SAG & AFTRA Nix Non-Union 'The Hobbit': Kiwi & Oz Actors Confront Peter Jackson

By Nikki Finke | Saturday September 25, 2010 @ 1:28pm PDT

UPDATE: A "Member Alert" went out yesterday afternoon from the Screen Actors Guild advising actors not to accept work on the non-union production of The Hobbit. (See below.) It's part of an international showbiz labor effort begun by New Zealand Actors' Equity and its umbrella The Media Entertainment and Arts Alliance headquartered in Australia to go public with a campaign confronting Peter Jackson, the director and producer of the long planned and high profile back-to-back Hobbit movies and filmmakers Three Foot Seven, MGM, and Warner Brothers. NZ Actors' Equity is calling a meeting of actors on Tuesday to bring The Hobbit filmmakers to the negotiating table for a contract providing minimum guarantees on wages and working conditions, residual payments, and cancellation payments to actors engaged on the production. Now, the International Federation of Actors (FIA) is supporting the NZ Equity/MEAA campaign, and last month issued letters to The Hobbit production company Three Foot Seven, Warner Brothers, and MGM seeking a union-negotiated contract to cover all performers on the production. That's why SAG and AFTRA are now involved as well as Actors' Equity, Equity (UK), and equivalent organisations in Australia, Canada and South Africa.

Equity has been trying since 2006 to negotiate minimum guarantees contracts across the film and television industries in New Zealand, but can't get that country's producers organisation SPADA to take part in talks. SPADA says it did agree to a meeting skedded 18 months ago, but nixed an Equity condition that reaching a collective agreement was a requirement for the discussions.

Yesterday afternoon, Three Foot Seven's lawyers issued this statement: "3 Foot 7 has received legal advice that it is not lawful under New Zealand law for 3 Foot 7 to engage in collective bargaining with MEAA or any other labour organisation, regarding performers who are independent contractors. Under the New Zealand Commerce Act it would be unlawful to engage with an Australian union on these matters."

What happens next is anybody's guess. But news reports say Three Foot Seven has been trying to resolve the situation behind closed doors and is pissed it's now being played out internationally.

The long delayed MGM/Warner Bros/New Line project consisting of 2 back-to-back films produced and directed by Peter Jackson recently got a new lease on life. That's because the MGM ownership situation is inching closer to resolution with Spyglass chiefs Roger Birnbaum and Gary Barber about to become MGM co-chairmen/CEOs. So currently underway a pre-packaged bankruptcy proceeding that would convert MGM's debt to equity and remove the $4 billion albatross from around the Lion's neck so that the studio can start roaring to go on films again. The prepackaged bankruptcy not only allows MGM to be restructured but also freezes existing deals for franchises that include the James Bond series and The Hobbit. All this means that The Hobbit, with Peter Jackson at the helm, is able to move forward, with co-financing partner Warner Bros distributing the two films worldwide. But now this union action is a new wrinkle no one expected:

The makers of feature film The Hobbit – to be shot in New Zealand next year – have refused to engage performers on union-negotiated agreements.

Members of Canadian Actors Equity, U.S. Actors Equity, the Screen Actors Guild, UK Actors Equity, the American Federation of Television and Radio Artists, the Media, Entertainment & Arts Alliance (Australia) and the Alliance of Canadian Cinema, Television and Radio Artists are advised not to accept work on this non-union production.

If you are contacted to be engaged on The Hobbit please notify your union immediately.

For more information about this non-union production click here.
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The Hobbit and Engagement of Performers

Background
For some years performers in New Zealand have struggled on non-union contracts. These contracts provide no minimum guarantees of wages or working conditions, no residual payments and no cancellation payments in the event the performer’s contract is cancelled.

In 2006, at the request of New Zealand performers, the Australian union, the Media Entertainment & Arts Alliance (Alliance) opened an office in New Zealand.

Since that time the New Zealand branch of the Alliance has sought to negotiate with both individual producers and with the producers’ association but to no avail.

The International Federation of Actors (FIA), of which the vast majority of performer unions around the world are members, resolved that the time had come for performers around the world to support their colleagues in New Zealand and seek a union contract for all performers on The Hobbit.

Who is FIA?
FIA represents performer unions in 100 countries around the world. Unions represented include the Screen Actors Guild (SAG), the American Federation of Television and Radio Artists (AFTRA), American Actors Equity, the Alliance of Canadian Cinema, Television and Radio Artists (ACTRA), Canadian Actors Equity, Equity UK and the Media Entertainment & Arts Alliance.

