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Exchanges — Prediction exchanges (bet exchanges, betting exchanges, event derivative exchanges) organizing real-money and play-money prediction markets (bet markets, betting markets, event derivative markets) — Updated: 2009-02-18

  1. Real-Money Prediction Exchanges
  2. Play-Money Prediction Exchanges
  3. Miscellaneous




1. Real-Money Prediction Exchanges — (a.k.a. bet exchanges, betting exchanges, event derivative exchanges)



InTrade - (Dublin, Ireland, E.U.) — Open to U.S. residents.

Intrade Board of Trade - (Dublin, Ireland, E.U.) — Exempt Board of Trade (EBOT) that filed notice with the CFTC. -


TradeSports - (The Commonwealth of Dominica - Previously: The Netherlands Antilles - Previously: Dublin, Ireland, E.U.) — Open to U.S. residents. — Launched in 2002 by John Delaney. — TERMINATED SINCE NOVEMBER 2008.

HedgeStreet - (Delaware, U.S.A. & San Mateo, California, U.S.A.) — Open to U.S. residents only.

Iowa Electronic Markets - (IEM) - (Iowa City, Iowa, U.S.A.) — Received two "no-action" letters from the CFTC. — IEM was launched in 1988 by prediction market co-inventors Robert Forsythe, Forrest Nelson, and George Neumann. — Research purpose; capped accounts. — Open to U.S. and international residents.


Cantor Exchange - (U.S.A.)


Bet 2 Give - (Maryland, U.S.A.) — Donations to charities. — Powered by NewsFutures.


The Penn State Prediction Markets - (Penn State U., Pennsylvania, U.S.A.) - 2007


UBC Election Stock Market - (UBC-ESM) - (British Columbia, Canada) — Research purpose; capped accounts — Launched in 1996.


TradeFair - (Hammersmith, London, England, United Kingdom, E.U.) — Binaries and Spreads — A subsiduary of The Sporting Exchange — Launched in 2007

iPredict New Zealand - (New Zealand) - iPredict New Zealand has been declared a futures dealer by the New Zealand Securities Commission, which means iPredict is treated as an exchange under securities law.


Smarkets - (England, United Kingdom, E.U.) - 2008


MatchBook - (Antigua & Ireland, E.U.) — Open to U.S. residents. — Owned by WSEX.

World Sports Exchange - (WSEX) - (Antigua) — The "Long-Term Markets" make use of CDA. The other lines are typical of the betting operations of any sportsbook, and thus are not of interest to us. — Founded in 1996


BetFair - (Hammersmith, London, England, United Kingdom, E.U.) — Alternate URLs: BetFair.co.uk & Flutter.comBetFair.eu

Betdaq - (United Kingdom, E.U. & Ireland, E.U.) — Founded in 2001 — Owned by The Global Betting Exchange


WBX - (World Bet Exchange) - (United Kingdom, E.U.)


SpreadFair - (England, United Kingdom, E.U.) — The world's first spread-betting exchange. — Authorized and regulated by the U.K.'s Financial Services Authority — Launched in 2004/2005??? — Owned by Cantor Fitzgerald —


Other Betting Exchanges: eHorseX - iBetX - MyBet - BetOnBet - Betsson


ToteExchange - (United Kingdom, E.U.) - UK Tote - Just a registered domain name, as for now.


JusTrade - (South Africa) — JusTrade was granted an exchange license by the Financial Services Board (FSB). — Launched in 2008 by Rory Mackay and Michael Franze.


INREEX - (International Real Estate Exchange) - (London, England, United Kingdom, E.U.) — Real-money house price prediction exchange — Launched in 2006 by Paul Rozenberg and Gene Sokolov


Red Monitor - (Austria, E.U.) — URL: RedMonitor — in German — Red Monitor is subject to the Austrian Finanzmarktaufsicht supervision. Red Monitor’s non-CDA market design is original and patented. Scientific and private use is free.


All Sports Market - (Costa Rica)



Derivative Exchanges


CME Group - (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.) — A new entity representing the July 2007 merger of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT).


Chicago Board Options Exchange - (CBOE) - (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.) — A CBOT subsidiary — Regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)


US Futures Exchange - (USFE) - (U.S.A.) - USFE is a designated contract maker (DCM). — USFE uses The Clearing Corporation to provide its clearing services.


Chicago Futures Exchange - (CFE) - (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.) — Owned by Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) — Regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) — Launched in 2004.


International Securities Exchange - (ISE) - (New York City, New York, U.S.A.) — Alternative markets — MidPoint Match platform, with Best Bid Offer (BBO) —  Owns Longitude — ISE is now owned by Deutsche Börse.


Philadelphia Board of Trade - (PBOT) - (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S.A.) — Soon to launch event-driven futures markets — All options and futures traded at PBOT are cleared at The Options Clearing Corporation. — Owned by Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX) — Regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) — Relaunched in 2005.


Nasdaq Options Exchange - (New York City, New York, U.S.A.) - 2007



Simili, Real-Money Prediction Exchanges


Poolitics - (New York City, New York, U.S.A.) — Not CDA; Pool betting. — Blog interface (Drupal) — Launched in 2004 by Brett Michaelson.



Ticket Options Exchanges


YooNew - (U.S.A.)


First DIBZ - (U.S.A.)



Real-Money Prediction Exchange - Projects


Da Vinci Trade - (Costa Rica)


Cantor Exchange - (U.S.A.) — CFTC regulated. With the Hollywood Stock Exchange.





