| In March 2004, a new set of maps were
produced showing the 1961-1990 and 1971-2000 long-term averages
for 13 climate variables (those for 1961-1990 replaced an
existing set produced in the mid 1990s). This note gives an
outline of how the maps were generated and explains some of
the presentational aspects.
The maps have been generated using geographical information
system (GIS) software from values of the long-term average
calculated for each station in the Met Office's observing
network. The station averages are interpolated on to a regular
grid which is then used to produce the final map. The interpolation
scheme uses topographic data to capture the effects of altitude,
terrain shape and proximity to the coast and to urban areas.
Description
of the analysis methods used to generate the averages
The new maps are based on grids with a resolution of 1
km (compared with 5 km for the previous 1961-1990 maps).
The use of solid colour shading (rather than contours) is
designed to reveal as much of the detail in these grids
as can reasonably be achieved using a static A4-sized image.
However this is not intended to imply that all spatial variations
at a scale of 1 km have been portrayed. Where there are
large gradients in the climatological average the variations
are now better resolved (e.g. in upland and coastal areas).
However, the quality of the gridded data is still limited
by the interpolation scheme and certain features, such as
frost hollows, are known to be captured imperfectly.
A total of 442 maps have been produced (twelve monthly,
four seasonal and one annual map for each of 13 climate
variables and each of two averaging periods). It was not
possible to produce such a large number of maps efficiently
without a fair degree of automation and this has influenced
some of the presentational aspects of the maps.
For example, the number of data classes is fixed and the
boundaries between the classes are chosen automatically,
such that each colour occupies an approximately equal area
of the map. Although equal-interval classes are more traditional,
it was found that these often resulted in maps that had
large areas of lowland Britain in a single colour. Given
that the interpolation process will generally be more accurate
in lowland areas than in topographically-complex upland
areas, it was decided to use equal-area classes as this
helps to bring out the detail in those areas where the interpolation
is most robust.
A feature of equal-area classes is that in some cases the
top and bottom classes span quite wide ranges of values
while the classes in between encompass much smaller ranges
of values (in some cases just a single value). This is simply
a reflection of the statistical distribution of the data.
In practice the number of grid points with values in the
tails of the distribution will generally be very small.
For example, although the grid point values of the 1961-1990
average maximum temperature for February vary between -3.5°C
and +9.6°C, over 90% of the values lie in the much narrower
range of +3.0°C to +8.0°C.
The use of equal-area classes also means that the boundaries
between classes are arbitrary values which differ from map
to map. As a consequence, it has been necessary to use a
relative colour scheme, where the same set of colours is
used on all maps (for a given climate variable) but individual
colours correspond to different ranges of values on different
maps.
Note that these climate maps are intended to be no more
than a guide to the climate of the UK. Averages for selected
UK stations, districts and regions are also available from
our web site. Additional averages (including gridded versions)
or bespoke versions of the maps and any associated charges
can be obtained by contacting our 24-hour Customer
Centre.
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