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Bush Team Thinking of Eliminating Deduction for Health Insurance for Corporations
by momary
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 20:43:50 PST

[From the Diaries - MB]

The Bush administration is floating a a proposal reported on Washingtonpost.com to elimnate the credit businesses receive when they pay for their employees' health care.
The administration will also push hard for large savings accounts that could shelter thousands of dollars of deposits each year from taxation on investment gains, according to White House economic advisers who have been involved with the planning. And any tax reform, according to Treasury Department officials, would likely eliminate the alternative minimum tax, a parallel income tax designed to ensure that the rich pay income taxes but one that increasingly ensnares the middle class. To pay for those large tax cuts, the administration is looking at eliminating both the deduction for state and local taxes, and the business tax deduction for employer-sponsored health insurance. That would raise nearly $926 billion over five years, according to White House and congressional documents.
45 million Americans don't have health care today. How many more wouldn't have it if the administration takes away the only economic incentive that companies have to provide it?

This proposal is nothing more than a backdoor plan to kill the progressiveness of the tax code. Eliminate the AMT so rich people can get away paying even fewer taxes, while at the same time ensuring that ordinary working Americans are forced to pay more out of their own pocket for health insurance.

Don't let them get away with this.

Diaries :: momary's diary :: Link & Discuss (172 comments)

Iraq Open Thread - Are the Russians Coming?
by Meteor Blades
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 19:34:39 PST

The battle of Falluja is grinding on: From the BBC:
… efforts to suppress the last remnants of the Iraqi insurgency continue in Falluja.

Mortar fire and heavy explosive rounds targeted areas in the city where the US believes insurgents are still hiding.

Iraq's interim government says some 1,600 rebels lie dead in the rubble of the city, and civilians have been trying to collect their dead between upsurges in the fighting.
No word, of course, on just how many civilian bodies there are to “collect,” or how many of those dead insurgents might not be insurgents.

With November likely to be the bloodiest month of a war that has cost the lives of 1,212 U.S. troops and tens of thousands of Iraqi civilians, rumor has it that George Bush’s connection with his pal Vladimir is about to pay off. This could be BS. Stratfor's July report that the White House was negotiating with Russia for 40,000 troops in Iraq didn't pan out (or was utterly bogus). The latest report comes from a Russian weekly whose reliability is unknown to me:

Russia Agrees to Send Troops to Iraq

Russia has agreed to send a small number of troops to Iraq to protect oil wells and support the U.S.-led military campaign there, an aide in the Bush administration has said.

The Russian Kommersant-Vlast magazine spoke with the aide on conditions of anonymity, and he said that he had heard the information at a recent meeting in the White House.

The meeting mentioned by the source was held in the wake of a report released by the CIA alleging that Iraq had circumvented sanctions against it through loopholes in UN’s oil for food program, and apparently sold off millions of dollars in oil to Russian politicians and businessmen. Russian companies, the report alleged, were also planning to ship weapons to Iraq just months before the start of the U.S.-led campaign to topple Saddam Hussein’s regime in March of 2003.

In light of these findings, the source said, many officials in the administration were wary of close military collaboration with Russia, but national security advisor Condoleeza Rice insisted on asking Russia for troops.
Who says the president's policies have alienated the world community?

Update: Marine Officers See Risk in Cuts in Falluja Force

WASHINGTON, Nov. 17 - Senior Marine intelligence officers in Iraq are warning that if American troop levels in the Falluja area are significantly reduced during reconstruction there, as has been planned, insurgents in the region will rebound from their defeat. The rebels could thwart the retraining of Iraqi security forces, intimidate the local population and derail elections set for January, the officers say.

They have further advised that despite taking heavy casualties in the weeklong battle, the insurgents will continue to grow in number, wage guerrilla attacks and try to foment unrest among Falluja's returning residents, emphasizing that expectations for improved conditions have not been met.


War :: Link & Discuss (68 comments)

What Are Democrats About?
by Meteor Blades
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 16:39:53 PST

In addition to calls for boycotting the “red” states or kowtowing to them, plus myriad calls for recounting the votes and digging out possible fraud, a thousand or two Diaries have been written since November 3 on who the Democrats are and what they should become to correct the mistakes of this election cycle in the next go-around.

Harold Meyerson has been one of my favorite activists-turned-journalists since he first started writing and editing at the LA Weekly in the 1980s. He often takes an unlacquered view of American politics, and his whetted insights often can’t be found elsewhere. What he says in the Washington Post piece excerpted below, however, has none of the originality I’ve come to expect from him. I'm not being overally critical. But what he's saying is no more than what hundreds of us who’ve been able to rise out of our post-election hangover have been debating and discussing and shrieking about at Daily Kos and throughout Blogworld for the past two weeks … and, of course, much earlier.

