IS NOT WARMING - HAS NOT WARMED IN 60 YEARS
A Briefing by the Science & Environmental Policy Project at COP-6
(Nov 21, 2000 at 16:00)
Scientific conclusions below follow mainly from our analysis of the draft Third Assessment Report (TAR) of the UN- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), as well as the National Assessment of Climate Change (NACC) produced by the US Global Climate Research Program (USGCRP).
1. Our analysis uncovered a preponderance of evidence against any global warming in the last 60 years. This major conclusion is in direct contradiction to IPCC claims and theoretical climate models; it nullifies all published forecasts of future warming advanced by the IPCC.
2. We were also able to show that our finding is in accord with temperature data from boreholes and from proxy data (tree rings, corals, ice cores, ocean sediment analyses); it also accords with observed glacier melting, sea ice thinning, and sea-level rise.
3. We have found no evidence suggesting future extreme weather events, such as severe storms or droughts, increases in infectious diseases, or damage to forests and other ecosystems. On the contrary, increased levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide have already led to a greening of the planet, improved agricultural yields, and more vigorous forest growth.
4. Our findings directly and explicitly contradict the Sept. 28, 2000, testimony by Frank Loy, Under Secretary of State for Global Affairs, before the US Senate.
5. Furthermore, it is generally accepted that enactment of greenhouse gas emission cuts, as envisioned by the Kyoto Protocol, would be completely ineffective. IPCC data show a decrease of only 0.07 degrees C by 2050, an amount that may not even be detectable.
6. The claimed IPCC scientific consensus does not exist. The IPCC is not a group of scientists at all but a UN-sponsored office, with UN staff. While competetnt scientists work on the report itself, the anonymously drafted Summary for Policymakers is a political document, controlled by a handful of government scientists who quote from the report selectively.
We draw attention to the statements of independent scientists around the world in opposition to exaggerated climate scares and the Kyoto Protocol: Heidelberg Appeal (1992, over 4000 scientists); Leipzig Declaration (1996, over 100 climate scientists); Oregon Petition (1998, over 17,000 scientists).
We have invited the following to join us in the briefing:
Helmhold Schneider (Germany), chairman of the European Academy for Environmental Affairs (EAU)
Richard Courtney (UK), representing the European Science and Environment Forum (ESEF)
Bruno Comby (France), president of Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy (EFN)
Dr. Hardy Bouillon (Brussels), president of the Centre for the New Europe (CNE)
Prof. Frits Boettcher (Netherlands), chairman of Global Institute for the Study of Natural Resources, The Hague
Dr. Klaus Heiss (Austria), noted economist
Prof. Harry Priem (Netherlands), geologist and climate expert
Dr. Gerd-Rainer Weber (Germany), meteorologist and climate expert
Supporting our scientific conclusions, books and pamphlets are available in the following languages: English, French, German, Spanish, and Chinese.
The briefing will be followed by individually arranged interviews with members of our panel, allowing further exploration of our conclusions, bringing them to a wider audience.
S. Fred Singer
President, The Science & Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)
1600 South Eads Street, Suite #712-S. Arlington, VA 22202
Tel 703-920-2744 firstname.lastname@example.org
SEPP does not solicit financial support from either industry or governmental sources. Income is derived mainly from charitable foundations and private individuals. Some income is derived also from SEPP conference fees and the sale of books and reports to the public. As a non-profit educational and research 501(c) 3 organization, accepting tax-deductible contributions, SEPP is required to file an annual report with the IRS. SEPP operates on a modest budget; its officers and associated scientists do not receive salaries but contribute their services on a pro bono basis.