FIA’s goal is to advance the interests of performers around the world.

What did FIA decide?
At a recent meeting FIA decided that the situation had persisted long enough and that it was time for action to be taken.

Consequently, FIA resolved as follows:
“Resolved, that the International Federation of Actors urges each of its affiliates to adopt instructions to their members that no member of any FIA affiliate will agree to act in the theatrical film The Hobbit until such time as the producer has entered into a collective bargaining agreement with the Media Entertainment and Arts Alliance for production in New Zealand providing for satisfactory terms and conditions for all performers employed on the productions.”

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RATINGS RAT RACE: 'Blue Bloods' Solid, 'Outlaw' Dives And CW Sci-Fi Duo Rocks

By NELLIE ANDREEVA | Saturday September 25, 2010 @ 10:02am PDT

It was mostly carnage on the first Friday of the season, with NBC's freshman Outlaw barely surviving the transition to Fridays and CBS' veteran CSI: NY and Fox's summer entry The Good Guys also hard-hit in their move to TV's equivalent of a grave yard. But if there is one man impervious to time slots, it's Tom Selleck as loyalists tuned in for the premiere of his new CBS cop drama Blue Bloods, the highest-rated program on TV last night with an audience number rarely seen on Friday night: 13 million. Also logging a strong debut was the reunited CW duo of Smallville and Supernatural. Here is a quick network-by-network round-up:

Where is Ghost Whisperer when you need it? The cancelled drama starring Jennifer Love Hewitt was one of very few series that could open Friday night with a decent number. Still, CBS showed some nice rating build-up hour-to-hour and easily won the night in 18-49 and total viewers. It was successful in bringing in the (mostly older) available audience on Friday night, with two series crossing the 10 million viewer mark, CSI: NY and Blue Bloods. New 8 PM anchor Medium (1.4/5, 6.1 million) was the night's weakest link, down 39% from the season premiere of Ghost Whisperer last fall and down 33% from its own season premiere in the 9 PM last year. (Even at those mediocre rating levels, the ... Read More »

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FIRST BOX OFFICE: 'Wall Street 2' Easy #1

FRIDAY PM: Sources are giving me today's North American grosses and weekend estimates. Numbers will be refined tonight. Analysis coming.

1. Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps (Fox) NEW [3,565 Runs]
Friday $8M, Estimated Weekend $22.5M

2. The Town (Warner Bros) Week 2 [2,885 Runs]
Friday $5.1M (-38%), Estimated Weekend $16M, Estimated Cume $49M

3. Legend Of The Guardians: The Owls (Warner Bros) NEW [3,575 Runs]
Friday $5M, Estimated Weekend $19M

4. Easy A (Screen Gems/Sony) Week 2 [2,856 Runs]
Friday $3.8M (-44%), Estimated Weekend $11.5M, Estimated Cume $44M

5. You Again (Disney) NEW [2,548 Runs]
Friday $3.2M, Estimated Weekend $9.5M

6. Devil (Universal) Week 2 [2,811 Runs]
Friday $2.3M (-52%), Estimated weekend $6.7M, Estimated Cume $22M

7. Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D (Screen Gems/Sony) Week 3 [2,642 Runs]
Friday $1.8M, Estimated Weekend $6M, Estimated Cume $53M

8. Alpha & Omega (Lionsgate) Week 2 [2,625 Runs]
Friday $1.1M (-50%), Estimated Weekend $4.9M, Estimated Cume $15.2M

9. Takers (Screen Gems/Sony) Week 5 [1,413 Runs]
Friday $575K, Estimated Weekend $1.9M, Estimated Cume $55M

10. The American (Focus Features) Week 4 [1,315 Runs]
Friday $400KM, Estimated Weekend $1.3M, Estimated Cume $35M

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Sony UK Acquires 'Jackboots On Whitehall'

The studio’s home entertainment arm has picked up UK rights to the WWII satire. Vertigo Films will release the puppet cartoon theatrically on October 8th. Ewan McGregor voices the hero with Rosamund Pike, Tom Wilkinson, Stephen Merchant, Alan Cumming, Richard E Grant, Timothy Spall, Dominic West, Richard Griffiths, Richard O’Brien and Brit TV comedian Sanjeev Bhaskar doing other voices. Jackboots On Whitehall, tubthumped as Team America meets Inglorious Basterds, opens Raindance Film Festival on September 29th and the San Francisco International Animation Festival on November 11th. Here's the trailer:

