Pete
Fiutak
Q: And
the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament will be ... ?
A: When doing crucial,
life-altering analysis like ordering takeout, choosing a wife or
filling out a bracket, the first main step is to eliminate as many
risk factors as possible. For example, here's what we know as an
absolute given.
1) Washington isn't going to be in the Final Four. As a quirky
three-seed? Sure. As a sleeper two? Absolutely. Not as a one. It's
like the old Eddie Murphy joke about Kirk, Spock, McCoy and Johnson
beaming down to a planet's surface. You know which one isn't coming
back. (Keep your East Coast bias stuff to yourself. Yes, I've
watched this team play several times.)
2) I love North Carolina. You love North Carolina. Roy Williams is
coaching North Carolina. You know in your heart of hearts this team
is too flaky to win it all.
3) Illinois plays four home games including a way-too-unfair
Regional round in Chicago. As much as you might like someone else,
Illinois has too many dates close to home to assume a loss.
4) A couple of 11 and 12 seeds will likely get through. Since 1985,
the 11 and 12 seeds are 50-110 in the first round.
5) Cross off Georgia Tech. All the experts are picking the Yellow
Jackets as a "sleeper" pick. There's too much buzz.
6) Bobby Knight's team isn't going anywhere.
7) You can't make a pick happen. All you can do is project. Just
because you make a wacky pick, it doesn't mean it'll work out. With
all of that in mind ...
Syracuse region
– North Carolina – The rest of the world is slobbering way too much
over this region. Connecticut is a lock for the Sweet 16, but Kansas
is average at best right now and Florida is, well, Florida able to
get knocked out in the first round or get to the Final Four. North
Carolina has a bizarre habit of taking time off during games, but
it's way too good not to win four and get to St. Louis.
Austin region
– Utah - Every once in a while, a player takes over a tournament and
makes it his. Dwyane Wade carried Marquette to the Final Four two
years ago, Bryant Reeves was the man in 1995 taking Oklahoma State
to the Four, and Andrew Bogut is going to dominate this year leading
Utah past UTEP, past Oklahoma, over Kentucky and in a classic
against Duke/Michigan State winner to win the Austin bracket.
Albuquerque
region – Wake Forest - Call this the copout pick. I don't
believe in Washington thinking Pacific has the potential to pull off
the upset in the second round and I can't see anyone else beating
Wake Forest. Everyone will be taking the Demon Deacons, but it's a
good pick. This is a high-flying, high-scoring team.
Chicago region
– Illinois – I'd pick Alabama over the Illini if they played in any
of the other bracket, but no one is beating Illinois in Chicago.
Oklahoma State will be the chic pick, but watch out for Southern
Illinois and LSU.
In St. Louis, I'm
going with the dream matchup of Illinois over North Carolina. Guards
win national championships, and Illinois has the best. This team has
the look and feel of Michigan State of 2000.
Richard
Cirminiello
Q: And
the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament will be ... ?
A:
Syracuse Regional –
North Carolina –
You’ve probably already heard that this bracket is by far the
deepest in the tournament at least a thousand times in the last 36
hours. That’s even more of a reason to pick a Carolina team that
has the talent and depth to withstand three tough games, and get to
St. Louis. If you like drama, root for Kansas, Roy Williams’ former
employer, to win three, and face the Heels with the Final Four at
stake.
Austin Regional
–
Syracuse – This time of year, there’s something to be said for
experience. Four Orange starters played key roles in the school’s
national championship run two years ago, and seniors Hakim Warrick
and Gerry McNamara form one of the top inside-outside combo in
America. Syracuse comes in confident after winning their first Big
East tournament in 13 years.
Albuquerque
– Wake Forest – Isn’t there always one team that has a terrific
season, but just doesn’t quite look right as a No. 1 seed? This
year, that school is Washington. Provided Wake guard Chris Paul
doesn’t try to do a Moe Howard impression on any opponents, the
Deacons will prove to be the class of a pretty shallow region.
Chicago –
Oklahoma State – Rule No. 1 in sports. Whatever looks the most
obvious, rarely happens. We all know Illinois is 32-1, taking a bus
to all of their games, and allowed to go on a power play if they get
down by more than a bucket in the second half of any game. Blah,
blah, blah. The Illini have been amazing, but this is March, when
predictability takes a three-week holiday. Okie State has the right
mix of veteran leadership, inside and outside presence and
experience on the bench. The winner of this game will be crowned
the national champion.
National Champion – Oklahoma State
John
Harris
Q: And
the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament will be ... ?
A: Although there is no scientific proof that throwing a
dart at the bracket four times might actually get you closer to the
‘real’ Final Four, I’m beginning to think that this might be the
year to test that theory. With that being said, here are my
‘educated’ dart tosses for the Final Four.
Syracuse region
– North Carolina – One of my favorite sayings sums up why UNC will
be dancing in St. Louis – “You don’t win with X’s and O’s, you win
with Jimmies and Joes”. Translation – you need talent to win, and
they have plenty. Georgia Tech did a solid job of slowing the
transition game in the semis of the ACC tournament, and relegating
them to a half court offense (well, Mr. Bynum went off, too). But,
if opponents do that, they’ve got to find a way to stop Sean May,
one of the best bigs in the country. Oh yeah, if you want to run
with Ray Felton and his boys, you’re done.
Austin region
– Syracuse – There’s something to be said for a team that’s ‘been
there’. Hakim Warrick is so long that he can be frustrating to
guard, and in a matchup with Duke, he’ll probably draw the Landlord,
Shelden Williams, out of the paint, giving Josh Pace room to
penetrate and work his ‘mid-range’ magic as he did in the Big East
tournament. Gerry McNamara can get smoking hot from the perimeter
and shoot opponents right out of the game, similar to his
well-publicized region-mate JJ Redick of Duke.
Albuquerque
region – Wake Forest – I think of all the brackets, this bracket
has the potential of being turned upside down. Chris Paul returns
after landing the ‘Shot heard round the Triangle’, and it was
evident how much he was missed in the loss to NC State in the ACC
quarterfinals. His energy (when positive, of course) drives this
team, and his ability to penetrate (i.e. against a lack of defensive
stalwarts) should create a lot for himself and spot up shooters
Justin Gray and Taron Downey. But, for Wake to head to St. Louis,
Eric Williams has to get touches on the block and be strong on the
glass – no one in this region should be able to keep the big fella
from dominating inside.
Chicago region
– Oklahoma State – Yes, I’m going to catch all kinds of business for
this, but I think that Illinois got the best #2 seed in the
tournament in their bracket. The reason that I think they can go
back to the Final Four is how they’ll matchup with Illinois. The
Cowboys would struggle against a dominant interior squad, but
against a three guard lineup like Illinois possesses, I like the
Cowboys’ chances. Joey Graham is so tough due to his versatility
and John Lucas III has been completely overshadowed this year. The
rookie Jameson Curry has to shoot well, but I like OSU’s quickness
and defense. Oh yeah, they’ve been there, too.
UNC should beat
Syracuse, while Oklahoma State should do the same against Wake
Forest in the semis. Then, Roy Williams will get his championship
on Monday night as the Tar Heels roll.
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