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Last update - 20:27 05/03/2008
What's wrong with Obama?
By Shmuel Rosner
Tags: Obama, Clinton, Israel Factor 
The Israel Factor panel analyzes the Illinois Senator's low ranking

1.

On the eve of the second Super Tuesday, the Israel Factor panel was left with three candidates only to choose from - Republican John McCain, and Democrats Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Tomorrow, or very shortly, we might need to eliminate Clinton - or not. But in the meantime, these are the three left in the field who we are ranking. For those with short memories: we started this project ranking 24 candidates and added two along the way.

As we saw last month, the panel prefers McCain as the next president rather than Obama, but is split on the question of Clinton vs. McCain. As has been its habit since we started the Factor, the panel still ranks Obama at the bottom.
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McCain is ranked higher than Clinton, because unlike last month, when we asked the panelists to pick their nominee, this time all we asked is for a 1-10 mark to each of the candidates, and not to choose between them. Two panelists whom we know prefer a Clinton president over a McCain president still gave them the same mark.

2.

But here is the question whose answer we most to know: What's wrong with Obama? Why is it that the panel keeps his ranking fairly low?

We asked, and got an answer. Presenting the panel with 16 possible reasons for ranking him lower than others, we now know a lot more about the considerations leading the experts to think that Obama will not be as good as Clinton and McCain, as far as Israel's interests go.

Here is the table, followed by few remarks of analysis:




1. This is fairly self-explanatory. The good news for Obama: It's not that they think he is bad as much as they think the others are better. The bad news: most of the things working against him in this survey are things he can't change, such as his record and experience.

2. Two policy-related matters were marked with an average of higher than 3, and, interestingly, these were not matters specifically concerning Israel but rather issues related to Obama's overall strategy: Iran and terror.

3. Many of the issues on which there was a lot of discussion here in America regarding Obama and Israel (whether he is Muslim or not, his pastor, and Malley and Brzezinski) are generally dismissed by the panel as almost insignificant. On the other hand, the panel does recognize the fact that Obama made a lot of statements that can only be considered as friendly and accommodating toward Israel. Of the eight panelists, only one is really concerned about statements Obama made (giving a mark of 4 for this issue), and only one seems to think (also a 4) that he did not emphasize U.S.-Israel relations enough (what counts as enough, is another question).

3.

Here's one more interesting nugget:

Using the method I employed last month, here is how the different panelists were ranking Obama on Iran. Panelists in blue are those who said last month that they prefer Clinton to McCain, and in red are those who want McCain as president.



Clearly, for those preferring McCain, Iran is an overwhelming issue, and all of them ranked Obama low on this question. Those preferring Clinton (except one) were not terribly concerned by Obama's intention to negotiate with the Iranian president. This is especially interesting considering the fact that on the issue of Iran it seems as if Clinton is closer to McCain than she is to Obama (she doesn't want such meeting and voted for the Kyl-Lieberman amendment designating Iranian forces as terrorists).