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'Judge Judy' Beats 'Oprah'; 'Nightline' Tops 'Late Show' & 'Tonight' For 2009-10 Season

Chalk two up for the underdogs. True, full 52-week season rankings are pretty meaningless because they include the summer off-season numbers that are dragged down by repeats. But Nielsen keeps track of them and just released the data for the official 2009-2010 season which ended Sunday. So Judge Judy topped Oprah in daytime. And ABC's Nightline beat both CBS' The Late Show With David Letterman and NBC's The Tonight Show which switched hosts mid-season. Judy Sheindlin averaged 6.3 million viewers to Oprah Winfrey's 5.7 million, but Oprah's average includes far more repeats. Ditto for Leno/Conan and especially Letterman against Nightline, which was  almost always first-run. Still, this is the first full season victory for Nightline, which averaged 3.7 million viewers, followed by The Late Show (3.6 millon) and The Tonight Show (3.5 million average for the franchise, including The Tonight Show with Conan O'Brien and The Tonight Show with Jay Leno). But in demos, which actually matter, The Tonight Show was No.1. And since Leno's return to The Tonight Show, it has been No.1 in total viewers too, beating Nightline.

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'Big Bang' Is Big North Of The Border, Too

Yet another sign The Big Bang Theory is on track to become the next Friends (See my May column Is 'The Big Bang' The Next 'Friends'?). The comedy series, which had a great debut on CBS last night in the former Friends slot, also scored huge ratings in Canada where it also relocated from Mondays to Thursdays at 8 PM. On CTV, the show drew drew 3.11 million viewers. That is the second most watched comedy series telecast in Canada ever. What is No. 1? The finale of Friends.

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Showtime Reels In Talent: Inks Deals For Projects With Mark Ruffalo & Anthony Edwards, Jeff Daniels & Timothy Busfield

EXCLUSIVE: Two months into the job, Showtime entertainment president David Nevins is already hard at work building a development slate with some big-name auspices. Among the latest to sign up for projects at the pay cable networks are Mark Ruffalo and Anthony Edwards who are working on a drama project together, and Jeff Daniels and Timothy Busfield, who are collaborating on another project, Happily Ever After, which would star Daniels.

Zodiac co-stars Mark Ruffalo and Anthony Edwards co-created and will executive produce the Showtime project. There is hope that they may also star but that is still unclear as Ruffalo's feature commitments may get in the way. Weeds writer/executive producer Roberto Benabib is writing the script set in the morally ambiguous world of media crisis management and centered on two partners running such a firm. CBS TV Studios is producing. It was was during the filming of David Fincher's 2007 movie Zodiac, on which they played partners Inspector David Toschi and Inspector William Armstrong, that Ruffalo and Edwards hit it off and began talking about possibly doing another project together. They remained close and kept bouncing around different ideas for potential TV series until they settled on the one about a crisis management firm and brought in Benabib, who has been developing it with them. The three and Cheryl Dollins will executive produce the project, which expands Benabib's relationship with Showtime ... Read More »

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'In Plain Sight' Taps New Showrunners

By NELLIE ANDREEVA | Friday September 24, 2010 @ 12:48pm PDT

EXCLUSIVE: Ed Decter and John Strauss have signed on as the new executive producers/showrunners on USA Network’s drama In Plain Sight. The There's Something About Mary scribes will succeed John McNamara who served as executive producer/showrunner this past season. McNamara left  the series in the summer for medical reasons. As a result, In Plain Sight’s third season was shortened from 16 to 13 episodes. In July, shortly after the third season wrapped with an average of 5.2 million viewers, 1.8 million in them in the adults 18-49 demographic, USA renewed In Plain Sight for 2 more seasons.

Decter and Strauss’ whose writing credits include the two Santa Claus sequels and the 2007 NBC pilot The Watch, are said to be huge fans of USA's U.S. marshal drama starring Mary McCormack. Despite their expansive comedy background, the two plan to stay true to the show's format and tone while keeping with McCormack's character's witty banter. On the development side, WME-repped Decter and Strauss have Big Mike, a Sony TV/Happy Madison project about a plus-sized detective, in the works at A&E.

