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Forecasting methods and systems


Introduction

Met Office (GloSea) system and EURO-SIP : The European multi-model system

Forecast calibration

Information on research activities

Guide to forecast maps and diagrams

Category maps

Probability forecast maps and category definitions

Tropical Pacific (Nino region) sea surface temperature (SST) Forecasts

Guide to skill assessments


The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Standard Verification System for long-range forecasts

The verification procedures used to measure the performance of the seasonal forecasts are those recommended by the Standardised Verification System (SVS) for long-range forecasts (LRF) developed by the Commission for Basic Systems (CBS) of the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO).

Gerrity scores

Relative operating characteristics (ROC) curves and maps

Reliability and sharpness diagrams
 
About
Monthly outlook
Category maps
Probability forecasts
Nino SST forecasts
Category map skill assessment
Probability map skill assessment
User guide
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