative
Burdens on the Planet, by Paul Ehrlich (1994)
WHAT'S WRONG WITH THE GDP is a description
of the Genuine Progress Indicator-GPI.
STEADY-STATE ECONOMICS: A Catechism of
Growth Fallacies, by Herman Daly (1991).
TOWARDS A NEW ECONOMICS: Questioning
Growth, by Herman E. Daly, 1971
MONEY AND MAGIC
A review of
H.C.
Binswanger's Money and Magic (A Critique of the Modern Economy in Light of Goethe's Faust)
University of Chicago Press. by Herman Daly (Winter, 1996)
SUGARSCAPE
A review
from SCIENCE NEWS.
OUR PERPETUAL GROWTH UTOPIA
by Fred
Charles Ikle (1994)
FAREWELL LECTURE TO WORLD BANK, by Herman
E. Daly, January 14, 1994
SCIENTIFIC
CONSENSUS
RS AND NAS STATEMENT
is the official 1992 statement of the Royal
Society and the National Academy of Sciences.
WORLD
SCIENTISTS' WARNING TO HUMANITY is from the Union of Concerned
Scientists in 1992.
WORLD SCIENTISTS' CALL FOR ACTION AT THE KYOTO CLIMATE SUMMIT
Science Summit" on World Population: A Joint Statement by 58 of
the World's Scientific Academies.
ESA Passes Resolution on Human Population
from the Ecological
Society of America (1994)
ECONOMIST'S STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING Feb. 13, 1997
ECOLOGIST'S STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING May 20, 1997
link to TROUBLED WATERS: A CALL FOR ACTION
FOOD, LAND, WATER
AND POPULATION



Humans have destroyed more than 30 per cent of
the natural world since 1970 with serious depletion of the forest, freshwater and marine
systems on which life depends. [Guardian, 10/2/98]
Age-adjusted mortality in Russia rose by almost 33% between 1990 and 1994.... Russia is not alone in experiencing drops in life expectancy; all the nations created from the break-up of the Soviet Union have reported a decline in life expectancy since 1990, although none has been as large as in Russia. [JAMA. 1998;279:793-800]
Africa is beginning of a full-on Malthusian dieoff. See "Worldwatch Briefing: Sixteen Dimensions of the Population Problem" at http://www.worldwatch.org/alerts/pr98924.html and "Life on Earth is Killing Us" press release at http://www.enn.com/news/enn-stories/1998/10/100298/killingus.asp and study itself is here.
"To put this in context, you must remember that estimates of the long-term carrying capacity of Earth with relatively optimistic assumptions about consumption, technologies, and equity (A x T), are in the vicinity of two billion people. Today's population cannot be sustained on the 'interest' generated by natural ecosystems, but is consuming its vast supply of natural capital -- especially deep, rich agricultural soils, 'fossil' groundwater, and biodiversity -- accumulated over centuries to eons. In some places soils, which are generated on a time scale of centimeters per century are disappearing at rates of centimeters per year. Some aquifers are being depleted at dozens of times their recharge rates, and we have embarked on the greatest extinction episode in 65 million years." Paul Ehrlich (Sept. 25, 1998)
As capitalism fails in more-and-more countries, these countries will disintegrate too. Ultimately of course, this will lead to world wars over natural resources. See Homer-Dixon's work at http://utl2.library.utoronto.ca/www/pcs/tad.htm
Recent Developments in Environmental Sciences, by Paul Ehrlich,
Sept. 25, 1998
Revisiting Carrying Capacity, by William E. Rees, 1996
WILL
LIMITS OF THE EARTH'S RESOURCES CONTROL HUMAN NUMBERS?, by David Pimentel, O. Bailey, P. Kim, E. Mullaney, J. Calabrese, L.
