July 27, 2003
Submarines: Growing in Value
Joe Katzman
Melana Zyla Vickers has a very good article up called "No Subs for Subs." Their stealthiness and ability to work undetected in coastal areas has moved their role beyond just anti-shipping and ballistic missile launch. Covert land attack, intelligence gathering, and special operations are being added to their repetoire, especially in light of the conversion of 4 Ohio-class ballistic missile submarines to SSGNs carrying cruise missiles and 60-100 Special Operations troops.
Carriers are the focus of the U.S. Navy's deployments, and their role will increase in value as the USA transforms its military into more of an expeditionary force. Those with a serious interest in the military, however, would be well advised to pay equal attention to 2 other areas. One is a concept called "seabasing" (more technical document). The other is the evolution of the submarine.
Leadership and Challenge
Armed Liberal
I've been discussing the need for Bush to articulate and sell his plans in order to build and maintain the public support that will be essential to winning this war. Trent has responded, disagreeing.
Calpundit posts on the same subject, and says:
I most definitely don't accept Steven Den Beste's crude view that the president shouldn't tell the American public about his larger goals because "They don't need to know, and can't be trusted to know." This is not a specific operational aspect of war that needs to be kept secret from our enemies, it's an argument about the overarching principle behind American policy and America's place in the world for the next several decades. If the American public ... and the world ... can't be trusted with that, we should just pack up and go home. Steven should be ashamed of himself for writing such a thing.
read the rest! »
He follows up with a post quoting James Woolsey, in an article in The Guardian:
America and the western world are at war with 'fascist' Middle East governments and totalitarian Islamists.....[The parallels with the Cold War are:] that it will last a very long time - decades; that it will sporadically involve the use of military force, as did the Cold War in Korea for example; but that an important component would be ideological. I would add that, just as we eventually won the Cold War - and when I say 'we' here, I always mean Britain, the United States, the democracies, our allies - it was in no small measure because, while containing the Soviet Union and its allies militarily and with nuclear deterrence, we undermined their ideology. What they said, all the way.
And I'll echo Kevin strongly in disagreeing with Den Beste and Trent (and other commenters who have supported Trent here); it is critical that Bush articulate and sell his vision for why we are at war and what the war will look like - not tactically or diplomatically, but historically - and a clear vision of what we are really fighting and what we are fighting for. Because we will win this war with ideology, belief, and determination, and the role of the leader is in no small part to express those and to embody them so that the rest of us will internalize them and come to act on them.
It is a high standard, but we have had wartime Presidents - including the rich, spoiled sons of privilege - who have met it, and by the time we win this war, we will have had one or more Presidents who have met it. The challenge isn't beyond Bush, and I hope that he can grow to meet it. « ok, I'm done now
July 26, 2003
A Brief Shabbat Shalom!
Joe Katzman
As many of you know, Saturday is the Jewish Sabbath. In that spirit, our Saturday posts to this blog will always be "good news". We will share Sufi wisdom, highlight the acts of good and decent people, laugh at humourous events, and point to amazing discoveries that could benefit humanity. My Muslim, Christian, and non-religious colleagues have graciously agreed to respect and work within this Winds of Change.NET tradition.
So, welcome to Winds of Change.NET... and Shabbat Shalom.
Good News and Drama From France
Armed Liberal
More good news for Joe...tomorrow, unless something incredible happens (and that's not likely) Lance Armstrong will win his 5th consecutive Tour de France, and Tyler Hamilton will finish 4th, having ridden for three weeks on a broken collarbone.
In the penultimate time trial (an individual race against the clock), his only potential challenger, German Jan Ullrich, crashed on a rainslick roundabout. Reading the live Internet feed as they started, it was obvious that at the starting ramp, Ullrich was anxious and Armstrong collected. Both raced at record-breaking speeds; they covered 49km in well under an hour.
This has been a Tour full of crashes, drama, and exciting events, as well as magnificent athletic performances by all the participants. Lance said: "We're very lucky to be in a position like that. It was an eerie Tour. The mixture of physical problems, tactical errors and just bad luck, having crashes and near-crashes, it gives you mental stress and physical stress."
Lance joins Miguel "Big Mig" Indurain as the only winner of five in a row, and no one - not even the great Merckx - has won more than five, period. See you all next year...
Sufi Wisdom: The Sterile Woman
Joe Katzman
As militant Islam does its level best to discredit the religion, it's important to remember that there are other voices within the faith. One such is the Sufis, a branch of Islamic mystics who live islam (submission), iman (faith) and ishan (awareness of G-d, "to act beautifully"). Every Saturday, therefore, we spend some time with the Sufis' "crazy wisdom."
This week's entry comes from the 12th-century scholar and Sufi El-Ghazali (a.k.a. al-Ghazali):
"A man went to a doctor and told him that his wife was not bearing children. The physician saw the woman, took her pulse, and said: 'I cannot treat you for sterility because I have discovered that you will in any case die within forty days.'When she heard this the woman was so worried that she could eat nothing during the ensuing forty days. But she did not die at the time predicted.
The husband took the matter up with the doctor, who said: 'Yes, I knew that. Now she will be fertile.'
The husband asked how this had come about. The doctor told him: 'Your wide was too fat, and this was interfering with her fertility. I knew that the only thing which would put her off her food would be fear of dying. She is now, therefore, cured.'
The question of knowledge is a very dangerous one."
So, use the comments section and tell us: what might al-Ghazali be trying to tell us, especially re: his view of knowledge?
Calvin & Hobbes
Joe Katzman
"It's a magical world, Hobbes old buddy...let's go exploring!"
Calvin and Hobbes remains my favourite cartoon of all time, and Clubbeaux seems to feel the same way. He has a couple of strips up to remind me why it's my favourite, then throws in a link to a page that holds many of Waterson's glorious "Calvin's snowmen" tableaux.
