Georgia (10-2) vs. Hawaii (12-0)
January 1st,
8:30 p.m. ET, Fox
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To get this out of the way from the
start, Hawaii isn't 2006 Boise State, Georgia is the better team,
and this won't be pretty if the Bulldogs actually try.
|
National
Rankings |
Hawaii |
Georgia |
Total Offense |
3rd 529.25 ypg |
69th 379.08 ypg |
Total Defense |
34th 348.92 ypg |
19th 37.44 ypg |
Scoring Offense |
1st 46.17 ppg |
37th 31.92 ppg |
Scoring Defense |
40th 24.17 ppg |
27th 21 ppg |
Run Offense |
113th 79.08 ypg |
36th 178.75 ypg |
Run Defense |
38th 131.67 ypg |
28th 119.50 ypg |
Pass Offense |
2nd 450.17 ypg |
85th 200.33 ypg |
Pass Defense |
43rd 217.25 ypg |
24th 205.17 ypg |
Turnover Margin |
63rd -0.08 |
32nd 0.33 |
|
Hawaii
No Colorado
W 63-6
at La Tech
W 45-44 OT
at UNLV
W 49-14
Char South.
W 66-10
at Idaho
W 48-20
Utah
State
W 52-37
at
SJSU
W 42-35 OT
N Mexico
St
W 50-13
Fresno
St
W 37-30
at Nevada
W 28-26
Boise
State
W 39-27
Washington
W 35-28 |
Georgia
Okla St W 35-14
So Carolina
L 16-14
W Carolina
W 45-16
at Bama
W 26-23 OT
Ole Miss
W 45-17
at Tenn L 35-14
at Vandy
W 20-17
vs.
Florida W 42-30
Troy
W 44-34
Auburn
W 48-20
Kentucky
W 24-13
at Ga Tech W 31-17 |
|
Position
Ratings
relative to each
other |
H |
5
highest
1 lowest |
G |
5 |
Quarterbacks |
4 |
1.5 |
RBs |
5 |
5 |
Receivers |
3 |
3 |
O
Line |
4 |
3 |
D
Line |
4 |
3.5 |
Linebackers |
4 |
3,5 |
Secondary |
4 |
4 |
Spec
Teams |
4.5 |
4 |
Coaching |
4 |
|
For all the
hullabaloo over the little guy's big moment when the Broncos stunned
Oklahoma in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl, it took one of the most amazingly
executed gameplans in the history of football, complete with
fearless play call after fearless play call, to pull it off.
Everything had to work out perfectly to pull it off. Georgia has had
to hear about Boise State ever since the BCS matchups were
announced, and should be ready to at least take Hawaii seriously.
No, Hawaii isn't last year's Boise State, but that Bronco team isn't
this year's Hawaii. The Warriors have an aggressive defense that's
great at getting into the backfield and boasts a secondary more than
good enough to hang around with the middling Georgia receiving
corps. The return game is among the best in America, the coaching is
solid, and oh yeah, the offense led the nation in scoring and likes
to throw it around a wee bit.
Georgia hasn't come close to seeing a passing game like this, even
though it did do a decent job of keeping Andre Woodson and
Kentucky's air attack in check. On the flip side, Hawaii hasn't seen
anyone who can play a lick of defense.
The WAC hasn't exactly done the Warriors any favors in the respect
department to start the bowl season with Nevada getting shut out by
New Mexico in the New Mexico Bowl and Boise State losing to East
Carolina in Hawaii. Yes, Hawaii is the nation's only unbeaten team,
but it played the nation's second easiest schedule (only Houston had
it easier) with its signature win coming over Boise State. There's a
lot for Colt Brennan and the boys to prove.
Hawaii only beat Nevada by two, needed everything in the bag to get
by Louisiana Tech in overtime, and got a tremendous comeback to get
by San Jose State in overtime on a sloppy field. Even at home the
Warriors struggled to get by Washington and Fresno State, and got
wins over teams like Northern Colorado, Charleston Southern, Idaho
and Utah State. Georgia beat Florida by 12.
Considered the nation's hottest team by the end of the year, Georgia
won its final six games including the win over the Gators, a
25-point stomping of Auburn, and wins over Troy, Kentucky and
Georgia Tech to finish the year with wins over seven bowl teams.
Blown past by LSU, and ignored when it came time to pick the BCS
Championship matchup, Georgia has the motivation it needs to come
into New Orleans a wee bit ticked off. Head coach Mark Richt has
done a masterful job of pulling off a few ploys to get his team
jacked up, but he might have to do much other than put on a tape of
Georgia's last trip to the Sugar Bowl.
The 2005 SEC champs, Georgia didn't get off the bus in Atlanta
(Hurricane Katrina moved the Sugar Bowl for a year) and got run past
by Steve Slaton and West Virginia. Forget about the great comeback
and the fake punt needed for the Mountaineers to avoid an epic
choke, the Dawgs still lost 38-35. That, combined with half the
college football world hoping to see a Boise State-like magical
upset, should get the Dawgs frothing at the mouth.
Georgia might be a year early. This was considered a bit of a
rebuilding year before coming out roaring in 2008, and this game
could kick off a groundswell of positive press and respect like LSU
got after blasting Notre Dame in last year's Sugar Bowl.
Hawaii is on the other side as this could be an end of an era.
Brennan will be off to the NFL, head coach June Jones has been
considered for several openings from SMU (which he turned down) to
some lukewarm NFL interest, and this might be his last game in a
lei.
There won't be any punches pulled, there will be a few amazing
moments of offensive firepower, and there will be a bit of a push
against one of the nation's best teams. Hawaii is the novelty act of
the BCS season, and it should put on a great show. Georgia will be
ready.
