Craps Do's and Dont's
It was a Friday night in the casino. He was well dressed in a sport coat, dress
pants, lacquered black shoes. About 60 years old, he parted a space for himself
with ease at the crowded craps table. With the dice on the hop, he reached
into his jacket and pulled out two wrappers of $5,000 each, and launched them
toward the stickman. "Buy the four."
The dice settled. "Seven out. Take the Line, Pay the Don'ts. New Shooter;
place your bets." He was unfazed. Didn't shuffle or sweat. He removed
another two wrappers from the same pocket, with the marker black up, "off," and
the come out roll to follow. "Buy the four," once again.
The table is packed. "Coming out, C & E's, Play the Field, Okay
shooter, hands away, here we go...five! No field five. Five's the number,
Mark the five. " The stack of chips on the four with the "buy" button
attracted most of the attention at the ten dollar table.
"Okay shooter, five's the number. Place your bets, come bets, hardways,
field bets...dice are out, watch your hands, here we go...seven! Line
away, pay the don'ts."
I watched this scene repeated for about fifteen minutes. In that time,
the high roller lost $80,000. He was betting that the shooter would roll
a four, before he rolled a seven. If he had succeeded, with the odds
of 2 to 1, he would have turned each of his $10,000 bets into $30,000
(and owed some back to the house for its 5% commission, but a nice payday,
nonetheless).
Instead of checking the temperature at the table, acting like a big
shot, he plunged in and hit one cold run losing eight times in a row.
In craps, as in life, timing is truly everything. No one there had the
nerve to tell the big shot that a mere half-hour previously, the table
was red-hot, the same shooter making pass after pass, chips flying across
the felt, money pouring out of the racks.
Now, if our high roller had taken the opposite tack, and played the "Don'ts," betting
that, following the come out roll (where the point is established), the
shooter would roll a seven before he rolled the point, (or his layed
number), he would have, without taking odds, doubled his money. Turned
his $80,000 into $160,000. But that wasn't the way he played.
The essence of craps, its soul and beauty lies in its eternal speedy elusiveness
and streaks. I'm certainly not the first to note that most folks feel much more
comfortable playing on the pass line, with the shooter, hoping for hot streaks,
hosts of numbers made, with the crowd yelping, clapping, screaming, urging him
on, pushing for more. You might say there's comfort in numbers.
It takes a certain personality and understanding of the game to appreciate
the beauty of playing the "don't pass" and "don't come." You are not
playing against everyone at the table, but with the house. Part of the
house edge in craps is derived from the simple, undeniable fact that
there are more ways to make a seven than any other number. This style
is called, playing "wrong." Not a judgment call, it is merely the opposite
of playing the pass line, or playing "right."
By putting your initial bet on the don't pass line, you are entering
the Twilight Zone of dice. The first and most dangerous obstacle is the
come out roll. If there are more ways to make a seven after the point
is established, it is also true before. Any seven or eleven on the come
out roll means the pass line gets paid in the amount of the bet, and
the don't pass is lost and removed from play. Conversely, if a two or
three (craps) is rolled on the come out, the don't pass is paid with
the pass line lost. A twelve means the pass line loses as well, but the
don't pass pushes (ties), with no money exchanged (thus the "bar double
six" on the craps table layout).
Any other number: 4, 5,6,8,9,10 establishes the "point" or the number
the shooter needs to roll without hitting a seven, in order to get paid
and stay "on the roll." The don't pass player is now betting the seven
will be rolled. At this point the marker or black and white disk is moved
from the black "off" position, and placed white side up, "on" in the
middle of the number on the layout to signify the point.
You can look at a craps table and see the progress of any game. Generally, if
there are stacks of chips sprouting like ocean front high rises on the flat beach,
it is a fair assumption that the table is "hot," the shooter(s) are making their
rolls (or passes) , and the players are adding to their bets, parlaying or "pressing."
If you see mournful quiet faces scattered in different corners of the table,
you're probably looking at a "cold" game, where the shooter makes a number and
on the next pass, it's "seven out."
Let's return to our game. The point is established. Both the pass line
and don't pass bettors can now take odds on their initial bets, as well
as place or buy any of the other numbers or proposition bets inside the
dice layout. The amount of times the odds will be paid is different at
each property, with the higher numbers more potentially profitable for
the players, whether right or wrong. Single odds on the don't pass line
lowers the house edge from 1.40 to 0.69. 2x odds reduces the house advantage
to .46 or less than half a percent for your total bet.
At this time, the wrong player can also opt to make a "don't come" bet.
This is identical to a don't pass bet with the provision that it can
only be made after the come out roll with the point established.
Sam Grafstein, author of the classic book on Craps, The Dice Doctor
Revised and Expanded, put it this way, "In contrast to Dale Carnegie's
goal,you as a wrong bettor are not there to win friends and influence
people. I have as yet to hear a wrong bettor say, "He is playing for
fun." You are there for one reason only. "To win the money!"
The psychology ,style, and betting philosophy of the true don't bettor is entirely
different from that of the pass line player. It is a patient, "grind-it-out" style,
quite opposite from the hot, action-oriented popular bet. Remember, there is
no "good" or "bad" involved. Just a difference in style and betting philosophy.
To attempt to jump back and forth from the pass and don't pass, depending on
the last shooter's success (or lack of) can be suicidal. If you are a casual
observer, watch the flow of the game and see which betting style suits you best.
Remember, when you bet on the "don'ts" it is not the most popular position to
be in, but don't take the comments personally, and remind others you're not betting
against them. You're just betting with the house, and it's just possible you're
making the smarter bet.
A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned." - Paul Newman, The
Color of Money
"You cannot beat a roulette table unless you steal money
from it."- Albert Einstein
"It is the mark of an inexperienced man not to believe
in luck." - Joseph Conrad
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