To this day I kick myself that as a kid, I did not think of any of those snowman ideas.
P.S. Speaking of worthy cartoonists, I'd be remiss if I didn't throw in a bit of advance notice that Day By Day returns on Monday! Also on the "way to go" front, cartoons like this are why I love Cox and Forkum. Molon Labe!
G-d & Man, Knowing & Understanding
Joe Katzman
This one comes via an article by Joshua Claybourn that offers some thought-provoking tidbits about Man's relationship with G-d, the limits of knowledge, and the realm of spirit. He begins by quoting Lileks:
"But who civilizes the dog? Man. And it's so very easy to do; it requires only connection and the will to do good. Which is why I've often said, half facetiously, that the relationship between man and dog is the same as man to God. Dogs don't understand our books or physics or spacecraft or lawn mower engines or flat-screen monitors or 99.8% of our world. They do not know what it is that they do not know. They don’t even know how to pose the question, frame the argument, find their way into to realm of the human mind. The connection to the human being is sufficient.... I find no more empirical proof of God than my dog finds proof of satellite TV. But at night when we're on the sofa he sees the inscrutable stories flickering on the box in the corner. I note his disinterest: one of those things, whaddagonna do. But the fact that he doesn't get the story doesn't mean there's not a story being told."
July 25, 2003
Iraqis Getting Talkative
Joe Katzman
Well, well. The USA just rounded up about 10 members of Saddam's personal security team near Tikrit, based on intelligence "from local Iraqis". (Hat Tip: Damian Penny, who also has interesting information from a former bodyguard about how Saddam spent the war, and how close we came before)
Meanwhile, Maj. Gen. Ray Odierno, commander of the 4th Infantry Division, said in a video-teleconference from Iraq with reporters at the Pentagon that information from Iraqis has been "flowing in" in the past 24 hours, and that the military continues to gain more and more information about the ex-dictator's possible whereabouts.
Gee, wonder what changed? No I don't. Guess a picture really is worth 1,000 words. Saddam, on the other hand, is worth $25 million. Who wants to win the Powerball lottery, become a rich man, and move to America with your family? But you gotta buy a ticket. Step right up...
Mel's Melodrama: The Crucifixion
Joe Katzman
I normally refrain from commenting on a movie before its release, and I'm sticking to that policy re: "The Passion". Diana's reprint of Paula Fredriksen's article, however, is worth reading for its discussion of historical details et. around Jesus and the Crucifixion.
Yes, I am a bit concerned about the film. Still, it's a long way from the previews to the theaters. We'll see what happens then.
Guest Blog: A Happy Liberal Speaks
Joe Katzman
I had a great response to the "Happy Liberal Blogger Scavenger Hunt," held in the wake (and we do mean WAKE) of recent events in Iraq. The full list is up at our "Carnival of the Obituaries" today, but this one was definitely the most interesting. It came direct from a U.S. soldier, who will remain anonymous per request. People like these are liberals, too.
Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 19:36:00 +0200
From: "Gimpy"
Joe, How are you.
I'll take the bet, but I'll lose. I didn't blog the deaths of the Dynamic Duo. I was too busy punching the air in joy. Tried, in my humble ways, to do my piece when I thought, wrongly, that we had gotten Sadman Insane himself, when we struck the convoy over by the Syrian border.
By way of introduction, I maintain a mostly private, collaborative blog [deleted]. It's purpose? My friends and I are spread from some very bad places (Balad) to some very nice places (Europe and America). For us, the GWOT has been like a college graduation: something we have prepared for, trained for and were ready for, but now necessitates our separation.
We've had good times, among good friends. But we all agreed, when we signed, that one day, we had to be prepared. Afghanistan was the beginning. Iraq, perhaps the end of that beginning. There is more to be done.
read the rest! »
I remember attending a conference after 9/11, and our Great Operator, COL T (Ret) asked for volunteers, to go around the world (my specialty is not the tip of the spear; I'm somewhere along the fat middle of it---but we are important, and do our part to support the war fighter.) We all raised our hands. It was like the Eddie Murphy character in Shrek, a sort of "Pick me, Pick me." COL T looked around the room and said, in effect, "settle down, Marys. There's going to be plenty to go around. We're talking about fifteen years, here."
After reading Steven Den Beste's article in today's WSJ Opinion Journal, (based on an earlier post), I'm glad to see that message finally make it into the mainstream. This is not, has never been, about yellowcake, WMD or even Saddam. It has always been about putting and end to the Arab Civil War. A war which began with Ataturk's abolition of the Caliphate, a war which involved the American people most directly on 9/11 and a war which continues to this day.
I grew up in a city. Maybe that's why I like this analogy. What the Arab world is experiencing today is like a crack (oil) addiction. Remember when that hit our streets in the eighties? First, there was talk of treatment. Then it was war. Say what you will about the war on drugs, as you smoke a joint and talk about how harmless it is. I've seen what hard drugs do. I've seen it in my family. The problem could never be dealt with by going after the crack addicts (the terrorists), or shutting down the crack houses (the Muslim Brotherhood which seems to beget the terrorists). Ultimately, you have to go after the purveyors of the crack (the Nationalists/Imams who preach/teach the hate and the money which supports them). I think about a meme that's gathering steam, and I want to reference I portion of Mr. Den Beste's article, about the use of nuclear weapons on an American city. The meme goes something like this: "why is everyone overreacting about terrorism, sure it's bad, but it can't truly destroy America."
Let me mention two words. Intentions and capabilities.
