According to Kevin Kelly, expect computing in the next 20 years to involve using not just keyboard and mouse or even touchscreens but actively conducting data as in the movies Iron Man and Minority Report. Kelly describes the six trends he believes are either occurring now or that we are rapidly moving toward, assuming unexpected events or developments do not pre-empt them. These trends are happening independently, to geater and lesser degreees, and within a variety of contexts but definitely happening.
Kelly optomistcally predicts that the functions of cameras and screens may soon merge and accomodate novel upgrades, like eye-tracking software, which will reciprocate our attention by watching, responding, or tracking where or how our attention wanders around on screens. This will add a sense of sight or "vision," as Kelly calls it, to the World Wide Web.
Other developments Kelly anticipates include screens instead of old-fashioned interfaces such as paper, the ethic of sharing rather than the proprietary, access without restrictions, originality instead of knock-offs, copying or reruns and streaming rather than downloading or movement of physical items, and full interactivity instead of just mouse, keyboard or even touchscreen. These interfaces will redefine our understanding of privacy. Anything that can be shared will be shared (within in the right context, with permission, and with the right tools), and whatever is shared will increase in value.
Kevin Kelly is Senior Maverick at Wired magazine. He co-founded Wired in 1993, and served as its Executive Editor from its inception until 1999. He has just finished a book for Viking/Penguin called "What Technology Wants," published October 18, 2010. He is also editor and publisher of the Cool Tools website, which gets half a million unique visitors per month. From 1984-1990 Kelly was publisher and editor of the Whole Earth Review, a journal of unorthodox technical news. He co-founded the ongoing Hackers' Conference, and was involved with the launch of the WELL, a pioneering online service started in 1985. He authored the best-selling "New Rules for the New Economy" and the classic book on decentralized emergent systems, "Out of Control."
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