Gold Derby

Tom O'Neil has the inside track on Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and all the award shows.

Category: Emmys

Emmy prediction: 'Temple Grandin' will win best TV movie

July 24, 2010 |  1:18 pm
Temple Grandin Claire Danes

Chris "Boomer" Beachum, Rob Licuria (AwardsHeaven) and I agree on what film will win best TV movie at the Emmys on Aug. 29. "Temple Grandin" is a powerfully dramatized biopic of a woman (portrayed by likely Emmy champ Claire Danes) who triumphs over autism to become an expert in livestock handling. Close behind is HBO's other biopic of "Dr. Death," Jack Kevorkian. Also check out our predix in the top drama series categories and lead comedy series races.

BEST TV FILM

Tom O'Neil

Rob Licuria

Chris Beachum
1. "Temple Grandin" "Temple Grandin" "Temple Grandin"
2. "You Don't Know Jack" "You Don't Know Jack" "You Don't Know Jack"
3.

"The Special Relationship"

"The Special Relationship" "The Special Relationship"
4.

"Georgia O'Keeffe"

"Endgame"

"Georgia O'Keeffe"
5. "Endgame"

"Georgia O'Keeffe"

"Moonshot"

6.

"Moonshot"

"Moonshot"

"Endgame"

Photo: HBO

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.


Will 'Lost' get a farewell embrace at the Emmys?

July 24, 2010 | 12:52 pm
Lost Emmys news

One of the weirdest mysteries surrounding the quirky "Lost" is how it will fare at this year's Emmys, where it's nominated for 12 awards, including best drama series.

"Lost" has a serious shot at winning the same top prize it claimed after its freshman season (2005). Voters like to bestow a farewell hug to milestone TV series – like "The Sopranos" in 2007 — and recent juggernaut "Mad Men" is vulnerable. Lots of voters would like to see a new show win best drama series. In addition to "Lost," "Dexter" and "The Good Wife" pose serious threats too. It's a four-way, squeaker race, as most pundits see it, and "Lost" could certainly emerge the next champ.

But "Lost" has had a bizarre history at the Emmys, as I discussed with producers Damon Lindelof and Carlton Cuse when we met up recently at the Hollywood Museum. What do they think of that? What strategy did they employ this year in terms of episode submissions to Emmy judges?


Video: Steve Nycklemoe

Photo: ABC

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.


Can 'The Good Wife' beat 'Mad' and 'Bad' to win drama series Emmy?

July 23, 2010 | 11:38 am

The Good Wife poster The freshman hit "The Good Wife" is one of six nominees for drama series at this year's Emmy Awards. The show's star Julianna Margulies has already picked up the lead actress prize from both the Golden Globes and SAG this year. Though an early favorite, she is not a sure thing to take home the Emmy. However, her TV comeback vehicle could well win the series race.

In the first round of predictions, one of our Emmy experts, Chris "Boomer" Beachum, and I rank "The Good Wife" in the middle of the pack. However, Rob "Rob L" Licuria has the CBS smash in second place. At this stage, all three of us are predicting "Mad Men" to pull off a three-peat.

The prospects for "The Good Wife" has generated much discussion in our Emmys forum. For east/west, "As this goes for drama series, the show is totally in the race. These two episodes had everything going for it and it stands out from the pack. It's not a period piece, thriller, or sci-fi show. I would give the award to 'Breaking Bad,' but if 'Wife' gets enough votes in the top three it can upset and it would be deserved."

However, iskolar cautions, "they did good but I don't think they'll win. It's still 'Mad Men' in the end." And Benito Delicias says, "I think the show had buzz for being nominated, I don't think it has it for a win. 'Mad Men' submitted perfectly, 'Lost' ended and has the fantastic 'The End' as one whole tape, 'Dexter' had plenty of buzz too. I think it's too much for 'The Good Wife' to handle."

And adamunc admits, "I've been going back and trying to catch up; seen six episodes so far, and, save the pilot, they feel distressingly formulaic. And there seems to be a pattern of intriguing set-ups and seriously anti-climactic solutions. Saw 'Hi' most recently and the solution to the murder was so ho-hum and mundane (not to mention predictable) it was almost an after-thought."

