Watching Hurricane Lili
Mon Sep 30, 9:53 PM ET, weather.com
Hurricane Lili threatens Cuba
Some severe weather
Mon Sep 30, 8:13 PM ET, weather.com
Severe weather continues over parts of the Upper Midwest.
Hurricane Lili threatens Cuba
Mon Sep 30, 8:03 PM ET, weather.com
Hurricane Lili has intensified slowly but steadily the past 18 hours and now has winds estimated at 80 mph. Moving WNW at 10 mph, little change in track is expected the next 36 to 48 hours but some increase in forward speed is likely. The 72 hour forecast is aimed just offshore the TX/LA coastline with a trend toward a more NNW track at that time. It may turn more NNE at landfall. The circulation is currently tiny as hurricane wind radii extend out only 15 nm from the center. Typically small hurricanes remain small unless they interact with extratropical weather systems. Therefore, only a small area of the U.S. Gulf coast should be impacted by Lili, near and a little east of the center. Currently, we expect it to be moving at least 12-15 mph at landfall. This should limit rainfall impacts. Waves will be small on the east side of the circulation and no a threat on the west side. The intensity forecast is to a Category 3 in 72 hours. If this happens, a localized area of surge and damaging winds will affect the coastline. Hurricane watches and warnings are up for parts of Cuba, the Cayman Islands and Yucantan. The first place watches/warnings could be posted for the U.S. is in the Florida Keys, but currently the circulation remains so small they may not be necessary there. The track confidence is fairly high the first 36 hours, fair through 48 and marginal to 72 hours as the hurricane could take a turn from WNW or NW toward N or NNE before landfall. Gulf Coast residents should monitor the situation and make sure they have their hurricane plan in place should they have to implement it. TD Kyle is weakening along a frontal boundary...it remains a marine hazard but will cause some wave action along the Florida east coast to 6 feet the next 24 to 36 hours. The remainder of the Atlantic is quiet.
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