The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
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Heckman Calls Out Chetty
• April 26, 2020
• 700 Words • 5 Comments • Reply
James Heckman of the U. of Chicago is a famous statistician and social scientist who won the quasi-Nobel in Economics. In an interview, he disses Harvard economist Raj Chetty: S: When people talk about the American Dream they do so in the context of the current academic and policy discussion on income mobility and inequality.... Read More
Chicago
• April 26, 2020
• 200 Words • 49 Comments • Reply
From the Chicago Tribune: Chicago's 30 miles of beach and other lakefront, being the windiest spots in the Windy City, are of course closed. That's Settled Science! But in Chicago last night from WGN TV: Some guests are wearing masks, but basically this black house party looks like Jonathan Kay's characterization of a typical in-your-face... Read More
Veteran "New Yorker" Pundit Takes a Break from Denouncing Trump for Anti-Democratic Authoritarianism to Ask: "Time for a Military Coup?"
• April 26, 2020
• 40 Comments • Reply
Firemen in the 21st Century
• April 26, 2020
• 32 Comments • Reply
Firemen don't have all that many fires to fight in recent years, but they still like to drive around in their fire trucks with their lights flashing.
Recent Remodeling of My Walk-In Closet
• April 26, 2020
• 100 Words • 49 Comments • Reply
As you know, for several years now I've had my desk in my walk-in closet. But due to the fortuitous discovery of the world's largest deposit of frackable natural gas in my yard (see above), I've upgraded my closet considerably. Also, my clothes and grooming have improved as well. In other news, the Lego Corporation... Read More
Reopening Public Amenities
• April 26, 2020
• 300 Words • 152 Comments • Reply
During the current heatwave in Los Angeles, it's illegal to go to Los Angeles's cool, breezy, wide beaches (The Pacific at California is cooler than the East Coast Atlantic at the same latitude due to ocean currents). But the Mayor has reopened some libraries so people can crowd in to get some air conditioning. Part... Read More
Who Knew Hakan Rotmwrt's "Enforce Biogeographic Quarantine!" Would be the Conventional Wisdom of 2020?
• April 26, 2020
• 25 Comments • Reply
How Is North Korean Dictator Kim Jong-Un Doing?
• April 25, 2020
• 193 Comments • Reply
He is (was?) 36 or 37, sources differ.
Miami-Dade: 6% Infection Rate, 0.17% Infection Fatality Rate (So Far)
• April 24, 2020
• 1,300 Words • 327 Comments • Reply
From the Miami Herald: Miami-Dade county is up to 287 deaths in total today, giving a crude Infection Fatality Rate of 0.17% so far, much lower than the 0.9% seen in New York City in yesterday's new serological results, but more in line with California results. One way to explain the bafflingly heterogeneous results we... Read More
How Risky Are "Unidirectional Seating" Venues Like Airplanes and Theaters?
• April 24, 2020
• 500 Words • 106 Comments • Reply
It sounds like a big question that we need to answer is the relative risk of infection in which everybody is seated facing the same direction (e.g., airplanes, movie theaters, sports events, school buses, barber chairs, country line dancing) as opposed to venues with people facing each other (restaurants, cocktail parties, some subways, waltzing). My... Read More
Should Schools Reopen if Kids Really Aren't Very Infectious?
• April 24, 2020
• 600 Words • 81 Comments • Reply
How infectious are children? This is an important question, since it bears on whether or not to reopen schools, that we haven't seen much research upon. With many contagious illnesses, school have long been notorious sites of spread. But so far schools have not been widely implicated as super-spreader sites with this new virus, which... Read More
Hot Wife Science
• April 24, 2020
• 100 Words • 194 Comments • Reply
Cristina Cuomo, the 50 year old wife of CNN talking head Chris Cuomo and sister-in-law of the current New York governor and daughter-in-law of a former New York governor, has some medical advice: The more a woman has had males staring raptly at her while she talks since she turned 13, the more likely she... Read More
Running the Option
• April 24, 2020
• 200 Words • 62 Comments • Reply
iSteve commenter Andrew M suggests in response to Jonathan Kay's valuable analysis of Super-Spreader Events in Quillette: A friend suggests that in the future airlines should allow you to back out of a ticket if you feel ill all the way up to the time of boarding in return for a voucher.