RELATED POSTS:

For sale at Emmys eBay auction: signed scripts, set visits, bleacher seats

Are 'Friday Night Lights' stars doomed at the Emmys?

Golden Globe and SAG champs Juliana Margulies and Michael C. Hall are not automatic Emmy winners

Can Larry David win the Emmy for best comedy actor?

Emmy prediction: 'American Idol' will finally beat 'Amazing Race'

Jimmy Fallon can't wait to put the Emmys behind him?

Photo: "The Good Wife" promotional poster. Credit: CBS.

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.


Early Emmy predictions: drama series, lead actor and lead actress

July 23, 2010 |  9:27 am
Mad men

You've already seen the Emmy predictions covering the top comedy races from me and our two experts Chris "Boomer" Beachum and Rob Licuria (AwardsHeaven). Now here's how we rank the major drama contests.

BEST DRAMA SERIES

Tom O'Neil

Rob Licuria

Chris Beachum
1. "Mad Men" "Mad Men"
"Mad Men"
2. "Dexter" "The Good Wife"
"Dexter"
3.

"The Good Wife"

"Dexter" "Lost"
4. "Lost" "Breaking Bad" "Breaking Bad"
5. "Breaking Bad"

"Lost"

"The Good Wife"

6. "True Blood" "True Blood" "True Blood"


BEST DRAMA ACTOR

Tom O'Neil

Rob Licuria

Chris Beachum
1. Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad" Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad"
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter"
2. Kyle Chandler, "Friday Night Lights" Matthew Fox, 'Lost"
Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad"
3.

Michael C. Hall, "Dexter"

Michael C. Hall, "Dexter"
Hugh Laurie, "House M.D."
4. Hugh Laurie, "House M.D." Kyle Chandler, "Friday Night Lights"
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men"
5. Matthew Fox, 'Lost"

Hugh Laurie, "House M.D."

Kyle Chandler, "Friday Night Lights"

6. Jon Hamm, "Mad Men" Jon Hamm, "Mad Men"
Matthew Fox, 'Lost"


BEST DRAMA ACTRESS

Tom O'Neil

Rob Licuria

Chris Beachum
1. Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife"
Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife" Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife"
2. Glenn Close, "Damages"
Connie Britton, "Friday Night Lights" Glenn Close, "Damages"
3.

Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer"

January Jones, "Mad Men"
January Jones, "Mad Men"
4. Connie Britton, "Friday Night Lights"

Glenn Close, "Damages"

Connie Britton, "Friday Night Lights"
5. Mariska Hargitay, "Law & Order"

Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer"

Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer"

6. January Jones, "Mad Men"
Mariska Hargitay, "Law & Order"
Mariska Hargitay, "Law & Order"

Photo: Jon Hamm in "Mad Men." Photo credit: AMC.

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.


For sale at Emmys EBay auction: signed scripts, set visits, bleacher seats

July 23, 2010 |  6:34 am

Front-row bleacher seats for the Emmy Awards red carpet are now selling for $510 after eight bids in the charity auction at EBay benefiting the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences Foundation. You can be the first person to bid $250 for a script of "30 Rock" (Emmy's best comedy series 2007, 2008, 2009) signed by Tina Fey.

Other items up for sale include VIP tickets and set visits to “How I Met Your Mother” and "The Daily Show with Jon Stewart" plus a "Rescue Me" firefighter helmet signed by series star and creator Denis Leary. For the ultimate Emmy fan, there is an Emmy poster with autographs of winners and presenters from last year’s telecast, including Ricky Gervais, Amy Poehler, Simon Baker, Neil Patrick Harris, Sigourney Weaver and this year’s host, Jimmy Fallon.

There are many more sale items available here too. The auction continues until Aug. 1.

Emmys Auction-5

Photo credit: Academy of TV Arts & Sciences Foundation

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.


Are 'Friday Night Lights' stars doomed at the Emmys?