Capabilities follow intentions, not the other way around. In Austria, was a particularly bitter little man, with some evil intentions. He worked over the next fifteen years to gather the capabilities. He was Hitler. Or let's be farcical. Here's Osama, nice guy, really. Likes to tend sheep. One day, he comes across a low yield nuclear device. Now he has capabilities. Does he then turn the device over to competent authorities, or does he sit down and begin to develop intentions. Hmmm, he thinks. Let's start with the Jews, or maybe the US? Capabilities follow intentions. Our race is to head them off before they reach those capabilities. We all grieved for 9/11. Imagine a random date, the day we lose a city. Or if you're shallow, watch "Dark Angel".
But why Iraq?
Let me put this in context. Too much going around in my head. I remember a Zimbabwean commenting that he wished they had oil, so President Bush could come in, bomb them, and remove Mugabe. A war for oil (WMD, oppression, freedom, etc.) is really a simplistic way of looking at it. It makes for great slogans. Syndical-anarchists can design bizarre outfits and block traffic protesting about the issue. When, I talk to my friends (and they are tired of hearing about it) about Zimbabwe (or Liberia, Iran, etc..) I've come to this realization. But to paraphrase Tony Blair, "I wish we could. But we can't."
What made Saddam the low hanging fruit in the axis of evil , and what was intended to build support were these factors:
- Ongoing violation of sanctions.
- An oppressive regime.
- Direct, immediate threat to his neighbors were said "baby-killing" sanctions removed. (conventional)
- Support of terrorism (not necessarily Al Qaeda--although those the links are there) such as Fatah's Al Aqsa's Martyrs Brigade (does being a splinter group of Fatah mean that they have to pay two sets of dues?).
Saddam set himself up as a target, and Osama pulled the trigger. Let me be clear. Arab Nationalist, using the vehicle of Islamic Fundamentalism, involved America in the Arab Civil War -- the fight between the Dictators in power, and the radicals who want control.
War is often looked at as a battle between two opposing sides. Good versus evil. That is appropriate to our context, but is by no means the rule. Political Commissars and Propagandists try to make it true, but history reveals their lies. Sometimes, morally repugnant battles truly evil. The Soviet Union versus Nazi Germany. The Arab dictators versus the Arab nationalists. The Afghan Arabs versus the Soviet Union. The Communists Chinese versus the Soviet Union. The Russian Oligarchy versus the Chechen Separatists. Liberia. There are wars neither side should win.
Yet, invariably, one side does.
Unless.
And this is the third side of the battle. Who stands for liberty, for freedom, for the rule of law. I'm not going to be an apologist for the past wrongs of the United States. Tony Blair says I don't have to be. This gets into my feelings on politics and truth. Linked off of Instapundit onto something called "social constructivism" and the nature of truth. Hurt my head. I'm not a smart gomer. But for me, the issue comes down to this. There is truth, and there are politics. One side (the Leftists of today, the Far Right of the early nineties) believes politics are firm, and truth is malleable. The other side (the Liberals of the early nineties, and the Conservatives of today) believe truth is firm, and politics are malleable (often opening themselves to charges of changing course in midstream, "tossing out" plans or waffling). One side (Lib/Con) believes that the US is fundamentally good, her people honest, yet, from time to time, does something stupid. Yet this side works to improve America. The other side (Leftist/Far Rightist) believes the United States is fundamentally flawed, her people venal and decadent and works to replace this "evil".
When I think about the war we are in today, I need to bring all these things together. Asymmetry. Not a new word. Indeed. Asymmetric warfare has been talked about, debated and planned for since the early nineties. But, being asymmetric, it didn't turn out the way we thought. I always believed it would involve U.S. versus state actors utilizing unconventional (war fighting) means. Shallow thinking. What we see today is a nearly unplanned confluence of Ideology, Individual and Organization. The not nearly enough discredited Leftist/Far Right philosophies, Terrorists, and Rogue States. Placed in a pit by twos, they would most certainly fight each other. But they seem to have almost unconsciously determined to link up, and fight that other force. The third one I mentioned earlier. Once it's out of the way, then they can settle things between themselves.
Then Lord help us all.
Thank you for your time. « ok, I'm done now
Guys, I Get It
Armed Liberal
In the comments sections, it's being pointed out to me that we'll ultimately win whatever war comes our way, so my concerns about faith and endurance are misplaced.
That's not news to me. Read this and I hope you'll understand what I'm really afraid of.
"...here’s my fear. I don’t want to be a part of a society that eradicated another culture; I don’t want to commit genocide."
Liberal Contest Winners: Carnival of the Obituaries
Joe Katzman
The results of our contest to find liberals who were actually happy about Uday and Qusay Hussein's death are in, and I'm pleased to report that many self-identified liberals did indeed have worthy things to say. Winner of the contest, with 4 first sightings, is Kathy K. of On the Third Hand. Take a bow, Kathy!
A couple of observations. First, I'm really glad I ran this content. As you can see from the list below, lots of folks had stepped up. I must confess, it cheered me considerably after seeing the stuff referenced in the link from my contest post and on Den Beste's site. Always do the research.
The other observation is that here are some of the people A.L., Michael Totten, Dean Esmay et. al. are looking for. It's easy to focus on the barking loonies at Democratic Underground and Indymedia, not to mention bloggers like Hesiod and Daily Kos who painted big and deserved bulls-eyes on their foreheads. Thing is, opinion surveys have been done of the Democratic Party that show an astonishing split between rank-and-file party members and activists, to the point where the Washington Post said that "Democratic activists and rank-and-file might as well have come from different parties." Guess which type the blogosphere is filled with?
Whichever type these bloggers may be, they deserve and receive my appreciation:
read the rest! »
- Amygdala: "The only downside might be the possible intel that perhaps could have been gotten from them. That, and the loss of an opportunity to put them in stocks and let every Iraqi get a chance to slap them. The rest is all up side, as they head downside."
- Calpundit had a post. His comments section ranges from "woo hoo!" to barking moonbattery, but the overall tone seems quietly pleased.
- "Bang" says Justin Slaughter of the Columbia Political Review. Well, he says a lot more than that...
