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Egypt

Arab Spring: View From Within the Region

After the Arab Spring, the situation in the Arab world is varied. In an interview, conducted by Natalia Bubnova, Paul Salem notes that Egypt and Tunisia right now are the only Arab countries that are clearly moving in the direction of democracy, while some other countries— Libya, Yemen, and Syria—are in deep crisis.

event at the Carnegie Moscow Center

Book Presentation “20 Years Without the Berlin Wall”

The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 ushered in a time of momentous social and political change, but Russia’s development followed a different path than that of many Eastern European countries. The specific nature of Russia’s transformation is the subject of a new book, 20 Years Without the Berlin Wall: A Breakthrough to Freedom. Carnegie’s experts discussed its findings at an event at the Carnegie Moscow Center.

Barack Obama

Doing Geopolitics in Eastern Europe

Jan Techau says President Obama’s visit to Warsaw is the most important symbolic element of his trip to Europe, serving as a geopolitical re-investment in Eastern and Central Europe.

More on Obama in Europe: Obama's European Tour and G8 Summit

Medvedev and Putin

Putin’s Best Trick Yet

In advance of the 2012 presidential election, Vladimir Putin seeks to convince the world that the rift between him and incumbent Russian President Dmitry Medvedev is growing, underscores Lilia Shevtsova. But there is no evidence that any real power is starting to move Medvedev’s way, and he is not ready to challenge Putin.

More on Russia before elections: No Place Left for Medvedev; Putin Considers Run for Russian Presidency

Ambassador 'Mike' McFaul Could Help Reset

Michael McFaul

With a new U.S. ambassador Michael McFaul in Moscow, the U.S.-Russian relations will need to move away from the still dominant adversarial strategic relationship and toward a cooperative one where neither party will regard the other as a potential adversary, writes Dmitri Trenin.

In the IMF Succession Battle, a Stench of Colonialism

IMF

Moisés Naím argues that the selection process for the IMF must be based solely on the candidate’s professional merits, experience, and integrity, and not their nationality.

Belarus: No Easy Answers

outside an exchange office in Minsk

Matthew Rojansky warns that the economic and political crisis in Belarus is likely to get much worse before it gets better, in spite of any further steps the United States, European Union, or Russia might take to help the country’s beleaguered population.

Bin Laden Is Dead—the Jihad Lives On

After bin Laden's death

Osama bin Laden’s death will not immediately deal a fatal blow to Islamic extremism, but it could potentially help to improve the situation in Afghanistan, writes Alexey Malashenko.

Featured Publications

Outer Space: Weapons, Diplomacy, and Security

In this global era, the world faces a host of security challenges which cannot be resolved by any one nation, especially through the unilateral use of military force. One key issue that requires urgent international attention is the military use of outer space.

Indispensable Institutions: The Obama-Medvedev Commission and Five Decades of U.S.-Russia Dialogue

Indispensable Institutions

Although the U.S.-Russia Bilateral Presidential Commission, which aims to enhance cooperation between the two countries on a broad range of shared interests, appears promising so far, the two sides must work together closely to ensure it continues to produce results.

Gambit or Endgame? The New State of Arms Control

Gambit or Endgame? The Nwe State of Arms Control

While nuclear arms control is enjoying a renaissance of late, whether that momentum dissipates or leads to further agreements will require a painstaking effort by U.S. and Russian diplomats and experts to move past Cold War prejudices and the mistakes and misunderstandings of the post-Cold War era.

Russia Before the Storm: More Politics, Less Stability

Vladimir Putin and Dmitry Medvedev

Putin’s Russia—which raised living standards, increased political apathy, and led to sovereign democracy—is over. As parliamentary and presidential elections approach, long-simmering social, economic, and political disputes are spilling into the open, and public politics are returning to the fore.

Featured Events

Moscow

Book Presentation “20 Years Without the Berlin Wall: A Breakthrough to Freedom”

The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 ushered in a time of momentous social and political change, including in Russia, but Russia’s development followed a different path than that of many Eastern European countries.

Moscow

Russian Opposition About the Russian Authorities, Upcoming Elections, the Current Situation, Foreign Policy, and Themselves

The Carnegie Moscow Center hosted leaders from the People’s Freedom Party to discuss the status of the Russian opposition and the problems of the current Russian regime.

Washington , D.C.

Russia 2020: Scenarios for the Future

Russia faces a range of challenges as it attempts to modernize and effectively use its power on the global stage in the coming decade.

Moscow

A Place in the Sun or Fifteen Minutes of Fame? Understanding Turkey’s New Foreign Policy

In recent years, Turkey’s foreign policy has undergone a fundamental transformation and the country has begun to play a more aggressive and assertive role.

Washington, D.C.

Prospects for Modernization in Russia: Factors and Possibilities

Modernization is one of the Kremlin’s stated priorities, but Russia faces a number of challenges as it seeks to modernize its economic and political processes.

Carnegie at 100 - A Century of Impact

Pioneering the Global Think Tank

Research Highlights from Carnegie's International Centers

Washington
Brussels
Beirut
Beijing

Struggling Reform Efforts in Jordan

Jordan Marwan Muasher explains how efforts at reform in Jordan have been blocked by a resilient class of political elites and bureaucrats.

