Another FIVE MILLION migrants from the EU could come to the UK by 2030, Brexit campaigners warn

  • Justice Secretary Michael Gove said the influx over the next 15 years would be equivalent to the current population of Scotland
  • Said it would place 'unsustainable' pressure on the NHS  
  • Insisted the prediction was 'realistic' despite assuming that Turkey, Albania, Serbia, Montenegro and Macedonia will join in 2020 

Britain faces a migrant influx equivalent to the population of Scotland by 2030 unless we leave the EU, Michael Gove has warned.

The Justice Secretary said up to five million could come putting 'unsustainable' pressure on the NHS.

The Cabinet heavyweight insisted the worst case scenario figure of 5,229,000 more net migrants over the next 15 years was realistic.

Justice Secretary Michael Gove delivered the warning about migration levels from the EU by 2030 in a speech this morning

Justice Secretary Michael Gove delivered the warning about migration levels from the EU by 2030 in a speech this morning

It assumes Turkey, Albania, Serbia, Montenegro, and the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, will join the EU in 2020, and the UK will not impose transitional immigration controls.

Putting immigration at the heart of the Brexit campaign, Mr Gove insisted the national living wage would act as a pull factor resulting in 'huge additional pressure' on the NHS.

Between 172,000 - 428,000 migrants a year would be arriving in the UK until 2030, meaning A&E attendances would spiral by between 6.3 million - 12.8 million annually, increasing emergency NHS demand by between 28% - 57%.

With the Office for National Statistics predicting a three million increase in migration by 2030, Mr Gove said that even if no other countries join the EU, the current level of 172,000 people arriving annually over the next 15 years will continue at a time when the NHS needed an extra £4.6 billion a year just to stand still.

Denying he was scaremongering, the Justice Secretary said the British Government was in favour of Turkey joining the EU, and Brussels was speeding-up the process.

'Citizens from these countries will inevitably be attracted to the UK, not just because of our free health care, but also because of the additional pull factor that will result from the welcome introduction of the national living wage.

'The European Commission is in the process of speeding-up the accession process. It is already setting up the visa free travel programme with Turkey. That will create a zone of free movement from our borders to the borders of Syria and Iraq,' Mr Gove said.

Depending on various factors, the Leave campaign figures project a 'low' forecast of an extra 3,193,000 net migrants over the next 15 years, a 'medium' forecast of 4,252,000, and a 'high' one of 5,229,000.

Mr Gove insisted the referendum decision 'should be respected' even if it was a narrow win for Remain.

The move came as European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker warned the UK will not be 'welcomed with open arms' by the remaining EU if it votes to 'desert' the 28-nation bloc in the June 23 referendum.

Mr Juncker insisted that he was not making a 'threat', but being realistic about the damage caused by Brexit.

Comparing the UK to a pet which does not enjoy its fur being rubbed up the wrong way, the European Commission president said Britain would not 'have its hair stroked in the right direction' by the rest of Europe if it chose to leave.

Asked by French newspaper Le Monde how Brussels would respond to a Leave vote, Mr Juncker said: ''Deserters will not be welcomed with open arms.

'If the British say no - which I hope they will not - community life will not carry on as before. The United Kingdom will have to accept being considered as a third party, which does not have its hair stroked in the right direction.'

The intervention came as Prime Minister David Cameron mingled with stars including The Wire actor Dominic West as leading showbiz figures gave their backing to the UK remaining in the European Union.

Hollywood actors including Benedict Cumberbatch, Chiwetel Ejiofor and Keira Knightley are among the big names who have backed the Remain cause.

In a further boost to the Remain camp, Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau gave his backing to the UK staying in the EU and warned that a post-Brexit trade deal would not be easy.

Mr Cameron visited London's Abbey Road Studios - and walked across the zebra crossing made famous by The Beatles - after 282 figures from the entertainment industry including authors Dame Hilary Mantel and John le Carre signed a letter supporting a Remain vote.

EU commissioner president Jean-Claude Juncker said the UK would be treated as 'deserters' if we vote to leave the union 

EU commissioner president Jean-Claude Juncker said the UK would be treated as 'deserters' if we vote to leave the union 


The comments below have not been moderated.

The views expressed in the contents above are those of our users and do not necessarily reflect the views of MailOnline.

By posting your comment you agree to our house rules.

Who is this week's top commenter? Find out now