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Clayton Cramer's BLOG

Clayton's commentary on news and events of the day. Broadly speaking, I'm a conservative with libertarian sympathies (getting more conservative as my children get older).



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Friday, January 09, 2004
 
Ohio's Governor Has Signed Their Concealed Weapon Permit Law!

From the Marion, Ohio Star:
Ohio lawmakers have approved it and Gov. Bob Taft has signed it. Now, businesses and sheriffs are getting ready for the new law that takes effect in 90 days to allow people to carry concealed weapons, lifting a ban that Ohio had in place for decades.

Hamilton County Sheriff Simon Leis Jr. said the telephones at his Cincinnati office were already ringing Thursday, the day Taft signed the bill into law. Leis made a public plea for people not to call his office until the new law takes effect.

Under it, sheriffs are the only ones authorized to issue the concealed-carry permits to people who pass background checks and complete required safety training for handling a firearm.

Taft signed the bill after the Legislature agreed to make the names of permit holders in each county available to reporters who ask a sheriff's department for the names. Taft's insistence on this provision derailed the bill late last year after House lawmakers balked.

Sheriffs are bracing for plenty of applications when the law takes effect, expected to occur between April 15 and May 1. Applicants will be allowed to apply for a concealed-weapon permit from the sheriff in the county where they live or an adjacent county.
Here's the text of the final bill signed by the governor.

Congratulations to Ohioans For Concealed Carry--and the many other Ohioans who have participated in open carry demonstrations across the state--for pushing this one through!

It appears that eventually, Ohio will establish reciprocity agreements with states that have roughly similar training requirements, likely including Florida. That would be greatly appreciated--it's been more than a month since I added another state to my list of places that I am allowed to carry concealed.

UPDATE: Here's what passes for intelligent disagreement in Ohio, from what seems to be the Cleveland Morning Journal:
Concealed guns soon will be legal on Ohio streets, God help us

Carrying concealed weapons soon will be legal in Ohio, and some of this area's state legislators should be ashamed of helping make that possible.

...

[Governor] Taft has degenerated from a bumbling lame duck to a spineless dupe.
It sounds like the editors are about to splatter their oatmeal all over the high chair.


 
Why Fiction Often Makes More Sense Than Reality

Fiction has to make sense. If I wrote fiction as tragic as the state of Denmark's laws, it would not be believable. This is from BBC:
Mr Hoath befriended 63 year-old, Villy Andersen, whilst on a fishing trip. He claims his daughter later told him that Andersen had fondled her legs after she went with him to fetch a torch from their car. He then discovered that the man was a convicted paedophile who’d spent 18 months in jail for abusing a child a few years before. Hoath then reported the incident to the police but they claimed that there was insufficient evidence to take any action.

In response Stephen Hoath and a Danish friend, Ejvind Olesen, sent off with a loaded rifle to look for Andersen. On finally finding him Hoath, who has a previous conviction in Britain for attempted murder, shot him dead. Though his controversial solicitor, Peter Hjorne, who frequently represents Danish Hells Angels, insists Hoath had only meant to scare Andersen into leaving his daughter alone. Though quite how shooting someone in the eye can be a warning is hard to tell. Nonetheless, Hjorne claims the sentence imposed on his client for premeditated murder is outrageous given that he was only trying to defend the honour of his daughter.

I recently travelled to Assens jail, East of Jutland to interview Mr Hoath to get a clearer picture of what happened that day. Yet whilst he was willing the authorities were not and I was told he would not be allowed to talk to this programme. His lawyer has seen filed a complaint to the country’s Director of Public Prosecutions claiming this is a denial of Mr Hoath’s freedom of speech.

Ironically no such restrictions seem to be placed on Danish paedophiles. In fact they are allowed to have their own organisation which boasts his own fully legal web site. The Danish Paedophile Association, which sometimes carries full page ads in some newspapers, frequently has it’s say on the alleged benefits for children of having sex with adults.

It pronounces: “Paedophilia means love for children involving erotic feelings.”
And on another web page: “The claim that some child/adult sexual contacts are benign or even beneficial is supported by such a wealth of scientific studies that it cannot be discounted.”

How can they be allowed to say such things? Well, the Associations rights to freedom of speech…along with everyone else’s, are enshrined in the country’s constitution. They have the right to meet and express views provided they are just talking about sex with children and not actually having it. Save the Children Denmark is campaigning to have the website, along with the Association, closed down. The charity’s spokesman in Copenhagen, is Kumo Sorensen. Does he believe that the Associations members stop at talking? “No, I believe very much that they have sexual relations with children because they are so convinced that they don’t harm children.”

...

The current situation horrifies journalist, Kristian Jensen, who was abused by a paedophile for three years from the age of nine. Since telling police he has spent more than 12 years receiving counselling and other help in coming to terms with the experience. “It is really, really outrageous. This is an entire government refusing to act. As we speak children are lying in beds being abused. As we speak there is an organisation in Copenhagen which is actually promoting the sexual abuse of children and no one is doing anything.” Mr Jensen is now campaigning for a change in the law which would outlaw the Danish Paedophile Association and close down their web site.

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Another Mountain Lion Attack in California

I believe in the importance of allowing wildlife a chance to roam free. I believe that the government has a responsibility to make sure that not only edible "game" animals (deer, antelope, moose) are present, but also the predators that prey on them. California, however, went too far when it banned mountain lion hunting a few years ago. It wasn't done because mountain lions were endangered; it was done because they were cute and fuzzy, and bunny-huggers saw it as a chance to prove their moral superiority over the knuckle-draggers who hunted mountain lions for trophies.

I'm not keen on trophy hunting. My wife is even less keen on it. I'll say this for it: it keeps the predators afraid of people. That's a good thing, especially in a state like California where in many counties, you can't lawfully carry a handgun for self-defense, and even in the ones where you can carry openly, you are likely to get hassled (or worse) by the police.

When the bunny-huggers get their way, you get incidents like this:
ORANGE COUNTY, Calif. -- A mountain lion attacked at least one bicyclist in an Orange County wilderness park, critically injuring a woman and possibly killing a man found nearby.