You Really Don't Want to Get Ventilated
• April 24, 2020
• 100 Words • 162 Comments • Reply
From a study of hospitals in New York:
Adley Stump
• April 23, 2020
• 61 Comments • Reply
21% of NYC Grocery Shoppers Have Antibodies
• April 23, 2020
• 1,200 Words • 149 Comments • Reply
From the New York Times: Most estimates of the herd immunity level would therefore put NYC at about 1/3rd of the way there, which is substantial. On the other hand, NYC, when it's functioning, doesn't function as an isolated herd, but as the crossroads of the world. So it's hard to see how herd immunity... Read More
The Next Thing to Stock Up on
• April 23, 2020
• 400 Words • 93 Comments • Reply
iSteve commenter Jack D on the next thing to stock up on: I saw the doctor who recommended pulse oximeters on one of the morning shows today. He said that people were coming in to the emergency room with 50% oxygen readings, which are equivalent to being on the top of Mt. Everest, but felt... Read More
Bomb in Gilead: First Remdesivir Clinical Trial Fails
• April 23, 2020
• 200 Words • 71 Comments • Reply
Recently, a leaked anecdotal report that expensive new drug remdesivir was working wonders in a Chicago hospital drove stock prices up around the world. Today, though, bad news. From Reuters: This doesn't mean this drug is hopeless. Maybe it works better at a different stage?
Q. What Is Best in Life? A. That Which Is Most Likely to Spread Coronavirus
• April 23, 2020
• 2,300 Words • 113 Comments • Reply
In Quillette, assistant editor Jonathan Kay publishes an important analysis based on his readings about contact tracing of 54 documented superspreader events early in the epidemic: There is some selection bias here in that more upper class people seem more likely to talk to public health authorities than are illegal immigrants or guys who have... Read More
The Telephoto Lens Menace
• April 23, 2020
• 300 Words • 179 Comments • Reply
The Washington Post headlines: And illustrates it with this photo with the caption "Jacksonville, Fla., beaches reopened last week after a short period of restrictions brought on by the coronavirus pandemic." As I've mentioned a million times before, the oldest trick in the newspaper photographer's book is using a telephoto lens to make a beach... Read More
Geneva Seroprevalence: ~5.5%
• April 22, 2020
• 700 Words • 46 Comments • Reply
From a press release in French via Google Translate: I'm vague on the methodological details because the original report is in French. I gather they used an existing representative sample of the public, which is a good idea. Here in the U.S. we have many long term tracking projects like The Bell Curve's National Longitudinal... Read More
Good News: Golf Courses Reopen in Ventura County and Are Jammed
• April 22, 2020
• 200 Words • 62 Comments • Reply
Ventura County, to the northwest of Los Angeles, has allowed public golf courses to reopen (subject to a number of common-sense changes to keep golfers from touching common objects), and they are jammed. For example, on Sunday, May 3 (two weekends from now) at Rustic Canyon, there are no tee times available until 4:10 pm... Read More
The Swedish View
• April 22, 2020
• 1,400 Words • 157 Comments • Reply
The Western world is lucky that Sweden has resisted going down the same policy path as most other countries, allowing us to see a different set of policies in action. From Nature, an interview with a top Swedish health official: 21 APRIL 2020 â€Closing borders is ridiculous’: the epidemiologist behind Sweden’s controversial coronavirus strategy Anders... Read More
New Estimate of Population Fatality Rate in Bergamo Province: 0.57%
• April 22, 2020
• 900 Words • 119 Comments • Reply
A preprint from some non-medical scientists at Berkeley: Let's review our acronyms: Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is what percentage of officially counted diagnosed cases (which are less than all infections) die. Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) is what percentage of all infections, diagnosed or not, die. The Population Fatality Rate (PFR) is what percentage of all... Read More
"Occupied"
• April 22, 2020
• 300 Words • 120 Comments • Reply
From my new review of the TV show Occupied in Taki's Magazine: â€Occupied’: Homeland of Glass Steve Sailer April 22, 2020 One of the more interesting television series of the past decade is Occupied, an intelligent Norwegian nationalist political thriller now available on Netflix. It’s both an anti–European Union tribute to the Norwegian people and... Read More
Italian Mountain Town of Ortesei at 49% Already Infected
• April 22, 2020
• 400 Words • 119 Comments • Reply
From Il Messaggero, via Google Translate about the Italian (but Ladin-speaking) town of Ortisei in the beautiful Dolomite Alps of South Tyrol. Coronavirus, here is the miracle of Ortisei in Val Gardena: a partial immunity of flock has already been acquired ITALY Saturday 18 April 2020 A splendid place, among the most enchanting in Italy.... Read More
What You Need to Know About Pulse Oximeters
• April 22, 2020
• 500 Words • 38 Comments • Reply
This month there has been a revolution among New York doctors in understanding how to treat severe coronavirus cases, with the potential for significantly lowering the Infection Fatality Rate from whatever it has been in earlier months. Emergency rooms are now advised to be less in a rush to ventilate patients with low percentages of... Read More
Buy a Pulse Oximeter
• April 21, 2020
• 900 Words • 173 Comments • Reply
In the NYT, an expert on intubation explains the new view among New York emergency room doctors on what is killing so many people: silent hypoxia. Those with pneumonia caused by the coronavirus don't have enough oxygen in their blood, but they aren't short of breath until they've had pneumonia for several days, so they... Read More
A Case Study from a Chinese Restaurant
• April 21, 2020
• 200 Words • 180 Comments • Reply
Here's a diagram from a new Chinese paper illustrating the results of contact tracing from one lunch in a restaurant in a Chinese city (not Wuhan, but one that had very few cases before this event) on January 24. A 10 person family that had fled Wuhan sat at Table A. Diner A1 (red and... Read More
But Think of the Economy!