Players to watch: Hawaii's has no running game, so all hopes
are obviously on the right arm of Colt Brennan. Banged up at
times throughout the year, he didn't put up the same ungodly numbers
he cranked out as a junior, but he still threw 38 touchdown passes
and just 14 interceptions with 4,174 yards and key play after key
play when the team needed him the most. He completed 82 of 103
passes for 937 yards and ten touchdowns against Boise State and
Washington to complete the perfect season, and overcame some shaky
moments in near-misses against San Jose State and Louisiana Tech to
pull off wins. Mobile enough to annoy the Georgia pass rushers, he
should be able to buy himself some time when needed, and he'll be a
threat to take off at any time. This is his big moment in the
spotlight, and this is his chance to legitimize all the numbers
(14,024 career passing yards, 131 touchdowns, 15 rushing touchdowns)
and prove that he deserves to be considered among the greatest
college quarterbacks of all-time.
While Hawaii will obviously be throwing from the word go, Georgia
will try to pound the ball with its tremendous backfield tandem of
Knowshon Moreno and Thomas Brown. Moreno isn't
Herschel Walker, but he entered rarified air when he had a
Walkeresqe second half of the season with five straight 100-yard
games to finish with 1,273 yards and 12 touchdowns. The extra
workload down the backstretch was a must with injury issues in the
backfield, but Brown came back from missing over a month to look
back to form in the final three games. He finished with 706 yards
and ten touchdowns adding more power to the mix along with decent
breakaway speed. While he doesn't have Moreno's quickness, he can do
it all and will be certain to test the inside of the Hawaii line.
Looking to bottle things up in the middle is 6-0, 302-pound bowling
ball Michael Lafale, who's been the anchor of the Hawaii line
since moving over from the offensive side a few years ago. While not
an interior pass rusher, he's the one who needs to be shoved around
to make the Georgia running game go. If he's handled by just one
lineman, there will be big problems for the Warrior linebackers. If
he can consistently take on two blockers, Hawaii's defense will have
its moments.
Of course, Hawaii is all about the offense, and coming through with
great years to make Brennan look great at times were Davone Bess
and Ryan Grice-Mullen, two NFL prospects who each pulled
off All-America caliber seasons. Grice-Mullen is a home run hitter
who became more involved as the season went on with four
double-digit catch games in the final six to finish with 100 grabs
for 1,335 yards and 12 touchdowns. Bess, a junior, is the more
talented of the two with flypaper hands and fearless acrobatic
ability when it comes to making plays. He led the team with 101
catches with 27 over a two-game stretch against Nevada and Boise
State, and he also sees time returning punts.
Looking to put the clamps down on the Warrior targets will be
sophomore corners Prince Miller and Asher Allen, who
both held up well, but could be in for a nightmare of a day if
they're not rock-solid tacklers in the open field. Miller isn't all
that big, but he's quick enough to hold his own on the short, quick
patterns. Allen is flat-out fast, but he has to be physical. It'll
be his job to provide a bit of a safety-like pop when needed, and
keep Brennan from being able to push the ball deep on a consistent
basis. Brennan doesn't throw interceptions on a regular basis, with
most of his picks coming in two games this year, and the Georgia
corners don't have to come up with any. They just need to break up a
few passes on third down and keep short plays from turning into
backbreakers.
Hawaii
will win if...
the passing game works. The
Warriors can't feel their way into the game; they need to score
early, score often, and get Georgia throwing the ball. Matthew
Stafford might be the best pro quarterback prospect in the game, but
throwing it 30 times in comeback mode isn't his style. Tennessee's
Erik Ainge was ultra-efficient throwing the ball on the Bulldog
defense, Troy's Omar Haugabook threw for 373, Florida's Tim Tebow
threw well, and Kentucky's Andre Woodson had his moments, but
Brennan and this passing game is at another level. As long as
Brennan is calm, doesn't try to win the game with every throw, and
doesn't force things that aren't there, he'll come up with 400
passing yards and he'll move the offense up and down the field. It's
not about the quick strike; it's about a ball-control offense that
keeps the chains moving, connects on third downs, and keeps the
Warrior defense on the sidelines. Hawaii is dead if it loses the
time of possession battle.
Georgia will win if... it doesn't start screwing up.
Fumbles were a problem late in the season, and Stafford is usually
good for a pick a game. Hawaii's offense doesn't need any help with
short fields and momentum swings. Georgia has to keep it
conservative, not freak out when Brennan and company march once in a
while like its throwing against air, and just keep pounding the ball
even if there isn't much early success. By the second half, the
Bulldog offensive line should dominate and Moreno and Brown runs
that might be held to a few yards early will start to break wide
open. Defensively, getting pressure on Brennan is a must, even if it
means selling out to get to him. While Brennan's tough as nails,
he'll hang in until the last nanosecond to take a big shot in a game
like this. If the timing of the offense is thrown off just a little
bit, the machine breaks down.
What will happen: It'll grow into more of a shootout than
Georgia might like, and it'll turn into a different sort of game
than both teams might be comfortable with. Hawaii will sell out with
its safeties, to stop the run, and it'll work as the defensive front
pressures Stafford early on and forces a few misfires. However,
there will be one or three key moments when the pass rush doesn't
work allowing Stafford to torch the average Warrior corners for deep
balls that'll force the safeties to hang back more. That'll combine
with the Georgia offensive line taking over just in time for the
Dawgs to control the second half, on the ground, force Brennan to
press, and come away with the win.
Line: Georgia -9.5 ... CFN Prediction: Georgia
34 ... Hawaii 23
2008 Sugar Bowl History, Each Team's Best Bowl Moments, & More