Authorities shot and killed a 2-year-old male cat hours later near where the man's body was found, and were "pretty confident" it was the animal that attacked, said Steve Martarano, a spokesman for the California Fish and Game Department.

...

Shortly after 4:30 p.m. Thursday in Whiting Ranch Wilderness Park, a mountain lion pounced on a woman who was riding a bicycle with her friend, said Capt. Stephen Miller of the Orange County Fire Authority.

The lion grabbed Ann Hjelle, 30, by her head and began dragging her. Her friend, Debi Nichols, began screaming for help and grabbed the victim's legs in a struggle to free her.

"This mountain lion jumped on her back and started dragging her," Nichols said. "He dragged us down ... about 100 yards into the brush and I just kept screaming. This guy would not let go. He had a hold of her face."

Several other mountain bikers responded, throwing rocks at the animal until it fled.

"I picked up a rock and threw it at the cat and the rock hit the cat right on the side of the head and the cat took off straight ahead and let go of the woman," Diego Lopez said.
Remember: to make a predator endangered, you usually need a government subsidy. California paid an absurd bounty for mountain lions from 1907 to 1963, and even had employees whose job it was to hunt them down. Wolves and grizzly bears were exterminated in many states because federal, territorial, and state governments paid for every one of these magnificent (and scary) animals that a hunter killed. To really destroy the environment, usually takes a government program.


 
Clinton in the Conspiracy to Make Bush Look Good?

This news report has the prime minster of Portugal quoting Clinton on Iraq and WMDs:
Former US president Bill Clinton said in October during a visit to Portugal that he was convinced Iraq had weapons of mass destruction up until the fall of Saddam Hussein, Portuguese Prime Minister Jose Manuel Durao Barroso said.

"When Clinton was here recently he told me he was absolutely convinced, given his years in the White House and the access to privileged information which he had, that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction until the end of the Saddam regime," he said in an interview with Portuguese cable news channel SIC Noticias.

Clinton, a Democrat who left office in 2001, met with Durao Barroso on October 21 when he travelled to Lisbon to give a speech on globalization.
If Bush was wrong about this, it would seem to have been an honest mistake.


 
BBC Now Reports AIDS Cases in Africa Overestimated

A few days ago, I linked to an article in the Spectator that claimed that the UN AIDS estimates for Africa were grossly too high. Now BBC is reporting that some African countries doing their own studies are finding that the UN has overestimated the number of AIDS cases. There is definitely a problem with AIDS in Africa--but the doom and gloom estimates that the popular press has been carrying are definitely wrong:
A survey by the Kenyan government has found that 6.7% of its people have the disease. Previous official estimates had put the figure at 15%.

The survey of 8,561 households across Kenya is the latest to suggest that HIV rates in sub-Saharan Africa may have been overestimated.

Other populated-based surveys carried out in Mali and Zambia have produced similar results.

According to UNAids, the UN body responsible for fighting Aids, 26.6m people living in sub-Saharan Africa are infected with HIV/Aids.

That figure is based to a large extent on tests carried out on pregnant women at antenatal clinics. These tests are anonymous and the results are extrapolated to give a nationwide figure.

According to UNAids, 15% of Kenyans or 4.8m people have HIV. However, this latest survey raises serious questions about that figure.
UPDATE: Here's an article from the Telegraph making the same point, with more data.


Thursday, January 08, 2004
 
Ohio: Concealed Weapon Permit Law Headed to the Governor

From the Dayton Daily News:
COLUMBUS -- In a quiet conclusion to a sometimes tumultuous battle, the House and Senate on Wednesday overwhelmingly approved and sent to Gov. Bob Taft legislation that would give law-abiding Ohioans the right to carry concealed handguns.

Taft will sign the bill soon after he gets it, said Orest Holubec, Taft's spokesman. It would become law 90 days after Taft signs it.

After almost no debate, the House passed the bill 69-24 and the Senate gave its approval 25-8. Sen. Tom Roberts, D-Trotwood, and Rep. Fred Strahorn, D-Dayton, were the only members from the Miami Valley who voted "no."

The legislation would require county sheriffs to issue permits to Ohioans 21 or older who complete 12 hours of training and pass background checks. Those who have been judged mentally incompetent, who have a current domestic protective order issued against them or who have felony convictions would not qualify.



 
An Amusing Reminder That The San Francisco Bay Area Isn't Tolerant...

It's just intolerant of different things. This came out of the San Francisco Chronicle a few days ago:
Part of my problem, I've decided, is that I'm easily tagged as a "breeder" by the many folks in the Bay Area who believe in population control or who just dislike children.

The tell-tale clues of my status are hard to miss: First, I drive a minivan with three, sometimes four, car seats. Second, I often am seen in the company of three children who call me "Mom." These traits have led people to freely let me know that they think I'm overpopulating the world. Probably the strangest experience I've had is being pregnant in the Bay Area. During my other pregnancies, I lived in Sacramento and was used to people smiling when they saw a pregnant woman. Here, no smiles -- mostly scowls.

My favorite story is this one: When I was getting physical therapy when I was six months pregnant (after falling and breaking my wrist), the therapist asked me whether I was pregnant with my first child (she had already told me that she had one child and planned to have only one). When I said, no, this was actually my third child, she immediately asked me whether I was going to have my tubes tied after the birth.

After my baby was born, the hostile looks and mutterings continued. While I was waiting in line for coffee one day with the kids in tow, one woman offered to me that she thought three children constituted a big family. When I told her it really isn't considered a large family in many other parts of the country, including the Midwest town I had recently moved from, she asked me with disdain, "Where was that, a religious community?" Then there was the woman who said to me as she pushed by my stroller, "Three? Don't you think you have enough?" It's not like I was asking her to contribute to their college fund! I was just taking my kids to the bathroom.
When I lived in the Bay Area, this wasn't my experience, but then again, I lived in Sonoma County--an area that some Bay Area sorts regard as not really the Bay Area at all. But another part of the article makes a point that does describe Sonoma County well indeed:
A couple years ago, The Chronicle ran a series on neighborhoods in Berkeley. According to one longtime resident of the very white, very expensive Elmwood District, "We think of ourselves as being part of Berkeley and don't worry about our neighborhood being diverse." Wow, how nice for them. I guess Hispanic gardeners and African-American housekeepers provide that neighborhood's diversity. Meanwhile, they live in their million-dollar homes, drive expensive Volvos and walk on Oriental rugs that require insurance -- and they still get to call themselves liberals.