• April 21, 2020
• 100 Words • 213 Comments • Reply
The Chief White House Correspondent of the New York Times snarks: In other words: 1. It's crazy for Trump to want Americans to be increasingly allowed out of the house to buy plants for their gardens or walk on the beach or cut hair. 2. It's crazy for Trump not to want to let in... Read More
USC Antibody Test of 863 Representative People in L.A. County Finds 4.1% Infected, Far from Herd Immunity
• April 20, 2020
• 1,000 Words • 145 Comments • Reply
Now USC has done an antibody test on 863 supposedly randomly representative individuals in Los Angeles County and come up with a best guess infection rate of 4.1%. This has most of the methodological problems associated with last week's Stanford report that came up with a 3.1% best guess in Santa Clara County (Palo Alto... Read More
$11.42 Per Barrel of Oil
• April 20, 2020
• 100 Words • 194 Comments • Reply
From the NYT: This is not a new joke, but that's a pretty good deal on barrels. I am feeling antsy and want to go on a 1960s-style $0.29 per gallon road trip through a suddenly green yet sunny California.
Infection Fatality Rates Under Different Scenarios
• April 20, 2020
• 200 Words • 71 Comments • Reply
There has been much discussion recently about what might be the Infection Fatality Rate of the coronavirus. But of course the IFR is highly dependent upon whether the medical care system is functioning or is turning away patients in the parking lot. Furthermore, if it is functioning, it is, hopefully, improving over time. The more... Read More
Pretty Much ...
• April 19, 2020
• 213 Comments • Reply
For Want of a Nail ...
• April 19, 2020
• 400 Words • 279 Comments • Reply
From the Los Angeles Times: It's ridiculous that our large
Kaiser Permanente Data on Hospitalizations
• April 18, 2020
• 1,200 Words • 192 Comments • Reply
A preprint from April 12: Re is much the same as R0 unless you are getting toward herd immunity. Results: Data covered 1277 hospitalized patients with laboratory- or clinically-confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis by April 9, 2020. Cumulative incidence of first COVID-19 acute inpatient admission was 10.6-12.4 per 100,000 cohort members across the study regions. Mean censoring-adjusted... Read More
They Should Run PSAs Encouraging People to Call 911 if They Are Having a Heart Attack or Stroke
• April 17, 2020
• 100 Words • 178 Comments • Reply
Many people are probably not aware that hospitals are mostly pretty empty right now. This raises the danger that people with non-coronavirus health emergencies are trying to tough them out at home, and thus dying of something like a heart attack or stroke that might well be survivable with modern medical care. We could lose... Read More
The Privacy Problem with Data-Mining for Coronavirus Clues Explained
• April 17, 2020
• 600 Words • 49 Comments • Reply
I have been pointing out for awhile that we have giant databases of patient medical records (e.g., Kaiser Permanente has about 12 million patients) that could be subjected to Big Data analyses to get a better feel for the relative risks of coronavirus infection in different workplaces. For example, if schools were reopened, how much... Read More
Infection Rate in Silicon Valley in Early April Was 1% to 6%, Suggesting Infection Fatality Rate Is Much Lower Than Case Fatality Rate, But That Herd Immunity Is Far Off
• April 17, 2020
• 1,300 Words • 333 Comments • Reply
Here's today's much-awaited PDF preprint (not peer reviewed) by a Stanford team that performed blood antibody tests on a fairly representative sample of 3,330 Santa Clara County residents on April 3-4. Stanford professor authors Bendavid, Bhattacharya, and Ioannidis have been prominent skeptics of the recent doom-oriented conventional wisdom. As you'll recall, a PCR nasal swab... Read More
Deep Diversity
• April 17, 2020
• 100 Words • 147 Comments • Reply
The Fertile Crescent of the Near East, being humanity's first home to agriculture and civilization, tends to have some of the unexpected disadvantages of deep cultural diversity, such as everybody has their own alphabet. This is not to say that every country in Western and Central Europe has the same alphabet: Slovakia has 46 letters,... Read More
The Data Lockdown
• April 16, 2020
• 400 Words • 128 Comments • Reply
iSteve commenter Hypnotoad666 writes: As I may have mentioned once or twice before, for the last 7 years, the Internal Revenue Service has been letting Harvard economist Raj Chetty trawl through your tax returns and mine, which he has done to great media acclaim and almost zero criticism because the tax returns are anoymized so... Read More
What Is Australia Doing Right?
