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OAS > TECA - Table of Next Closest Approaches to the Earth by Asteroids

Sormano Astronomical Observatory: Table of Next Closest Approaches to the Earth by Asteroids

Last update: November 13, 2007

Computations: Piero Sicoli, Francesco Manca (sormano@tin.it).


This table reports asteroids with nominal Earth-miss distance within about 1.5 millions km (sorted by date) for the coming years.

All data have been extrapolated from our Minor Body Priority List and the Small Asteroids Encounters List (see these pages for more details).

Some objects are listed in the risk page at JPL (NASA) and NeoDys (Univ. Of Pisa, Italy) about possible impacts with our planet (see NeoDys Risk page and SENTRY Risk page). Torino and Palermo Impact Hazard Scale are also reported.

All the distances are computed between the centers of mass of the bodies (Earth and asteroid).


Predicted close encounters with the Earth ( geocentric distance )

Box Colours Range of distance
< 10 Earth Radii
< 100 Earth Radii
- > 100 Earth Radii

 

Object
_
Range
of size (mt)
Date
yyyy-mm-dd
Nominal
Distance (km)
Min possible
distance (Km)
Max possible
distance (Km)
Torino
Scale
Palermo
Scale
2007 VE138 13-18 2007-11-14 1169481 1162824 1173296 no entry no entry
2007 TU24 190-590 2008-01-29 553554 542542 572140 0 -4.68
2000 YA 48-115 2011-12-26 1102552 1099560 1614184 no entry no entry
2001 AV43 27-63 2013-11-18 1117346 1019808 1209947 0 -5.03
2004 BL86 420-940 2015-01-26 1199176 1198877 1199924 no entry no entry
1998 HH49 130-300 2023-10-17 1172864 1135464 1211760 no entry no entry
2006 WB 75-165 2024-11-26 891005 889210 892800 no entry no entry
137108 736-1600 2027-08-07 388960 385968 391952 no entry no entry
2001 WN5 558-1260 2028-06-26 249828 245340 254316 no entry no entry
(35396) 1997 XF11 1000-3000 2028-10-26 930349 929002 931695 no entry no entry
2006 SU49 330-740 2029-01-28 1237922 1170902 1298060 no entry no entry
(99942) Apophis 400-850 2029-04-13 36651 34856 40840 1 -1.97
2001 AV43 27-63 2029-11-23 1525898 239356 10247453 0 -5.03
2003 RU11 20-50 2034-09-17 1455587 1421030 1492388 no entry no entry
2002 NY40 348-780 2038-02-11 1084600 1066648 1102552 no entry no entry
2004 MD6 210-470 2042-06-16 1454092 1443620 1467556 no entry no entry
2000 LF3 126-288 2046-06-13 1047200 897600 4936800 no entry no entry
1999 DB7 220-494 2048-02-28 976126 974106 978145 no entry no entry
2003 DW10 16-36 2050-03-02 299195 ** ** 0 -7.10
2004 FU4 530-1200 2051-10-25 1222214 1183319 1261110 no entry no entry
2002 PN 29-66 2052-01-30 1331421 1166863 1481018 no entry no entry
2006 BC10 330-740 2052-03-18 1032215 777901 9469452 no entry no entry
1988 TA 186-410 2053-10-01 1346400 748000 6881600 no entry no entry
(4660) Nereus 614-1380 2060-02-14 1198296 1197698 1198894 no entry no entry
1999 RQ36 178-390 2060-09-22 718080 658240 777920 no entry no entry
2000 WC1 95-210 2061-11-13 879635 869163 888611 no entry no entry
2005 WY55 200-410 2065-05-27 867667 89758 4682416 no entry no entry
2003 YN107 12-27 2065-12-13 1421180 ** ** no entry no entry
2002 SZ 210-470 2067-09-10 1452595 1445115 1460075 no entry no entry
2005 EU2 65-150 2068-03-29 926011 915540 937979 no entry no entry
2000 SG344 31-69 2069-05-02 1196800 299200 23936000 0 -3.43
(2340) Hathor 384-860 2069-10-21 984368 982872 985864 no entry no entry
2004 FH 19-45 2070-01-11 373994 239356 3365952 no entry no entry
2002 NN4 260-590 2070-06-06 1516922 1495978 1539362 no entry no entry
2002 SY50 1000-2000 2071-10-30 1301501 1256622 1481018 no entry no entry
2002 TZ66 18-40 2074-10-05 1510938 1301501 1735335 no entry no entry
2002 LV 1000-3000 2076-08-04 1570777 1451099 1705416 no entry no entry
1999 JU3 316-710 2076-12-06 1561816 1557463 1565990 no entry no entry
2002 CU11 508-940 2080-08-31 635790 628311 643271 no entry no entry
2003 SR84 25-60 2081-09-28 911051 703109 4241698 no entry no entry
2006 JF42 420-940 2083-05-03 1389465 1339349 1440328 no entry no entry
