Mizzou-Oklahoma: Preview and Prediction Thread

Fri Oct 12, 2007 at 10:27:05 AM EDT

I’m going to write this as quick as possible, as I’ll be getting on the road to Norman shortly...post your predictions in the comments below!  I'd say the closest guess wins a prize, but...yeah...uhh...no prizes to give just yet.  Right now, we're playing for pride.  Just like Nebraska.  ZING!

Missouri QB vs Oklahoma Defense

Oklahoma handles the spread offense quite well as a whole, but...yeah, at this point I’m just too cocky about the rhythm Chase Daniel is in.  Until a defense beats him, I’m going with Chase.  Edge: Mizzou.

Missouri RB vs Oklahoma LBs

News about Tony Temple has been held under lock and key, but with a healthy Temple or not, OU is great against the run.  LB’s Ryan Reynolds and Curtis Lofton may struggle in pass coverage, but they’re beasts near the line of scrimmage.  Edge: Oklahoma.

Click 'Full Story' for the rest.

Mizzou Links, 10-12-07

Fri Oct 12, 2007 at 07:05:57 AM EDT

Here's the official release for MU-OU, plus a nice preview from the KC Star and a PowerMizzou "Ultimate Breakdown".  My OU buddy last night was happily recalling to me previous 'big' matchups between up-and-comers and OU...the year OSU came into town along with College Gameday and lost 52-9...the year ISU came in ranked Top 10 for the first time ever (I think) and got demolished in every way, shape and form.  Mizzou has more offensive weapons than either of those things, but...yeah...Stoops' teams tend to play pretty well when a newbie is trying to claim their turf.

Two questions: 1) there's a National Tight End of the week award?  2) Is this the first time Rucker or Coffman have won it??

Dave Matter says no, this is actually the third time Rucker's won the award.  Good to know.  Oh, and Matter makes some picks too.

Nice headline, Joe Walljasper.  This Van was rockin' Saturday night, indeed.  Also, the Missourian tells us that the most respected member of the WR corps is not one of the big stars.  I remember that Jason Ray was one of the main "I want to come to Mizzou because I want to play with Brad Smith" recruits...I always love reading stories about guys who love being role-players.

Heh...note to Will Franklin...Heineken and Corona?  Not top-of-the-line beers.  You guys are like Flat Branch Brown Ale and a nice Delirium Nocturnum.  Otherwise a solid article on the development of the spread offense.  Meanwhile, Whitlock says MU needs a "heady" effort...what's with all the beer talk at the Star??

Leave it to Vahe Gregorian to remind us how much we've been smoked at Owen Field in the past.  Luckily, the Tigers need no extra motivation...

I'm sure you've all seen by now that Mizzou basketball is preseason #5 in the Big 12...in case you haven't, you have now.  Meanwhile, Steve Walentik catches up with the preseason Newcomer of the Year, Demarre Carroll and the Missourian plays a game of "What did you do during your summer break?" with Leo Lyons.  Graham Watson has a season preview article up as well.

Finally, MU-KU at Arrowhead is sold out.  I'm impressed...though I guess it's not surprising that the last tix got snatched up the week after KU won at KSU and Mizzou smoked NU...

Mizzou-Oklahoma: Beyond the Box Score PREVIEW

Thu Oct 11, 2007 at 05:23:47 PM EDT

Spurred on by some of the trends I was able to spot last week, I’m back for another stat nerd preview!  Try to contain your excitement.  At some point, I’ll try to put together a ‘glossary’ type of post with all the terms I use in these things, but for now just look back at previous posts if you don’t know some of the terms.  Onward!