To be continued...
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  1.   Suprise - this was actually interesting 00:09  |  Miriam 05/03/08
  2.   The American Factor 00:34  |  RM 05/03/08
  3.   Why dont you focus on your own country 01:23  |  jc 05/03/08
  4.   Rosner on Obama - suggests... 01:42  |  Ussishkin 05/03/08
  5.   What`s wrong with Obama 03:21  |  Bruce Barton 05/03/08
  6.   change of paradigma 03:33  |  kaled 05/03/08
  7.   reply to #3 04:15  |  Jeffrey 05/03/08
  8.   reply to #5: Israel`s survival 06:23  |  Northeaster 05/03/08
  9.   #3 JC is right! 08:32  |  Michael 05/03/08
  10.   you should be asking what`s wrong with Israel 09:03  |  SD 05/03/08
  11.   HIS "WRONG" RELIGION HIT HIM HARD 09:43  |  indrajaya 05/03/08
  12.   What`s wrong with the "panel"....???? 09:51  |  Swiss (Dino) 05/03/08
  13.   #1 miriam and no idea of the past 12:37  |  v hardman 05/03/08
  14.   Israel fatal to Israel 13:14  |  ricki bobbi 05/03/08
  15.   Super delegates will flock behind Clinton, not Obama. 13:35  |  Fortuna Benmayor 05/03/08
  16.   telepatic panel 15:35  |  PARIS 05/03/08
  17.   Why does AIPAC dislike Obama? 15:43  |  Mark Lincoln 05/03/08
  18.   Obama 20:49  |  Yariv 05/03/08
  19.   radical leftie 21:23  |  Harry 05/03/08
  20.   What`s wrong with Ha`aretz? 22:42  |  David 05/03/08
  21.   It`s not the Muslim factor 22:42  |  GM 05/03/08
  22.   From Israel to the middle east 22:45  |  FM 05/03/08
  23.   American Response 23:11  |  Jack Johnson 05/03/08
  24.   the USA Obama and Israel 00:36  |  Israel Abbe 06/03/08
  25.   JC #3 UR funny! 00:44  |  bbl 06/03/08
  26.   Indrajaya -- don`t let the facts get in your way 00:49  |  bbl 06/03/08
  27.   FM #21 -- care to provide a citation for that? 00:53  |  bbl 06/03/08
  28.   Jack Johnson -- you have it backwards 01:00  |  bbl 06/03/08
  29.   David - Anything to help McCain 01:22  |  Mark Lincoln 06/03/08
  30.   # 18 Yarif Amen Amen 17:29  |  petra 06/03/08
  31.   # 21 GM YES TO THAT!!! 17:30  |  petra 06/03/08
  32.   # 3 LOL Call the Medics another looney`s on the loose. 17:36  |  petra 06/03/08
  33.   # 23 Jack Johnson great then Condi can stay home 17:38  |  petra 06/03/08
  34.   # 15 Fortuna I know many dems who say that 17:45  |  petra 06/03/08
  35.   PARADIGMA - wow , what`s this beast ? 05:15  |  andre 07/03/08
  36.   Bill Clintons Arab and Islamic backers 07:59  |  Len Stenberg 07/03/08
  37.   What`s wrong with Obama 08:06  |  Caro 07/03/08
  38.   Obama is just less qualified 12:49  |  dyinglikeflies 07/03/08
  39.   Obama the Kikuyu 17:34  |  Jona Tu 07/03/08
  40.   diyinglikeflies insight 19:05  |  jvnt 07/03/08
  41.   McCain was originally the LOWEST ranked Rep. on IF list 22:55  |  Pablo B 07/03/08
  42.   Nothing! 08:06  |  a wandering Jew 08/03/08
  43.   The next POTUS 10:57  |  ghostoflutherblisset 08/03/08
  44.   Just believe what Samantha Power says! 16:45  |  Harry Truman 08/03/08
  45.   #3 jc - We can ask that very question of you 17:03  |  * BEN JABO 08/03/08
  46.   whats wrong with obama 23:26  |  bill gordon 08/03/08
  47.   #14 Israel fatal to Israel 01:35  |  David J Feiger 09/03/08
  48.   Ben Jabo #3 jc - We can ask that very question of you 02:20  |  Fact Checker 09/03/08
  49.   obama and isreal 02:26  |  christian 09/03/08
  50.   didnot expect anything better from a Jewish panel 03:52  |  paul 09/03/08
  51.   Obama`s chief foreign policy adviser resigned 13:52  |  Cipora Julianna Kohn 09/03/08
  52.   #48 Fact Checker 16:49  |  * BEN JABO 09/03/08
  53.   "Monstrous" BO Wrong for US & Israel 21:51  |  PK 09/03/08
  54.   #48-2 Fact Checker - I have some facts for you 03:33  |  * BEN JABO 10/03/08
  55.   Both Side Of Mouth Moving 03:39  |  TOBIA 10/03/08
  56.   Anti-Semetic 14:55  |  Phil Steinberg 10/03/08
  57.   There is NOTHING wrong with Obama! 16:12  |  Jim Brooks 10/03/08
  58.   Jeffery # 7 the pseudo American 02:54  |  American in NY 11/03/08
  59.   * Ben jabo Additional history that you overlooked 03:16  |  American in NY 11/03/08
  60.   #59 American in NY - 04:05  |  * BEN JABO 11/03/08
  61.   #59-2 American in NY 04:52  |  * BEN JABO 12/03/08
  62.   * ben jabe # 60/61 part 1 of 3 14:38  |  American in NY 12/03/08
  63.   * been jabo Part 2 of 3 14:38  |  American in NY 12/03/08
  64.   * ben jabo 3 of 3 14:39  |  American in NY 12/03/08
  65.   #64 American in NY 17:02  |  * BEN JABO 12/03/08
  66.   #64-2 American in NY 22:26  |  * BEN JABO 12/03/08
  67.   Phil, please rethink your opinion 02:21  |  pay attention! 13/03/08
  68.   #64-3 American in NY 00:00  |  * BEN JABO 14/03/08
  69.   * Ben job 20:21  |  American in NY 15/03/08
  70.   * ben Job 20:58  |  American in NY 15/03/08
  71.   #70 American in NY 00:49  |  * BEN JABO 16/03/08
  72.   Astriscks # 71BJ foreign lingo 03:14  |  American in NY 17/03/08
  73.   The Israel Factor? 19:29  |  Peter Beck 23/03/08
  74.   Obama should be ranked -1.5 21:29  |  DrRJP 23/03/08
  75.   a picture is worth a 1000 words... 02:53  |  mar 01/04/08
  76.   What`s wrong with Obama 14:23  |  Chuck 19/04/08
  77.   How is that working out for you? 23:55  |  DaveK 02/06/08
  78.   take Obama seriously folks 02:37  |  James Cohen 06/06/08
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