This fact itself says something about the state of the Democrats. No surprise that most Democratic rebels here – whether they backed Howard Dean or not – believe one of the party’s deepest needs is structural reform, starting with the Iowa caucuses on up. And we're frustrated that business-as-usual seems to happening, as usual. But does the party also need, as Meyerson argues, a bold new inclusive message, or would better packaging of the old message serve just as well?

What Are Democrats About?

Once more, the theme of themelessness. Cover the Democrats for any length of time and you become expert in campaigns that don't seem to be about anything. They have policies; Democrats are good at policies. But all too often the campaigns lack a message -- a sense of what the candidate's about and what he aims to do.

The insider accounts of the Kerry campaign that are emerging have a sickening familiarity to them. The Boston Globe tells of Paul Begala, who helped Bill Clinton win two presidential races, descending on Kerry headquarters, white board in hand, scribbling a dozen suggested lines of attack against George Bush on it, and imploring the campaign to choose one and stick with it. The papers are full of Kerry aides attesting that they never knew what the campaign's message was, and there are accounts of Kerry himself chafing at the confusion. …

The themelessness isn't simply Kerry's, however, any more than it was simply Gore's or Dukakis's. Time was when the Democrats were the party of economic justice and opportunity, the party that championed emerging constituencies as well as classes: Catholics, blacks, women. They were the party of the many against the powerful, which played a lot better in the electoral arena than being the party of the one against the many. But, with the signal exception of Clinton's '92 campaign -- a brilliant mix of economic progressivism and cultural centrism -- the Democrats haven't been able to persuade enough voters to choose them as their champions for a very long time. And Clinton's ability to deliver on that promise once in office was a sometime thing. Full employment made life better for the people at the bottom of the economy. But the erosion of the decent jobs of the old industrial economy never really stopped (and, of course, has escalated greatly under Bush), and the jobs that replaced them more often than not offered lower pay, fewer benefits and less security. The Wal-Mart economy has grown on both the Democrats' and Republicans' watch. …

Historically the Democrats have been the party of security, but that's an identity they need to reclaim. The challenge of radical Islam demands more of them than a foreign policy of realpolitik; empiricism -- while a welcome counter to Bush's indifference to fact -- is not enough. The challenge of a global labor market demands more of them than a commitment to mid-career retraining; defending the American middle class means creating the kind of global standards that the Democrats created on the national level during the 1930s and '40s, the time of their greatest popularity. That's a daunting challenge, one that requires the Democrats to think and develop a story about the new threats to the American dream. If they do they'll come up with a more plausible list of culprits -- and solutions -- than the Republicans ever will. They may even come up with a new sense of self, with a purpose, with a theme.
Over the past 14 days, I’ve read a host of comments pressing for improving the funding of existing liberal and left think-tanks cum policy advocates and the creation of new ones (even a formal Daily Kos think-tank) that would provide the Democrats with the raw material for a fresh theme and a fresh purpose. Smart move, obviously. The Heritage Foundation has played that role with Republicans since the 1970s. And, as we are all too unhappily aware, the Project for a New American Century has captured American foreign policy. And if we denizens of the Internetz can fund campaigns the way we just did, why not a few think-tanks as well?

But, in addition to coming up with good ideas and good tactics, these think-tanks have another of what Meyerson would call a “daunting” task: How do they actually persuade (or force) a Democratic establishment to abandon its unfocused, focus-group-driven, consultant-fueled campaigns and reintroduce itself to the American people as the party that will make their lives and their children’s lives safer and more prosperous?

Take the poll.

Democrats :: Link & Discuss (276 comments)

WA-Gov : 261 votes
by DaveOinSF
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 15:53:04 PST

Update, by Jerome. Rossi 'won' by 261 votes.

A less than 2000 vote margin leads to an automatic (machine) recount.

If the margin were less than 150 votes, the law says they must do a "hand" recount (no machines). But what if the machine recount leads to a margin of less than 150 votes-- would that necessitate a handcount? Or, would the ~$700K need to be paid to have a handcount? I would imagine it's worth the cost to have a shot at keeping Rossi out.

elevated by DemFromCT. There's several pockets of unfinished 2004 business, including this squeaker of a race.

Republican Rossi currently has a 187-vote lead of the Democrat Christine Gregoire. There are about 5200 ballots left to count in Washington, 1450 of them in King County.

