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Power Rankings Monday, 5/12/1902

(older stuff)

All
RankTeamScoredAllowedPythRealLuck
1Erindel143 (4.6/G)118 (3.8/G).587.548-1
2Baltica159 (5.3/G)133 (4.4/G).581.533-1
3Laserus128 (4.3/G)107 (3.6/G).581.533-1
4Broncdom94 (3.0/G)80 (2.6/G).573.548-1
5Sarinelos145 (4.8/G)124 (4.1/G).571.533-1
6Crystalis134 (4.5/G)125 (4.2/G).532.5330
7Zorphyr136 (4.3/G)130 (4.1/G).521.563+1
8Summerwind126 (4.2/G)127 (4.2/G).496.533+1
9Alicia114 (3.8/G)118 (3.9/G).484.533+1
10Dark Cove134 (4.5/G)141 (4.7/G).477.533+2
11Mastport112 (3.5/G)118 (3.7/G).476.4690
12Riva127 (4.2/G)137 (4.6/G).465.500+1
13Geo Bahn123 (4.1/G)141 (4.7/G).438.4330
14Whitesand115 (3.8/G)136 (4.5/G).424.4330
15Kron'nul123 (4.1/G)146 (4.9/G).422.400-1
16Firun City102 (3.4/G)134 (4.5/G).378.3670
 avg:126 (4.1/G)  ±1
Northern League
 Matchups
RankTeamScoredAllowedPythRealLuck BalticaLaserusCrystalisSummerwindAliciaRivaGeo BahnKron'nul
1Baltica159 (5.3/G)133 (4.4/G).581.533-1   4.4-4.3
.511
5.1-4.6
.547
5.2-4.3
.586
4.9-3.9
.603
5.6-4.4
.609
5.8-4.3
.634
6.0-4.3
.648
2Laserus128 (4.3/G)107 (3.6/G).581.533-1  4.3-4.4
.489
 4.0-3.7
.536
4.1-3.5
.572
3.8-3.1
.592
4.4-3.5
.603
4.5-3.4
.625
4.7-3.5
.632
3Crystalis134 (4.5/G)125 (4.2/G).532.5330  4.6-5.1
.453
3.7-4.0
.464
 4.4-4.1
.532
4.1-3.6
.559
4.7-4.1
.562
4.8-4.0
.583
5.0-4.0
.601
4Summerwind126 (4.2/G)127 (4.2/G).496.533+1  4.3-5.2
.414
3.5-4.1
.428
4.1-4.4
.468
 3.8-3.7
.512
4.4-4.2
.521
4.6-4.1
.552
4.7-4.1
.562
5Alicia114 (3.8/G)118 (3.9/G).484.533+1  3.9-4.9
.397
3.1-3.8
.408
3.6-4.1
.441
3.7-3.8
.488
 4.0-3.9
.512
4.1-3.8
.535
4.2-3.8
.546
6Riva127 (4.2/G)137 (4.6/G).465.500+1  4.4-5.6
.391
3.5-4.4
.397
4.1-4.7
.438
4.2-4.4
.479
3.9-4.0
.488
 4.7-4.4
.530
4.8-4.4
.540
7Geo Bahn123 (4.1/G)141 (4.7/G).438.4330  4.3-5.8
.366
3.4-4.5
.375
4.0-4.8
.417
4.1-4.6
.448
3.8-4.1
.465
4.4-4.7
.470
 4.7-4.6
.510
8Kron'nul123 (4.1/G)146 (4.9/G).422.400-1  4.3-6.0
.352
3.5-4.7
.368
4.0-5.0
.399
4.1-4.7
.438
3.8-4.2
.454
4.4-4.8
.460
4.6-4.7
.490
 