Success Rate by Quarter

ALL PLAYS

Missouri
Q1 – Missouri 54.1%, Opponents 41.4%
Q2 – Opponents 51.5%, Missouri 49.5%
Q3 – Missouri 56.6%, Opponents 47.5%
Q4 – Missouri 50.5%, Opponents 49.0%

Oklahoma
Q1 – Oklahoma 54.4%, Opponents 27.7%
Q2 – Oklahoma 58.8%, Opponents 35.5%
Q3 – Oklahoma 45.8%, Opponents 30.3%
Q4 – Oklahoma 45.9%, Opponents 24.2%

ALL PLAYS – CLOSE GAME (i.e. within 16 points or less)

Missouri
Q1 – Missouri 54.1%, Opponents 41.4%
Q2 – Missouri 51.6%, Opponents 43.3%
Q3 – Missouri 71.1%, Opponents 45.8%
Q4 – Missouri 40.9%, Opponents 37.5%

Oklahoma
Q1 – Oklahoma 52.3%, Opponents 28.0%
Q2 – Oklahoma 58.1%, Opponents 44.4%
Q3 – Oklahoma 51.6%, Opponents 35.3%
Q4 – Opponents 36.4%, Oklahoma 22.2%

The first thing I notice here is, Oklahoma plays better when they’re up big.  Nebraska game aside, Mizzou is more-or-less the direct opposite.  The longer this game is close, the better it is for Mizzou.  OU did shake off some of the Colorado cobwebs by responding well to close circumstances last week against Texas—every time Texas landed an uppercut of some sort, OU almost immediately responded—but a) Mizzou’s offense is better than Texas’, and b) I’m not sure Mizzou’s defense is much worse than Texas’ at this point.  I mean...that’s REALLY weird to say, but I’m not sure I can be proven wrong at this point.  I mean, just LOOK at the conference defensive averages—Texas giving up 34.5 PPG, Mizzou 6.0!!  It’s not even close!!

Okay, I was half-kidding there.  Point is, if Mizzou plays up to the level it has so far—especially offensively—OU will have to bring their A-game to win.  They probably will bring their A-game, but it still feels good to say that, doesn't it?

The key for Mizzou seems to be getting rolling early.  OU's best quarter is the first one.  Their defensive gameplans are apparently pretty damn good, as opponents are doing next to nothing against them in the first 15 minutes.  Early success gives OU’s young offensive studs some breathing room.  If Mizzou can move the ball early, the pressure then moves to OU, as Mizzou has been unbelievable in the third quarter, and while neither team has had much of a sample size in regard to close games in the fourth quarter, Mizzou has something of an advantage there too.

Click 'Full Story' for more.

Complete MU Baseball Schedule

Thu Oct 11, 2007 at 04:02:20 PM EDT

Through well placed and shadowy sources I've obtained a copy of the unofficial but complete 2008 Mizzou Baseball schedule.  The schedule in its entirety can be seen at SimmonsField.com.

The schedule looks like an exciting one, and a step up from the past few years in terms of schedule strength.  Read on for analysis of this year's "intended strength of schedule".

M-I-Z Q&A: Oklahoma

Thu Oct 11, 2007 at 09:27:29 AM EDT

This week, the M-I-Z Q&A fires up in time for us to trade questions with our SB Nation-brethren over at Crimson and Cream Machine in preparation for Saturday's showdown between No. 6 Oklahoma and No. 11 Missouri. My responses can be found here.

RMN: How do Oklahoma fans see Missouri heading into this weekend? Were perceptions changed at all by Missouri's manhandling of Nebraska last week?

"I picked Missouri to win the north so their play, even after the Nebraska game, hasn’t surprised me at all. The general feeling among Sooner fans is that this is the biggest game of the year, yes even bigger than Texas, and a win would certainly place the Sooners back in the BCS championship hunt while a loss leaves them hoping for many things to happen just to have a chance to win the Big 12.

As far as the Nebraska game goes we don’t think very highly of the Huskers football team this season and are much more impressed with the Tigers win over Illinois."

RMN: OU seems to pride itself on shutting down spread offenses. How do you see the matchup between the Missouri offense and the OU defense?