If the remaining vote in every county breaks exactly according to how that county already voted, Rossi will add 350 votes to his lead for a 537-vote win (oh the irony...)



Diaries :: DaveOinSF's diary :: There's more... (196 comments, 484 words in story)

Kerry's troublesome nest egg
by kos
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 15:43:54 PST

You thought I was gone, but one last hit before I board the plane. I really do want to let go and start my vacation, but this story demanded comment.  
Democratic Party leaders said Wednesday they want to know why Sen. John Kerry ended his presidential campaign with more than $15 million in the bank, money that could have helped Democratic candidates across the country.

Some said he will be pressured to give the money to Democratic campaign committees rather than save it for a potential White House bid in 2008.

"Democrats are questioning why he sat on so much money that could have helped him defeat George Bush or helped down-ballot races, many of which could have gone our way with a few more million dollars," said Donna Brazile, campaign manager for Al Gore's 2000 presidential race.

Brazile is a member of the 400-plus member Democratic National Committee, which meets early next year to pick a new party chairman. One high-ranking member of the DNC, speaking on condition of anonymity, said word of Kerry's nest egg has stirred anger on the committee and could hurt his chances of putting an ally in the chairmanship.

That "ally" is likely Tom Vilsack, who Kerry is depending on to grease the skids for his likely 2008 run.

$15 million may have netted us a couple Senate seats, more than a few House seats. For example, $1 million would've allowed the cash-strapped Mongiardo campaign to compete against Sen. Bunning's air attack the last two weeks of the Kentucky Senate contest.

Instead, Kerry hoarded the cash for his 2008 run.  

I am a reform Democrat.

Democrats :: Link & Discuss (488 comments)

Ummm, does Laura know?
by kos
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 11:05:39 PST

That's Margaret Spellings. If you want substantive discussion on education policy, scroll below for DemFromCT's entry. This thread is for, er, something else.

(And this time, I'm really, really, gone! I'm shutting off the computer. For real!)

Bush Administration :: Link & Discuss (295 comments)

Replacement Cabinet Shapes Up
by DemFromCT
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 10:37:33 PST

Education - Margaret Spellings to replace Rod Paige.
Spellings has long-standing ties to Bush, having served as his chief education adviser when he was Texas governor.

so that makes her responsible for the Texas education miracle, huh?

White House Counsel - Harriet Miers to replace Alberto Gonzales (she's currently serving as WH deputy chief of staff and therefore likely had knowledge of AbuGhraib policy and memos.

For more politics see Rimjob's diary entitled Lieberman Will Not Rule Out Joining Bush Cabinet... and since Bush values loyalty above all else, should he pick Joementum over Rudy?

Bush Administration :: Link & Discuss (81 comments)

For Whatever Good it Will Do
by DemFromCT
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 09:51:45 PST

Arlen Specter looks to be judiciary committee chairman.

Key Republicans said yesterday they believe that Sen. Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) will be approved by GOP colleagues as chairman of the Judiciary Committee despite an uproar over his expressed doubts that a Supreme Court nominee who opposes abortion rights could be confirmed by the Senate.

"I expect him to have the support" necessary to win the chairmanship, said the outgoing committee chairman, Orrin G. Hatch (R-Utah). He was joined by former Senate GOP leader Trent Lott (Miss.) and deputy party whip Robert F. Bennett (Utah) in predicting victory for Specter.

He apparently owes the junior senator from PA big time, and will likely spend the rest of his senatorial life campaigning for Santorum as well as washing his car. He may well have had to make promises that he will regret (well, we will, anyway). I suppose it could be worse. I'm still trying to figure out how.

General 2004 :: Link & Discuss (104 comments)

The coming economic crisis
by DC Pol Sci
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 09:21:15 PST

elevated by DemFromCT. See also Krugman via Melanie.

The euro hits a new record high (via Atrios)

"There's an overwhelming belief ever since the U.S. elections that the dollar has got quite a way to go down," said Chris Furness, senior currency strategist for 4Cast research in London.

gold is up

Gold continued its push to higher ground Wednesday, consolidating its position at levels last seen more than 16 years ago. Spot gold was lately bid at $442.50 an ounce, up $2.70. Likewise, gold for December delivery rose $3.30 an ounce to stand at $433.80 in electronic trading

and consumer prices rise

retail consumer prices were up 4.2 percent in the month that saw oil futures reach record levels. Gasoline prices rose 8.6 percent during the month and heating oil was up 8.1 percent.