Walman, F. Nelson, and X. Yao; February 25, 1999
Ecology of Increasing Disease, by David Pimentel, October, 1998
THE MASSIVE MOVEMENT TO MARGINALIZE THE MODERN
MALTHUSIAN MESSAGE, by Albert A. Bartlett. This is a revised version of an article
that was published in The Social Contract Vol. 8, No. 3, Spring 1998, Pgs. 239 -
251
LAND, ENERGY AND WATER: THE CONSTRAINTS GOVERNING
IDEAL U.S. POPULATION SIZE, by David Pimentel and Marcia Pimentel (1991)
link to
U.S. FOOD PRODUCTION THREATENED BY RAPID POPULATION GROWTH, the Pimentels (1997)
link to
Food
Security for a Growing World Population 200 Years After Malthus, Still an Unsolved Problem
Optimum Human Population Size, by Gretchen C. Daily
Restoring Value to the WorId's Degraded Lands, by Gretchen C. Daily
(1995)
An exploratory model of the impact of rapid climate change on the world
food situation, by Grechen C. Daily and Paul R. Ehrlich (1990)
FOOD, LAND, POPULATION and the U.S. ECONOMY-FULL REPORT, by David
Pimentel of Cornell University and Mario Giampietro Istituto of Nazionale della
Nutrizione, Rome. November 21, 1994
CONSTRAINTS ON THE EXPANSION OF THE GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY, by Henery W
Kindall and David Pimentel (1994)
Response to Bartlett and Lytwak (1995): Population and Immigration
Policy in the United States , by Anne H. Ehrlich Paul R. Ehrlich
Chronic Famine and the Immorality of Food Aid, by Joseph Fletcher
(1991)
THE CORNUCOPIAN FALLACIES, by Lindsey Grant (1992)
IMPACT OF POPULATION GROWTH ON FOOD SUPPLIES AND ENVIRONMENT,
by
David Pimentel, Xuewen Huang, Ana Cordova, and Marcia Pimentel (February, 1996)
KERMIT OLSON MEMORIAL LECTURE: Food Supply and World Population, by
David Pimentel (March, 6, 1995)
Putting the Bite on Planet Earth, by Don Hinrichson, Oct. 1994
ENERGY AND POPULATION: Transitional Issues and Eventual
Limits, by
Paul J. Werbos (1993?)
FOOD, LAND, POPULATION and the U.S. ECONOMY-EXECUTIVE SUMMARY, by
David Pimentel of Cornell University and Mario Giampietro Istituto of Nazionale della
Nutrizione, Rome. Executive Summary Released November 21, 1994
IMMIGRATION: NO. 1 IN U.S. GROWTH New Look Shows Greater Role in
1970-90 Population Increase, by Roy Beck (1991-1992)
THE POPULATION EXPLOSION is from Paul and Anne Ehirlich. This is
also where to find JULIAN SIMON'S BET and
HIS
ULTIMATE RESOURCE
How and Why Journalists Avoid the Population-Environment Connection, by
T. Michael Maher, March 1997
Negative Population Growth, by John B. Hall, Sept. 1996
The Food "Surplus": a Staple Illusion of Economics; a Cruel
Illusion for Populations, by Jim C. Fandrem, Winter, 1988
Rethinking the Environmental Impacts of Population, Affluence and
Technology, by Thomas Dietz and Eugene A. Rosa (1994)
WHY DO WOMEN HAVE BABIES?
A book review by Robert A. McConnell
(September, 1996)
HOW TO INFLUENCE FERTILITY: The Experience So Far, by John R. Weeks
(1990)
THE TIGHTENING CONFLICT: POPULATION, ENERGY USE, AND THE ECOLOGY OF
AGRICULTURE, by Mario Giampietro and David Pimentel (1994)
LIVING WITHIN OUR ENVIRONMENTAL MEANS: Natural Resources And An
Optimum Human Population, by Rachel F. Preiser (1994)
National Security Study Memorandum 200 April 24, 1974
The 1972 Rockefeller Commission Report on U. S. Population, July,
1969
WHY EXCESS IMMIGRATION DAMAGES THE ENVIRONMENT from
Population-Environment Balance (1992)
IMMIGRATION, JOBS & WAGES: The Misuses of Econometrics, by
Donald L. Huddle (1992)
IMMIGRATION
AND THE U.S. ENERGY SHORTAGE, by Donald Mann, President
Negative Population Growth, Inc. (May 1988)
FULL HOUSE is a Worldwatch book review.