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RATINGS RAT RACE: 'Big Bang' Shines, 'CSI' & 'Grey's' Slip, 'My Generation' Flops

UPDATE 1:30 PM: With final Live+Same Day numbers in, several series got a .1 demo rating boost from DVR viewing: CBS' The Big Bang Theory (now 4.9/16 among 18-49) and The Mentalist (3.4/10), and NBC's The Office (4.4/12) and Outsourced (3.6/10). Meanwhile, ABC's Private Practice went down .1 to a 3.2/9, so now The Mentalist is winning the 10 PM hour by a comfortable margin after being tied with Practice in the fast nationals.

9:30 AM: The biggest scheduling gamble this fall has paid off: The Big Bang Theory kicked-off its Thursday run, well, with a big bang. Of the newbies, CBS' $#*! My Dad Says and NBC's Outsourced did solid business, while ABC's new documentary-style drama My Generation was pretty much D.O.A. Besides The Office, all returning series were down year-to-year led by veteran Thursday anchors CSI and Grey's Anatomy, which continued their ratings erosion with second consecutive year-to-year double-digit ratings drop in premiere week. The Apprentice continued to flatline, while NBC's comedy block wasn't bang-ed up too much (get it?) by the new comedy competition. Here is a network-by-network rundown:

The fourth season premiere of The Big Bang Theory scored a 4.8/15 among adults 18-49 and 14 million viewers. That was up 4% in the demo from the series' premiere behind Two and a Half Men on Monday last fall and a whooping 37% in the demo from the season ... Read More »

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JEFF ZUCKER FIRED BY STEVE BURKE: Comcast "Wanted To Move On" After Merge; NBCU Chief Emails Staff About Forced Exit

BREAKING NEWS! 6TH UPDATE: Jeff Zucker decided to reveal he'd been fired by Comcast this morning because he'd just finished negotiating his severance package, insiders explain to me. So Zucker told reporters that the decision for him to leave as head of NBC Universal was made for him by Comcast COO Steve Burke 2 weeks ago during a face-to-face meeting. “He made it clear that they wanted to move on at the close of the deal and I was completely comfortable with that,” Zucker told his favorite journalist, Bill Carter of The New York Times. “We had both gotten to the same place.” It has long been expected that, once NBCU switched out of GE's control where Zucker was inexplicably protected by CEO Jeffrey Immelt,  the savvy Comcast brass would recognize how badly the NBCU topper had "Zucked-up" his job. (I scooped how, during Zucker's mishandling of the Conan O'Brien-Jay Leno Tonight Show situation, private emails went out from high-level executives at Comcast saying, "What a mess.")

But General Electric, a company that used to prize only excellence, kept rewarding Zucker's failures. Then again, Zucker was embarrassingly proud that he kept managing for margins, not programming for ratings. So NBC eventually stood for Nothing But Crap. When he got beat up by the media, he decided that the company should go to DEFCON 1 (the defense readiness condition representing expectation of an imminent attack) and set up a PR War Room filled with flacks to fight back. As a way to cover his ass in the event Comcast did kick him to the curb, Zucker earlier this year bizarrely sent up a trial balloon that he might run for public office instead of run NBCU. Now that he's odd man out, no one is taking up a collection: Immelt bestowed on Zucker a new 3-year contract so Comcast had to negotiate a rich payout.

Zucker told senior staff later this morning it would be "business as usual" for him until Comcast took control of NBCU. But he ran to whine to NYT's Bill Carter, who's generally recognized as a suck-up to network moguls. (Carter is writing a book about the Late Night Follies involving Conan O'Brien and Jay Leno and David Letterman that's a sequel to his Late Shift. So the NYTimesman had worked overtime to ingratiate himself with Zucker.) Today, the NBCU chief described his forced exit as both “incredibly emotional” and “gut-wrenching" because he'd spent half his life at NBC. In previous interviews with journalists, Zucker had demonstrated considerable bravado and misplaced arrogance that "of course" he would run NBCU after Comcast took control of 51%. (He even made a bet with me that he'd still be NBCU's media mogul two months after the merger. Hey, Jeff, I win!)

But today, Zucker backpeddled. “Look, I knew from the day this was announced that this was a possibility,” he told Carter. “I wasn’t going to shut the door on anything. But in the last nine months it became increasingly clear that they did want to put their own team in place — and I didn’t want to end up being a guest in my own house.”

What's incredible, and demonstrates how much he's still in denial, is that Zucker told Carter he did not detect “any particular reason” for Burke firing him beyond Comcast's wanting to make a change.