2. Play-Money Prediction Exchanges — (a.k.a. virtual prediction exchanges, fantasy prediction exchanges, virtual betting exchanges, fantasy betting exchanges)



HubDub - (Scotland, United Kingdom, E.U.) — Play-money prediction exchange & News aggregator — Founded in the of end of 2007 by Nigel Eccles


NewsFutures - (Maryland, U.S.A. & France, E.U.) — French News Exchange - Hungarian — Founded in 2000 by Emile Servan-Shreiber and Maurice Balick — Godfathered by Robin Hanson (a prediction market co-inventor)

Inkling Markets - (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.) — URL: Inkling Markets — Uses Robin Hanson's Market Scoring Rules (a mix between CDA and Scoring Rules), in one dimension — Uses an automated market maker (AMM) — Launched in 2006 by Adam Siegel, Jim Richmond and Nathan Kontny


Foresight Exchange - (FX, FSX) - (Alberta, Canada) — URL: IdeoSphere - Alternate URL: Idea Futures — Launched in 1994 by Ken Kittlitz, Sean Morgan, Mark James, Greg James, David McFadzean and Duane Hewitt — Godfathered by Robin Hanson (a prediction market co-inventor)


Reality Markets - (Park City, Utah, U.S.A.) — Simplified CDA with an automated market maker (AMM) and a Banker that handles IPO issues


Cenimar - (Loomis, California, U.S.A.) — Prediction markets settled by the CIA World FactBook. — With a now mostly disabled automated market maker (AMM)


Ask Markets - (Greece, E.U.)


The Pop Sci Prediction Exchange - (PPX) - (U.S.A.) — Powered by HSX — Launched in June 2007.


The Sim Exchange - (U.S.A.) — URL: theSimExchange - Spelled: The simExchange — Wall Street-like play-money prediction exchange on videogame sales.


Media Predict - (New York City, New York, U.S.A.) — Simon & Schuster — Founded by Brent F. Stinski in 2006 — Powered by Inkling Markets — Older brand name: Media Futures Exchange


Gexid - Global Exchange for Information Derivatives - (Germany, E.U.)


InTrade - (Dublin, Ireland, E.U.)


TradeSports - (The Netherlands Antilles)

HedgeStreet - (Delaware, U.S.A. & San Mateo, California, U.S.A.) — Open to U.S. residents only.

Iowa Electronic Markets - (IEM) - (Iowa City, Iowa, U.S.A.)

BetFair - (Hammersmith, London, England, United Kingdom, E.U.)


Hollywood Stock Exchange - (HSX) - (L.A., California, U.S.A.) — URL: HSX — HSX Movies - HSX Community — CDA with an automated market maker (AMM) that balances buy/sell orders by generating both buy and sell orders, which keep the market maker in balance as well. — HSX is a play-money prediction exchange with a game, IPO-like interface. — Owned by Cantor Fitzgerald — Founded in 1996 by Max Keiser and Michael Burns


ProTrade - (U.S.A.)


Sports Derivative Exchange - (?) -  A kind of HSX for sports


YooPick - (FaceBook application) - (New York, U.S.A.) — by Yahoo! Research


Win Futures - (?) — A FaceBook application


Australian Knowledge eXchange - (Australia)


Celebdaq - Sportdaq - (United Kingdom, E.U.) — With an automated market maker (AMM)


Da Vinci Trade - (Costa Rica)


Exchange P - (?)


Hive Insight - (Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina, U.S.A. & London, U.K., E.U.)


HirBroker - Hungary


LinuxWorld Prediction Markets - (U.S.A.)


MarMix - (Information Systems Institute, U. of Lausanne's business school, Lausanne U., Lausanne, Switzerland) — 2014 candidates - Which city will be designated for the Winter Olympics 2014? — MarMix - (for the Swiss students only) — More info — Launched by Yves Pigneur and Cédric Gaspoz.


Meta-Markets - (U.S.A.?) — By the MIT


HomePredict - (U.S.A.) — Powered by Consensus Point's Foresight Server


NimaniX - (Israel) — NimaniX in Hebrew - Play money prediction markets


Political Stockmarket - (Germany)


Public Gyan - The Public Knowledge Exchange - (India) — URL: PublicGyan — Multi-topic exchange. — Launched in 2005 by Nitin Pai and Srijith Nair


Swarchy - (Taipei, Taiwan) — Play-money prediction exchange


Stoccer - (Germany, E.U.) — Soccer


Taiwan Political Exchange - (Taiwan)


The Car Stock Exchange - (CSX) - (U.S.A.) — Cars and trucks


The Gates Hillman Prediction Market - (?)


The Industry Standard - (U.S.A.) — News + prediction markets


Turing Trade — About Turing test


WahlFieber - (Germany) — Powered by ProKons


Washington Stock Exchange - (WSX) - (Tennesse, U.S.A.) — URL: WashingtonSX - Alternate URL: theWSX — Uses Robin Hanson's Market Scoring Rules (a mix between CDA and Scoring Rules), in one dimension — Uses an automated market maker (AMM) — Powered by Consensus Point — Launched in 2006 by David Perry and Ken Kittlitz


WikiPredict - (??) —


eLab eXchange - (U.S.A.) — Uses two non-trading forecasting techniques from NewsFutures: Competitive Forecasting and Idea Pageant.



Play-Money Prediction Exchanges - Projects


Simon Exchange - (U.S.A.) — Law professor Tom Bell (and Robin Hanson-follower) wants an idea futures exchange (trading science, technology and public policy claims) to be named after a deceased libertarian economist.


Yootopia - Yahoo!'s currency: Yootles -





3. Miscellaneous — (Other websites that might help figuring odds of future events)



Odds Comparators

Real-Money and Play-Money Prediction/Bet Registries

List of Rated Sportsbooks, Bookmakers and Betting Exchanges (a.k.a. Prediction Exchanges)

Retail Insurance / Hedging

Deceased Websites of Interest — R.I.P.



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