Gone is Bin Laden, the Enemy of the Republic

bin Laden The death of Osama bin Laden could lead to fundamental changes in Ankara's relations with Washington and its presence in Afghanistan, writes Sinan Ülgen.

'Arab Spring' Has Yet to Alter Region's Strategic Balance

Arab Spring Despite their domestic and international repercussions, the Arab uprisings have not yet led to a dramatically new regional order, Paul Salem contends.

India’s Space Program: Looking Ahead

Indian missile India's successful test of a ballistic missile defense system is leading to increased international scrutiny of its civil space program.

Russia-2020.org - Scenarios for the Future

Kyrgyzstan - Country in Transition

Juggernaut: How Emerging Markets Are Reshaping Globalization

The Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative (EASI)

Latest Articles and Interviews

Pro et Contra

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Established in 1994, the Carnegie Moscow Center brings together senior researchers from across the Russian political spectrum and Carnegie's global centers to provide a free and open forum for the discussion and debate of critical national, regional, and global issues. More >

Issue Spotlight

Corruption

Russia’s corruption is both the cause and the consequence of an ineffective political and state administration system. It not only makes modernization impossible; it also threatens the country’s very survival. A distinction needs to be made between the struggle against corruption itself and targeting corruption as a form of competition between groups within the elite. The latter never ceases within a corrupt system, but the former can succeed only with the help of outside forces—the Russian public as well as the international community.

Economic Crisis

Despite the nascent recovery, many experts believe that the reasons for Russia’s downturn persist, including state-led monopolies, dependence on natural resources, non-market means of regulation, the lack of clear rules of the game, and poor transparency. How will the crisis continue to affect the lives of Russians, and how effective is the government's response?

Elections 2012

The 2012 Russian presidential election is already the key factor shaping the country’s political developments. Beyond simply choosing a new president, the election will set the political and economic model for the next decade, determining whether Russia modernizes or remains overly reliant on natural resources. Like a mirror, issues dominating the elections reflect the fears and aspirations of Russia’s ruling elite and citizens, both for the present and the future.

Energy Security

What is the role of science and technology in strengthening energy security in Russia and Eurasia? Particular attention is paid to energy initiatives in which Russia can act alongside the U.S. and Europe. In addition, the Center examines Arctic technologies, the changing nature of hydrocarbon exploration, extraction and transportation, nuclear energy, clean coal, and energy efficiency.

Iranian Nuclear Problem

The U.S. sees Iran’s nuclear program as the biggest threat to security and insists on international sanctions. Iran argues that its program is exclusively peaceful and threatens to withdraw from the NPT if pressed. Will the international community pick up arms, or will it allow Teheran to achieve the full fuel cycle, under IAEA watch? That choice will determine regional and global security.

Korean Knot

For decades, the North Korean nuclear problem has been at the center of Russian, American, and Chinese foreign policy. North Korea seeks to exchange its nuclear program for security guarantees and economic support. Washington will not move forward until North Korea’s program is dismantled. China and Russia are active moderators between the two. But the issue is not only how to escape the crisis, but how to lay a new foundation for peace on the Korean peninsula.

Medvedev's Presidency

As Putin’s successor, Medvedev operates within the inherited, clannish framework of “overmanaged democracy”, while Putin retains significant influence, now as a prime minister. The emergence of a second power center creates further uncertainty in a political system that faces inevitable change, driven by the myriad of social and economic challenges the country faces. Of particular importance is the strengthening and modernization of Russia’s weakened institutions.

Middle East and Central Asia

Political transformation, state building, the development of civil society, and international relations are reviewed in concert throughout the macroregion, whose borders stretch from the Eastern Mediterranean to the Indian Ocean and from the southern Urals to Xinjiang and which remains home to major conflicts of global concern. In recent years, these processes have been augmented by the issue of radical Islam, the roots of and prospects for which are at the center of analysis.

New Eastern Europe

How stable are the new political systems in the region? Can these young states cope with the challenges of transition and modernization? Is there only one successful model, or is there also room for authoritarian-led economic growth, as in Russia and Belarus? How successful will the democratic projects be in the Baltic states, Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova?

U.S.-Russia Relations

Further improvements in the U.S.-Russian relationship would serve the interests of both countries, including by strengthening of Russia’s standing in the world, and would lay the foundation for solutions to such problems as collective security, nuclear nonproliferation, terrorism, energy security, the Iranian nuclear question, and the stabilization of Afghanistan.

War and Peace in the Caucasus

The emergence of the new states of the Caucasus has been strained by territorial disputes. Conflicts smolder in Chechnya, Abkhazia, and Nagorno-Karabakh. Terrorism and extremism have spread into the region from neighboring Middle East and Central Asia. Islam has emerged as a factor of public life. Caspian oil and its transit routes to the West have become the object of rivalry between major powers. How these challenges are met will determine the security outlook for Russia, Europe, and, in part, the United States.

Yukos Affair

The imprisonment of Yukos head Mikhail Khodorkovsky and his second trial reflect the strong-arm tendencies of Russian politics. What are the chances of a democratic reversal? How will the Khodorkovsky case develop, and what impact will it have on the country’s political life?

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