This years’ draft is an interesting one, in that I can see 10 different guys going at #1, and they’d all be legit #1 picks. I disagree with the top talent rating corps (Mel Kiper and Scouts Inc., mainly) on what these teams truly need occasionally, so I decided to set up my own draft board. This isn’t so much how I think the draft is going to go as it is how I think these teams should draft. Truth is these teams probably won’t pick this way. But without further jawin’, let’s get into it.
1. San Francisco – Mike Williams – WR, USC – So much ado is made about whether San Fran will draft Smith or Rodgers, but I don’t think they need a QB. I think Rattay can be a fine QB if you put role players around him and set up that offense to be successful. In my eyes, Williams is the best WR in the draft. He’s bigger than Braylon Edwards, has much more potential and has impressed me in the combine. Without a doubt, the addition of Williams alone gives San Fran the ability to win games now, which is what they need. Their defense, if healthy, can hold it’s own with any team in the league (of SF’s 14 losses, 9 of them were by 10 points or less).
2. Miami Dolphins – Alex Smith – QB, Utah – Forget Ronnie Brown. Forget a running back period. Miami has not had a QB since Dan Marino, and that should be their biggest concern. AJ Feely… no. Brian Griese… no. Jay Fiedler… of course not. It’s almost like they haven’t been trying to get a QB, and it’s anybody’s guess as to what Saban has in mind for this problem. Smith has good size, an amazing arm and has probably the biggest upside of any QB in the draft. With him under the tutelage of this offense, and with plenty of weapons to throw to, I think putting him in right away would be the perfect opportunity for both parties.
3. Cleveland Browns – Aaron Rodgers – QB, Cal – To be honest, the Browns could draft anybody at #3 and it would be an upgrade. Since Cleveland seems to be a graveyard for QB’s, they’ve got to try something new, and Rodgers is new. He’s got better arm strength than folks thought he did before the combine, and the Browns can’t help but try anything at this point.
4. Chicago Bears – Ronnie Brown – RB, Auburn – Without a doubt in my mind, Brown is the best RB in the draft. He is a strong runner who is quick on his feet, which Chicago needs. If Grossman stays healthy and Mushin can provide a solid target at WR then Brown can have a serious impact on this offense. If not, well, we might be looking at another Ki-Jana Carter… wrong place, wrong time.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Cedric Benson – RB, Texas – He is a serious gamble at #5, seeing as he’s got some off the field problems and he has so many miles on his legs already. Regardless, he’s such a strong runner that somebody has to take the chance on him, and I believe the Bucs are willing at this point.
6. Tennessee Titans – Antrelle Rolle – CB, Miami – Adam Jones seems to be the popular pick at #6, but his lack of ideal size, tendency to bite on play fakes and propensity to get pushed around by more physical WRs is too much. Rolle is bigger, more physical and is not too far behind in terms of speed. Rolle also has the ability to play the run a lot better than Jones, and after the off-season clearing-house that was Tennessee this off-season, they need as many 2-way defenders as they can get.
7. Minnesota Vikings – Braylon Edwards – WR, Michigan – He proved to the world that he could perform in big game situations in the Rose Bowl, making a case for himself for the Heisman. A big too late, but Edwards’ quick hands and tough demeanor will provide the Vikings with a very different alternative to Randy Moss. He’s not nearly as big of a vertical threat, but he’ll add a different dimension to the Vikings’ offense. Expect the Vikes to have a very different offense this year.
8. Arizona Cardinals – Derrick Johnson – LB, Texas – As much as I hate to say it as a Cowboys fan, Johnson should be gone by #8. His lateral speed is undeniable and the Cards are looking pretty thin in their front 7. Johnson is one of the few LBers that can make an immediate impact on a defense, and that’s not something that can be ignored. The Cards don’t know what they’ve got in this guy… I don’t think anybody truly does.
9. Washington Redskins – Adam Jones – CB, West Virginia – Washington needs a CB to bolster the best D in the league, and with Jones they would have no problem doing so. Jones is quick, can keep up with any WR in the league but lacks size. Washington can afford to take a gamble on him because their defense is already established as dominant.
10. Detroit Lions – Erasmus James – DE, Wisconsin – He has great size, great closing speed and a wide array of moves to get past offensive linemen. The Lions need bolstering in their front 4 and James can provide that down the road. The only concern about James is durability as he missed ’03 with a hip injury. Aside from that, James should make a serious impact on a Lions team that could make some noise in ’05.
11. Dallas Cowboys – Shawne Merriman – LB/DE, Maryland – I’ve already talked about him: he’s great, but I’m crossing my fingers for Johnson.
12. San Diego Chargers – Dan Cody – DE, Oklahoma – I had the pleasure of seeing Cody live a couple of times, and it just seems like he’s playing at a different speed then everybody else. He’s real fast off the ball and has a vicious spin move, and best of all, he never quits. His motor is always running it seems. He lacks serious bulk, but all San Diego needs on D right now is speed, and Cody definitely provides that.
13. Houston Texans – Alex Barron – T, Florida State – Ever since Carr arrived in Houston 3 years ago, he’s lacked serious pass protection, and as he gets better, his pass protection needs to improve. Barron is far and away the best tackle in the draft and he will bolster a line that will feature him for years to come.
14. Carolina Panthers – Carnell Williams – RB, Auburn – The guy is a workhorse and might fall this far just because of team needs being met. He’s a big running back (think a smaller Jerome Bettis) and cuts/finds lanes very well. The Panthers could go with a WR here (Troy Williamson) to replace Muhammad, but they have some pressing concerns at RB right now. My prediction is that DeShaun Foster doesn’t last another year in Carolina.
15. Kansas City Chiefs – Carlos Rogers – CB, Auburn – For a team as desperate for defensive talent as the Chiefs, they sure haven’t taken advantage of it. Larry Johnson? Rogers, the best CB after Jones and Rolle, excels in man-to-man coverage, which KC likes to play. Rogers has average size and average speed, but at #15 he’s a solid defensive pick-up.
16. New Orleans Saints – Jammal Brown – OT, Oklahoma – An accomplished pass rush defender, Brown has an opportunity to help a Saints line that needs all the help it can get. Brown is incredibly athletic but is inexperienced, and he’ll have to play behind somebody before he can be considered a viable starter.
That’s it for the first (read: more interesting) half of the draft. This draft could go a million different ways, but I think those picks are the best for their respective teams. For all we know, Maurice Clarrett could go #1. Well… maybe not…