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  Fitch to Up Korea¡¯s Credit Rating


By Kim Jae-kyoung
Staff Reporter

Fitch Ratings said Tuesday that it is considering raising the sovereign rating on South Korea as geopolitical risks in the Korean Peninsula have been eased following the North Korea¡¯s agreement to scrap its nuclear program.

The U.K-based agency has placed the Korea¡¯s long-term foreign currency ``A¡¯¡¯ rating on ``rating watch positive,¡¯¡¯ heightening hope that a rating hike will be made in the foreseeable future.

The agency said that Korea¡¯s ratings could be upgraded following a review of the agreement announced at the six-party talks on Monday in which North Korea committed to ending its nuclear weapons program.

``This is the first significant agreement to emerge from the six-party talks and it goes some way to addressing our concerns regarding the security threat posed by North Korea,¡¯¡¯ said James McCormack, head of Asia Sovereigns at Fitch.

``It effectively precludes any immediate referral of the issue to the United Nations Security Council, which could have resulted in the imposition of economic sanctions and a further heightening of tensions,¡¯¡¯ he added.

But the agency pointed out that although the announcement itself was a positive development, many of the details are yet to be worked out and much will depend on North Korean implementation, which has been unreliable following previous agreements.

Fitch kept Korea¡¯s national credit rating at ``A¡¯¡¯ with a stable outlook for three straight years since it last raised the rating to ``A¡¯¡¯ from ``BBB+¡¯¡¯ in June 2002.

The Ministry of Finance and Economy (MOFE) said Tuesday that the successful six-party talks have cleared the way for international rating agencies to upgrade the sovereign ratings in the near future.

The ministry said that the Fitch¡¯s move has raised hope that the nation¡¯s sovereign rating will be raised to ``A plus,¡¯¡¯ the level one notch below the one prior to the 1997 financial crisis.

The ministry said that Standard and Poor¡¯s (S&P;) and Moody¡¯s Investors Service are also likely to raise their credit ratings as they have cited the North¡¯s nuclear brinkmanship as the biggest risk to the Korean Peninsula.

In July S&P; S&P; raised Korea¡¯s sovereign credit rating by one notch to ``A¡¯¡¯ from ``A minus,¡¯¡¯ citing a stronger banking sector and a flexible monetary stance, setting the ratings outlook at stable.

``Future movement of Korea¡¯s sovereign rating will be determined by developments in North Korea,¡¯¡¯ the rating agency said in the statement.

The U.S.-based Moody¡¯s has kept Korea¡¯s rating at ``A3¡¯¡¯ since March 2002, when the agency raised the ratings by two notches from ``Baa2.¡¯¡¯

The successful multinational negotiations are expected to ease tensions on the Korean Peninsula and give further momentum to the South-North economic cooperation development project.

The geopolitical risks triggered by the North¡¯s nuclear issue have been a major stumbling bock to foreign investment and a rating upgrade by international credit rating agencies.


kjk@koreatimes.co.kr

09-20-2005 19:31


 
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