July 22, 2010 |  4:57 pm

Judging from a historical perspective, Connie Britton and Kyle Chandler ("Friday Night Lights"), Matthew Fox ("Lost") and January Jones ("Mad Men") are long shots to win Emmys, according to our contributor Chris "cking33" Hine. He sent an alert to Gold Derby noting that these stars scored their first nominations in the middle or end of their shows' runs and adds:

Friday night lights emmys

Never has an actor received a nomination under such circumstances and won. Winners have always either:

1. Been nominated before and

2. Won for the first year of their show.

Even James Spader, while he was nominated and won for the final year of "The Practice," that was his first year on the show, so it doesn't exactly fit the criteria. And even after he won in 2007, after not being nominated in 2006, he was still a two-time winner. You'd have to double-check the facts on this, but I thought it was interesting, and would seem to
suggest that the above four actors and actresses have no chance of winning this year. Mariska Hargitay came close to doing it in 2004, had all the momentum, but then Allison Janney won again (and then proceeded to embarrass poor Mariska by bringing her onstage during her acceptance speech).

Chris posted similar views here in our forums and invites additional comment.

Photo: "Friday Night Lights." Credit: NBC / DirecTV.

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.


Gold Derby nuggets: 'Modern Family' writers speak up | More 'Mad Men' | 'Black Swan' debuts at Venice

July 22, 2010 |  3:23 pm

Modern familyRick Porter chatted with some of the "Modern Family" scribes about the Emmy hopes of the freshman hit as well as the snub of a TV vet: "'Sadly, the unsung hero is Ed O'Neill,' writer/co-exec producer Dan O'Shannon says. 'He's just so great. I think some of the stuff that's really great about him is sometimes maybe overlooked in the bigger comedy of the other characters. But he just really holds the show down.' Adds fellow co-EP Bill Wrubel, 'He never feels the need to be the center of a scene. He's happy to kind of just do his line and react. His generosity on stage was really eye-opening. And he's super-fun to write for, because his delivery is just perfect every time.'" Co-creator Steve Levitan endorsed the idea of an ensemble Emmy: "I think that would be incredible. I think it's a great idea, and I love that award [at the SAG Awards]. ... It is an ensemble, and it's very hard to pick out who the standouts are." ZAP 2 IT

• As Steve Pond observes, "Not many Emmy voters will be roaming the aisles or cramming into the halls and meeting rooms at Comic-Con this week. But Emmy nominees will certainly be there, lobbying not for votes but for the viewers who can turn their shows into pop-culture phenomena and by doing so, just maybe attract the attention of awards voters." Says Steve, "you will find a full contingent of Emmy-nominated shows making the trip, starting with 'True Blood' and encompassing everything from 'Dexter,' 'Lost' and 'Glee' to 'Kick Buttowski: Suburban Daredevil' (Outstanding Short-Format Animated Program) and 'Human Target' (Outstanding Original Main Title Theme Music)." THE ODDS

Ricky Gervais reveals he has been asked to present at the upcoming Emmy Awards. Writing on his blog, the wry comedian says, "Got asked to hand out an Emmy. Nice. I'm there anyway as I'm nominated for the animation and 'The Office,' so that would be perfect. Even if I don't win I'll still get to go back stage and have a sneaky beer. No beer in the theatre! Unbelievable! It's not in Utah for ****'s sake. Still mustn't grumble." DIGITAL SPY

Mad-men-season-4-posterRick Porter reports that "Mad Men" -- which begins its fourth season Sunday -- could be on cablecaster AMC for another two years. However, "the catch, and it's a pretty big one, is that Lionsgate only has creator Matthew Weiner under contract through this season. Variety notes that the studio wants to get a sense of how much AMC will be willing to pay for the show before starting up negotiations with Weiner." ZAP 2 IT

Nellie Andreeva explores the relationship between when a program airs and how well it does with the Emmy Awards. She notes, "'Mad Men' won multiple awards including the top drama series statuette at the Emmys in the past 2 years. Both times, a new season of the show launched just before the final voting phase, with fresh episodes airing throughout. In the year before 'Mad Men''s first Emmy appearance, 'The Sopranos' won best drama series. The series was also fresh in voters’ minds, having concluded its run with the much-talked about finale in June." DEADLINE