"Oklahoma has had success against the spread attack in year’s past but the thing that scares me this year is the linebacker’s inability to effectively cover the pass. That, in my mind, will be the key match-up Saturday night. Oklahoma’s linebackers are built to stop the run but have been burned through the air against Miami, Colorado and Texas.

The good news is that Oklahoma did make some adjustments in the second half to limit the Longhorns middle passing routes and they will certainly have to do it again this Saturday against a much better Missouri passing attack. That may mean bringing up the safeties to cover the Missouri tight ends which would leave Oklahoma susceptible to the deep ball.

The key, force Missouri to be one dimensional by shutting down the rushing game and then get tons of pressure on Daniels [sic]."

RMN: Justify my immense fear of the Sooner rushing attack.

"All you have to do is look at the stats to justify it. The Tigers are giving up over 140 yards per game on the ground at 4.0 yards per carry. They currently rank 7th in the conference at stopping the run while Oklahoma’s rushing attack gains 216 yards per game with an average of 5.3 yards per carry.

Perhaps the best way to slowdown the Missouri offense is by keeping them off the field. Oklahoma could do that if they are successful in the running game but they will have to protect the football and make sure that they finish long time consuming drives with a score."

RMN: What did the Sooners learn from the loss in Boulder?

"They learned that Colorado is good! There has been a lot said about the altitude, lack of preparation and Oklahoma not being able finish off the Buffs when leading 24-7 in the third quarter but the bottom line was that Colorado was good enough to make the plays to win the game and Oklahoma wasn’t."

RMN: According to the most comprehensive and most accurate source I could find, Wikipedia, the Sooners have been the feature game on College Gameday 16 times whereas Mizzou is enjoying its first appearance. Give us your favorite OU-related Gameday story and favorite Gameday sign.

"Going to Gameday isn’t all that its cracked up to be. If you actually want to listen to what the Gameday crew is saying then stay home and watch it on TV but if you want to get on television, tout your team, and make some noise then the Gameday set is the place to be. I would recommend that every college fan do it at least once but beyond that it’s really up to a person’s liking.

I guess my favorite Gameday experience was in 2003 when Oklahoma State thought they had a pretty good team and the boys from ESPN agreed thinking that Les Miles was going to back up all the trash he had been talking. Lee Corso made several remarks in favor of the Cowboys and may have even picked them to pull off the upset, I really can’t remember, causing the OU crowd to chant “Corso Sucks!” at several points of the game while the Sooners were thrashing the Cowboys 52-9."

RMN: Bonus - Your prediction and final score.

It’s early in the week for a score prediction but I would guess it to be around 35-24 Oklahoma.

Mizzou Links, 10-11-07

Thu Oct 11, 2007 at 07:09:56 AM EDT

It's Cut to the Chase time!!  Interesting quote:

I think Illinois was twice as fast as Nebraska. Illinois was the biggest team I’ve ever faced. I told you that (earlier this season). They were the hardest hitting team, and they’re finally getting the respect they deserve. It’ll be just the same against Oklahoma.

Dave Matter takes a look at the reverse to Jeremy Maclin, a play that is becoming more and more prevalent with each passing game.  Meanwhile, Graham Watson discusses just how much Maclin has meant to the Mizzou offense.  Seriously, there have been more Maclin stories than everybody else combined this year.  Not complaining, just sayin'...

The Missourian has a nice profile on Danario Alexander and his comeback.

Mike Dearmond talks to the Mizzou Defense, a hard-hitting, much more confident unit after last Saturday's domination of NU.  Needless to say, they'll need all the hits and all the confidence they can get against OU's offense.

Great random quote from Graham Watson's blog: "Maybe Aggies just don’t like Buddy Holly" (Former Texas A&M linebacker Christian Rodriguez on the rivalry between Texas Tech and Texas A&M).

#5?  Seriously?  34-31??  Seriously???  None of us picked Mizzou...and we're homers!!  Ugh.  Let's just change the subject.

