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Hello,
My name is Aleksandr Yermachenko  and I am the portfolio manager from Moscow, Russia. This site is my private project.

A couple of weeks ago me and some friends decided to find out how much time it would take for an "ordinary" investor to grow his portfolio 100 times.
The following portfolio is
here.

 

 

What trading techniques do I use?


There are more than 20 of them. In general, I like equity line following. For each trading technique, I run an imaginary portfolio in an Excel spreadsheet. In real trading I use that method of picking stocks, which gives the best equity line during the given phase of the market. If "Buy IPOs" performs best - I buy IPOs. If "Short the Nets" becomes the leader, I start shorting Internet stocks…As a result, 80% of all trading days during a year are profitable for me. The idea is very simple: If you choose not to chase astronomical returns, but instead merely try to earn 2% each day in a year, you will be 150 times richer.

 

My teachers. 


I would like to express my gratitude to some of my teachers. First is Yuri Karnaukh, the ex-president of Ost-Vest Hadelsbank. He is a man who followed gold from $35 to $400. Many years ago he told me: "Aleks, I will show you brave new world - the Market". That was day one…

Second is my compatriot, Dr. Aleksander Elder, an author of a marvelous book called "Trading for a Living." Thanks to Dr. Elder, I recognized that greed, fear, and hopes are my only enemies on the Market. I understand that a successful trader is a far-out thinker, but also mathematically rational in his behavior. Having read his book, I started to cultivate the trader inside myself. Visit http://www.Elder.com if you're interested. If you see him, please pass on my regards.

Third, is one of my best friends, Mike Reznikov. He is a talented mathematician and successful trader. Once, many months ago, he said, "Aleks, I would like to trade like a slot-machine." This became a key-phrase to me and changed the style of my trading behavior. I suddenly understood the meaning of mathematically rational behavior. By the way, recently my girlfriend came to me after losing a lot of money in a casino. I was sitting before the screen deep in trading. "Aleksander," she said, "now I understand whom you resemble when you trade. You resemble a one-armed bandit" (actually I have two arms). 

 

 

Want to trade successfully? 


Just choose the good positions and avoid the bad ones. Poor trade selection takes a heavy toll because it bleeds your confidence and wallet. You will face many crossroads during each market day. Without a system of discipline for your decision-making, impulse and emotion will undermine skill as you chase the wrong stocks at the worst times.

Many short-term players view trading as a form of gambling. They throw money at the market without planning or discipline. The occasional "big score" reinforces this easy money attitude and sets them up for ultimate failure. Without guidance, insiders easily feed off these losers and send them off to other hobbies.

Technical Analysis teaches traders to execute positions based on numbers, time and volume. This discipline forces traders to distance themselves from reckless gambling behavior. Through detached execution and solid risk management, short-term trading finally "works."

Markets echo similar patterns over and over again. The science of trends allows you to build systematic rules by which to benefit from repeating formations and avoid the chase.

 

 
 

The trading rules. 


Forget the news, remember the chart. You're not smart enough to know how news will affect price. The chart already knows the news is coming.

 

Buy the first pullback from a new high. Sell the first pullback from a new low. There's always a crowd that missed the first boat.

 

Buy at support, sell at resistance. Everyone sees the same thing and they're all just waiting to jump in the pool.

 

Short rallies not sell-offs. When markets drop, shorts finally turn a profit and get ready to cover.

 

Don't buy up into a major moving average or sell down into one. See #3.

 

Don't chase momentum if you can't find the exit. Assume the market will reverse the minute you get in. If it's a long way to the door, you're in big trouble.

 

Exhaustion gaps get filled. Breakaway and continuation gaps don't. The old traders' wisdom is a lie. Trade in the direction of gap support whenever you can.

 

Trends test the point of least support/resistance. Enter here even if it hurts.

 

Trade with the TICK not against it. Don't be a hero. Go with the money flow.

 

If you have to look, it isn't there. Forget your college degree, trust the money flow.

 

Sell the second high, buy the second low. After sharp pullbacks, the first test of any high or low always runs into resistance. Look for the break on the third or fourth try.

 

The trend is your friend in the last hour. As volume cranks up at 3:00PM don't expect anyone to change the channel.

 

Avoid buying at the open except when the Market falls before the open. They see YOU coming sucker.

 

1-2-3-Drop-Up. Look for downtrends to reverse after a top, two lower highs and a double bottom.

 

Bulls live above the 200 day, bears live below. Sellers eat up rallies below this key moving average line and buyers come to the rescue above it.

 

Price has memory. What did price do the last time it hit a certain level? Chances are it will do it again.

 

Big volumes kill moves. Climax blow-offs take both buyers and sellers out of the market and lead to sideways action.

 

Trends never turn on a dime. Reversals build slowly. The first sharp dip always finds buyers and the first sharp rise always finds sellers.

 

Bottoms take longer to form than tops. Greed acts more quickly than fear and causes stocks to drop from their own weight.

 

Beat the crowd in and out the door. You have to take their money before they take yours, period.

 


Profitable trading to all.