My favorite quote from that article reveals clearly how sheltered and close-minded Bay Area liberals can be. According to the story, Republicans are rare in the Elmwood District. One lady, who grew up in Elmwood and now lives next door to her childhood home, told the Chronicle reporter, "I don't think I know any."

In the few years I've been living in the Bay Area, I've come to realize how rigid many liberals can be in their thinking. As a minority in this area (politically speaking), it's interesting to me how people here just assume you think the way they do. That just isn't true in most other parts of the state or the nation.


 
Prion Infectivity

I'm told by a reader who has studied the subject in college that prions may not be infective in the classical sense, but infective in a somewhat different sense:
It has been demonstrated that transgenic mice with the human prion-specific protein are susceptible to BSE, while those who do not have it are not. There is a good summary of British research here and the CDC has more US-relevant information at their website.

Obviously, a prion isn't infective in the "classical" sense. The process appears to be strongly influenced by a person's genetic makeup. For example, persons who are homozygous for a certain mutation on the prion-specific protein are the only ones who have died of variant CJD (BSE). In addition, no cases of vCJD have been noted in countries where there has not been a concurrent epizootic of BSE, strongly suggesting that it is not a spontaneous condition brought on by the mutation itself, or exposure to some environmental contaminant.

Considering how much our understanding of prion diseases has increased since I was a student in pathogenic microbiology back in 1986, I predict that the infective process of BSE/vCJD will be accepted as well-established science within the next decade.


 
Absurd Lawsuits, Part 103302303022113

From the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review:
A Mt. Pleasant Township couple wants Wal-Mart to pay for foot and toe injuries they claim were caused by canned goods and condiments that tumbled from an overfilled plastic grocery bag.
According to a two-count civil lawsuit filed Wednesday in Westmoreland County, Brenda and Ronald Sager contend a plastic bag they brought home from the East Huntingdon Township store last month was deficient and overstuffed.

The bag, which contained a 32-ounce jar of Miracle Whip, a 46-ounce bottle of ketchup, three 15-ounce cans of fruit, an 18-ounce bottle of ranch dressing and a 12-ounce bottle of mustard, broke open when the Sagers returned home and started to put away their groceries.

...

The 14-page complaint filed by attorney John Scales claims Brenda Sager suffered numerous injuries including cracked and damaged toenails. Brenda Sager also claims she sustained more serious permanent injuries and other physical problems, such as ligament damage and a broken right foot.

The Sagers contend Wal-Mart was at fault for her injuries. The store, they claim, failed to properly instruct and train its employees to correctly bag products, negligently provided a defective bag, recklessly overpacked the bag by placing in it too many heavy items, failed to double- or triple-bag the purchases, and placed Brenda Sager in a "position of peril."

She is seeking damages in excess of $30,000.

Her husband also is seeking that amount in damages, claiming that as a result of his wife's injuries he has been deprived of her attention and comfort and suffered a loss of consortium.
I was once traumatized by an ice cream container that opened up in the bag. But alas, the statute of limitations prevents me from suing Safeway for eight gazillion dollars for my valuable time, and the emotional trauma of seeing ice cream all over the other groceries.


 
Howard Dean: Not Too Deep a Thinker, I Guess

This Washington Post story reports that Howard Dean explained that his decision to support "civil unions" for gay couples when he was Vermont's governor was a result of Dean's Christian faith:
Democratic front-runner Howard Dean said Wednesday that his decision as governor to sign the bill legalizing civil unions for gays in Vermont was influenced by his Christian views, as he waded deeper into the growing political, religious and cultural debate over homosexuality and the Bible's view of it.

"The overwhelming evidence is that there is very significant, substantial genetic component to it," Dean said in an interview Wednesday. "From a religious point of view, if God had thought homosexuality is a sin, he would not have created gay people."
Let's analyze this statement carefully. First of all, the "overwhelming evidence" to which he refers isn't all that overwhelming--more like suggestive, in the same way that a survey showing high rates of child sexual abuse suggests that at least some homosexuality is a symptom of childhood sexual abuse.

The more interesting point, however, is Dean's claim, "if God had thought homosexuality is a sin, he would not have created gay people." Let's think about this for a moment: Christianity teaches that all have fallen short--that all humans are sinners. If Dean agrees with those Christians who insist that homosexuality isn't a sin, that's a logical argument. I don't agree with it; it's an argument that I think is wrong; but it is at least a logical argument based on Christian beliefs.

To argue that God would not have created people with a predisposition towards sin is absurd. Humans are predisposed to promiscuity, towards aggression, and towards greed. (If this isn't obvious to you, visit your local college campus or day care center.) Christianity teaches that all of these behaviors are sinful. If you want to argue that Christianity is wrong, in general, or with respect to sin, that's another logical argument with which I can disagree. To argue based on Christianity that "God would not have created" people with sinful desires shows a fundamental misunderstanding of Christian doctrine--and these are doctrines at the core of Christianity. They aren't peculiarly fundamentalist, or even Protestant. They represent doctrines shared by Protestants, Catholics, and Greek Orthodox.

Dean isn't much of a thinker, I fear.

UPDATE: Peggy Noonan mentions this about Howard Dean:
I do not know how Howard Dean will do in Iowa, but I am one of those who think the Democrats will nominate Mr. Dean, and so I would like to like him and be able to imagine that many others will. I also would like to like him because now and then he says something that shows promise. Yesterday when asked if he ever wonders what would Jesus do, he replied: "No." This was so candid, I loved it.
Candid, sure. But it doesn't say much for how seriously Dean takes his Christianity.