- Dean Esmay is happy. Though I think he's beginning to see the light, he still self-identifies as liberal.
- Different Strings says: "As much as I hate taking pleasure in the death of anyone, there are some people who are so evil that I can make exceptions for them, and these two fit the bill."
- Eyeranian has a few choice words. No doubt many Iranians feel the same way, though I suspect Pedram's preferred option of an international trial might take 2nd place to "no, just give them to us." We thought we'd save y'all the line-ups.
- Gabriel Gonzalez adds: " In France (where I live), Pascal Bruckner, Alain Finkielkraut, and Bernard Kouchner (France is not big on blogging yet)." Probably. Then again, GG was sure that Matthew Yglesias would be happy too. You be the judge.
- Judith Weiss says: "Ding, Dong, the Witch Is Dead!" And you've got to read her update... owwwch!
- Just Left of Center says: "I think it’s great that Saddam's 2 sons were killed – and I think it laughable that people are saying it was 'Murder' or Illegal' or whatever. I don’t like how we got into the war – but the fact is that the war itself is justified and the world is better off with Saddam gone. It is a victory in the war and, secondarily, a victory for Bush and Co." (Hat Tip: Michele's comments section)
- OldFan may or may not be a liberal, but I had to reprint this comment: "The very best thing about the closing of the cases on Saddam's monstrous spawn is that NO lawyers were involved in the process at ANY time."
- Oxblog's David Adesnik pens a satire, while his blogging partner Josh Chafetz's comment are short and to the point.
- Rittenhouse Review: "Let me ungraciously interrupt the collective wet dreams of the demented right wing to say, without equivocation, that I’m pleased to learn these little cretins are dead, gone forever, and that I hope our otherwise admirable military forces will prove similarly successful with respect to Saddam and the altogether thoroughly forgotten, yet truth be told, more threatening menace to the U.S., Osama bin Laden."
- Sean LaFreniere titled his post: "Justice". Keep scrolling down, he gets even more sensible.
- The Talking Dog: "We are saddened to hear of the deaths of Qusay and Uday Hussein, at the hands of American aggressors at a villa in Mosul, Iraq. Not."
- TAPPED, The American Prospect magazine blog: "It appears that they died quickly, in a firefight, which is too bad -- we'd have preferred they suffer a bit first.... If these two have been behind some of the guerrilla attacks on U.S. personnel in Iraq, perhaps our troops there will have an easier time of it." (Hat Tip: Michele's comments section)
- Michael Totten isn't sure he still qualifies according to "politically correct" standards. Michael, tell the "PC" brigade to blow out out their ass. Nice post, like the title.
- Treacher's post is just one word long, and that's enough. Love the Pig Latin title, Jim.
- War Liberal opines: "I guess a capture and a trial would have been better. (Of course, the Euros would have complained when we shot them afterwards.)"
A final thought. Contest runner-up Mitch H. opined: "Really, though, this self-selects for pro-war sentiment."
It shouldn't. The same reasons motivating Salam Pax and many Iranian bloggers should motivate every decent human being in this case. Even a pacifist could rejoice when Hitler died. As TIME ably documented and we've chronicled, these people were evil with a capital E. The fact that they're gone is good news, period, and anyone who can't bring themselves to acknowledge that has a hole in their soul.
Commentary on Uday & Qusay's death was a moral Rorschach Test of sorts. The folks above, and many more bloggers we didn't find and acknowledge, passed.
UPDATE: Here's a letter Joe received from one happy liberal in uniform. « ok, I'm done now
July 24, 2003
Selling Grand Strategy with a Disloyal Opposition
Trent Telenko
I was just alerted to A.L.'s post here on Winds by reader Tom Holsinger who laid out his thoughts in A.L.'s post in the discussion thread.
Since A.L. took this public here, I am going to respond publically here. By way of background, Armed Liberal and I have been having a series of e-mail exchanges based on a a STRATFOR column Joe Katzman sent out to a blogger 'list of suspects' who have been in this Winds post and discussion thread. The STRATFOR column talked about the political problems Bush was having with the war. It contended that the lack of a debate on American Grand Strategy, and the lack of a P.R. campaign to sell it to the public, might collapse public confidence in the Bush Administration as the couple of soldiers dead a day 'meat grinder' in Iraq drags on.
Personally, I thought the STRATFOR arguement was another DEBKA level "pay attention to me, I am important" article aimed at attracting more media eyes and money to its subscription service by feeding them what they want to read. (The CIA isn't the first or last intelligence outfit to shade the truth for its customers.)
Anyway, the exchange between A.L. and I went on and centered on the need and scale of a public debate on American Grand Strategy and its political and military policy implications. I have been arguing against having the debate because of the certain warning it will give our enemies and the additional costs in lives, treasure, and time that would impose. The "Axis of Weasel's" actions in the run up to Iraq show that our enemies cooperate when given warning. So don't give them any more than is necessary.
Since Armed Liberal thinks that issues of public trust trumph issues of public policy and international diplomacy. Let us engage the debate on that point. Why should the Bush Administration trust the Democrats to debate, and the media not to distort for the Democrat's partisan advantage, American Strategy? Too date, Democrats have been a DISLOYAL OPPOSITION in this war. The "Vietnam at the 1968 Democratic Convention, Ho Chi Min is going to win," faction has been in control of the Party's stance on the war 24/7.