Diaries :: DC Pol Sci's diary :: There's more... (420 comments, 374 words in story)

The New Europe
by kos
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 08:23:46 PST

The European Union is now, arguably, the world's largest superpower. Militarily, the US is the undisputed champ. But in eceonomic terms, and in notions of freedom, the welfare of its citizens, and in human rights, we've been lapped.
Much of American "productivity," Rifkin suggests, is accounted for by economic activity that might be better described as wasteful: military spending; the endlessly expanding police and prison bureaucracies; the spiraling cost of healthcare; suburban sprawl; the fast-food industry and its inevitable corollary, the weight-loss craze. Meaningful comparisons of living standards, he says, consistently favor the Europeans. In France, for instance, the work week is 35 hours and most employees take 10 to 12 weeks off every year, factors that clearly depress GDP. Yet it takes a John Locke heart of stone to say that France is worse off as a nation for all that time people spend in the countryside downing du vin rouge et du Camembert with friends and family [...]

European children are consistently better educated; the United States would rank ninth in the EU in reading, ninth in scientific literacy, and 13th in math. Twenty-two percent of American children grow up in poverty, which means that our country ranks 22nd out of the 23 industrialized nations, ahead of only Mexico and behind all 15 of the pre-2004 EU countries. What's more horrifying: the statistic itself or the fact that no American politician to the right of Dennis Kucinich would ever address it?

Perhaps more surprisingly, European business has not been strangled by the EU welfare state; in fact, quite the opposite is true. Europe has surpassed the United States in several high-tech and financial sectors, including wireless technology, grid computing and the insurance industry. The EU has a higher proportion of small businesses than the U.S., and their success rate is higher. American capitalists have begun to pay attention to all this. In Reid's book, Ford Motor Co. chairman Bill Ford explains that the company's Volvo subsidiary is more profitable than its U.S. manufacturing operation, even though wages and benefits are significantly higher in Sweden. Government-subsidized healthcare, child care, pensions and other social supports, Ford says, more than make up for the difference.

The new EU constitution, currently being considered by the member states, is an unwieldy, jargon-laden document that runs to 265 pages in English (and even more in Spanish and French). It should also serve as an inspiration to progressives around the world. It bars capital punishment in all 25 nations and defines such things as universal healthcare, child care, paid annual leave, parental leave, housing for the poor, and equal treatment for gays and lesbians as fundamental human rights. Most of these are still hotly contested questions in the United States; as Rifkin says, this document all by itself makes the European Union the world leader in the human rights debate. It is the first governing document that aspires to universality, "with rights and responsibilities that encompass the totality of human existence on Earth."

Meanwhile, at home, the inmates run the asylum. "Freedom fries" is considered a weighty matter worthy of deliberation by the US Congress. Regulating who people can love is considered a matter of national security (a greater danger than terrorism, say the GOoPers!). Our foreign policy is run on arrogance, while Europe earns international loyalty through a much more generous and benign foreign assistance budget. And a "shoot now, ask questions later" mentality pervades the government and a majority of US voters. Intellectualism is considered weakness, ignorance is celebrated.

Those of us who pine for the days of strong US international leadership can only cringe as this "might is right" administration continues to take the US down the path of international pariah. But if the EU can be looked at as an ideal, their story holds out hope for us.

The rise of the European Union may in fact, as Rifkin says, represent a new phase of history, and we barely saw it coming. While the outcome of this new cold war between Europe and America is far from clear, we should feel humbled by the way it's gone so far. The EU has succeeded so dramatically in its ambitious goals that the utopian dreamers of the last century who dared to imagine a peaceful, prosperous, united Europe seem eerily prescient now. If nothing else, it's an object lesson in the power of vision.

"I am a democrat," James Joyce wrote in 1916, while an entire generation of Europe's young men were slaughtering each other in the fields of Flanders. "I'll work and act for the social liberty and equality among all classes and sexes in the United States of the Europe of the future." People read that and laughed bitterly. Europe seemed poisoned by mustard gas and history; America was the land of liberty, democracy and the future. Nobody's laughing now.

See you in two weeks.

Foreign Policy :: Link & Discuss

More Fun With Numbers
by DemFromCT
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 06:01:43 PST

Our friends over at Real Clear Politics have put together a table of 2000 vs 2004 at the state level, purporting to show how Bush's smashing win was complete and absolute. Can you say mandate? Well, it might be more appropriate to include Kerry's numbers as well, although playing with the numbers won't catch Kerry up.

