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April 28, 2011
Soccer :

Quantifying the Bias of Arsenal’s Referees vs. The Rest of the League’s Clubs: From Zach Slaton of A Beautiful Numbers Game, here’s a math-heavy attempt to measure if Arsenal is receiving different treatment from officials.

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Soccer :

The Mystery of the Vanishing Fouls: Why are fouls called so infrequently in MLS? Chris Anderson of Soccer By The Numbers investigates.

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Soccer :

CONCACAF Coefficients: Howard Hamilton of Soccermetrics lists country and club coefficients through the end of CONCACAF Champions League 2010-11.

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Soccer :

MLS Offensive Rates at Different Scorelines: Sounder At Heart has splits for MLS offensive rate stats by score differential.

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Hockey :

BtN Cards: New player cards from Behind the Net.ca.

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Hockey :

Playoff Previews: Detroit vs. San Jose from Hockey Prospectus; Vancouver vs. Nashville from HPro and On The Forecheck.

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Hockey :

Playoff Fenwick Score Tied Update: BtN with the updated numbers through Wednesday’s games.

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Football :

Quarterbacks by the Numbers: Danny Kelly of Field Gulls provides a graphical view of the top QB prospects.

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Football :

Big-name RBs over-valued by NFL: Running back prospects are overrated on draft day, writes Todd DeVries of CHFF.

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Football :

Risk in the Draft: A couple of discussions on risk and the NFL Draft – first, Analytic Football’s Ben Alamar looks at the risks in drafting QBs; then Keith Goldner of Drive-By Football has a more general take on draft picks and variability.

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Basketball :

NBA Hex Colors: DStats has a neat table with hex colors for each NBA team’s scheme.

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Basketball :

Paint Patrol: Kevin Pelton of BBall Prospectus writes about Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins’ impact on the OKC defense.

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Basketball :

Star Turns: Stars are dominating playoff scoring, according to Dan Feldman of BBall Prospectus.

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Basketball :

The Playoffs Have Made LeBron James More Careful With the Ball: LeBron’s turnover rate has dipped in the playoffs, writes Rob Mahoney at the NY Times.

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Basketball :

Spoelstra, Heat not buying ‘hot hand’ theory «: At SI’s Point Forward, Zach Lowe reports that the Heat have taken the stathead’s approach to the theory of the “hot hand”.

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Basketball :

Super Mario leads Heat past 76ers: Chalmers keyed the Heat’s Game 5 victory, according to ESPN’s Stats & Info.

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Basketball :

Pacer Wages: Two Indiana links from the Wages of Wins today – First, Andres Alvarez’s review of the Chicago-Indiana series; then Ian Levy’s keys to the Pacers’ summer.

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Baseball :

Keeping Score: The Most Important Skill for a Leadoff Hitter: Writing for the NY Times, Neil Paine writes about basic sabermetric strategy for leadoff hitters.

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Baseball :

What’s Wrong with Liriano?: At Baseball Analytics, David Pinto examines the PITCHf/x data on Francisco Liriano’s rough start.

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Baseball :

Too Many Sliders?: Eno Sarris of Fangraphs wonders if slider-heavy pitchers are more likely to get hurt than fastball-heavy ones.

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Baseball :

Undefeated Angel: BP’s Jeremy Greenhouse delves into the PITCHf/x data to explain Jered Weaver’s dominating 2011 start.

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Baseball :

Full On Double Wildcard: What Does This Mean?: At Beyond the Box Score, CSJ takes a look at the new playoff proposal and its implications.

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Baseball :

Has Kyle Davies Release Point Changed? Does it Matter?: Royals Review’s Connor Moylan finds subtle differences in Davies’ mechanics and peripherals vs. last season.

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Baseball :

“Player Trees” from The Platoon Advantage: Check out these ‘player trees’, graphical depictions of how Chuck Knoblauch and Glenn Davis are still affecting the Twins and Astros, respectively.

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Baseball :

Were the triple crown winners the best players?: At B-R, Andy K. looked at whether triple-crown winners were actually the league’s best players by WAR.