Lisa de Moraes puts the latest contretemps about Conan O'Brien in context. Deon Cole, one of the Emmy-nominated team of writers on "The Tonight Show with Conan O'Brien," tweeted "NOT NBC but the powers that be has sent us an email saying that the category we are nominated for will not be televised this year! really?" However, as Lisa notes, "It's a pity Cole is so far behind in reading his guild's memos. Because, in the days leading up to last year's Emmy broadcast, the writers and directors guilds pounded out a deal with the TV academy in which they agreed that the writing and the directing competitions for best variety, musical or comedy series (aka 'VMC's') and VMC specials (think 'Kennedy Center Honors') would take turns being part of the televised portion of the two-night Emmy ceremony. The academy did this as part of its effort to trim the Emmy TV show's mind-numbing number of awards. Last year's Emmycast included the races for best writing and for best directing in a Variety, Music or Comedy Series so this year the writers and directors who worked on VMC Specials are getting their turn, when NBC broadcast's this year's Emmy show on Aug. 29." THE WASHINGTON POST

Thomas Peter details the Tony-winning talent associated with the HBO pilot "The Miraculous Year." John Logan -- who just picked up the best play prize for "Red" -- penned the script about a self-destructive Broadway composer while the music will be penned by Adam Guettel, who won a Tony Award for his score to "The Light in the Piazza." Joining Tony champ Norbert Leo Butz as the troubled tunesmith will be Tony winners Frank Langella, Patti LuPone and Eddie Redmayne. And, oh yes, Oscar winner Kathryn Bigelow will direct the pilot. PLAYBILL

• Ten theater veterans will begin three-year terms on the Tony Awards nominating committee this season, including three-time directing nominee Michael Grief, two-time acting nominee Andre de Shields and Moises Kaufman -- a directing nominee for "I Am My Own Wife" and a nominee for his play "33 Variations." Approximately one-third of the roster of 30 nominators rotates off each year. TONY AWARDS

BlackswanAnne Thompson previews the lineup for the 67th edition of the Venice Film Festival, reporting that "not completed in time for Cannes, Darren Aronofsky’s 'Black Swan' will make its world debut as the opening night film at the Venice Film Festival, which runs on the Lido from Sept. 1 through Sept. 11." And, as Anne writes, "other American films expected to debut in Venice include Sofia Coppola’s 'Somewhere,' Julian Schnabel’s 'Miral,' Ben Affleck’s 'The Town' and Al Pacino’s 'Wilde Salome.' Weinstein Co’s U.K. entry 'The King’s Speech,' starring Colin Firth as King George VI, may also make the Venice line-up." THOMPSON ON HOLLYWOOD

• Members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences received an e-mail today asking them to "Save the Date" of Nov. 13 for the Governors' Awards to be bestowed. In late August, the academy will announce who'll be honored at the event.

Lou Lumenick reveals, "Alex Gibney's 'Untitled Eliot Spitzer Project'' finally has a title, 'Client 9' after the disgraced former governor's nom de john. The new moniker, and little else popped up in a tiny ad in yesterday's Village Voice listing two daily showings to meet the Oscar-qualification requirements for documentaries." And, as Lou notes, "this is nothing unusual; there have been a flurry of such low-profile public showings before the Aug. 31 deadline, mostly at out-of-the-way venues like the Coliseum on W. 178th St. ('Teenage Paparazzo,' 'Monica and David'') and the Village East on Second Avenue ('Garbo, The Spy')." Says Lou, "What's slightly unusual is that 'Client 9'' is showing not in a tiny auditorium but the 585-seat AMC Loews 72nd Street East, a former showplace venue that used to be known as the Tower East." NEW YORK POST

Top photo: "Modern Family" poster. Credit: ABC.

Middle photo: "Mad Men" poster. Credit: AMC.

Bottom photo: Natalie Portman in "Black Swan." Credit: Fox Searchlight Pictures.

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.


Golden Globe and SAG champs Juliana Margulies and Michael C. Hall are not automatic Emmy winners

July 22, 2010 |  3:21 pm

Beware: Some Emmy-watchers are making a false assumption about the races for best lead actor and actress in the drama series. They believe Michael C. Hall ("Dexter") and Julianna Margulies ("The Good Wife") are shoo-ins to win on Aug. 29 because they've already bagged the Golden Globe and SAG Award earlier this year. Not necessarily so!

