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Senior meteorologist with 20 years of experience at AccuWeather.
[ Bio ]

Headline: Earth
Headline: Earth™:
Katie Fehlinger hosts Headline: Earth, which takes an unbiased look at all sides of the global warming debate. The weekly show features the latest headlines related to global warming, along with interviews of prominent and newsworthy guests, including global warming legislation advocate and chairman of the Environment and Public Works Committee (EPW), Senator (D) Barbara Boxer of California and global warming skeptic and former EPW chairman, Senator (R) James Inhofe of Oklahoma. Visit Headline: Earth's video page to see any or all of Katie's videos.


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We'd like to hear your questions on global warming! You can send your questions here via email.
Wednesday, December 23, 2009

Mixed Reaction to Copenhagen Accord

I dug up some of the reaction to the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference, now that it has been over for a few days. Overall, reaction seemed mixed between the various representatives of many countries.


The agreement which was reached, calls to limit the rise in global temperatures to 2 degrees celsius and raise 100 billion U.S. dollars annually by 2020 to help developing countries fight climate change. The accord does not specify caps on emissions to achieve that objective.

....we could have achieved more." Yvo De Boer, Head of the UN Climate Change Secretariat.

"We have made a start. I believe that what we need to follow up on quickly is ensuring a legally binding outcome." Gordon Brown, British Prime Minister.

...we have done one step, we have hoped for several more."
Angela Merkel, Germany.

"A deal is better than no deal." European Commission.

"We have come a long way, but we have much further to go." President Barack Obama.

"The meeting has had a positive result, everyone should be happy." Xie Zhenhua, Head of China's delegation.

"It's very disappointing I would say, but it is not a failure."
Sergio Serra, Brazil's Climate Change Ambassador.

"The city of Copenhagen is a crime scene, with the guilty men and women fleeing to the airport." Greenpeace.

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Tuesday, December 22, 2009

A Triple Whammy

Parts of the Alaskan Coast are suffering through what scientists at the University of Colorado are saying is a "triple whammy" effect.

The combination of longer ice-free conditions in the summer months (which are lengthening by about two weeks per decade); warmer ocean waters that can melt more of the ice trapped in the coastal soils; and the widening of the gap between the coastline and the sea ice that occurs in the summer months, giving waves more room to batter 12-foot-high (3.5 meters) coastal bluffs is causing dramatic erosion along the north coast of Alaska, specifically between Point barrow and Prudhoe Bay. Up to one-third the length of a football field annually is literally falling into the ocean, according to LiveScience.

Check out this short video, which shows the dramatic time-lapse erosion of the coast. Courtesy of the University of Colorado.

"Since the summer Arctic sea ice cover continues to decline and Arctic air and sea temperatures continue to rise, we really don't see any prospect for this process ending," said Robert Anderson of the University of Colorado at Boulder to the AGU meeting.

"The landscape is beginning to respond to the acceleration of warming," he said.

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Monday, December 21, 2009

New Information about the `Urban Heat Island` Effect

The strength of the "urban heat island" effect in cities greatly depends on the ecosystem that it replaced and also on the regional climate, according to new research from NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC).

The growth of Las Vegas as seen from space from 1973 to 2006

Urban areas that were formed in arid and semi-arid areas, such as Las Vegas show far less heating compared with the surrounding countryside compared to cities that replaced forested areas within temperate climates such as Baltimore and Pittsburgh.

Urban surfaces of asphalt, concrete, and other materials -- also referred to as "impervious surfaces" -- absorb more solar radiation by day. At night, much of that heat is given up to the urban air, creating a warm bubble over a city that can be as much as 1 to 3 C (2 to 5 F) higher than temperatures in surrounding rural areas, according to the EurekAlert article.

Using satellite data, the research team examined cities in arid and semi-arid regions - such as North Africa and the American Southwest, scientists found that they are only slightly warmer than surrounding areas in summer and sometimes cooler than surrounding areas in winter.

Also, the suburban areas around desert cities are actually cooler than both the city center and the outer rural areas because the irrigation of lawns and small farms leads to more moisture in the air from plants that would not naturally grow in the region.

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Friday, December 18, 2009

Was Russian Climate Data Tampered With?

On Tuesday, the Moscow based Institute of Economic Analysis (IEA) issued a report claiming that the Hadley Center for Climate Change based at the headquarters of the British Meteorological Office in Exeter (Devon, England) had probably tampered with Russian-climate data.

IEA analysts say Russian meteorological stations cover most of the country's territory, and that the Hadley Center had only used 25% of such stations in its reports.

Over 40% of Russian territory was not included in global-temperature calculations for unknown reasons, rather than the lack of meteorological stations and observations, according to the IEA.

The data of stations located in areas not listed in the Hadley Climate Research Unit Temperature UK (HadCRUT) survey often does not show any substantial warming in the late 20th century and the early 21st century, said the IEA.

IEA analysts say climatologists use the data of stations located in large populated centers that are influenced by the urban-warming effect more frequently than the correct data of remote stations, according to the English version of Rianovosti.

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Andrei Illarionov, who was the source of this story is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute's Center for Global Liberty and Prosperity. The Institute of Economic Analysis (IEA) was founded in 1994 as an independent, non-governmental, non-political and non-commercial organization. There is more about this organization right here.

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UPDATE

Thanks to the efforts of Richard Lawson Winscombe and his Mabinogogiblog website for getting a response to this story from the UK Met Office. Here is their response.......