The across the board improvement in percentages for Bush is striking, and Kerry did less well, but he had his moments. For those who like to play with numbers, there were 27 states (+DC) where Kerry increased his per cent from 2000 for Gore, and the top 6 were VT, AK, MN, OR, DC and ME to Bush's TN, AL, OK, NJ, LA and NY. Clearly, there was a 9/11 effect here (as RCP suggests elsewhere) even though NY and NJ will remain true blue both locally and nationally (and their large populations will affect Bush's overall popular vote margin). While national campaigning by Bush vs target state campaigning by Kerry may also affect some of this, the presence of NY/NJ/CT on the 'Bush did better' list can't be ignored.

A different way of looking at the numbers is to subtract Bush's improvement from 2000 within each state from Kerry's (the higher the number, the better Kerry 'did'). Here the top 6 for Kerry do not change, whereas for Bush his 6 'improved' states were AL, TN, NJ, HI, OK, RI. Three of the six are still royal blue, and TN lost native son Gore compared to 2000.

All in all, I think there's a definite national security-9/11 flavor to the numbers, and the question is whether there's any lasting relevence to that. Many have blogged/opined on the 'Dems are weak on security' idea, but unless anyone, Dem or Repub is clear on policy, you can't beat something with nothing (my view of Kerry's problem is that he was not clear on Iraq or the WoT).

Despite the above, Kerry got 55 57 million people to vote for him and almost won (pending recounts). Like Nixon and Vietnam, timing is everything when it's not location ('72 vs '73), and the American public is not ready to see Iraq as lost. That time will come, and when it does, the architects of that policy will pay a price politically. Bush's war is going to drive the election in 2008 (and likely 2006) no matter who the Dems run.

General 2004 :: Link & Discuss (136 comments)

Deja Vu All Over Again
by DemFromCT
Wed Nov 17th, 2004 at 05:22:25 PST

From the WaPo today:

While at least 38 Marine and Army troops have died in a tough week of house-to-house fighting in Fallujah, that is not the hardest part of the U.S. counteroffensive against the Iraqi insurgency.

The U.S. strategy in Iraq, Marine Col. T.X. Hammes observed in a recent interview, is a three-step process. "Clear out the insurgents, build up the Iraqi security forces, and then develop and install local governments in preparation for national elections," said Hammes, who served in the U.S. occupation authority in Iraq last winter.

The second and third steps promise to be more difficult to take than the first, in part because they are largely beyond U.S. control. Yet those steps of "Iraqifying" security and politics are also the keys to the Bush administration's strategy for getting out of Iraq. And over the course of the 18 month-long insurgency, U.S. officials frequently have overestimated their progress, both in creating durable Iraqi police and military units and in laying the groundwork for Iraqi political control of the country.

I wonder if there is a deliberate attempt to refight and win the Vietnam war to justify a generation of revisionism (too Orwellian?), or whether these folks in charge simply don't have a clue?

Nixon speech 11/3/69

Good evening, my fellow Americans:

Tonight I want to talk to you on a subject of deep concern to all Americans and to many people in all parts of the world the war in Vietnam.

I believe that one of the reasons for the deep division about Vietnam is that many Americans have lost confidence in what their Government has told them about our policy. The American people cannot and should not be asked to support a policy which involves the overriding issues of war and peace unless they know the truth about that policy.

Tonight, therefore, I would like to answer some of the questions that I know are on the minds of many of you listening to me.

  • How and why did America get involved in Vietnam in the first place?
  • How has this administration changed the policy of the previous administration?
  • What has really happened in the negotiations in Paris and on the battle-front in Vietnam?
  • What choices do we have if we are to end the war?
  • What are the prospects for peace?
Great questions, all. BTW, this is the speech where Nixon said:
The policy of the previous administration not only resulted in our assuming the primary responsibility for fighting the war, but even more significantly did not adequately stress the goal of strengthening the South Vietnamese so that they could defend themselves when we left.

The Vietnamization plan was launched following Secretary Laird's visit to Vietnam in March. Under the plan, I ordered first a substantial increase in the training and equipment of South Vietnamese forces.

-After 5 years of Americans going into Vietnam, we are finally bringing men home. By December 15, over 60,000 men will have been withdrawn from South Vietnam including 20 percent of all of our combat forces.

-The South Vietnamese have continued to gain in strength. As a result they have been able to take over combat responsibilities from our American troops.

Feel better yet? Take that Stanley Karnow out of the library. Get ahold of Nixon's Vietnam-era speeches. You're going to need them.

War :: Link & Discuss (174 comments)

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