• April 16, 2020
• 100 Words • 250 Comments • Reply
Australia is a country of 25 million with a couple of big cities and it had a lot of travel back and forth with China. But its coronavirus stats are remarkably non-alarming: It's the Northern hemisphere equivalent of October 17 there right now. Here's Sydney's idyllic weather forecast in fahrenheit (72 degrees F = 22... Read More
How to Use Immigrants to Study Whether BCG Vaccine Is Advantageous
• April 16, 2020
• 700 Words • 40 Comments • Reply
An idea that has been kicking around for awhile is that differences in the use of the old BCG vaccine for tuberculosis might help explain some of the puzzling differences between countries with seemingly similar populations: e.g., Portugal, where BCG inoculation has been mandatory since 1965, has mostly done better than Spain, where BCG has... Read More
In Today's Edition of "Asian-American Women Writers on the Make Frontlashing Whites Over Coronavirus"
• April 15, 2020
• 1,000 Words • 338 Comments • Reply
It feels like February again in the New York Times Magazine, with Korean-American lady writers milking their Google searches for anti-Chinese incidents for all they are worth: No, it's not. He was simply stating a fact, but I suddenly realized that I could be spreading stereotypes about Chinese people. I deleted the tweet with a... Read More
NYT: We Need Affirmative Action to Keep White Men from Hogging the Ventilators
• April 15, 2020
• 600 Words • 140 Comments • Reply
From the New York Times' opinion page: The Way We Ration Ventilators Is Biased Not every patient has a fair chance. By Harald Schmidt Dr. Schmidt is an assistant professor in the department of medical ethics at the University of Pennsylvania. April 15, 2020 Rationing ventilators might be a necessary response in the new Covid-19... Read More
The Great Outdoors
• April 15, 2020
• 200 Words • 88 Comments • Reply
A preprint from China: Indoor transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Hua Qian, Te Miao, Li LIU, Xiaohong Zheng, Danting Luo, Yuguo Li This article is a preprint and has not been peer-reviewed ... It is essential to understand where and how SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted. Methods: Case reports were extracted from the local Municipal Health Commissions of 320... Read More
The Usefulness of Health Theater
• April 15, 2020
• 500 Words • 91 Comments • Reply
From iSteve commenter Seth Largo responding to my new Taki's Magazine column: Government officials do play an important role in opinion generation, but there are a lot of moving pieces. For example, consider barbershops and hair salons. They aren't terribly essential, but I wish their owners and employees well and would like to see them... Read More
Not Good News?
• April 15, 2020
• 600 Words • 47 Comments • Reply
From Nature Medicine, a small study from China: That sounds like bad news for Track and Trace strategies. Even higher proportions of presymptomatic transmission of 48% and 62% have been
Your Odds ...
• April 15, 2020
• 100 Words • 44 Comments • Reply
From a new study (PDF) of several thousand New York patients, "Factors associated with hospitalization and critical illness among 4,103 patients with Covid-19 disease in New York City." The first tree is for chances of hospitalization. Don't think of these as actual decision trees used to make decisions, but as post-hoc reconstructions of what happened.... Read More
My New Taki's Magazine Column
• April 15, 2020
• 400 Words • 175 Comments • Reply
From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Read the whole thing there. Here's a new NYT article on how NYC doctors are much more reluctant to intubate than they were a month ago. Instead, they first try having pa
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Steve Sailer
About Steve Sailer

Steve Sailer is a journalist, movie critic for Taki's Magazine, VDARE.com columnist, and founder of the Human Biodiversity discussion group for top scientists and public intellectuals.


PastClassics
American Pravda: Holocaust Denial
• 2,327 Comments • Reply
China's Rise, America's Fall
Which superpower is more threatened by its “extractive elites”?
• 181 Comments • Reply
Race and Crime in America
The unspoken statistical reality of urban crime over the last quarter century.
• 204 Comments • Reply
American Pravda: Oddities of the Jewish Religion
• 1,661 Comments • Reply
9/11 Was an Israeli Job
How America was neoconned into World War IV
• 390 Comments • Reply
The Talk: Nonblack Version
Teach your children well.
• 123 Comments • Reply