Seeing red: Map shows Trump would win White House by a landslide if only MEN voted

  • New electoral maps by FiveThirtyEight predict who would win the presidential election if only men or women voted
  • Current polls show that Clinton is leading Trump among women by an average of 15 percentage points
  •  Meanwhile, Trump leads with men by just 5 percentage points 
  • The gender split means that if only women voted, Clinton would win in one of the largest landslides in history
  •  If only men voted, Trump would also win in a landslide - though somewhat smaller - with 350 electoral points to Clinton's 188

By Dailymail.com Reporter

Published: 11:05 EST, 12 October 2016 | Updated: 12:39 EST, 12 October 2016

Trump may be losing with women, but the Donald can perhaps take consolation in the fact that if only men voted - he'd win the presidency in a landslide.   

A new map from the website FiveThirtyEight shows who would win the presidential election, if just women or men voted.  

According to data from the latest polls, Trump leads Clinton with the men's vote by five percentage votes. So if women's suffrage was suddenly reversed on November 8, Trump would win in a landslide election with 350 electoral points to Clinton's 188. 

FiveThirtyEight has put out two maps, showing what the election would be like if only women or men voted. While Trump would win in a men's only election, it would not be in as large a landslide as Clinton's victory in a women's election

FiveThirtyEight has put out two maps, showing what the election would be like if only women or men voted. While Trump would win in a men's only election, it would not be in as large a landslide as Clinton's victory in a women's election

The above map shows that Hillary Clinton would win in a landslide in a women-only election

The above map shows that Hillary Clinton would win in a landslide in a women-only election

Clinton has been beating Trump consistently by a large margin with women in the race

Clinton has been beating Trump consistently by a large margin with women in the race

Meanwhile, if just women voted, Clinton would win in one of the biggest landslides in history, since she is leading him with women on an average of 15 percentage points. 

Nate Silver calculated how this gender gap would affect the presidential election if only women or men voted in the election. In the case of a women-only election, he added 10 percentage points to the current poll margins in every state, and the result is a blue takeover. 

That difference would puts Clinton ahead in Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, Kansas, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, South Carolina, South Dakota and Texas - as well as the 2nd congressional districts in Maine and Nebraska. 

The result is 458 electoral votes for Clinton compared to just 80 for Trump - something not seen since Franklin D. Roosevelt won a third term in 1940.  

If just men voted, Trump would win but not in as dramatic a landslide. By taking 10 percentage points away from Clinton in the current polls, that would give Trump 350 points to Clinton's 188. 

Silver writes that the results are hypothetical, since if only men or women voted the political landscape would likely be very different - with perhaps different candidates altogether. 

But he says it's important to show how men and women are considering this year's race, because it will say a lot about who came out to vote on election day.

'It seems fair to say that, if Trump loses the election, it will be because women voted against him,' Silver writes.  But he says it's important to show how men and women are considering this year's race

 

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