There is no doubt that Zucker's legacy in Hollywood will be as one of the most disliked executives ever to head a Big Media company. His rival moguls laughed at his humiliations. The agents and managers and lawyers treated him like a buffoon. Even his own NBC show 30 Rock and anointed late night comic Jay Leno made jokes at his expense every chance they got. And each time he made an error in judgment, which seemed like all the time, he never paid a price for his mistakes, which made "Zucked" and "Zuckered" part of the media lexicon. That's also why Zucker earned the moniker, "Teflon Jeff".

Zucker's firing followed what I reported was a "charm offensive" he launched back in May. The NBCU chief tried to demonstrate he was a new and supposedly improved Zucker, a nicer Zucker, and not the thin-skinned humorless bully of a boss which the journalism and showbiz communities have come to know and dislike and ridicule. "He's being so nice to everyone, so friendly, a more lovable guy," one top TV agent described Zucker to me after Universal boss Ron Meyer's Easter party, then added presciently, "It's because he knows he's out."

Indeed, the concensus was that Zucker's charm offensive was really a defensive maneuver. It included taking full and sole responsibility for NBC broadcast network's recent years in the ratings cellar. And failing to fire programming chief Ben Silverman a year earlier (though the boss still defended hiring that putz in the first place). And believing he could "reinvent" pilot season by getting away with spending little on new show development last year (though he defends spending heavily on this year's pilot season). And installing Conan as Jay's successor in late night wheen Leno was #1 and then putting Leno in primetime (though he defends replacing O'Brien as host of The Tonight Show).

Zucker was a wunderkind executive producer of The Today Show when, in December 2000, he was named NBC entertainment president to replace Garth Ancier, following a shaky start for the network that fall. But there were plenty of shaky fall launches for NBC under Zucker’s watch as NBC slipped from No. 1 to No. 4 in the ratings and failed to launch big noisy hit shows to succeed Friends and ER. Instead, Zucker embraced cheap and schlocky reality TV that undermined NBC's quality brand. After a brief stint learning the ropes of the entertainment division where his biggest contribution was "supersizing" the network’s established Thursday comedies, Zucker quickly and surprisingly moved out and up. Eventually he replaced Bob Wright as CEO of NBC Universal. In that position, he presided over the downfall of the NBC broadcast network. He still can't get it right. Even after spending enormously on primetime scripted development for this fall, NBC’s new lineup has been a mixed bag so far, with newcomers like The Event and Outsourced showing promise while Undercovers and Chase are lagging behind.

With nothing good to report ever about NBC Entertainment, Zucker liked to take credit for growing NBCU’s empire. The farflung cable division run by Bonnie Hammer remains a big revenue driver, providing 80% of NBCU’s $2.3 billion in profits for last year. But, really, Zucker by buying up cable properties (Oxygen, The Weather Channel, etc) has just been following the cable road mapped out by predeccessor Bob Wright to counter broadcast's steep slide -- yet taking credit for reinventing the wheel that drove NBCU there.

3RD UPDATE 8:10 AM: Still, the timing is a shocker. How bizarre that Zucker made the announcement to his staff this morning even though Comcast won't clear regulatory hurdles until First Quarter 2011 at the earliest. Read More »

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Netflix and NBCU Expand TV Streaming Deal

Netflix and NBC Universal announced an expanded license agreement through which Netflix members can watch a selection of broadcast series from the NBC television network and – for the first time on Netflix – content from some of NBC Universal's cable channels. The multi-year deal kicks off next week. Available are:

Read More »

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Cung Le Ready To Rumble in 'Dragon Eyes'

EXCLUSIVE: Mixed martial arts star Cung Le has been set to star in Dragon Eyes, an MMA-themed action crime drama that Joel Silver's Dark Castle is producing with Courtney Solomon's After Dark Films. Shooting begins next month in Baton Rouge. Cung Le plays a myst rious man who comes from an impoverished part of New Orleans to unite two warring gangs against the corrupt lawmen who've been using them. It's a modernization of the Kurosawa film Yojimbo. Tim Tori wrote the script.

Cung has been World Middleweight Strike Force champion, and is a former national champ in Shotokan Karate. Since signing with Gersh, he has starred in the Chinese language pic Bodyguards and Assassins, and recently starred opposite Dennis Quaid and Ben Foster in Pandorum. Read More »

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CNN Shakeup: Jon Klein Out, Ken Jautz In

CNN is a ratings mess right now, and the cable news channel is bringing in the guy who talent-scouted Glenn Beck, Nancy Grace, and Joy Behar to fix it. It's getting its clocked cleaned by Fox News, and TPTB finally are doing something about it. But is it too late? CNN today announced that 6-year president Jonathan Klein is being replaced by sister channel HLN's Ken Jautz, who now becomes the EVP of CNN/U.S. At one time known as Headline News, HLN is now the scandal channel -- and ratings have surged. What this portends for bland and boring CNN I don't even wanna predict. Chief marketer Scot Safon will take over HLN.

