New Format to Advanced Scouting Reports on 48MoH

Since I have now covered 27 of the 29 teams in my “Advanced Scouting” section of 48minutesofhell, I decided to include a few more details on my game previews. Because of the faster update frequency, I am including data from basketball-reference.com instead of 82games.com. I hope to soon add some of my own statistical metrics [...]

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Team chemistry- reduction in performance after switching teams

This week, I will post an article analyzing whether or not the Spurs should anticipate a bounce back year from Richard Jefferson. In order to test whether or not players who switched teams struggled in their first year and if they regained their prior level of performance in later years, I used regression analysis to [...]

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Estimating Skill Curves

Please note that I have made some simplifications to my previously released model and the new results are displayed at the end of this article. The results do not change the results significantly and can be subject to fluctuation applying different variables in different transformations. I believe this model is more straightforward and easier to [...]

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2011 NBA season preview

Today, I posted my NBA season preview for the 2010/11 season. At the end of the post you can find my projected win totals for each team. I also look at Rookie Preseason performances over the past 5 years. In the post, you can find a comparison of the Miami Heat to other teams with [...]

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Preseason – What you see is what you’ll get

Today I am publishing a post about the importance of the NBA preseason. In an effort to spare some of the casual fans from the gory details of my analysis, but to allow other inquisitive fans the opportunity to see how I came to my conclusions, I will post some of my work here. An [...]

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Whose Defense Creates the Most Offense

This Monday, I will release a post detailing the NBA leaders for fastbreak points resulting from steals. I detail lists by player and by team and take a closer look at the Spurs. I will quickly discuss some of the underlying details of my results on this Basketball-Analysis post. The following table details scoring efficiency [...]

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Is reducing workload an effective way to increase value?

Today, I published an article looking into whether or not players who play more minutes and games early in their career tend to burn out at higher rates. (The answer is yes.) I estimate magnitudes and look at possible causes. I also look into effectively reducing workload while maximizing value. Please click on the following [...]

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Spurs lead international market

For those of you who missed it, last week I wrote an article about the international market over the last dozen years. I discuss which teams had the most draft picks, the most international players and the most minutes played by foreign players. Surprisingly, I find that there is a trend among teams with many [...]

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Writing for 48minutesofHell

Beginning this week, I will be writing the Spur’s blog for ESPN TrueHoop entitled 48minutesofhell.com. I am very excited for this opportunity and hope to write more intelligent, insightful and creative analysis for 48MoH. I will continue to maintain basketball-analysis.com and will publish articles for 48MoH on basketball-analysis.com. In addition, there are statistics and summaries [...]

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Allocating free throws and turnovers by assists and shot type

One of the many shortfalls of NBA play by play data is that there is little effort given to differentiating between types of shots leading to the drawing of shooting and penalty free throws. In the unusual event of an “and one”, the shot type can typically be determined and the number of free throws [...]

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