Sweep!  Missouri Volleyball is on a roll.  They swept ATM (30-23, 30-23, 30-28) for their fourth straight conference win, committing only 12 errors for the whole match (Amanda Hantouli and Megan Wilson combined for 28 kills and just 2 errors) and moving to within one game of 4th place in the conference.  Not bad after an 0-4 start...bet they'd like to play that KU match over right about now.  The Missourian has more.

Inside Mizzou has an article on emerging St. Louis junior Ronnie Wingo, a likely star in the 2009 class.  Meanwhile, needless to say Robert Steeples, a 2008'er, loved his trip to Columbia last weekend.

Here are some quotes from Mizzou Basketball's Media Day yesterday.  The Missourian has more, while the KC Star has a nice Demarre Carroll profile.

Rock M Nation Roundtable

Wed Oct 10, 2007 at 10:03:28 AM EDT

Each week, we will provide Roundtable questions more Mizzou-centric than the Big 12 Roundtable that goes around each week.  Here are this week's questions, along with answers from rptgwb, The Beef, ZouDave, Michael Atchison, Doug, and myself.

1 - First things first...running a fake FG up 34-6: tacky, or (since it was Nebraska) the most strangely satisfying play in Mizzou history?

2 - Obviously it's too much to expect Mizzou to play like they did Saturday night...well, ever again...but reading quotes and interviews since Saturday, there seems to have been an attitude shift.  They seem to think they can and will play like that from here on out.  I'm rambling now, but...a) what's the ceiling for Mizzou at this point, and b) what's the most realistic end-of-2007 record?

3 - For those who weren't already tailgating at noon, what should we take out of KU's win over KSU?  Mangino owns Prince?  KU = MU's biggest challenge?  Black is slimming, even on Mangino?

4 - A&M's 2-0 despite all the drama, and Texas is tied with Baylor at 0-2.  If OU doesn't win the South, who does?

5 - Give me scores: MU at OU, CU at KSU, UT at ISU, BU at KSU, OSU at NU, ATM at Tech.

Click 'Full Story' for Answers...and feel free to provide your own answers in Comments...

MIzzou Links, 10-10-07

Wed Oct 10, 2007 at 07:08:56 AM EDT

Okay, I didn't know there was a national "Offensive Coordinator of the Week" award, but I guess putting up 600+ yards against a formerly respectable defense is a pretty good way to earn the award.

Inside Mizzou takes a look at the Mizzou offense's "Super 6" (and Mike Dearmond reminds us that one of the Super 6--Jeremy Maclin--was almost a Sooner), while The Trib takes a look at the Mizzou defense's interesting motivational techniques for last Saturday's game.  Loved Zo Williams' quote regarding the hole he put in the Marriott wall:

"I just got a text message from Coach" Barry "Odom, so I may have to go wash dishes at the Marriott," he said. "It wasn’t a big hole, though. They can just put a little duct tape over it and they wouldn’t even notice it."

I won't even mention Chase Daniel saying NU's defensive schemes reminded him of stuff he saw in high school.  We'll just leave that one alone.

STILL haven't read enough about Jeremy Maclin?  Me neither.  Try this.

Dave Matter attempts a Big 12 Power Poll, then goes Inside the Sooners' Numbers.

The Missourian profiles special teams ace Andrew Gachkar.  If Gabe had actually named 11 players in his Tuesday Top Tigers (instead of naming them all), Gachkar almost certainly would have been one of them.

It's Like Father, Unlike Son!

Enjoy Bowl Projections?  Me neither.  Oh you do?  Well, try this (Sugar).  Or this (Fiesta/Cotton).  Yeah...let's just stop right there.

(Via Crimson & Cream Machine) The Norman Transcript's John Shinn points out something that should grow more and more obvious as the week progresses: that Mizzou-OU is the biggest game of the year in the Big 12.

Demarre Carroll is the Big 12 Preseason Newcomer of the Year.  Steve Walentik has more.  Pretty cool, but here's my main question: D.J. Augustin = Player of the Year?  Really?  There's nobody in the conference better than him?  Not saying I could name somebody better...it just seemed weird to me is all.