 avg:129 (4.3/G)  ±1
Southern League
 Matchups
RankTeamScoredAllowedPythRealLuck ErindelBroncdomSarinelosZorphyrDark CoveMastportWhitesandFirun City
1Erindel143 (4.6/G)118 (3.8/G).587.548-1   3.0-2.8
.532
4.8-4.6
.519
4.7-4.1
.562
5.4-4.4
.593
4.2-3.3
.609
5.2-3.7
.651
5.1-3.3
.689
2Broncdom94 (3.0/G)80 (2.6/G).573.548-1  2.8-3.0
.468
 3.0-3.1
.485
2.9-2.8
.516
3.4-3.0
.557
2.7-2.2
.593
3.3-2.5
.624
3.2-2.2
.665
3Sarinelos145 (4.8/G)124 (4.1/G).571.533-1  4.6-4.8
.481
3.1-3.0
.515
 4.9-4.4
.549
5.7-4.7
.587
4.5-3.6
.601
5.5-4.1
.631
5.4-3.6
.677
4Zorphyr136 (4.3/G)130 (4.1/G).521.563+1  4.1-4.7
.438
2.8-2.9
.484
4.4-4.9
.451
 5.0-4.7
.528
3.9-3.5
.549
4.8-4.0
.583
4.8-3.5
.641
5Dark Cove134 (4.5/G)141 (4.7/G).477.533+2  4.4-5.4
.407
3.0-3.4
.443
4.7-5.7
.413
4.7-5.0
.472
 4.2-4.1
.511
5.2-4.6
.556
5.1-4.1
.599
6Mastport112 (3.5/G)118 (3.7/G).476.4690  3.3-4.2
.391
2.2-2.7
.407
3.6-4.5
.399
3.5-3.9
.451
4.1-4.2
.489
 3.9-3.6
.537
3.9-3.2
.590
7Whitesand115 (3.8/G)136 (4.5/G).424.4330  3.7-5.2
.349
2.5-3.3
.376
4.1-5.5
.369
4.0-4.8
.417
4.6-5.2
.444
3.6-3.9
.463
 4.4-3.9
.555
8Firun City102 (3.4/G)134 (4.5/G).378.3670  3.3-5.1
.311
2.2-3.2
.335
3.6-5.4
.323
3.5-4.8
.359
4.1-5.1
.401
3.2-3.9
.410
3.9-4.4
.445
 
 avg:123 (4.0/G)  ±1

Color coding

On runs scored, green is scoring above the league average, red below the average. The top scoring team will be greenest, lowest scoring team will be reddest. Runs allowed is the same, but in reverse. Note that in individual league listings, the colors are scaled only against other teams in that league.

Pyth and real win percentage are greener over .500, with the greenest at .600. Red is under .500, with the reddest at .400.

Matchups

Matchups attempts to extend pythagorean winning percentage on a team vs team basis. The first two numbers are projected runs scored and runs allowed. The last number is the projected pythagorean winning percentage vs that team. Scoring is calculated by:



                                 (Opponent Runs Allowed per Game)
     (Runs Scored per Game) * -------------------------------------
                                (League Avg Runs Allowed per Game
                                  not including the scoring team )
     
How are the teams ranked?

The teams are ranked purely by pythagorean winning percentage.

What is pythagorean winning percentage?

Pythagorean winning percentage is an estimate of a team's winning percentage given their runs scored and runs allowed. Developed by Bill James, it can tell you when teams were a bit lucky or unlucky. It is calculated by


                   (Runs Scored)^1.83
    ---------------------------------------------------------
     (Runs Scored)^1.83 +  (Runs Allowed)^1.83
    

The traditional formula uses an exponent of two, but this has proven to be a little more accurate.
(taken from baseballreference.com)

What is luck factor?

Luck factor compares a team's actual winning precentage to it's pythagorean winning percentage. A positive number indicates a team was a bit lucky, a negative number indicates a team was unlucky. The result is the number of games a team is over or under it's pythagorean win percentage. It is calculated by


    round(  (games played) *  ((actual win %) - (pythagorean win %))  )