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Simon Cowell’s 4th UK ‘X Factor’ Scandal

The X Factor boss has allowed one contestant to stay on the show despite knowing she's a hooker. “We haven’t banned prostitutes,” Cowell said. “If a person applies to The X Factor, it’s obvious they want to do something better with their life.” Nineteen year old Chloe Mafia (real name Chloe Heald) told judges she was jobless, and got through to the boot-camp stage despite audience boos. Tabloid newspapers are currently negotiating five-figure deals with the teenager about her more than 140 arrests. There's already been scandal after scandal, some about  audio enhancements used on the talent show. But, as Cowell knows, there’s no such thing as bad publicity.The X Factor, produced by Cowell's production company Syco, is pulling in its highest Saturday night ratings of the series so far. The 5th episode of the singing competition peaked with an audience of nearly 13 million on ITV1 and a 52% audience share.

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Oscar Contenders, Part 2: Now For The Hopefuls That Didn't Hit Fall Fest Circuit

Passing the giant Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps billboard at the Pico Blvd entrance to 20th Century Fox, I noticed the words “Academy Award” prominently mentioned no less than five times. Academy Award Winner Michael Douglas. Academy Award Nominee Josh Brolin. Academy Award Winner Susan Sarandon. Academy Award Nominee Frank Langella. Academy Award Nominee Carey Mulligan. Not so subtly, making an early bid like this to find any way to associate the Academy Awards and an opening movie this time of year can be a smart marketing strategy. It's a way to establish a new film as a contender amid the endless glut of generally still-sight-unseen Oscar wannabes.

With that in mind, I continue my rundown of award hopefuls. I started last week with an assessment of Oscar chances for the films that had just appeared at any or all of the three Fall Film Festivals in Venice, Telluride, and Toronto. I began that list with Friday’s New York Film Festival opener The Social Network. Now comes, in order of scheduled release date, the trickier proposition of forecasting the awards status of films that weren't unveiled at a Fall Fest but will be opening before the end of the year:

WALL STREET: MONEY NEVER SLEEPS (Twentieth Century Fox - 9/24) On paper, with its timely theme, this is exactly the kind of popular drama with an Oscar-heavy cast and director that the 10 Best Picture nominations would tend to favor. Well-received in Cannes last May, it still  hasn’t generated  the kind of serious buzz which fall fest entries like Social Network, The King’s Speech, and Black Swan all managed. Oscar Chance: Bearish, since sequels rarely compete and Oliver Stone’s 1987 original received just a single nomination -- and won Best Actor for Michael Douglas. His bigger-than-life Gekko remains its best chance to jump in the race, particularly with goodwill for the actor running high due to his cancer and memories of his acclaimed work in the indie Solitary Man still fresh from earlier this year. Never-nominated Eli Wallach, 95, might have had a shot for his small but indelible role. But he’s already getting an Honorary Oscar in November.

NOWHERE BOY (The Weinstein Co - 10/8) This story of the young John Lennon opened last Christmas in England and has already hit British Airways and Blu-ray but is craftily timed for U.S. release the day before what would have been the musician’s 70th birthday. Oscar Chance: Both female co-stars Kristin Scott Thomas and Anne-Marie Duff were BAFTA nominees last season and might have a long shot in the Supporting Actress category if Weinstein does any sort of serious campaign for this.

SECRETARIAT (Walt Disney Pictures - 10/8) This emotion stirring crowd-pleasing story of the 1973 Triple Crown winner and the woman who wouldn’t give up on him could appeal to the same feel-good contingent that made The Blind Side such a player last year. Oscar Chance: Diane Lane and John Malkovich could figure in acting races. While sound, cinematography, music, and Best Picture nominations are not out of the question. If 2003’s Seabiscuit, which landed 7 nominations including the big one back when there were only five slots, could do it, then it should be a breeze for this horse. But Disney has to campaign just as aggressively as Universal did back then.

COMPANY MEN (The Weinstein Co - 10/22) There hasn’t been a whole lot of buzz on this John Wells written and directed title since it debuted to mixed reviews in Sundance. But this of-the-moment drama about the effect of corporate downsizing on three men has a strong cast that includes past Oscar winners Ben Affleck, Tommy Lee Jones, and Chris Cooper. Oscar Chance: A longshot that needs to step up its awards game or risk downsizing to also-ran status against stiff competition.