read the rest! »
There are two reasons for this stance by the Democratic Party. The first reason is unreality infecting opponents of the war. Andrew Sullivan sums up the case about the "Fantasy Ideology of Anti-War Democrats" that I have been trying to make in posts and discussion threads on Winds :
THE PRE-9/11 MIND: The more I read emails or talk to anti-war types, I get a sense that 9/11 never really happened. Or if it happened, it meant nothing more than a discrete crime with discrete criminals who alone deserved justice. The notion that it meant that we were and are actually at war with a series of terrorist entities and the tyrannies that support them never truly took hold on the far left (or right). As the months have passed, their complacency and denial have undoubtedly metastasized among others as 9/11 recedes from our collective consciousness and its emotional wound begins to heal. These people, it's worth remembering, believe that the exercise of American military power is almost always more morally problematic than any foreign tyranny or even a serious security threat to the homeland. They can only justify American military power if it is wielded under imminent, grave danger that can be proven beyond a shadow of a doubt. That's why they are so exercised about tiny pieces of evidence today. They still believe we were wrong to remove Saddam from power without incontrovertible proof of WMDs of a type unobtainable in police states; they still believe America had no moral sanction for such an action; and they are even more determined to prove the superiority of their case now that the war was such a military success. So they have to turn the fallible evidence before the war into "lies"; and they have to turn the difficult but worthy post-war reconstruction into a "quagmire." They know the only chance they have is to turn American public opinion against the war so as to prevent any such exercise of military power again. In that sense, they really cannot simply be mocked. They must be challenged at every turn. For they are engaged in a process that will not only stymie efforts at reforming the Middle East but will make Americans and others more vulnerable to the designs of the Islamofascists and their terrorist allies. The war abroad cannot therefore be extricated from the debate at home. We will not win the former without winning the latter.
In so many words, these Democrats are on the other side because they don't believe war is real. Anything that comes of it must be a Republican Neo-Con plot.
The difference between Pro-War Republicans and Pro-War Conservatives versus Pro-war Democrats and Pro-War Liberals is that the former two have been confronting their anti-war loons like Pat Buchanon and the latter two have been confronting President Bush over war policy.
That is nothing but cognitive dissonance in action. Pro-War Liberals and Democrats are ducking a confrontation with the anti-war loons in their own party and they are resolving their pain by attacking President Bush. Rather than do something worth while and effective like facing down the anti-war crowd in the public square or raising money for candidates to influence them in a Pro-War direction. They would rather quibble with Bush Administration policy. It's easier.
This is a sign of moral cowardice because Pro-War Liberal's confronting Bush Administration war policy affirms the anti-war leftists position in the Democratic Party and with the public. And it is the public's guilt by association view of all Democrats because of that duck out that will damn the Democratic Party for at least a generation and perhaps unto death.
"All it takes for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing."
Pro-War Liberals are doing nothing, and less than nothing, which is nothing new. Senator John Glenn's collapse of will in the face of the nuclear freeze movement in 1984, run by these same lefties, lead to conservative "Scoop Jackson Democrats" like Jean Kirkpatrick and Richard Perle walking from the party. The lack of internal confrontation with the anti-war lefties in 2002 election saw the beginning of a moderate walk out from the Democratic Party over the war. The 2004 election will complete the moderate walk out and start in on the Pro-War Liberals.
William Kristol pointed out what this on-going collapse of will in the face of this anti-war faction is doing to the Democratic Party in an article titled Gephardt's 16 Words. I think these are the killer 'graphs:
Dick Gephardt's 16 words, by contrast, change everything. They reflect the considered judgment of a centrist Democratic presidential candidate, one who voted to authorize the war, that his party must stand in fundamental opposition to the Bush foreign policy. They indicate the capture of the Democratic Party by the pace-setter in the presidential race, former Vermont governor Howard Dean.
Dean said on June 22 that "we don't know whether in the long run the Iraqi people are better off" with Hussein gone, and "we don't know whether we're better off." At the time, Gephardt demurred from Dean's agnosticism.
Now, exactly one month later, Gephardt is following in Dean's footsteps.
Actually, Gephardt went further than Dean. I suppose it's technically possible that things could turn out worse for the Iraqi people, or for us, post-Hussein (though I'd be happy to take that bet, and I'm sure the Bush campaign would too). But Gephardt has laid down an extraordinarily clear marker for judging the Bush administration: He claims we're less safe and less secure than we were four years ago.
And
There are plenty of legitimate grounds to criticize the Bush administration's foreign policy. But the American people, whatever their doubts about aspects of Bush's foreign policy, know that Bush is serious about fighting terrorists and terrorist states that mean America harm. About Bush's Democratic critics, they know no such thing.
Tom Holsinger summed it up rather well when he posted this elsewhere on Winds:
"Nothing a Republican president says can give Democrats a backbone. That they have to find for themselves."
Until Democrats get a backbone, Bush publicly discussing and laying out American war strategy, be it grand, diplomatic, political or military, is both pointless and counter productive. « ok, I'm done now
Gephardt's Speech
Armed Liberal
I know this guy posts a lot of comments here. but trust me...it's not backscratching...go click over and read his analysis of "Gebhardt's" (I couldn't resist) recent speech on the war - good, bad, & ugly.
If I didn't have a job, and sons, and a relationship, and I wasn't spending all my time scribbling in a copy of Rawls, I could do as good a job as he's doing. Really. No, really.
Faith and the Force of Arms
Armed Liberal
For someone who doesn't go to church (except once in a while to hear my sweetie sing), I do seem to talk a lot about faith. I do because I believe that on a fundamental level, it is the intangible that really drives people; it is their faith in the future and each other that makes them willing to step up and shoulder burdens, take risks, accept loss, to move out of present comfort into pain in order to move to a future about which we can't be certain.
I flippantly mentioned this below, in talking about Tyler Hamilton's incredible performance in the Tour de France this year - riding with the leaders and even winning a stage with a broken collarbone. He could have withdrawn with no damage to his career, but some intangible drive...some inner fire, some commitment, some faith...kept him on the bike.
