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Stock Focus
Global 2000 Winners And Losers
Paul M. Murdock, 04.05.07, 8:30 AM ET





Mainland China continues to secure its place as a global economic force, claming 44 spots in the Forbes Global 2000, our annual tabulation of the world's largest public companies. In 2006, China had 28 companies on our list. Such explosive growth is not without its risks. In late February, the Chinese market slipped 10%, pushing down exchanges worldwide, but Chinese stocks quickly rebounded and drove the market to new highs. Out of the 10 best-performing stocks in the Forbes Global 2000 over the past year, six hail from China.

For the year ended Feb. 28, 2007, the Global 2000 shows an average price gain of 17%, compared with an increase of 10% for the Standard & Poor's 500. The six winners from China have an average gain of 241%; all 28 Chinese stocks from last year are up an average of 38%.

Chinese investment trust Citic Securities, up 481%, leads the list of Global 2000 stock market stars. Based on our Global 2000 composite ranking for sales, profits, assets and market value, Citic, a newcomer to the list, ranks 1740 in its Global 2000 debut. Security analysts expect the $14.3 billion (market value) investment company to increase profits by 75% in 2007. Despite the expected growth, shares of Citic look pricey, currently trading for 33 times estimated 2007 profits of $0.21 per share.

Over the past year, shares of Shanghai Automotive (No. 1841) and Wuhan Iron & Steel (No. 1062) are up 270% and 196%, respectively. Shanghai Automotive has yet to report 2006 results, but security analysts reporting to Thomson IBES are looking for a 33% increase in profits in 2007 for the Chinese automaker, and for annual earnings growth at a 25% clip over the next three to five years. Analysts are less optimistic about the earnings prospects of Wuhan Steel, where they expect to see a 25% dip in profits this year.

Among other winners, Spain's Grupo Inmocaral (No. 1346) and Singapore's Golden-Agri Resources (No. 1868) finished second and third in terms of 52-week price change, up 312% and 280%, respectively. Golden-Agri Resources, which cultivates, refines and distributes palm oil used for cooking, recently reported 2006 sales of $1.2 billion, a 42% year-over-year increase. Golden’s net profits jumped to $485 million, over six times 2005 net earnings.

The biggest Global 2000 losers? Scottish Re Group (nyse: SCT - news - people ) (No. 1956), headquartered in Bermuda, saw its shares drop 85% in 2006. After six consecutive years of annual revenue growth in excess of 50%, reinsurance provider Scottish Re's revenue slipped 5%, to $1.9 billion, and the company had to address liquidity concerns after posting a net loss of $367 million in 2006. In March, shareholders approved a $600 million equity investment by MassMutual Capital Partners and private equity firm Cerberus Capital, which, when finalized, will give the two companies a controlling equity stake. Other losers include Doral Financial (nyse: DRL - news - people ) (No. 1942) and Saudi Electricity (No. 706), which lost 81% and 70%, respectively.

Global 2000 Stock Market Winners

Rank

Company

Industry

Country

Price

52-Week Price Change

Market Value ($mil)

1740

Citic Securities

Diversified financials

China

$4.79

481%

$14,294

1346

Grupo Inmocaral

Food drink & tobacco

Spain

7.05

312

9,559

1868

Golden Agri-Resources

Food drink & tobacco

Singapore

1.14

280

3,838

1841

Shanghai Automotive

Consumer durables

China

1.69

270

11,104

1062

Wuhan Iron & Steel

Materials

China

1.10

196

8,648

805

Minmetals Development

Trading companies

China

1.82

181

1,501

1465

Shenzhen Development Bank

Banking

China

2.46

179

4,789

1877

IntercontinentalExchange (nyse: ICE - news - people )

Diversified financials

U.S.

150.77

175

10,381

1411

Charter Communications (nasdaq: CHTR - news - people )

Media

U.S.

3.01

162

1,285

604

China Merchants Bank

Banking

China

2.08

141

33,187

All figures in U.S. dollars, as of Feb. 28.

Sources: FT Interactive Data, Reuters Fundamentals and Worldscope via FactSet Research Systems; Bloomberg Financial Markets; Forbes.

Global 2000 Stock Market Losers

Rank

Company

Industry

Country

Price

52-Week Price Change

Market Value ($mil)

1956

Scottish Re Group

Insurance

Bermuda

$3.68

-1%

$223

1942

Doral Financial

Banking

U.S.

2.17

-81

234

706

Saudi Electricity

Utilities

Saudi Arabia

3.53

-70

14,721

1995

Fremont General (nyse: FMT - news - people )

Diversified financials

U.S.

8.81

-63

686

1109

Advanced Micro Devices (nyse: AMD - news - people )

Semiconductors

U.S.

15.07

-61

8,267

853

Riyad Bank

Banking

Saudi Arabia

16.13

-61

10,083

640

Al Rajhi Bank

Banking

Saudi Arabia

27.86

-60

37,617

973

Aiful

Diversified financials

Japan

27.18

-59

3,849

1290

Sumitomo Mitsui Construction

Construction

Japan

2.34

-57

194

1550

Orient

Diversified financials

Japan

1.59

-55

1,373

All figures in U.S. dollars, as of Feb. 28.

Sources: FT Interactive Data, Reuters Fundamentals and Worldscope via FactSet Research Systems; Bloomberg Financial Markets; Forbes.




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Companies: SCT | DRL | ICE | CHTR | FMT


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