WELCOME TO THE RILEYS (Samuel Goldwyn - 10/29) Fine acting from James Gandolfini, Melissa Leo, and Kristen Stewart highlight this drama about the effect that a young runaway has on a married couple. Oscar Chance: This quiet and effective drama was a Sundance success. But it's likely to be more prominent at the Spirits than the Oscars.

FAIR GAME (Summit - 11/5)  The hot button Valerie Plame/CIA leak story gets the cinematic treatment from director Doug Liman. It played well to critics in competition at Cannes in May but has been dormant on the Fall Festival circuit. Oscar Chance: It has two stars, Sean Penn and Naomi Watts, who are usually Academy bait. But so far neither is generating much heat in the highly competitive lead actor and actress races. Perhaps that will change when the film gets its second shot at glory just after election day. Of course, Penn already has a couple of Oscars.

FOR COLORED GIRLS (Lionsgate - 11/5) Except for the trailer, no one’s really yet seen this Tyler Perry adaptation of Ntozake Shange’s 1975 play with the longer title For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide When The Rainbow Is Enuf. But apparently Lionsgate has enuf confidence to push the release right up to the start date of the film industry’s official holiday movie season. Oscar Chance: Perry’s a cash cow for Lionsgate but he’s got no Oscar cred yet except for an AMPAS membership card. Last year, this distributor scored 6 nominations and 2 Oscars with  Precious (which Perry supported by lending his name). But can lightning strike twice?

HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 1 (Warner Bros - 11/19) The mega-box office Harry Potter series begins its wrap party with the first of a 2-part finale. Oscar Chance: These films are usually good for one or two technical nods but haven’t broken through into the marquee categories. If Harry has any shot at pulling a Lord Of The Rings-style victory lap, it’s probably with the more emotionally potent Part 2 which gets a July release.

THE NEXT THREE DAYS (Lionsgate - 11/19) Oscar-winner Paul Haggis co-wrote and directed this thriller about the turmoil in a couple’s life after the wife is accused of murder. Russell Crowe, Liam Neeson, and Elizabeth Banks star. Oscar Chance: Although Haggis and Lionsgate last struck Oscar gold together with Crash, this one is said to be a strictly commercial bet with no similar awards trajectory. Read More »

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More Change For UK Film Organizations

The Daily Telegraph has been leaked a list of 177 taxpayer-funded agencies to be abolished by the new British government. There's a question mark over the British Council, which promotes UK film culture abroad. And the Film Industry Training Board, chaired by A-Team producer Iain Smith, is set to be privatised. (Smith told me the government’s decision came out of the blue. “We are now trying to establish what it might involve.”) The BBC World Service just announced Read More »

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Thank You, The Guardian, From #90

The Guardian newspaper today published its inaugural Film Power 100 list, which places me at #90 among people able to shape the experience of film-viewing in the UK. I'm honored. (Deadline|London began at the start of 2010.)

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Major Management Shakeup At Reveille

It didn't take long for new Shine Group Americas CEO Emiliano Calemzuk to put his stamp on Reveille with a major executive move. Calemzuk, who joined Shine last month, has reshuffled the top management at the Shine-owned company: co-managing director Howard T. Owens will now run the company solo as managing director, while  co-managing director Mark Koops is leaving. Additionally, executive producer Robin Ashbrook has been promoted to the newly created role of Head of Non-Scripted Entertainment. Koops is pursuing a new venture, which will be announced shortly, Shine said. “This is a re-structure that will equip Reveille for the next period of its growth," Calemzuk said. In a similar fashion, 3 weeks after taking over Fox TV Studios as president in 2007, Calemzuk shook up the company's top management by axing 3 department heads. Read More »

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R.I.P. Eddie Fisher

Reliable sources tell me that Eddie Fisher has died. He was 82. [UPDATE: His daughter, Tricia Leigh Fisher of Los Angeles, told the AP that he died Wednesday night at his Berkeley home of complications from hip surgery.] The singer and entertainer and TV star of his own show and co-star of films Bundle Of Joy and Butterfield 8 had his heyday in the 1950s. In 1953 Fisher was given his own 15-minute TV show called Coke Time, sponsored by the Coca-Cola company; it was so popular that Coke then offered Eddie an unprecedented $1 million contract to be their national spokesperson. But Fisher is best known for having been married to Debbie Reynolds, Elizabeth Taylor, and Connie Stevens and for fathering multitalent Carrie Fisher and TV actress Joely Fisher. He created quite the worldwide scandal when he dumped his first wife, America's sweetheart Reynolds, to marry his best friend's widow, America's sex symbol Taylor, who then dumped him for Richard Burton. Fisher became reviled and his career never recovered. (The two women later mocked Fisher in a thinly veiled TV movie about their relationship.) Fisher wrote two autobiographies which prompted Carrie to declare: "That's it. I'm having my DNA fumigated."