Everything is prone to being cliche-ridden, but those bracelets and T-shirts that ask WWJD, "What Would Jesus Do?" express a real and genuine concern. Would Jesus throw homosexuals into prison? I don't think so. It doesn't accomplish anything (except put them in an environment where the only possible sexual partners are the same sex). I also can't picture Jesus telling them that what they do is okay. I would expect him to say what he said to the woman caught in adultery: " "Go now and leave your life of sin." (John 8:11)

Somehow, I can't picture Jesus saying the same to the pedophiles that the gay community can't quite decide whether or not to exclude: "But if anyone causes one of these little ones who believe in me to sin, it would be better for him to have a large millstone hung around his neck and to be drowned in the depths of the sea." (Matthew 8:6)

UPDATE 2: Here's an article pointing out that this seems to be the first time that Dean has made any mention of his religion as a role in making the decision to sign the "civil unions" law. A cynic might conclude that he is trying to play to Christians in America.

UPDATE 3: Since at least one reader seems to have misread this: I don't think Jesus was saying that child molesters should be drowned, and I'm not saying that, either. Jesus was talking about a more permanent judgment and sentence than anything that we can do.

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Wednesday, January 07, 2004
 
New Mexico Supreme Court Upholds New Concealed Weapon Permit Law

From a British newspaper, no less:
SANTA FE, N.M. (AP) - The state Supreme Court on Monday let stand a new law that allows New Mexicans to be licensed to carry loaded, concealed handguns.

The five-member court rejected a challenge to the constitutionality of the law filed by a children's advocacy group and a physician.

``I think this will be a more dangerous place for children and other living beings,'' David Campbell, the lawyer representing New Mexico Voices for Children, said after the ruling.
It will certainly be a more dangerous place for rapists, murderers, and robbers.

The argument advanced by "New Mexico Voices for Children" was fundamentally specious. As a New Mexico newpaper explains:
The challenge ruled on Monday involves language in the New Mexico Constitution allowing citizens to bear arms, but adding “nothing herein shall be held to permit the carrying of concealed weapons.”

Campbell argued the Constitution therefore prohibited concealed weapons. Attorneys for the state disagreed, saying the line simply means the carrying of a concealed weapon is not constitutionally protected, but is an issue for the Legislature to decide.

“We don’t believe there is anything ambiguous about this constitutional instruction at all,” Campbell said. “It’s a proscription on the Legislature and the citizens against carrying concealed weapons. The grammar, we think, is pretty clear.”

Campbell also argued the intent of the framers is evident in the fact that concealed weapons were illegal in the territory at the time the Constitution was being written.

He said there were four specific reasons given to allow residents to bear arms — defense, security, hunting and recreation — none of which required concealed weapons.

Assistant Attorney General Jerry Marshak told the justices that several other states had almost identical language in their constitutions, and have gone on to pass concealed carry laws. Following a question by Maes, he conceded the law had not been challenged in any of those states.

“Our position is very simple,” Marshak said. “There is no constitutional right to carry a concealed weapon. The Legislature can regulate it, as it’s done for 200 years.”

Attorney John Wheeler, arguing for the state, told justices if the interpretation being sought by Campbell were upheld, it would prohibit undercover officers and other law enforcement personnel from being able to carry concealed weapons, and would not allow residents to carry concealed weapons in their cars or homes.

Asked by Justice Richard Bosson if the language was an “absolute proscription,” Campbell said it should only apply to the new law and not apply to other laws.

“How could you not?” Bosson asked.
Since the Missouri Supreme Court will be ruling on a similar question in the next few weeks, I am hoping that they look at this decision by the New Mexico Supreme Court.


 
This Appeared in a British Newspaper!

It's Mark Steyn's column in the Telegraph about the right of self-defense:
"Mark Steyn may prefer American hillbilly culture to that of the Swedish nanny state," wrote Ann Widung of Eastbourne on our Letters page last September. She was dissenting from my observations on the remarkable passivity of bystanders at the murder of Anna Lindh. "You may criticise the Swedish police," continued Ms Widung, "for being inefficient in solving murders, but I prefer to live in a culture of peace and solidarity to one of fear and gung-ho mentality. Better a nanny-state baby than Mark Steyn's 'citizen'."

...

Now I understand Ms Widung prefers her "culture of peace and solidarity". I think this means that, when confronted by a ne'er-do-well, she'd hold hands and sing What the World Needs Now is Love, Sweet Love. I wouldn't personally recommend this, because, if he wasn't in a murderous rage beforehand, he almost certainly will be by about halfway through the middle-eight. But each to her own.

...

You can call 999 [the British equivalent of 911], get the answering machine rerouting you to the 24-Hour Action Hotline three counties away, leave a message, and wait for the Community Liaison Officer to get back next week if he's returned from his emotional trauma leave by then.

But that's the point: you're there, the police aren't. And, even in jurisdictions whose constabularies aren't quite so monumentally useless as Britain's, a citizen in his own home should have the right to make his own assessment of the danger without being second-guessed by fellows who aren't on the scene.

And, once you give the citizen that right, he hardly ever has to exercise it. Take Miss Smith's situation: she's at home, but the burglar still comes a-knocking. Thanks to burglar alarms, British criminals have figured out that it's easier to wait till you come home, ring the door bell, and punch you in the kisser.

In my part of the world, that's virtually unknown. In America as a whole, 12.7 per cent of burglaries are of "occupied homes"; in Britain, it's 59 per cent. Installing a laser system may make your property more secure, but it makes you less so. As for Ann Widung's "culture of fear", it's not American therapists but English ones who've made a lucrative speciality out of treating children traumatised by such burglaries.


 
Amusing News Story Combination

These two news stories were both on Drudge Report simultaneously.

From the Salem, Oregon Statesman-Journal:
Snow turned from an object of delight into an instrument of gridlock in what climatologists called the worst storm west of the Cascades in a decade.

Thousands of passengers were stranded in Portland, after more than 330 flights were canceled. Many were forced to sleep at Portland International Airport, where runway conditions were among the worst in recorded history, said Port of Portland Spokeswoman Elisa Dozono.

Seven inches of snow were enough to nearly bring the state’s largest city to a halt.

...

Across northwest Oregon, dozens of school districts declared a snow day, including the large districts in the Portland metro area.

Swirling snow and temperatures dipping into the teens also forced Oregon State, Portland State and Western Oregon universities to close.