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Baseball :

Using (Bad) Luck To Your Advantage: Roto Hardball’s Michael Barr finds the players who have been luckiest and unluckiest on batted balls.

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Baseball :

Do Good Minor League Systems Lead to Major League Success? Part 1: BtB’s Scott McKinney examines the correlation between a good minor-league system and wins at the MLB level.

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Baseball :

The numbers behind a catch and a just-miss: Mark Simon of ESPN’s Stats & Info breaks down BABIP by fly ball hangtime, as it relates to Brent Lillibridge’s game-saving catch on Tuesday.

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Baseball :

Rookie Leaderboards: David Appelman introduces a new feature at Fangraphs’ leaderboards.

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Baseball :

The Myth of the Golden Age: Hop in the BP Wayback Machine for this 2007 Dan Fox piece on the improvement of baseball over time.

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Baseball :

Does Roberto Alomar belong in the Hall of Fame?: With Alomar enshrined, THT’s Steven Booth wonders how his career stands up next to those of other HoF second basemen.

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Baseball :

Cahill’s adjustments: At THT, Lucas Apostoleris compares PITCHf/x data between Trevor Cahill’s 2011, 2010, and 2009.

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Baseball :

Brandon McCarthy: Mechanical changes for the better?: THT’s Kyle Boddy reviews the video and PITCHf/x data on McCarthy’s new delivery.

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Baseball :

Ethier’s Adjustment: David Pinto of Baseball Analytics explains how Andre Ethier adjusted to opponents pitching him away.

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April 27, 2011
Hockey :

Was St. Patrick Clutch Or Not?: Was Patrick Roy a clutch goalie? HPro’s Philip Myrland takes a closer look.

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Football :

New England Patriots Lead Pack in Stockpiling Valuable Picks: At the WSJ’s Daily Fix, Carl Bialik counts up how much the Pats’ 9 picks are worth in Approximate Value.

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Hockey :

The Underrated Pavel Datsyuk: Hockey Prospectus’ Tom Awad gives some love to the criminally underrated Red Wings center.

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Hockey :

Hockey Numbers’ Round 2 Previews: Chris Boersma’s stat previews for Detroit vs. San Jose and Vancouver vs. Nashville

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Football :

Does a player’s speech predict how he’ll perform in the NFL?: Michael Agger of Slate Magazine puts the spotlight on a company that tries to tie language patterns to performance.

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Football :

No “passing leader” has won the Super Bowl: Chase Stuart of PFR notes that no QB led the league in pass yds & won the SB in the same season.

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Basketball :

Coping With Powerful Distractions: Hardwood Paroxysm’s Danny Savitzky on the importance of crunch time.

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Basketball :

Visualizing the Brightest Stars in the NBA: DStats with a graphic showing the players who had the most great games this season.

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Basketball :

The list: NBA head coaching candidates: An extremely detailed list of possible coaching candidates for 2012, courtesy of TrueHoop’s Henry Abbott.

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Basketball :

Memphis Grizzlies’ Tony Allen deserves credit: ESPN’s John Hollinger highlights Allen’s great defensive play.

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Basketball :

2011 Internet Basketball Awards – Results: Kevin Pelton presents the results of the 2011 IBBA voting.

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Basketball :

Home Sweet Home: Hoopdata notes on Tuesday’s action, from Jeff Fogle.

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Basketball :

Shaq vs. Darko: Losing ugly: Henry Abbott consults the advanced stats, looking for some way in which Darko Milicic was superior to Shaquille O’Neal.

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Baseball :

Is Haren-Weaver The AL’s Best Pitching Duo?: That’s the question being posed at BtB by Satchel Price.

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Baseball :

Predicting Shutdowns And Saves: Fangraphs’ Bradley Woodrum looks at the correlation between bullpen quality and overall team performance.

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Baseball :

Two Alex Gonzalez Career Profiles: Minor League Ball’s John Sickels profiles the two Alex Gonzalezes who patrolled the shortstop position during the late 90s and 2000s.