THE LAST OASIS is a Worldwatch book review.
NET LOSS is a Worldwatch book review.
TOP OF THE NINTH,
by Joel
Campbell
CLIMATE CHANGE
James White, co-author of a study published in
the journal Science, said that the Antarctica ice cores show a temperature increase of
about 20 degrees F within a very short time about 12,500 years ago. .. Ice cores
from Greenland, near the Arctic, show that at the same time there was a temperature
increase of almost 59 degrees in the north polar region within a 50-year period,
White said. [AP, 10/1/98]
The National Climatic Data Center has just announced that last month was the warmest September on record - almost a degree F above the previous record and nearly 4 degrees F above the average. It is the 9th consecutive month to break the previous all-time record. ... there are areas of the Earth, such as the Arctic, where the temperature increase is 3 to 4 degrees Fahrenheit. This is enough to melt permafrost, the permanently frozen ground that characterizes northern tundra bogs. And melting bogs release methane, a greenhouse gas. [UPI, 10/8/98]
U.S. government scientists said this year's ozone hole over Antarctica was the largest ever observed, leaving an atmospheric depletion area greater than the size of North America over the southern land mass. [Nando, 10/7/98]
THE CLIMATE BOMB: Climate
Change and the Fate of the Northern Boreal Forests, Greenpeace, 1994
SUDDEN CLIMATE CHANGE THROUGH HUMAN HISTORY, by Jonathan Adams and
Randy Foote
Dead on Arrival: positive feedback in the climate system
BP STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING, by John Browne, Group Chief
Executive, British Petroleum (BP America) Stanford University, 19 May 1997
THE HEAT IS ON: The warming of the world's climate sparks a blaze of
denial, by Ross Gelbspan (12/95).
DEAD. WRONG. Is a short essay on the fundamental errors of industrial
society. Also included are some references for OZONE DEPLETION and
GLOBAL WARMING.
link
to Changes in Time in the Temperature of the Earth
A series of six charts displaying variations in temperature from the Mesozoic to the
present, see the web site listed below. The current "blip" is put in
perspective, based on the work of a
number of scientists. References are cited.
link to
Globally-Averaged Atmospheric Temperatures A brief discussion with figures depicting
global lower stratospheric temperature variations during the period 1979 to 1997, based on
data
obtained by the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration TIROS-N satellite.
BUGS
link to
Questions
and Answers On Bio-Warfare/Bio-Terrorism (Q & A) with Dr. Ken Alibek http://www.emergency.com/1999/alibek99.htm
link
to "The Bioweaponeers" at http://cryptome.org/bioweap.htm
HEALTH IN THE HOT ZONE How
would global warming affect humans? By Richard Monastersky (April, 1996)
DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE, AND THE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL ENVIRONMENT, by
Gretchen C. Daily & Paul R. Ehrlich, 1995
link to
The Challenge of
Antibiotic Resistance Certain bacterial infections now defy all antibiotics. The
resistance problem may be reversible, but only if society begins to consider how the drugs
affect "good" bacteria as well as "bad", by Stuart B. Levy (Scientific
American, 03/98)
link to
Drugged Waters
Does it matter that pharmaceuticals are turning up in water supplies? by Janet Raloff
(Science News 3/21/98)
MORAL
THEORY
A General Statement of the
Tragedy of the Commons, by Herschel Elliott, Feb. 1997
Christianity and Evolutionary Ethics
, by Patricia A. Williams (June
1996)
THE NEED FOR TRANSCENDENCE IN THE POSTMODERN WORLD a short essay by
By Vaclav Havel (1994)
CARRYING CAPACITY
OVERSHOOT, the classic by
William Catton, 1982.
