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User Guide to ECMWF Forecast Products > 
 Sensitive areas for forecast errors  Introduction  
   

The Ensemble Prediction System (EPS)

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Preface
Presentation of ECMWF
The ECMWF global atmospheric model
The data assimilation system
Why do forecasts go wrong?
The Ensemble Prediction System (EPS)
The forecast products
The verification of ECMWF forecasts
The deterministic use of ECMWF forecasts
The use of the Ensemble Prediction forecasts
Comments on the use of statistical interpretation
Forecasts beyond ten days
Epilogue
References and further literature
Appendix A: 4DVAR - an elementary introduction
Appendix B: The mathematics of forecast errors
Appendix C: The Brier Score
 
 



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 Sensitive areas for forecast errors  Introduction  
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