Snowstorms are a rarity in the Willamette Valley. But with storms that have swept through beginning Dec. 28, the region is having its snowiest, coldest winter since 1992-3, said state climatologist George Taylor.
This study's headline about the effects of global warming:
Climate Change May Threaten More Than One Million Species With Extinction
Yes, yes, I know, it is possible for global warming to cause extreme weather as well. Still, you have to wonder, when the evidence in support of global warming is so uncertain--and people in western Oregon are suffering from such extraordinarily cold weather--if there might be more of politics than science to the global warming claims.

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Everyone's a Victim

The good news is that this is so silly that I don't think a practicing lawyer would represent this guy--unless, of course, he was a law professor somewhere:
Cable TV made a West Bend man addicted to TV, caused his wife to be overweight and his kids to be lazy, he says.

And he’s threatening to sue the cable company.

Timothy Dumouchel of West Bend wants $5,000 or three computers, and a lifetime supply of free Internet service from Charter Communications to settle what he says will be a small claims suit.

Dumouchel blames Charter for his TV addiction, his wife’s 50-pound weight gain and his children’s being “lazy channel surfers,” according to a Fond du Lac police report.

Charter employees called police to the local office at 165 Knight’s Way the evening of Dec. 23 after Dumouchel showed up with a small claims complaint, reportedly intimidated an employee and made “low-level threats” to employees’ safety, according to a police report.


 
I'm Surprised They Aren't Just Banning Snow

From Reuters Odd:
TORONTO (Reuters) - A snowball fight is almost a rite of passage for students in Canada but Toronto schools are moving to strengthen a ban on the practice they say is violent and dangerous.

As the first big snowfall greeted Canada's most populous city this week, schools encouraged students to engage in kinder, gentler activities, such as building snow forts or riding sleds.

"We don't encourage people to throw things at other people - rocks, sticks or snow," Maureen Kaukinen, system superintendent for the Toronto District School Board, told Reuters on Tuesday.

While snowball fights are expected to continue to rage off the schoolyard, Kaukinen said schools cannot condone acts of violence.


 
I'm Surprised They Aren't Just Banning Snow

From Reuters Odd:
TORONTO (Reuters) - A snowball fight is almost a rite of passage for students in Canada but Toronto schools are moving to strengthen a ban on the practice they say is violent and dangerous.

As the first big snowfall greeted Canada's most populous city this week, schools encouraged students to engage in kinder, gentler activities, such as building snow forts or riding sleds.

"We don't encourage people to throw things at other people - rocks, sticks or snow," Maureen Kaukinen, system superintendent for the Toronto District School Board, told Reuters on Tuesday.

While snowball fights are expected to continue to rage off the schoolyard, Kaukinen said schools cannot condone acts of violence.


 
An Historic Moment: I Am Expressing Sympathy for Senator Clinton

Senator Clinton introduced a quote from Gandhi with a joke that poked fun at the prominence of East Indians in running small businesses in America:
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton apologized for joking that Mahatma Gandhi used to run a gas station in St. Louis, saying it was "a lame attempt at humor."

The New York Democrat made the remark at a fund-raiser Saturday. During an event here for Senate candidate Nancy Farmer, Clinton introduced a quote from Gandhi by saying, "He ran a gas station down in St. Louis."
Yes, it was lame. Yes, like most stereotypes, it is not very accurate. But unlike a lot of ethnic stereotypes, this is a positive one. East Indians, in some parts of America, are very overrepresented in running some types of businesses.

I think this says something rather positive about East Indian immigrants--a willingness to engage in the sort of entrepreneurial activity that leads to real wealth, by providing necessary and useful services to our society. I can understand why an East Indian who has become fabulously wealthy as an engineer (as many I know have become) might be insulted by the comparison to a guy running the local 7-11, who isn't a multimillionaire, but for the vast majority of East Indians in America, this sort of stereotype is actually pretty positive.

I hope that Senator Clinton's faux pas causes the leftist professional victim class to think a little bit more about their oversensitivity. If a hardcore leftwinger like Hillary Clinton can run afoul of the PC Police, maybe they need to lighten up a bit, and concentrate their energies on malicious stereotyping and overt discrimination.


 
Interesting Results in Texas

The Houston Chronicle reports that the U.S. 5th Circuit Court of Appeals has upheld the legality of the Republican redrawing of district lines in Texas:
A three-judge federal court today upheld a Republican congressional redistricting plan against claims that it harms minority voting rights, but the court sharply criticized the process of adopting the map as a threat to the system of fair elections.

"We decide only the legality of (the plan), not its wisdom," the court's opinion reads. "Whether the Texas Legislature has acted in the best interest of Texas is a judgment that belongs to the people who elected those officials whose act is challenged in this case."
The Democrats, of course, are going to appeal to the Supreme Court.

My first reaction to the word that Republicans were going to redraw the district lines was to be a little disappointed. While not law, it is certainly customary that states only redraw district lines every ten years.

The more I looked at the results, however, the less uncomfortable I became. According to the news story:
The Legislature's new congressional map likely will eliminate the 17-15 Democratic advantage in the state's congressional delegation and replace it with a 22-10 Republican majority after this year's elections.
Yes, some of this is because Republicans have done to the Democrats what Democrats have traditionally done to Republicans in Texas--gerrymander the districts to give the majority party in the legislature an unfair advantage. But look at the change! A net change of five seats out of 32 members! This tells me that the lines the Democrats drew a couple of years ago were probably very, very absurd.

I still have memories of the absurd district lines the Democrats drew in California for the 1980 elections: a Congressional district that stretched from Malibu to Newport Beach, often only a few hundred feet wide, to make sure that the Democrats would have a millionaires' district. State Senator Diane Watson's octopus--with a central Los Angeles core, and tentacles stretching 40 miles in every direction, to make sure that she had a sizeable black population. Republicans with districts that were literally 200 miles long, but very narrow. It was insane, and the federal courts declined to intervene in that absurdity; they should therefore decline to intervene in the Texas case as well.

UPDATE: A reader points out that while the Republicans only get five more seats, the Democrats also get five less seats--so it's really a ten seat change in party control of Congress.


Tuesday, January 06, 2004
 
Telescope Mounts

I'm not a doctrinaire "Buy American" sort, but I certainly prefer to do so, and I even give a bit of a preference for American-made goods. I do understand, however, why Americans are buying Chinese-made goods at such frightening rates--they're cheap. Some of this cheapness is related to the quality of the goods: will an American-made shirt last twice or three times as long? I am very, very skeptical, but I will agree that a lot of the Chinese goods that flood the local Wal-Mart are definitely not very well made.