The World Meteorological Organisation chooses the set of stations designated as essential climate stations that have been released by the Met Office. These are evenly distributed across the globe and provide a fair representation of changes in global average temperature over land. We do not choose these stations and therefore it is impossible for the Met Office to fix the data.

The global temperatures record, HadCRUT has been shown to underestimate the rise in global average temperatures over the past 30 years when compared against a fuller analysis of global temperatures. This analysis includes information from a wide range of sources such as satellites, radiosondes, and sea surface temperature data, but does not include surface observations used in HadCRUT, so is fully independent.

The analysis shows that HadCRUT under-estimates the warming in the Russian region, in particular, because of the limited availability of Northern Hemisphere high latitude observations. The Met Office is keen to publish all underpinning station data as it becomes available. We are already in the process of seeking agreement to release the underpinning data from its owners. (emphasis added)

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Thursday, December 17, 2009

A Mountain Out of A Mole Hill?


This is the final part of AccuWeather.com's Headline Earth interview with Penn State's Michael Mann.

In the interview, Michael Mann says that he is quite pleased about the investigations into the leaked emails (climategate), and that he is confident that investigators will get to the bottom of the real story.

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Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Latest Temperature and Sea Ice Comparisons

The Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) has released their annual, global temperature anomaly data for the December to November time period. GISS is one of several sources for global temperature data. Records go back to 1880.

For comparison and some fun, I am going to post the past three annual periods of their temperature anomaly data. Reds and oranges are warmer compared to normal, while the blues are colder. As you can see, GISS is clearly showing that the bulk of the warming has been taking place around the Arctic region recently.

Dec 2006 to Nov 2007

Dec 2007 to Nov 2008

Dec 2008 to Nov 2009

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What's the latest on the global sea ice extent?

The image below, courtesy of the Polar Research group at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, shows the status and trend of global sea ice area (combined Arctic and Antarctic). As you can see, global sea ice area is currently running a little over 1 million sq. kilometers below normal.


Here is the latest trend and anomaly from the southern Hemisphere, as we go through the summer melt season. Image courtesy of the Polar Research group at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.


Here is the latest trend and anomaly from the northern Hemisphere, as we go through the summer melt season. Image courtesy of the Polar Research group at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.


Here is the latest sea ice extent for the Arctic and how it compares to the average and the record minimum season of 2007-2008. Image courtesy of the NSIDC.


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Tuesday, December 15, 2009

The Triple Crown of Cooling

I just found out out earlier Monday that our own Joe Bastardi was on the Fox Business Channel with Imus this past Friday. Joe explains his 'triple crown of cooling' to Imus and why he is more concerned about an upcoming period of global cooling, rather than global warming. Here is the segment in case you missed it.


Video courtesy of YouTube.


Note: The views expressed by Joe Bastardi and all our other bloggers on AccuWeather.com do not necessarily reflect the views of AccuWeather.com.

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Sunday, December 13, 2009

Climategate Revelations are but the Tip of a Giant Iceberg, says Atmospheric Scientist

Dr. William Gray, a renowned long range hurricane forecaster and Emeritus Professor of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University wrote an op-ed for ClimateDepot.com on Tuesday.

Dr. William Gray. Image courtesy of the Colorado State University.

Gray states that the last century's global warming of about 1 degree F is not a consequence of human activities. This warming is primarily the result of a multi-century changes in the globe's deep ocean circulation.

The recent 'ClimateGate' revelations coming out of the UK University of East Anglia are but the tip of a giant iceberg of a well organized international climate warming conspiracy that has been gathering momentum for the last 25 years, according to Gray.

Other points that Gray makes.........


--There has been an unrelenting quarter century of one-sided indoctrination of the western world by the media and by various scientists and governments concerning a coming carbon dioxide (CO2) induced global warming disaster.

--Restricting CO_2 emissions from the present by as much as 20 percent by 2020 and 80 percent by 2050 (as being proposed in Copenhagen) would cause very large increases in our energy costs, a lowering of our standard of living, and do nothing of significance to improve our climate.

--The global climate models predicting large amounts of global warming for a doubling of CO2 are badly flawed.

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Friday, December 11, 2009

Scientists Debate

CNN has been running a recent series on climate change in relation to Copenhagen and trying to find out whether it is fact or fiction. Yesterday, host Wolf Blitzer, who I am not a big fan of, hosted a short discussion with climate skeptic John Christi, who is from the University of Alabama at Huntsville and Gavin Schmidt, a climate scientist from Real Climate.org.


Video courtesy of YouTube.com


I could not help but notice the facial resemblance between Schmidt and Michael Mann. Anyway, Christi states that ignorance of the climate system is very large and politicians who make policy change need to know this. Christi also stated that he is not sure if man has a full or partial role in climate change, but climate models certainly do not prove that he is responsible.

Schmidt said that climate models are necessary tools that help provide evidence. Schmidt also stated that the 'climategate' emails were taken out of context and that the "trick" is just a technique used among scientists.

No one can prove that greenhouse gases are causing all of the warming or part of it, said Christi.

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Thursday, December 10, 2009

Bag of Tricks?

In part two of her video interview with Dr. Michael Mann of Penn State, who is one of the key figures mentioned in 'climategate', AccuWeather.com's Katie Fehlinger asks Mann to explain the context of controversial e-mails between him and his scientific colleagues.

Image courtesy of the Pennsylvania State University.

You can watch Mann's response right here.

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