Poll Finds Overwhelming Majorities in Lebanon Support Hezbollah, Distrust U.S.
World Public Opinion.org, A project managed by the Program on International Policy Attitudes at the University of Maryland, USA, August 2, 2006
Most Lebanese—including majorities across all major religious
groups—support Hezbollah in its conflict with Israel and distrust
the United States as a mediator, according to a recent Lebanese
poll.
Palestinians also overwhelmingly support both Hezbollah and the
Hamas militants who captured an Israeli soldier last month,
provoking Israeli attacks on Gaza. Israelis, meanwhile, believe
their military should press its attacks against Hezbollah until the
militia is either destroyed or pushed back from Lebanon’s southern
border.
Eighty-seven percent of the Lebanese back Hezbollah’s response to
“Israeli aggression,” the
Beirut Center for Research and Information found in survey taken
July 24-26. That included strong majorities in Lebanon’s four major
religious groups: 96 percent of Shiites, 87 percent of Sunnis, 80
percent of Christians; and 80 percent of Druze.
The survey of 800 citizens was conducted by Lebanese pollster Abdo
Saad. A press release on the center’s website said the poll was
conducted “according to confessional and regional distribution,
including the opinion of the displaced” by the Israeli offensive.
But it did not give a margin of error or discuss methodology.
Asked whether they believed the United States was playing the role
of an “honest mediator” in the crisis, nine out of ten Lebanese
(90%) said no. Again this response included majorities across all
groups: Shiites (94%), Sunnis (92%), Druze (89%) and Christians
(85%). An overwhelming majority of Lebanese (86%) also answered no
to the question of whether the United States had adopted “a positive
stand regarding Lebanon in this war.” More than eight out of ten in
all groups answered in the negative.
A majority of the Lebanese polled also said they supported
Hezbollah’s decision to capture two Israeli soldiers to demand an
exchange for prisoners held by Israel. Lebanese Shiites (96%) were
the most supportive of Hezbollah’s actions followed by Sunnis (73%)
and Christians (55%). Only among the Druze, a sect that broke with
Islam centuries ago, did less than a majority (40%) say they
supported Hezbollah’s action.
Slightly more than half of Lebanon’s population is Muslim, divided
about equally between Sunnis and Shiites, according to figures cited
in a 2005 U.S. State Department report on religious freedom. About
40 percent are Christian and six percent are Druze.
The July 12 cross-border attack led to a massive Israeli
counterattack that has left hundreds of Lebanese dead and forced
thousands to flee their homes. But most Lebanese believe that
Hezbollah, which has continued to fire shells at across the border,
will survive the Israeli offensive. According to the Beirut Center’s
poll, 63 percent of all Lebanese said that Israel would be unable to
defeat Hezbollah. Majorities of Lebanese Sunnis (72 percent),
Shiites (94%) and Druze (55%) agreed. Less than half of Lebanese
Christians (38%), however, thought that the Israeli effort to break
Hezbollah would fail.
Polls of Palestinians also show overwhelming support for the
Palestinian militants who captured an Israeli solder on June 25.
Over the following month an Israeli offensive has killed some 160
Palestinians in the Gaza strip and cut off much of the territory’s
electricity. A survey conducted July 24 by An-Najah University in
the West Bank town of Nablus found that 91 percent of Palestinians
supported the militants’ demands that the soldier only be released
in exchange for prisoners held by Israel. Ninety-six percent of
those polled—800 Palestinians on the West Bank and 500 in Gaza—also
said they had a positive opinion of Hezbollah.
Israelis also overwhelmingly back their armed forces’ conduct and a
majority oppose any immediate halt in the offensive. According to a
poll taken July 31 for the newspaper Maariv, eight in ten Israelis
are satisfied or very satisfied with the performance of the Israeli
military in Lebanon and seven in ten (74%) are pleased with their
political leaders. Asked what the Israeli government should have
done following the Qana bombing, 61 percent said “continue the war
uninterruptedly,” according to a BBC translation of the questions.
Twenty-nine percent favored a 48-hour halt to the aerial campaign
and only nine percent thought Israel should stop fighting and enter
negotiations.
A poll taken July 28 by the Dahuf Institute for the newspaper Yediot
Aharont found that seven in ten (71%) supported using more military
force in Lebanon. Asked what Israel’s next step should be, 48
percent said fight until Hezbollah is destroyed and 30 percent said
drive the militia away from the border. Only 21 percent wanted to
stop fighting and negotiate.