Some of this cheapness has to do with currency exchange rates. I understand that there is a good bit of upset in Washington with the Chinese government's policies that prevent a free market exchange of currencies. This keeps Chinese goods cheap relative to the U.S., putting U.S. manufacturers at an unfair disadvantage.

I can't get too upset with American consumers, however, because I am confronting this same little struggle. The Losmandy GM-8 is a splendid equatorial mount, made in California. It also costs about $1469. By comparison, I can buy an equatorial mount with somewhat higher weight capacity, but of generally lesser construction quality, made by Synta in the People's Republic of China for $799. That's a huge difference in price that I have to justify in exchange for the piece of mind of buying American--and not putting money in the pockets of a kleptocracy that twenty years from now, might be threatening to nuke Los Angeles.

I guess I would even be reasonably happy buying an equatorial mount made in some other free Third World country. In any case, I don't have to make the decision right now--I'm not sure how many months will pass before I have a reliable night sky again.


 
Challenging Ohio's Concealed Carry Law--Again

This article by Mary Lou Seymour about the arrest of a well-known New Hampshire libertarian activist in Ohio for carrying concealed creates a rather difficult feeling for me:
On January 29, Jeff Jordan, a/k/a "The Hunter," was returning to his home in New Hampshire after visiting relatives for Christmas in Kansas. Unfortunately, his road home led through the state of Ohio. Hunter was in a hurry to get home, as were so many of us over the holidays, and got stopped in Ohio for speeding. The trooper claims he saw one of Hunter's magazine pouches on his belt and searched Hunter and his vehicle, finding "multiple weapons." (Troopers arrest man with multiple weapons in car, Trooper Finds Weapons Stash In SUV).

This would have been a little-noticed story, one of hundreds like it, of the "another gun nut caught" variety, except for one thing. Jeff Jordan, aka "The Hunter," is a right well-known and well-loved liberty activist; one of the first "Knights of Non Aggression" at the Liberty Round Table, a favorite columnist at Sierra Times, Doing Freedom!, The Price of Liberty and other publications, a friend and supporter of the Free State Project, with his own frequently traveled web site,as well as the Safe Skies web site, and moderator of the LRT discussion list as well as participant on many other e-lists and forums. As for myself, I know Hunter as a true friend and colleague, always ready to think up "new ways" to "do freedom," in small actions and large; in fact, I had just finished reading one of his latest columns, "50 Ways to Leave Leviathan," when the news of his arrest hit my neck of cyberspace.
My sympathy is with Jeff Jordan. There is apparently no lawful way to carry a concealed weapon in Ohio, and to my knowledge, no lawful way to have a loaded firearm, even openly carried, in Ohio. Yet the Ohio Supreme Court has ruled that concealed carry is not a right, but seemed to recognize that open carry is a right protected by the Ohio Constitution. Jordan is not a scofflaw in the conventional sense; there was no lawful way, as near as I can tell, for him to protect himself without breaking Ohio's law.

But--and this is an important problem--the Ohio Supreme Court has already ruled on this. If Jordan hopes to challenge the constitutionality of Ohio's law on concealed carry, he has picked an extraordinarily poor time to do so. The Ohio Supreme Court has just made their decision in the last few months, and they aren't likely to reconsider it.

He could attempt to challenge his arrest in court by using the affirmative defense that a "reasonable man" would be armed under those circumstances--which is a provision of the current Ohio law prohibiting concealed carry. That has been an historically difficult defense to win in court.

He might have a chance of challenging the ban by arguing that it is contrary to the Fourteenth Amendment's privileges and immunities clause--except for the inconvenient precedents that the Supreme Court has created to effectively gut that clause. As the discussion here points out:
Unique among constitutional provisions, the privileges and immunities clause of the Fourteenth Amendment enjoys the distinction of having been rendered a ''practical nullity'' by a single decision of the Supreme Court issued within five years after its ratification.... This expansive alteration of the federal system was to have been achieved by converting the rights of the citizens of each State as of the date of the adoption of the Fourteenth Amendment into privileges and immunities of United States citizenship and thereafter perpetuating this newly defined status quo through judicial condemnation of any state law challenged as ''abridging'' any one of the latter privileges.
I recently had occasion to check citations in a law review article about the Fourteenth Amendment and full incorporation. I've never looked up all the various citations on this before, and I was pleased to find that every citation I checked was correct, and in context. There is no question that the authors of the Fourteenth Amendment--including Rep. John Bingham of Ohio--intended to impose all the protections of the first eight amendments of the Bill of Rights onto the states. That would include the Second Amendment. Unfortunately, the chances of getting the federal courts to follow the Constitution are fast approaching zero.

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Jayhawkers: Time to Contact Your Legislators

From the January 3, 2004, Lawrence, Kansas Journal-World:
Missouri lawmakers last year passed a concealed-carry law despite a governor's veto, and several Kansas lawmakers said they expected a similar battle this year in Topeka. If such a bill were to pass, it faces a likely veto from Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, who supports concealed-carry permits only for retired law-enforcement officers.

People on both sides of the issue cite studies about concealed-carry laws' impact on crime. Phil Journey, a gun advocate recently appointed to fill a vacant Senate seat in Wichita, said he didn't want to get hung up on statistics.

"When it really gets down to the real issue, it's whether Nancy the nurse or Mary the mom can get home at night," Journey said. "If they' re being stalked by an estranged, crazed husband, the peace of mind they get from having that means of self-defense is far more effective than a piece of paper called a protection-from-abuse-act restraining order."

Opponents include Rep. Paul Davis, a Lawrence Democrat.

"I think that the best way to fight crime is through other avenues -- treatment and incarceration for the people who need to be incarcerated, good economic policies. ... Those are the ways you fight crime and not by allowing everybody to carry a gun," Davis said.

The closest Kansas came in recent years to passing a concealed-carry law was in 1997, when Gov. Bill Graves vetoed a bill that would have allowed it.
Let's ask Rep. Davis how he thinks good economic policies are going to make people safer. Does he think that abusive ex-spouses, bank robbers, and rapist-murderers are doing these things because they can't get jobs?