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SAG National Majority Increases Numbers In Results Of 2010 National Board Elections: Ex-SAG Prez Alan Rosenberg Loses Seat

2ND UPDATE: Hollywood can most likely expect a quick and easy negotiation when the Screen Actors Guild joins with AFTRA to negotiate with the studios and networks starting Monday. It also looks more than likely that SAG will merge with AFTRA soon. That's because the so-called pro-moderation and pro-merger SAG National Majority -- consisting of Unite For Strength (U4S) based in Hollywood and the United Screen Actors Nationwide (USAN) consisting of the NY Division and Regional reps -- today strengthened its grip over the big actors union. Usually, those SAG candidates who are also well-known actors fare better in these guild elections. But today's election results show that rival faction Membership First lost all 13 of its open seats on the 71-member national board, including such well-known incumbents as controversial ex-SAG president Alan Rosenberg, Nancy Sinatra, Valerie Harper, Frances Fisher, and Esai Morales. (Harper and Morales are Alternates.)

So, at least among the small percentage of SAG's 125,000 membership that actually sent in ballots (less than in recent years), this was a clear repudiation of Membership First's years of pursuing a hardball negotiating strategy against the AMPTP and a hardline stand against SAG merging with AFTRA.

Now U4S, which came to power just 2 years ago, and its national majority coalition have extended their margin of control over SAG’s policy-setting National Board to about 80% of the votes. UFS will also assume control of the Guild’s Hollywood Division Board, with 75% of the votes. Its better-known winning candidates included Ron Perlman, Gabrielle Carteris, Jeff Garlin, Michael O'Keefe for 3-year terms, and DW Moffett with a 1-year term.

"SAG members have spoken decisively and what they're saying couldn't be more clear - they voted for merger," SAG president Ken Howard, a U4S member, said in a U4S-issued statement after election results were announced. "I'm looking forward to working with all the re-elected and newly elected board members, and our partners at AFTRA, to make one union happen."

U4S leader Ned Vaughn, who remains just an Alternate for the SAG National Board, called it a "landslide affirmation of Unite for Strength’s goal of uniting SAG and AFTRA as a single performers’ union." He noted that SAG's Hollywood Division members today elected 13 U4S candidates to serve on the Guild’s National Board of Directors, and another 20 of the group’s candidates to serve on the SAG Hollywood Board. U4S candidates won 33 of the 35 total seats at stake in Hollywood. "All the candidates elected in the Guild’s New York and Regional Branch Divisions also support the move to one union."

This coming Monday, SAG and AFTRA will begin jointly bargaining their TV/Theatrical Contract with the AMPTP for 7 weeks, followed by the DGA in mid-November. No date has yet been set for the WGA, whose contract ends May 1, 2011, but the moguls and the AMPTP intend to negotiate with the writers last to ensure there's the most Hollywood pressure on them. At present, SAG/AFTRA and the DGA are trading information, but not with the WGA despite last year's talk about all the Hollywood guilds cooperating. Both SAG/AFTRA and the DGA have made it their priority to achieve gains in health and pension, and much less so in wages and New Media. This, despite the fact that Big Media just reported bigger profits this past quarter and better forecasts for the rest of 2010 and also 2011.

The major election issue this time around was exactly how actors should be unionized. U4S and USAN are content to join with AFTRA as is and become one union. However, Membership First has long opposed a combined union with AFTRA because the smaller predominantly represents broadcasters and is simple to join. MF believes that instead all actors should belong to one big union.

But MF was demoralized and disorganized during this latest campaign so it's no surprise it lost further ground. This was also the first SAG election under the non-disparagement gag order with AFTRA. So any open debate was nonexistent. Even the hot button issue of the SAG National Majority standing idly by last spring while AFTRA poached 38 new broadcast scripted TV series for the 2010-2011 season, compared to SAG's single new show, never received attention. Read More »

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