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Bowl Projections

ACC, Big 12 title games will cause big domino effect

Posted: Monday November 27, 2006 12:46PM; Updated: Wednesday November 29, 2006 6:08PM
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Wake Forest's stunning run to the ACC title game is keeping many teams guessing as to which bowls they will be playing in.
Wake Forest's stunning run to the ACC title game is keeping many teams guessing as to which bowls they will be playing in.
Nick Laham/Getty Images
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The ACC (Wake Forest-Georgia Tech) and Big 12 (Oklahoma-Nebraska) championship games may not carry national title implications -- but together they could play a role in determining the matchups for as many as 12 different bowl games. Get ready to follow the dominoes:

It all starts with the Gator Bowl, which gets third choice of ACC teams and can pick between the No. 2 Big East team or a Big 12 team for its other spot. Following last weekend's developments, Texas is suddenly and unexpectedly available to the Gator, which would love to pair the 9-3 Longhorns against 8-4 Clemson. However, an ACC rule invoked this year says a bowl can't pass on an available team that finished more than one game ahead of the others. Georgia Tech went 7-1 in the ACC this year, Clemson 5-3. If the Jackets don't win next week and the Chick-fil-A, as expected, takes 10-2 Virginia Tech, the Gator has to take 9-4 Georgia Tech.

If that happens, the Gator would have to think twice about taking Texas, because neither its fans nor Georgia Tech's are likely to travel en masse to Jacksonville. A 10-2 West Virginia team, if it beats Rutgers next week, would be the more logical choice. In that event, Texas could slip all the way to the Alamo Bowl, because the Cotton wants Nebraska (which would be 9-4 if it loses to Oklahoma) and the Holiday wants Texas A&M (9-3). And that would bump the rest of the Big 12's eligible teams (Missouri, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Oklahoma State and Kansas) down a rung.

Meanwhile, the Gator's two choices also affect whether the next Big East team, most likely Rutgers, goes to the Sun Bowl or the Texas Bowl, not to mention the fates of the next three ACC bowls (Champs Sports, Music City and Meineke), which could be choosing among Wake Forest (if it loses to Georgia Tech), Boston College, Maryland and Clemson. Florida State and Miami are headed to the Emerald or MPC Computers bowls.

One other interesting bowl domino took place over the weekend in a game almost no one saw. You might not care that Troy (6-5) beat Middle Tennessee State (7-5) -- but you should if you're a fan of Kansas, Washington State, Arizona, Pittsburgh or any other 6-6 team hoping to receive an at-large berth. Thanks to Troy, that's not going to happen.

By virtue of its win over Middle Tennessee, Troy will now capture the Sun Belt title (assuming it beats 0-11 Florida International on Saturday) and a berth in the New Orleans Bowl. NCAA rules state that a bowl can only offer an at-large berth to a 6-6 team if there are no other teams with winning records available. There are only going to be two at-large spots available, the Poinsettia and the Motor City, and one of those is now going to have to go to Middle Tennessee. The other will go to an extra team from the MAC, either Northern Illinois or Western Michigan, both of whom have winning records as well.

BCS/NEW YEAR'S DAY GAMES
Date Game Matchup
Jan. 8 Title Ohio State (BCS No. 1) vs. USC (BCS No. 2)
Jan. 3 Sugar Arkansas (SEC champ) vs. Notre Dame (BCS at-large)
Jan. 2 Orange Wake Forest (ACC champ) vs. Louisville (Big East champ)
Jan. 1 Fiesta Oklahoma (Big 12 champ) vs. Boise State (BCS at-large)
Jan. 1 Rose Michigan (BCS at-large) vs. LSU (BCS at-large)
Jan. 1 Capital One Wisconsin (Big Ten No. 2) vs. Florida (SEC No. 2)
Jan. 1 Gator Georgia Tech (ACC No. 3) vs. West Virginia (Big East No. 2/Big 12)
Jan. 1 Outback Penn State (Big Ten No. 3) vs. Tennessee (SEC)
Jan. 1 Cotton Nebraska (Big 12 No. 2) vs. Auburn (SEC)
OTHER GAMES
Date Game Matchup
Jan. 7 GMAC Southern Miss (C-USA No. 2) vs. Ohio (MAC)
Jan. 6 International Cincinnati (Big East No. 4/5) vs. Western Michigan (MAC)
Dec. 31 MPC Computers Nevada (WAC) vs. Miami (ACC)
Dec. 30 Chick-fil-A Virginia Tech (ACC No. 2) vs. Georgia (SEC)
Dec. 30 Alamo Texas (Big 12 No. 4) vs. Iowa (Big Ten No. 5)
Dec. 30 Meineke Navy (Big East/Navy) vs. Clemson (ACC)
Dec. 29 Champs Sports Maryland (ACC No. 4) vs. Purdue (Big Ten No. 4)
Dec. 29 Insight Kansas State (Big 12 No. 6) vs. Minnesota (Big Ten No. 6)
Dec. 29 Liberty Houston (C-USA champ) vs. South Carolina (SEC)
Dec. 29 Sun Oregon State (Pac-10 No. 3) vs. Missouri (Big 12/Big East)
Dec. 29 Music City Boston College (ACC No. 5) vs. Kentucky (SEC)
Dec. 28 Texas Texas Tech (Big 12) vs. Rutgers (Big East)
Dec. 28 Holiday Cal (Pac-10 No. 2) vs. Texas A&M (Big 12 No. 3)
Dec. 28 Independence Oklahoma State (Big 12 No. 7) vs. Alabama (SEC)
Dec. 27 Emerald UCLA (Pac-10 No. 5) vs. Florida State (ACC No. 7)
Dec. 26 Motor City Middle Tennessee St.* (Big Ten No. 7) vs. Central Michigan (MAC)
Dec. 24 Hawaii Hawaii (WAC) vs. Arizona State (Pac-10 No. 6)
Dec. 23 Armed Forces Utah (MWC) vs. Tulsa (C-USA)
Dec. 23 New Mexico New Mexico (MWC) vs. San Jose State (WAC)
Dec. 23 PapaJohns.com USF (Big East) vs. East Carolina (C-USA)
Dec. 22 New Orleans Troy (Sun Belt) vs. Rice (C-USA)
Dec. 21 Las Vegas Oregon (Pac-10 No. 4) vs. BYU (MWC champ)
Dec. 20 Poinsettia TCU (MWC) vs. Northern Illinois (at-large)
Teams in bold have accepted bowl invitation
* -- replacement team for conference without enough eligible teams

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