Thanks to packing.org for the link.


 
Canadian Police Union Calls For End To Gun Registry

From the January 5, 2004 Calgary Herald:
The union head of Calgary's front-line police officers is calling for the federal government to scrap the billion-dollar gun registry because it has been a colossal failure in reducing violent crime in the country.

Al Koenig, president of the Calgary Police Association, said the vast amount of money spent on the firearms program could have been much better put to use for front-line police officers in Canada.

He said the program has had no effect on crime or acted in any way as a deterrent.

"Our position on this is very firm," said Koenig.

"We do not support it, and we will be fighting against it.

"The police and the public are still at risk. . . . Despite the money spent, it should be scrapped."
Of course, what does he know? Especially when the same article quotes an "expert" on the subject:
Mahfooz Kanwar, a criminologist and sociologist with Mount Royal College, said the legislation will certainly have an impact on crime, especially murder.

"Any control on guns can help," said Kanwar. "I know people say guns don't kill people, people kill people. But a gun does kill someone. . . . Fortunately, our culture is not a gun culture like the Americans. Our culture is peaceful.

"Even if you trace one criminal because of the registry, it's worth it."
If your culture is peaceful (and generally, Canadian culture is pretty peaceful) why do you need controls on guns? In a violent culture, gun control might make some sense (if you could figure out how to make it work), but in a peaceful culture, why bother?


 
Arguments Against a Corvette

I have called around to a number of tire stores, and one of them gave me by far the best price on the rear tires for my Corvette. These are the Goodyear F1 Eagle GS EMT in 275/40YR18. These are $457. Each.

Why are they so bloody expensive? And what's the alternative?

They are expensive because they are runflats. You can drive 250 miles on them with zero air pressure without damaging them. This means that you don't need a spare tire taking up your entire trunk space. (Not to mention, the front and rears are completely different sizes.)

They are expensive because they are Y speed rated--which means that they are designed to be driven at 186 mph indefinitely without problems.

They are expensive because they are a massive piece of rubber.

The alternative runflat was the Michelin Pilot A/S--just a little cheaper, and I've read somewhat mixed reviews as to their merit relative to the Goodyears.

On the plus side, the rear tires on the car now are original, and have more than 30,000 miles on them. As it is, they seem to have worn out prematurely in the center of the tread because they were inflated to the maximum pressure of 35 psi, instead of the recommended inflation level of 30 psi. (I've only had the car about 7,000 miles.) I suspect that with a little care, I can get 35,000 or 40,000 miles out of the replacements.

Cars like the Corvette are one of those silly luxuries that you can afford once you have become mildly wealthy, and can afford to spend too much money on tires. I suspect that in another 30,000 miles, my good sense will take over, and I will say farewell to this midlife crisis extravagance for something just a little slower, and a little more sensible. But for right now, it's good.


 
Part of Why I Enjoy Historical Research

I was digging through Colonial Records of Pennsylvania, looking for Revolutionary War firearms purchase contracts. and I found this intriguing reference to a telescopic sight. It is from September 7, 1775: "Mr. Owen Biddle is desired to procure a Rifle that will carry a half pound Ball, with a Telescope sight...." [Colonial Records of Pennsylvania, 10:332] This was a surprise to me, to see a telescopic sight mentioned this early.


Monday, January 05, 2004
 
Myths About AIDS in Africa, and the Funding Shell Game

A reader pointed me to this interesting article in the Spectator about the AIDS epidemic in Africa--and why it appears that there is quite a bit less to it than everyone assumes:
It was an article from The Spectator describing the bizarre sex practices that contribute to HIV’s rampage across the continent. ‘One in five of us here in Zambia is HIV positive,’ said the report. ‘In 1993 our neighbour Botswana had an estimated population of 1.4 million. Today that figure is under a million and heading downwards. Doom merchants predict that Botswana may soon become the first nation in modern times literally to die out. This is Aids in Africa.’

Really? Botswana has just concluded a census that shows population growing at about 2.7 per cent a year, in spite of what is usually described as the worst Aids problem on the planet. Total population has risen to 1.7 million in just a decade. If anything, Botswana is experiencing a minor population explosion.

There is similar bad news for the doomsayers in Tanzania’s new census, which shows population growing at 2.9 per cent a year. Professional pessimists will be particularly discomforted by developments in the swamplands west of Lake Victoria, where HIV first emerged, and where the depopulated villages of popular mythology are supposedly located. Here, in the district of Kagera, population grew at 2.7 per cent a year before 1988, only to accelerate to 3.1 per cent even as the Aids epidemic was supposedly peaking. Uganda’s latest census tells a broadly similar story, as does South Africa’s.

...

We all know, thanks to Mark Twain, that statistics are often the lowest form of lie, but when it comes to HIV/Aids, we suspend all scepticism. Why? Aids is the most political disease ever. We have been fighting about it since the day it was identified. The key battleground is public perception, and the most deadly weapon is the estimate. When the virus first emerged, I was living in America, where HIV incidence was estimated to be doubling every year or so. Every time I turned on the TV, Madonna popped up to warn me that ‘Aids is an equal-opportunity killer’, poised to break out of the drug and gay subcultures and slaughter heterosexuals. In 1985, a science journal estimated that 1.7 million Americans were already infected, with ‘three to five million’ soon likely to follow suit. Oprah Winfrey told the nation that by 1990 ‘one in five heterosexuals will be dead of Aids’.

We now know that these estimates were vastly and indeed deliberately exaggerated, but they achieved the desired end: Aids was catapulted to the top of the West’s spending agenda, and the estimators turned their attention elsewhere.
India’s epidemic was likened to ‘a volcano waiting to explode’. Africa faced ‘a tidal wave of death’. By 1992 they were estimating that ‘Aids could clear the whole planet’.

Who were they, these estimators? For the most part, they worked in Geneva for WHO or UNAIDS, using a computer simulator called Epimodel. Every year, all over Africa, blood would be taken from a small sample of pregnant women and screened for signs of HIV infection. The results would be programmed into Epimodel, which transmuted them into estimates. If so many women were infected, it followed that a similar proportion of their husbands and lovers must be infected, too. These numbers would be extrapolated out into the general population, enabling the computer modellers to arrive at seemingly precise tallies of the doomed, the dying and the orphans left behind.