We've been having an e-mail conversation about this post on Stratfor:
The Bush administration's continued unwillingness to enunciate a coherent picture of the strategy behind the war against al Qaeda -- which explains the war in Iraq -- could produce a dangerous domino effect. Lurking in the shadows is the not fully articulated perception that the Iraq war not only began in deception but that planning for the Iraq war was incompetent -- a perception driven by the realization that the United States is engaged in a long-term occupation and guerrilla war in Iraq, and the belief that the United States neither expected nor was prepared for this. Ultimately, this perception could erode Bush's support base, cost him the presidency and, most seriously, lead to defeat in the war against al Qaeda.(emphasis added)
This is congruent with some of the critical things I've said about Bush; specifically that he hasn't articulated or sold his plan. I think it is necessary that he do so, because ultimately this war will be won by the side with the stronger faith; we are matching our faith in our vision of the future against our opponents'.
read the rest! »
Trent thinks my position is silly, and makes some strong arguments that I'll leave to him to fill in; in summary, his view is that Bush has a plan, but can't articulate it for political/diplomatic reasons, and that we need to simply trust him - that we can simply rely on his character.
My reply is "nope".
Even if I stipulate that Bush has grown immensely wiser and more credible than he was in his early life...and I do believe that he has grown, although I'm not convinced that he's grown immensely...I just can't accept the notion that we're sending our sons and daughters - hell, that I may send my son - because GWB says so.
And I don't think that I'm alone.
Modern leadership involves propagating your vision - of a project, or a business. It involves creating faith which can motivate people to accept discomfort, pain or loss. When a team shares a vision, they have some understanding of the high-level plan which will make them more tolerant of not knowing the low-level plans.
But you can't ask people to accept burdens based solely on one's character any more. We are past the point of kings.
Clearly, this limits his freedom to practice Richelieu-like diplomacy by deception, as Trent suggests he may be doing.
Tough. I have a lot of faith in the American people, and I believe that there are a whole lot of those - like me - who would be willing to follow a President in spite of disagreements if we believed in and understood his vision and the overall path he proposed to take to get there.
Bush has set out parts of a vision, but we're missing some key pieces. And I haven't seen an path yet.
So I support him against the Hesiod Theogenys of the world...for now. « ok, I'm done now
Famine, Lies & Justice
Joe Katzman
Dean Esmay's site has one of the finest guest blogs I have ever seen. It's about the Ukrainian Holodomor (rough translation: "famine-genocide") in the 1930s, which killed between 4-10 million people on Stalin's orders. It's also about a Pulitzer Prize winning reporter named Duranty, who covered for that genocide at the time by reporting from Russia and the Ukraine that it wasn't happening.
Why read Don Pesci's piece? First, for the reality of it. For the humanity of it, as Don describes the demeanor of survivors he's met; and for the journalists who had their lives changed by the simple choice not to lie. For the justice of it, too - it's time to get that blood-drenched Pulitzer revoked.
Finally, you should read it for its current relevance. Duranty's spirit lives on at CNN, which covered for Saddam and appears to have similar arrangements now in Iran (Hat Tip: M. Simon). They're probably not alone - I didn't see much coverage of the Hong Kong demonstrations recently on Murdoch's networks, for instance. Caveat viewer.
UPDATE: water, one of the Typepad beta testers, comments and turns the topic to Chairman Mao.
Dan's Winds of War: 2003-07-23
Dan Darling
Welcome! Our goal is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from the global War on Terror that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Monday & Thursday. Today's "Winds of War" is brought to you by Dan Darling of Regnum Crucis.
TOP TOPICS:
Other Topics Today Include: Iraq and Iran briefings, incl. the nonviolent script for Iran; two new rants from bin Laden; a Saudi fatwa authorizing the use of WMDs against the US; more on the Saudi connection to 9/11; Mauritania coup fall-out; the leader of the Chechen suicide bombers revealed; comebacks for al-Qaeda affiliates in Uzbekistan and Kashmir; Mugabe's latest threat; and an Australian intervention force in the Solomon Islands.
read the rest! »
IRAQ BRIEFING
- The US is interested in what the Mukhabarat, the old Iraqi intelligence agency, knew about its archenemy Iran before the fall of Saddam Hussein with help from Ahmed Chalabi's Iraqi National Congress.
- The Washington Post has more on the informant who sold out the Hussein brothers and I think it's safe to say that if Saddam's former sycophants are selling out his own blood, the days of the Iraqi Baathist Party as a viable organization in Iraq are numbered.
IRAN REPORTS
- As is noted above, the one point of the debate over Iran's relationship with al-Qaeda is that the nation has within it certain members of the organization. There is now confirmation from the Kuwaiti Interior Minister that Suleiman Abu Ghaith is in Iran. I am still suspicious as to why Kuwait refused to extradict Abu Ghaith, but I also share US concerns over just how "imprisoned" the group's leadership in Iran are, as Abu Ghaith is evidently free enough to make threats in a message broadcast over Dubai Radio, a courtesy not being extended to many Iranian students and bloggers.
- Jen Martinez notes that Students at Universities in Iran were arrested for blogging. It seems the Iranian government has formed a new secret Internet Police to monitor Internet activity and stem the growing number of Iranian bloggers.
- As my colleague Venomous Kate noted on Tuesday, Iran has officially outfitted its military with the Shahab-3 missile, which is capable of reaching Israel. However, it is worth noting that the Shahab-3 were not given to the regular army, but rather to the Revolutionary Guards. The IRGC have a rather infamous history and are believed to be harboring members of al-Qaeda's leadership at one of the shah's old hunting lodges that now serves as a military base, though this information may be out of date given recent developments.
THE WIDER WAR
- ICT notes that recently a fatwa was recently issued by Sheikh Nasser bin Hamd al-Fahad, one of three Wahhabi clerics from which al-Qaeda derives theological authority, on the subject of using weapons of mass destruction against American targets.
- Black Fatima, the leader of Chechen
rebels terrorists' female suicide bombers, has been identified by a thwarted suicide bomber. Her method of, um, 'indoctrinating' recruits bears some resemblance to that employed by the medieval Assassins.