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Baseball :

Diagnosing Rafael Soriano’s Woes: Steve Slowinski of Fangraphs uses PITCHf/x to determine what’s gone wrong for Soriano this year.

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Baseball :

The Guillen Number: Writing for ESPN’s SweetSpot blog, Christina Kahrl looks at the ChiSox’s “Guillen Number” (the percentage of runs scored via HR).

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Baseball :

Johnny Damon and the Hall of Fame: Matt Klaassen of Fangraphs lays out Damon’s HoF case.

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Baseball :

FanGraphs Live at SABR41 in LA: Fangraphs’ annual event will be at the same venue as the SABR Convention in Long Beach this July.

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Baseball :

BOB:  The empire takes over the Dodgers: Brian Borawski’s latest Business of Baseball report covers the big news in L.A.

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Baseball :

Is Ubaldo Jimenez the Rockies Worst Starting Pitcher?: As strange as that question would have sounded last year, BtB’s Dave Gershman lays out a convincing case.

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Baseball :

Regress, Regress I Say!: An In-Season Batter Regression Calculator, courtesy of Bill Petti and BtB.

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Baseball :

What does XBT% really tell us?: Andy K. of B-R wonders about the significance of XBT%, the percentage of extra bases taken.

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Baseball :

Marse Joe’s last hurrah: Steve Treder of THT looks back at Joe McCarthy’s last season as an MLB manager.

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Baseball :

Sabermetricians: Help!: Sports Central’s Brad Oremland has questions for all of the saberists out there.

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Baseball :

Hot and cold hitters thus far: From THT’s Rory Paap, the title says it all.

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Baseball :

Return of the Up-the-Middlemen: BP’s Jay Jaffe studies whether defensive performance from a certain grouping of fielders is of extra importance.

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Baseball :

A Soria Subject: Mike Fast of BP breaks down Joakim Soria’s apparent 2011 decline.

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Baseball :

BABIP Bugaboos: Posada and Figgins have taken 2 wildly different routes to their bad BABIPs, writes BP’s Craig Brown.

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Baseball :

Be very afraid of Jose Bautista: David Schoenfield of SweetSpot has numbers suggestion Bautista might be the most “feared” hitter in MLB.

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Baseball :

Ethier sets April hit streak record: According to ESPN’s Stats & Info, Andre Ethier now has the longest April hit streak in MLB history.

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Baseball :

Top Two Strike Hitters: Baseball Analytics’ Jonathan Scippa lists 2011′s top wOBA performers with 2 strikes.

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Baseball :

Where do winning pitchers come from?: David Schoenfield of SweetSpot looked at each team’s winningest pitchers since 2001, noting how many were home-grown.

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Baseball :

Save rule has skewed skippers’ thinking: MLB.com’s Matthew Leach on the unintended consequences of the save rule.

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Baseball :

Chipper Jones becomes 52nd player to reach 500 doubles: Via HardballTalk, a milestone for Chipper.

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April 26, 2011
Basketball :

Is it too Late for the Spurs?: Wayne Winston of Mathletics thinks so, but he uses +/- to show that it didn’t have to be that way. Also of note: Winston’s playoff team ratings.

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Soccer :

European Champions League (Graphically Speaking): The NY Times’ Goal blog presents Hyperakt’s view of the Champions League.

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Soccer :

The Timing of Cards Across Leagues: On Football’s Sarah Rudd examines how quickly referees from various leagues are willing to whistle players for fouls in a given game.

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Hockey :

Building Around Goalies: Matthew Coller of Hockey Prospectus wonders whether teams should build around the “hot goalie”, or just put the best defense in front of him.

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Hockey :

Getting Defensive: Atlanta Thrashers: BtN’s Benjamin Wendorf breaks down the Thrashers’ D-man usage over the course of the season.

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Football :

Interview with Aaron Schatz: Jason Lisk of The Big Lead chats with the founder and President of Football Outsiders.

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Basketball :

Series of unfortunate events: ESPN’s John Hollinger looks at seven unpredictable developments that have shaped the 1st round.