Ethical Implications of Carrying Capacity , by Garrett Hardin (1977)
CULTURAL CARRYING CAPACITY: A biological approach to human problems,
by Garrett Hardin (1986)
THE WORLD'S MOST POLYMORPHIC SPECIES: Carrying capacity transgressed
two ways, by William Catton (June 1987).
THE INTRODUCTION, INCREASE, AND CRASH OF REINDEER ON ST. MATTHEW ISLAND
- by David R. Klein (April, 1968).
POPULATION POLITICS:
The Carrying Capacity of the United States, by
Dr. Virginia Abernethy (1993)
HUMAN CARRYING CAPACITY DEFINED defines "carrying
capacity".
TRAGEDY
OF THE COMMONS
West Africa is becoming the symbol of worldwide
demographic, environmental, and societal stress, in which criminal anarchy emerges as the
real "strategic" danger. Disease, overpopulation, unprovoked crime, scarcity of
resources, refugee migrations, the increasing erosion of nation-states and international
borders, and the empowerment of private armies, security firms, and international drug
cartels are now most tellingly demonstrated through a West African prism. West Africa
provides an appropriate introduction to the issues, often extremely unpleasant to discuss,
that will soon confront our civilization. ... -- Robert
D. Kaplan
Tragedy of the Commons
Re-stated, by Jay Hanson, 6/14/97
THE FATAL FREEDOM (the Tragedy of the Commons), by Jay Hanson
8/29/97.
The Tragedy of the Commons (the original) , by Garrett Hardin (1968)
SUSTAINABILIY
REFLECTIONS ON
SUSTAINABILITY, POPULATION GROWTH, AND THE ENVIRONMENT - REVISITED, by Albert A. Bartlett, January 1998
LAWS, HYPOTHESES, OBSERVATIONS AND PREDICTIONS RELATING TO
SUSTAINABILITY from Al Bartlett (1994)
The Meaning of Sustainability: Biogeophysical Aspects, by John P.
Holdren, Gretchen C. Daily, and Paul R. Ehrlich (1995)
Population, Sustainability, and Earth's Carrying Capacity:
A framework
for estimating population sizes and lifestyles that could be sustained without undermining
future generations , by Gretchen C. Daily and Paul R. Ehrlich (1992)
Three General Policies to Achieve Sustainability
, by Robert
Costanza (1994).
Sustainable Development. Conventional versus Emergent Alternative
Wisdom, by David Korten (1996).
SUSTAINABLE ENGINEERING: Resource Load Carrying Capacity and
Kphase Technology, by Peter Hartley (1993)
Socioeconomic Equity: A Critical Element in Sustainability, by
Gretchen C. Daily & Paul R. Ehrlich (Feb, 1995)
Foreclosing the future, by Gretchen C. Daily (Nov. 1995)
UNSUSTAINABILITY: A CONSENSUS
is a short piece by Paul Ekins about
unsustainability.
CREATING JOBS IN A SUSTAINABLE WORLD, by Nadia Steinzor - ZPG
Reporter (Sept/Oct, 1996)
GREENING THE CORPORATION, by Ward Morehouse. Address to the Greens
Gathering, Los Angeles, August 16, 1996
OTHER
ECOLOGY
THE LANGUAGE OF ECOLOGY
defines "overshoot", crash" and "die-off".
HUMAN APPROPRIATION OF THE PRODUCTS OF PHOTOSYNTHESIS, by Peter
Vitousek, Paul R. Ehrlich, Anne H. Ehrlich and Pamela Matson (1986).
The Patch Disturbance Species, by John Logan, Jan. 2, 1997.
AMERICA'S TREES ARE DYING, by Charles E. Little (1995)
WHAT DANGERS LIE AHEAD? by James E. Lovelock (1994)
RETURN OF THE GROUP: People may have evolved to further collective
as well as individual interests, by Bruce Bower (1995)
OTHER
SYSTEMS
POSITIVE FEEDBACK is an
example of the catastrophic view.
