Consumer Optimism: Unwarranted or Inevitable?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended this May down 7.9% for the month, its largest monthly decline since February 2009 and the biggest percentage drop for May since 1940. However, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan gauge of consumer sentiment showed that consumers’ view of the state of the U.S. economy actually became more optimistic in May. Between April and May of this year, the gauge rose 1.4, from 72.2 in April to 73.6 in May. According to an article by the Wall Street Journal, the rise in consumer optimism is derived entirely from consumers’ more positive outlook regarding the direction of the economy. But with stock prices swinging wildly and all three major markets – Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ Composite, and S&P 500 Index – in the red for the year, is this consumer optimism misplaced?