- The Kashmiri Islamist groups, all of which are linked in some form or another to al-Qaeda, claim to have used the war in Iraq to recruit 7,000 new cannon fodder to fight in Indian Kashmir and in Afghanistan. Even if that figure is only half-way true, these groups and their backers in the ISI still bear close watching.
- Remember that coup in Mauritania? It was formented by a mixture of Mauritanian Baathists and Islamic extremists linked to al-Qaeda (seems they didn't get the memo that they were supposed to hate one another) who tried to establish a military dictatorship. The coup plotters are now on the run and at least one of them, Lieutenant M'hamed Ould Didi, is now being extradicted from Senegal to face charges.
Thanks for reading! If you found something here you want to blog about yourself (and we hope you do), all we ask is that you do as we do and offer a Hat Tip hyperlink to today's "Winds of War". If you think we missed something important, use the Comments section to let us know. « ok, I'm done now
Special Report: Who Is Omar al-Bayyumi
Dan Darling
by Dan Darling, of Regnum Crucis
Of course, the big story today is the release of the Congressional 9/11 Report, with the exception of the censored bits about Saudi Arabia. On which topic...
Omar al-Bayyoumi, a suspected Saudi government agent, assisted two of the 9/11 hijackers, Kaled al-Mihdar and Nawaf al-Hamzi, both of whom were alumni of the Kuala Lumpur meeting in Maylasia (where they were photographed by the CIA) that was chaired by Tawfiq Attash Khallad, the mastermind of the U.S.S. Cole attack and a top al-Qaeda leader. With the exception of Mohammed Atta and the Hamburg cell, which were in direct touch with Mohammed Atef (al-Qaeda's top military commander, killed in November 2001 by the CIA in Afghanistan) through Abu Dahdah, al-Mihdar and al-Hamzi were the only members of the 9/11 hijackers that were in direct touch with al-Qaeda's central leadership.
I did some digging and discovered that this isn't Mr. al-Bayyoumi's first appearance. He also surfaced last winter in connection with the scandal involving Princess Haifa (the wife of the Saudi ambassador to the US) giving money that wound up in the hands of the 9/11 hijackers. Al-Bayyoumi being a Saudi agent certainly makes this earlier scandal a lot more interesting.
Special Analysis: Osama's Audiotapes
Dan Darling
by Dan Darling, of Regnum Crucis
Osama bin Laden, or someone who sounds like him, has a new audio rant that was posted on several websites and forums sympathetic to al-Qaeda and its cause. In it, he references the fall of the Taliban, which would seem to make the earliest date possible for this speech to have been recorded as being late December 2001 or January 2002.
My own analysis is that this rant was made at some point in early 2002 but was not distributed for reasons unknown. That the speaker is still calling for a massive Muslim uprising against their own governments is also indicative of the date in which it was recorded, as most statements from al-Qaeda's leadership after the summer of 2002 have mentioned Iraq.
There is also evidently another bin Laden audiotape out, though this one was posted on different websites than the previous tape and demonstrates the enormous degree of radicalization that has occurred among Islamists since 9/11 - to the point where they are essentially ready to scrap the traditional foundations of Islam in order to further their agenda.
I Tip My Hat...
Armed Liberal
I've been busy with work and family (interesting meeting with an Air Force 'officer recruiter'), and drafting some blog comments on the existing Democratic candidates and why I don't yet like any of them, but I had to put this up:
Tyler turns bad break into big win...Hamilton shook off lingering pain caused by his fractured right collarbone and held onto a solo breakaway win on what compatriot Floyd Landis called "the toughest stage in this year's Tour."
Tyler Hamilton, an American riding in the Tour de France for CSC, has not only ridden some 2,000 miles with the world best bicycle racers - and a broken collarbone - but he's freaking won a stage - with a broken collarbone. I'm in awe at his demonstration of grit and determination.
Bicycle racing is only a sport; one hopes we can all find similar determination to persevere in arenas that matter far more.
July 23, 2003
Carnival of the Vanities #44 Is Up
Joe Katzman
CotV #44 is hosted by Da Goddess, who decided that a hospital theme was a good way to organize the links. When you're dealing with large numbers of bloggers, I must admit it's a pretty compelling metaphor.
Contest: Happy Liberal Blogger Hunt
Joe Katzman
After reading this account from Baghdad, then hearing disturbing reports from Michele, Spoons, Mind of Man, and Sgt. Stryker, I'm going to keep this short and sweet.
If any of our readers can find posts by Liberal bloggers who are celebrating the demise of Saddam's sons, and show genuine happiness about it - regardless of what else is in their post - please drop me an email (joe. I'm at windofchange.net) or leave a note in the Comments section. It's important to a future post, so please include a link or URL. Thanks!
UPDATE: I mean Liberal, of any shade. If they're actually anti-war but genuinely happy, then that's worthy of special note and please so indicate.
Stupidity, Thy Name is Abu Hamza al-Misri
Adil Farooq
When he isn't inciting supporters to combat their humiliation with arms and martyrs (and then accidentally blowing his own limbs off with home-made explosives), Abu Hamza "Captain Hook" al-Misri casts a blind eye to the resolve of those "soft, weak" Brits who do not subscribe to his mad delusions of grandeur:
Hamza is said to have been so convinced by a British undercover investigator posing as an extremist website operator that he allegedly sent him several secret propaganda films designed to attract new recruits. The videos were used, say investigators, to convince British Muslims to undergo jihad training at camps in Afghanistan and Bosnia.The tapes and e-mails were obtained by Glen Jenvey, a 38-year-old freelance counterintelligence investigator from Wiltshire, over a period of more than a year. As the evidence flowed in, Jenvey forwarded it to the FBI, which is now building a case to extradite Hamza to America.