Here are the official releases for a) #5 Mizzou Soccer's weekend fling with Oklahoma and Oklahoma State (The Maneater has a bit more), and b) Mizzou Volleyball's home match versus Texas A&M...a battle for conference "middle ground" (The Maneater has more on that too).

Missouri-Nebraska Highlights

Tue Oct 09, 2007 at 11:17:42 AM EDT

Mizzou Links, 10-9-07

Tue Oct 09, 2007 at 07:10:38 AM EDT

It's Tuesday, so that means we've got plenty of Monday Media Day coverage.  Dave Matter summarizes (loved the Quarterback Chase Daniel had some interesting comments on Nebraska’s defensive game plan. Let’s just say he was a big fan" line).  Mutigers.com has the quotes.  PowerMizzou's got quotes, coverage, and a 'first look' at Oklahoma.  And Gabe points out that Mizzou thinks they're going to win this weekend.

"You thrive off of and know we’re going to a hostile environment to play the #5 team in the nation. So what? Who cares? It’s what Missouri does nowadays. It’s what we do. We put ourselves in this position. We want to be in this position. So what? Just go out there and play football."

The Missourian points out that some Tigers could set some records this year.  Martin Rucker could break the TE receptions in a season record (it's 90, he's on pace for 98 or more), Chase Coffman could break the TE receptions in a career record (he's projected to need only about 50 after this season), and Jeremy Maclin could shatter the season all-purpose yards record (it's 2,026, and he's on pace for about 2,700). Paces can change quickly--it just takes one or two down games--but it's fun to think about right now, that's for damn sure.

The Trib's Joel Erickson nicely summarizes what was the longest gameday ever...the length of the day made it more impressive that so many Mizzou fans--almost all of them--stayed all the way to the end of the game.  The Missourian mentions that cops had to be pretty pleasantly surprised with the lack of gameday chaos.

Vahe Gregorian could have turned his "Mizzou reveling in success and fame" article into a nice (and predictable) "Mizzou due for a letdown" article, but he resisted.  Well done.  And meanwhile, the alternate universe continues to take shape, as a P-D columnist (Burwell) has nothing but nice things to say about Gary Pinkel.

Belleville, IL, running back Jason Ford, an Iowa commit, was apparently impressed enough with Mizzou's performance last weekend that he's going to give the Tigers a shot.

Hopefully Mike Dearmond's right--Mizzou's going to need Dave Christensen to come up with plenty more tricks.  Meanwhile, also from the Star, Derrick Washington might be getting his moment in the spotlight, as Tony Temple's not going to be 100%.

Baseball America has ranked 2007 recruiting classes, and Mizzou's came in at #11.  Patience has paid off for Tim Jamieson...he and his program just get better every year.

Old Hawthorne has been very kind to Mizzou Women's Golf so far.

Offense was the name of the game in Columbia this week.  Not only did Chase Daniel win Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week, Mizzou Volleyball's Weiwen "Wendy" Wang did the same.  That's what happens when you hit .527 for the week and almost completely avoid errors.  The Missourian has a nice article on Wang and her 'warrior mentality'.

Monday Musings

Mon Oct 08, 2007 at 01:24:42 PM EDT

So...as The Boy described, my weekly contribution to RMN will be a weekly wrap-up on ALL things Mizzou (and a few things that are not).  I will rundown every sport which participated in the past week and look to their next competition and preview that as best I can.  Some things I feel I know a good amount about, some I wont.  And please, if ever there is something you would like to comment on or agree/disagree with, my posts are always open for that.  I usually do my best to have these up first thing Monday morning (though clearly that did not happen this week).  Sit back and enjoy...it was a pretty good week for Mizzou in case you did not know.

Congrats to Chase Daniel...

Mon Oct 08, 2007 at 12:32:01 PM EDT

...the Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week.  With 400 yards passing and 75 yards rushing, I can't say that's too much of a surprise...

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