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Basketball :

A Gambler’s Grind in the NBA: David Hill of Negative Dunkalectics profiles gambler-turned-NBA-consultant-turned-gambler Haralabos Voulgaris.

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Basketball :

Crying Foul: Ian Levy of Hickory High confirms that stars get more calls in the playoffs than their less-accomplished counterparts.

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Basketball :

StatsCube: The No-Stats Playoff MVPs: John Schuhmann of NBA.com uses StatsCube to identify unsung heroes of the 2011 playoffs.

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Basketball :

Griz Up 3-1, Mavs 3-2: Hoopdata’s Jeff Fogle offers up his statistical nuggets from Monday’s games.

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Basketball :

Ready to Regress: Kevin Pelton of BBall Prospectus ID’s the playoff teams most likely to take a step backwards next season.

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Baseball :

Alex Rodriguez Up in the Zone: A-Rod is killing pitches at the top of the strike zone this season, writes Jonathan Scippa of Baseball Analytics.

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Baseball :

More Change Ups for Matt Cain: At Baseball Analytics, David Pinto uses heat maps to show how different Matt Cain’s pitch selection has been so far this season.

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Baseball :

Fukudome’s Oddly Productive Start: Joe Pawlikowski of Fangraphs shows how Kosuke Fukudome’s hot 2011 start is different from his fleeting early-season performances in 2008, 09, & 10.

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Baseball :

The Best First Basemen of the Past 5 Years: Justin Bopp has the Runs Above Replacement leaders among 1Bs since 2006. Spoiler alert: Albert Pujols ranks highly.

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Baseball :

Retro-Review of 1918-1919: Items of interest from Retrosheet’s 1918 & 1919 boxscores, via Tom Ruane.

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Baseball :

What’s Driving Matt Garza’s Bizarre Early Stats?: At Beyond the Box Score, Bill Petti digs into PITCHf/x to find an explanation for Garza’s huge BABIP and LD%.

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Baseball :

Pitching Backward: R.J. Anderson of BP identifies pitchers who succeed by throwing breaking balls in fastball counts (and vice-versa).

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Baseball :

3-2-1 Contact: BP’s Colin Wyers studies whether Francisco Liriano would benefit from pitching more to contact.

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Baseball :

Video – Batter heat maps on NESN: TruMedia’s strike-zone heat maps were featured during a recent Red Sox game.

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Baseball :

In-Depth look at Justin Verlander’s Historic 1000th Strikeout: A super-detailed pitch-by-pitch breakdown of Verlander’s 1000th K, courtesy of Mike Rogers and Bless You Boys.

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Baseball :

Stathead Blog: Sean Forman welcomes this blog into the world.

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Baseball :

Jose Bautista Adjusting to the Changeup Jose Bautista is hitting changeups harder than last season, writes Jonathan Scippa of Baseball Analytics.

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S-R Admin Note: Tweaking the Links Layout:

The use of the “Link” external link and the article title being an internal link was needlessly complicated, so I’ve reset it, so that clicking on the title will now send you to the article itself rather than to our internal page. Our internal page is reachable from the “Related Posts and Comments” link following our writeup.

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Baseball :

Crazy ’86: Last pitcher to hit walk-off HR – SweetSpot Blog – ESPN Mark Simon of ESPN runs down the details of the last walkoff home run by a pitcher.

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April 25, 2011
Basketball NCAA Tourney: Seeding Noise?:

Brian Goff of The Sports Economist investigates why there’s a linear relationship between NCAA seeding and team performance except at the extremes. Link

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Football Did NFL teams discriminate against black coaching candidates? Part II:

Phil Birnbaum of Sabermetric Research continues his study on the subject of minority hiring in the NFL. Link

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Basketball The NBA’s Elite: Under Siege:

At the WSJ Daily Fix, David Roth writes that the NBA’s elite teams don’t look as dominant as usual so far in the 1st round. Link

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Soccer Which Shots Are More Likely To Be On Target?:

Chris Anderson of Soccer By The Numbers looks at EPL data on the types of shots that tend to be on target. Link

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