Dexter The Good Wife Emmy news-4

Only rarely do the three awards line up, probably because their voting systems vary so much. Winners of Globes and SAG Awards are decided by a popular ballot, but the Emmy is a juried award chosen after a small group of judges views one sample episode submitted by every nominee in the category.

Occasionally, the three prizes do concur – as when James Gandolfini ("The Sopranos") won best drama actor at the Emmys a few months after triumphing at the Globes and SAG in 2000. Ditto, Gillian Anderson ("The X-Files") in 1997 and Edie Falco ("The Sopranos") in 2003. However, all of the following actors failed to repeat at the Emmys soon after sweeping the Globes and SAG: Dennis Franz ("NYPD Blue") in 1995, Anthony Edwards ("ER") in 1998 and Hugh Laurie ("House M.D.") in 2007.

RELATED POSTS

Can Larry David win the Emmy for best comedy actor?

Emmy prediction: 'American Idol' will finally beat 'Amazing Race'

Jimmy Fallon can't wait to put the Emmys behind him?

Photos: Hollywood Foreign Press Assn., Screen Actors Guild, Academy of Television Arts & Sciences

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.


Can Larry David win the Emmy for best comedy actor?

July 21, 2010 |  1:32 pm

"Do not underestimate Larry David!" our forums moderator Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch roared to me via e-mail after seeing that I ranked the star of "Curb Your Enthusiasm" in fifth place out of six nominees when listing the likely Emmy winner of best comedy actor.

Curb_story

It's easy to discount Larry David's current nomination. He's lost three times. But this year might be different, warns Dortch, referring to the sample episode that David submitted to Emmy judges: "He submitted his best tape EVER. He handed in the very first 'Seinfeld' reunion episode of their season where he's battling his former 'Seinfeld' co-workers. I bet voters will get a kick out of all those old 'Seinfeld' chums reuniting. Critics raved over that episode and that helped create an intense media buzz for the show's seventh season. He's definitely in the top three in the category."

Maybe so. Currently, I have likely winners ranked thus:

1. Tony Shalhoub ("Monk")
2. Jim Parsons ("The Big Bang Theory")
3. Alec Baldwin ("30 Rock")
4. Steve Carell ("The Office")
5. Larry David ("Curb Your Enthusiasm")
6. Matthew Morrison ("Glee")

I think Shalhoub's ahead because he gave judges the two-hour series finale of "Monk" in which he finally, after eight seasons, solves his wife's murder. It's four times longer than the other episodes in this category and Shalhoub grandstands emotionally throughout it. He not only has his character's usual ticks and neuroses (which has earned Shalhoub three Emmys) and weeps over his wife's death, but he groans and mugs a lot when Monk is poisoned by his wife's killer.

Voters are usually suckers for that kind of big, operatic performance, but they may be sick of Shalhoub's repeats wins. And they may be eager to catch up with Larry David at last.

Continue reading »

George Clooney to receive special Emmy

July 21, 2010 | 10:07 am

George Clooney will receive a special Emmy Award during the primetime telecast on Aug. 29. He'll be handed the Bob Hope Humanitarian Award to acknowledge his extensive charity work.

Notes the TV academy's press release: "Whether it is his advocacy to stop genocide in Darfur, his subsequent founding of Not On Our Watch with Brad Pitt, Matt Damon, Don Cheadle and Jerry Weintraub to focus global attention and resources on preventing mass atrocities, or quickly mobilizing the entertainment industry for the 'America: A Tribute to Heroes' in the wake of 9/11, 'Tsunami Aid: A Concert of Hope' in 2005, and most recently, the 'Hope For Haiti Now' telethon, Clooney’s personal dedication to humanitarian concerns makes him the ideal choice for this recognition." The "Hope for Haiti Now" telethon, which Clooney hosted, is nominated for best variety special at the Emmys.

Previous recipients of the Bob Hope Humanitarian Award include Oprah Winfrey, Bill Cosby and Danny Thomas.

George-clooney-hope-for-haiti-now

Photo: MTV

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.



Stay Connected:


Advertisement


About the Blogger


Pop & Hiss
Notes on a Season
The Circuit: Awards and Festivals News



Categories


Archives