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Between November 2000 and April 2001, the Met Office helped the
NHS to forecast its workload, combining weather intelligence with
health data to deliver reports and forecasts on a regular basis.
The first trial schemes were in five locations: Leeds, London,
Plymouth, Reading and Wolverhampton.
The schemes were co-ordinated by the Met Office on behalf of the
Department of Health. Other participants included: the Public Health
Laboratory Service, the Royal College of General Practitioners,
the National Association of GP Co-ops, Oxford University Institute
of Health Sciences, NHS Direct, local acute hospital trusts, and
local ambulance trusts.
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Each day, health data from the hospitals, NHS Direct regions and
GP co-ops in the scheme was downloaded to provide a snapshot of
current workload. This was then used as the basis for the development
of a workload forecast.
Respiratory virus levels and forecasts of temperature, snow, air
quality and wind chill were also used to create the workload forecasts
for the five locations.
In addition, all emergency hospital admissions were analysed by
epidemiologists at Oxford University to provide a strong foundation
on which to forecast future workload.
e-mail us: health@metoffice.com
More about "Forecasting
the nation's health"
More about
the winter 2002/03 pilot
Evaluation
of the winter 2001/02 pilot
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