URBAN DYNAMICS
a short clip from a book by Jay Forrester
(1969)
Rewards of Pejoristic Thinking, by Garrett Hardin (1977)
WHO BENEFITS? WHO PAYS?. by Garrett Hardin (1985)
An Ecolate View of the Human Predicament.
by Garrett Hardin(date ?)
The Problem of Induction, by Sir Karl Popper (1953, 1974)
URBAN DYNAMICS a few quotes from Jay W. Forrester.
LIMITS TO GROWTH discusses the
Club of Rome's seminal work.
ODDS AND ENDS
"a kind of
Pontius Pilate feeling" -- by Jay Hanson, 04/01/97
ABSTRACT:
In this essay, I examine the economic model of "rational man" and how the model legitimizes prevailing public policy. "Rational man" supposedly weighs the important, known variables and then makes that decision which is most likely to achieve the desired end (the greatest "utility"). Thus, we can say that public policy is founded on the notion that people calculate the utility of each decision, somewhat like a computer.Phillip Morris: "Smoking is a personal choice, and so is quitting."
But modern cognitive science has shown that people do not make decisions by calculating the utility of each decision. Thus, economic "rational man" is a fraud that leaves the public exposed to ongoing economic and political exploitation by corporate media experts. Moreover, this fraud provides economists and political leaders with effective "moral cover", or in the words of Adolph Eichmann, "a kind of Pontius Pilate feeling" that leaves them free of all guilt for their dirty deeds.

KNOW
THYSELF -- A Report of the Dominant Animal Life on the Third Planet: Executive
Summary, by Yaj, January 24, 1997.
Requiem, by Jay Hanson, Feb, 20, 1998
THE INDUSTRIAL RELIGION draws a parallel between the churchmen who
fought against the Copernican Revolution and the modern economic "growthmen".
THERMODYNAMICS AND THE SUSTAINABILITY OF FOOD PRODUCTION, by Jay
Hanson, November 4, 1996
WHERE WILL IT END? by Jay Hanson.
SYSTEMS CRASH provides three different sources-using three different
data sets-showing a worldwide includes a table showing review on WHO WILL FEED CHINA , a
press THE
COLLAPSE OF THE WORLD'S FISHERIES , an article on FISH FARMING , a short release on
THE
EARTH'S CARRYING CAPACITY , a clip from THE COMING ANARCHY , and a
discussion of NPP
.
CORPORATE RULE gives a short history of the modern corporation and
describes its essential functions. It also contains a book review of WHEN CORPORATIONS RULE THE
WORLD by David Korten.
ENDING CORPORATE GOVERNANCE: We The People
Revoking Our Plutocracy.
THE COMING ANARCHY, by Robert D. Kaplan, The Atlantic Monthly,
February 1994. Quicktime Movie of Dead Babies Being Thrown Into a Dump
Truck CNN, November 1996 [ Download the Quicktime Movie Player
from Apple ]
Rural Rwanda Faces Uneasy Balance of Fear as Refugees Return New
York Times, December 26, 1996.
ELEVEN INHERENT RULES OF CORPORATE BEHAVIOR
is a short essay by
Jerry Mander.
ELECTRONIC HEROIN is about the addictive qualities of television.
TV MUTANTS
is about how television alters the human brain.
BRAINWASHING is about how television influences human
actions.
WARREN CHRISTOPHER ON U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL DIPLOMACY (1996)
UNDERWEIGHTING OF BASE-RATE INFORMATION REFLECTS IMPORTANT DIFFICULTIES
PEOPLE HAVE WITH PROBABILISTIC INFERENCE by Robert M. Ham (1994)
VICE PRESIDENT GORE CALLS FOR "ENVIRONMENTAL REPORT CARD"
Challenges Federal Agencies, Scientific Community To Monitor Nation',s Ecosystems from The
White House (1996)