...

Ask Aids experts about this, and they say, this is Africa, chaos reigns, the historical data is too uncertain to make valid comparisons. But these same experts will tell you that South Africa is vastly different: ‘The only country in sub-Saharan Africa where sufficient deaths are routinely registered to attempt to produce national estimates of mortality,’ says Professor Ian Timaeus of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. According to Timaeus, upwards of 80 per cent of deaths are registered here, which makes us unique: the only corner of Africa where it is possible to judge computer-generated Aids estimates against objective reality.

In the year 2000, Timaeus joined a team of South African researchers bent on eliminating all doubts about the magnitude of Aids’ impact on South African mortality. Sponsored by the Medical Research Council, the team’s mission was to validate (for the first time ever) the output of Aids computer models against actual death registration in an African setting. Towards this end, the MRC team was granted privileged access to death reports as they streamed into Pretoria. The first results became available in 2001, and they ran thus: 339,000 adult deaths in 1998, 375,000 in 1999 and 410,000 in 2000.

This was grimly consistent with predictions of rising mortality, but the scale was problematic. Epimodel estimated 250,000 Aids deaths in 1999, but there were only 375,000 adult deaths in total that year — far too few to accommodate the UN’s claims on behalf of the HIV virus. In short, Epimodel had failed its reality check. It was quietly shelved in favour of a more sophisticated local model, ASSA 600, which yielded a ‘more realistic’ death toll from Aids of 143,000 for the calendar year 1999.

At this level, Aids deaths were about 40 per cent of the total — still a bit high, considering there were only 232,000 deaths left to distribute among all other causes. The MRC team solved the problem by stating that deaths from ordinary disease had declined at the cumulatively massive rate of nearly 3 per cent per annum since 1985. This seemed very odd. How could deaths decrease in the face of new cholera and malaria epidemics, mounting poverty, the widespread emergence of drug-resistant killer microbes, and a state health system reported to be in ‘terminal decline’?

...

Bennell raises an interesting point here. Why would UNAIDS and its massive alliance of pharmaceutical companies, NGOs, scientists and charities insist that the epidemic is worsening if it isn’t? A possible explanation comes from New York physician Joe Sonnabend, one of the pioneers of Aids research. Sonnabend was working in a New York clap clinic when the syndrome first appeared, and went on to found the American Foundation for Aids Research, only to quit in protest when colleagues started exaggerating the threat of a generalised pandemic with a view to increasing Aids’ visibility and adding urgency to their grant applications. The Aids establishment, says Sonnabend, is extremely skilled at ‘the manipulation of fear for advancement in terms of money and power’.
The rest of the article goes on to point out that the numbers just don't add up.


 
Heterosexual AIDS

Professor Volokh is still trying to defend that the disproportionate funding of AIDS research could be because of the risk of AIDS spreading into the heterosexual population. He points to a table that shows 10,611 heterosexual contact infections. Of course, what the table doesn't show is the exposure category. Take a look at this table from 1998, showing heterosexual contact broken down a little more finely. For female cumulative AIDS cases, under heterosexual contact:

sex with injecting drug user: 17,548
sex with bisexual male: 3,009
sex with person with hemophilia: 371
sex with transfusion recipient with HIV infection: 553
sex with HIV-infected person, risk not specified: 19,263

Suddenly, out of 40,744 "heterosexual contact" cases, we see that half are yet again the results of homosexuality and IV drug abuse. We don't really know for sure about that 19,263 cases, but it seems likely that at least some of these are women who don't know from whom they acquired AIDS, and it seems very likely that most of those are from the two groups at greatest risk: IV drug abusers and bisexual men.

It is also the case that the AIDS problem is largely concentrated among prostitutes, who have the greatest risks of infection because of pre-existing STDs (which seem to present open pathways for infection, and some suspect that they may have already compromised immune systems because of this), and because of the large number of male with whom they have sex. And again: most of the risk is to the prostitute. She can infect men with AIDS, and that's part of why they ask that question when you donate blood, but the nature of heterosexual sex means that she is vastly more likely to get AIDS from a man than to give it to one.


 
Ten Commandments Monument in a Boise Park

I just received this email:
Subject: Ten Commandments Monument in Julia Davis Park/ newspaper poll - please vote


www.IdahoStatesman.com has a poll on whether the 10 Commandments monument should stay or be removed. It is on the home page in a box to the right. So far 72 % are with us (assuming you agree it should stay) ....and that's as of 10:00 AM in the morning.

Please vote today (January 4th, 2004) and pass this email on to others .


 
Colt AR-15 Prices

I was just looking here, and I am absolutely shocked at the prices that original Colt AR-15 Sporters are fetching! (Shocked, but pleased.)

Perhaps I will finance the new telescope mount by selling one. (Yes, you can have too many assault rifles--I know that for a fact.)


 
Clear Skies At Least!

But of course, after I had turned in for the evening, on a night when I could not get up late the next morning. The other side effect was that it was crisp this morning--2 degrees Fahrenheit.

The Corvette hasn't had much use the last week and a half, and I guess I was not surprised that the battery wouldn't start the car this morning. After a full recharge (and a test restart in front on the Wal-Mart auto repair facility), I decided that the problem was just that the little driving I have done recently wasn't enough to keep the battery recharged.


Sunday, January 04, 2004
 
The Martians Must Have Missed One

The U.S.'s Mars Rover seems to be working and sending message images. We got one past Marvin the Martian!


 
More About Snow

Yesterday's aerobic exercise was shoveling snow off the driveway and sidewalks. As aerobic exercise, it was quite effective. Some of the neck and back muscles that don't ordinarily get enough exercise are expressing an opinion this morning, however.

Another interesting discovery was looking outside last night--and seeing the entire landscape lit up to a level that I was not expecting. I know that somewhere up above the clouds there is a nearly full Moon--but this still seemed like an extraordinarily bright evening. I would love to see what this is like with snow on the ground, no clouds, and a full Moon! Cabin fever is beginning to set in, but snow is still magical.