![]() |
![]() |
|
|
||||||
|
IN THIS SECTION
|
Redistricting, Third Party Candidates to Affect 2002 Election Outcomes With more than 6,000 state legislative seats and 36 governorships to be decided this November, voters are confronted with an extraordinary number of unfamiliar faces seeking elected office. Turnover within state legislatures, which typically averages around 20 percent, could average anywhere from 30 to 35 percent in 2002. Term limits and state redistricting have significantly changed the political landscape. In most cases, new district lines are pitting incumbents against one another. According to a recent National Conference of State Legislators report, "with the exception of two states (Maine and Montana) every legislative district has been redrawn in the past 18 months." This means that traditional strengths such as name recognition and established loyalties will not have the same effect as in past elections. Divided government in many states has often led to adoption of cautious political strategies designed to not offend potential voters. As a result, traditional historical differences between Democratic and Republican candidates have diminished while opportunities for candidates from other political parties have expanded. In Massachusetts, the presence of Green, Independent, and Libertarian Party gubernatorial candidates has opened some new channels for voters dissatisfied with traditional choices. Presently, polls indicate that neither Republican Mitt Romney nor Democrat Shannon O'Brien has the support of more than 40 percent of registered voters. The recognition of gubernatorial candidates such as Independence Party candidate Tim Penny in Minnesota, as well as Libertarian Party candidate Ed Thompson in Wisconsin, has sent the message that other parties may be politically viable and worthy of voter consideration. The large pool of new candidates, growing intensity of party politics, and emergence of new political influences has helped to generate tremendous uncertainty in many state races. According to recent polling data, as many as eight governor's races in key boating states will come down to the wire. NMMA's state lobbyists report that many local candidates who support the boating industry are in close races, separated typically by a mere percentage point. If, as expected, turnover is high, a host of new legislators may be directing policy in the states, and the historical significance of the 2002 Election for state government will be immense. NMMA urges all its members to VOTE ON TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2002. Sources: The National Conference of State Legislators; Wade Hopping, Hopping, Green, Sams & Smith; Politics1.com; Ballot.org; Ballotwatch.org; The National Center for Policy Analysis For more information on state races, contact Michael Hackmer, NMMA State Relations Manager at (202) 721.1610; mhackmer@nmma.org. |
|
|