Country Profile - Serbia      IFs Version 7.15
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Serbia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Serbia -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 7.622
     2030: 7.016
     2060: 5.498
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: -0.414
     2030: -0.741
     2060: -0.838
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 9.786
     2030: 8.416
     2060: 8.044
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 12.01
     2030: 13.51
     2060: 16.43
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 10.93
     2030: 9.020
     2060: 5.863
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 75.06
     2030: 77.01
     2060: 81.02
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 72.74
     2030: 74.61
     2060: 78.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 77.30
     2030: 79.33
     2060: 83.62
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.402
     2030: 1.498
     2060: 1.651
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.082
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.022
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.454
     2030: 0.372
     2060: 0.271
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 1.206
     2030: 0.988
     2060: 0.698
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 5.252
     2030: 4.569
     2060: 3.073
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.164
     2030: 1.458
     2060: 1.727
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 4.119
     2030: 4.053
     2060: 3.520
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.409
     2030: 0.397
     2060: 0.347
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 45.00
     2030: 47.57
     2060: 49.43

Health Forecast for Serbia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 27.90
     2030: 28.64
     2060: 31.33
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 31.12
     2030: 31.28
     2060: 29.93
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 1.878
     2030: 2.088
     2060: 2.449
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 1.006
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 5.068
     2030: 5.381
     2060: 5.114

Education Forecast for Serbia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 104.1
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 96.92
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 100.9
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 78.24
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 49.73
     2030: 49.23
     2060: 48.53
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 9.894
     2030: 11.26
     2060: 13.73
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 98.49
     2030: 99.79
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Serbia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.030
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.010
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.870
     2030: 0.895
     2060: 0.946
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 1.857
     2030: 1.455
     2060: 1.141
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,851
     2030: 2,893
     2060: 3,038
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.226
     2030: -1.124
     2060: -1.132
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.871
     2030: 1.039
     2060: 1.300

Economy Forecast for Serbia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 86.39
     2030: 95.71
     2060: 123.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 45.18
     2030: 56.12
     2060: 97.03
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 11.33
     2030: 13.64
     2060: 22.46
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.293
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.382
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 56.80
     2030: 56.81
     2060: 35.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 27.82
     2030: 31.88
     2060: 41.14

Energy Forecast for Serbia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Serbia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.013
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Serbia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.075
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.037

Domestic Government Forecast for Serbia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 12.24
     2030: 13.30
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 18.33
     2030: 19.22
     2060: 19.96
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.656
     2030: 4.227
     2060: 5.708
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.523
     2030: 2.770
     2060: 3.291
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.466
     2030: 6.580
     2060: 6.818