2005 ED318 194-430 2083-06-02 1320968 1313488 1329944 no entry no entry
2001 BF10 81-182 2085-04-28 1458579 1316461 1585737 no entry no entry
(2340) Hathor 384-860 2086-10-21 861696 837760 911064 no entry no entry
1999 VP11 530-1200 2086-10-22 1107024 1062144 1166863 no entry no entry
2004 XL35 330-740 2086-12-06 1107010 1032212 9783578 no entry no entry
2000 WO107 330-740 2093-11-30 1288037 1213238 1361134 no entry no entry
1998 SC15 348-780 2095-04-09 1270086 1250638 1289533 no entry no entry
2001 GQ2 250-566 2100-04-27 508632 506837 511625 no entry no entry
2002 GR 59-138 2102-03-22 1481040 ** ** no entry no entry
(54509) 2000 PH5 77-174 2104-01-02 787362 787335 787389 no entry no entry
2000 EH26 138-314 2106-04-21 1388269 1380789 1394253 no entry no entry
1999 MN 130-300 2110-06-04 1018313 1017715 1018911 no entry no entry
1998 MZ 366-820 2116-11-26 429645 390450 803340 no entry no entry
2001 AV43 27-63 2117-11-23 1300005 ** ** 0 -5.03
2002 NN4 260-590 2130-06-07 1062144 917034 1234182 no entry no entry
2001 AD2 288-650 2133-04-05 1304493 1124975 1539362 no entry no entry
2002 VX91 38-87 2133-11-02 1331421 ** ** no entry no entry
1999 MN 130-300 2137-06-04 823387 822639 824135 no entry no entry
2000 WO107 330-740 2140-12-01 273764 255812 291715 no entry no entry
2003 RM10 230-518 2141-09-04 1219222 1214585 1223860 no entry no entry
1999 FA 210-470 2143-03-07 1136960 807840 1899920 no entry no entry
2002 CU11 508-940 2143-09-02 1077120 ** ** no entry no entry
2002 PN 29-66 2146-01-29 296203 ** ** no entry no entry
(85604) 1998 OX4 170-370 2148-01-22 296196 295937 296455 no entry no entry
1998 KM3 302-680 2149-12-07 1496000 ** ** no entry no entry
2000 UK11 22-54 2153-11-04 792880 ** ** no entry no entry
2006 JF42 420-940 2159-05-04 1075309 1069026 1081742 no entry no entry
2002 FD6 95-210 2161-04-08 1320949 1332917 1311973 no entry no entry
2000 LB16 420-940 2163-12-14 1585760 1470568 1736856 no entry no entry
(4660) Nereus 614-1380 2166-02-11 942480 807840 7076080 no entry no entry
2002 AJ129 530-1200 2172-02-08 1376300 688150 10247454 no entry no entry
2002 AJ129 530-1200 2180-02-08 1346380 ** ** no entry no entry
2001 FR85 29-51 2185-03-19 1196800 ** ** no entry no entry
1998 KY26 27-33 2185-06-09 1496000 ** ** no entry no entry
2001 BA16 17-37 2191-01-16 1196800 ** ** 0 -5.80
2003 YT1 1000-3000 2195-04-30 575952 575952 11118871 no entry no entry
1997 XR2 200-450 2202-06-04 1395748 1341893 1448107 no entry no entry
(2135) Aristaeus 670-1500 2240-04-02 1196782 224396 7046059 no entry no entry
(7753) 1998 XB 508-1148 2311-12-04 404301 401242 407504 no entry no entry


Astronomical Unit (average distance between Earth and Sun)= 149600000 km

The average distance between Earth and Moon = 384400 km

Earth Radii= 6378.14 Km


Table Headings:

Object:
definitive number and name or provisional designation.
Range of size:
Probable size of the object from its absolute magnitude (H). For more information on this matter see the related page at the Minor Planet Center. A small range reported in italic suggests that the size has been deduced directly from radar observations.
Date:
Year, month, day of the close approach to the Earth.
Nominal distance:
Miss (geocentric) distance as resulting from nominal orbital elements.
Min and Max distance:
minimum and maximum miss possible distance based on the 3-sigma uncertainty confidence level. A simbol '**' means not computed, usually owing to a very high uncertainty.
The Palermo technical Scale:
Palermo Scale values between -2 and 0 indicate situations that merit careful monitoring. For more explanation see the related web page The Palermo technical Impact Hazard Scale
Torino Scale:
The Torino Impact Hazard Scale is designed to communicate to the public the risk associated with a future Earth approach by an asteroid or comet (see image below)

Torino Scale


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Web Curators: M. Carpino, F. Manca
Last modified: November 13, 2007