Ah, these plucky infidels and their personal home computers. This is playing dirty, and I advocate it strongly.
read the rest! »
According to statements given to the anti-terrorist branch in March, Jenvey set up an internet site called islamic-news.co.uk in 2002 using the fictitious name Pervez Khan. He published news items on the site from Kashmiri extremist groups and other hardline Islamic propaganda.Once established, he sent the material to Hamza’s website — supportersofshariah.org, which is now shut down. “He was so pleased with this he decided to put a link to my site from his site. That was his first big mistake,” said Jenvey last week.
It gets better. Once Jenvey was able to quietly track visitors to the SOS website, Hamza then sent Jenvey a whole stash of jihadi-propaganda goodies to recruit new supporters and thus "prepare them for jihad".
One tape given to Jenvey has already made an impact. It shows Hamza at a meeting sharing a platform with the US terrorist suspect James Ujaama.Ujaama designed Hamza’s internet site under the name Abu Samaya, but denied knowing Hamza when first arrested by the FBI. However, his defence crumbled when the tape was produced. He is now the key witness against Hamza in the grand jury investigation.
As I write, British intelligence authorities are still, maddeningly, somewhat lax about charging Islamists like Abu Hamza for their tacit complicity in taking up arms against sovereign states. Apparently, unless jihadi cults drag their turf wars onto British soil, the police are obliged to keep some distance. Ori Golan reports:
In a collection of papers entitled The New Antisemitism? published by the Institute for Jewish Policy Research, Prof. Robert Wistrich of the Shalem Center and head of the Center for the Study of Anti-Semitism at the Hebrew University, attempts to tackle the question. It is possible, he writes, that the British government has a tacit understanding with certain Islamist groups not to interfere with them so long as they don't strike on British soil. This may also explain why the Universities UK - the successor to the Council of Vice Chancellors and Principals - are reluctant to interfere with the activities of Islamist radicals on campus. Golan further cites Michael Whine of the Community Security Trust (CST) as saying: "I don't think [the British authorities] really understand the Islamist thing, and the underlying ideology. They're interested in names and addresses, but not in what motivates these issues."
I tend to agree. A strident Islamist cult like, say, Hizb-ut-Tahrir or al-Muhajiroun, thrives in Britain because every minute spent operating relatively freely further vindicates their deep feeling of contempt for the British authorities. In my encounters with these Islamists, I strongly believe that this growing sense of contempt towards careless authorities is probably the most important aspect of what invigorates their sense of solidarity and spurs them to action. Hizb-ut-Tahrir, Al-Muhajiroun, as well as many others, are cults that see fulfilment of their will through sedition, not simply as an end, but as the only means to that end. Muslims who want to be recruited into the ranks of Hizb-ut-Tahrir or al-Muhajiroun are required to pass tests where proof of loyalty to the group’s cause is predicated almost entirely on proof of disloyalty to the out-group. But it is their astonishing degree of adaptability to their environment, by openly exploiting tolerance to insidiously preach intolerance, that demonstrates how central their ideology of contempt is in mobilising them.
Muslims who bewail the fact that Islam today wears the face of militancy in the eyes of the world should understand that when those who call themselves "moderate" do not speak as loudly as the militants, the militants speak for them too. But when it comes to waging war against Islamists, the track record of Muslims has never been enough to inspire much confidence. It is far too late, and already too dangerous, for the British authorities to wait for British Muslims to "police" their own. In the meantime, that correction must come from the outside. Cults like al-Muhajiroun and Hizb-ut-Tahrir need to have their illusions of contempt ripped away, and to thus tear away at the very fabric that holds them together.
UPDATE: Glen Jenvey himself responds, in the Comments section over at the Command Post. « ok, I'm done now
Gweilo's Hong Kong Freedom Briefing: 2003-07-23
Joe Katzman
Winds of Change.NET Regional Briefings run on Tuesdays & Wednesdays. This Regional Briefing focuses on China, courtesy of The Gweilo Diaries.
Today we focus on recent political protests in Hong Kong: their story, and their repercussions. These important events have been almost ignored thanks to the brouhahas in Iraq and Iran, but we need to pay attention. The protests in HK and circumstances with other bloggers left Conrad as almost the only local blogger on post, so I specifically asked him to do a synopsis even if that meant lots of links to his own site.
July 1, 2003: The Hong Kong Freedom Story
- On July 1st, 500,000 peaceful protestors took to the streets of Hong Kong ostensibly to protest the proposed Article 23 anti-subversion legislation but equally to express discontent with the Beijing imposed Tung Che-hwa administration and to express their desire for increased democratization. Mr. Tung's usually reliable allies the Liberal Party (pro-business, pro-Beijing) bolted, and their chairman James Tien Pei-chun resigned his cabinet position and called for withdrawal of the legislation. Tung and Beijing backed down and pulled the bill.
This is only the beginning of the story...
read the rest! »
- JK: If you want to thank someone responsible and recognize both extraordinary courage and effectiveness, here's who. That's margaret, at margareteng.com, for electronic correspondence.
- Hong Kong blogger Preston Whip, meanwhile observed the transformation the demonstrations have provoked in Hong Kong's normally apolitical residents:
"Returning from lunch, my secretary casually informed me that Dong Jianhua's days are numbered. As political analysis goes, it's not exactly the sort of thing that stuns editors. However, coming from a woman who confuses Legco with a company that makes building blocks for kids, thinks Wen Jiabao plays gangster roles in mainland movies, and once asked me if Mao was still alive, this is red hot stuff. "
- Blogosphere news: Richard of Peking Duck has received a facelift and escaped Blogspot, and can now be found at PekingDuck.org
« ok, I'm done now
Iraq Raids: The Genius of Starting Small
Joe Katzman
MSNBC.com has a great article that sheds considerable new light on both the Special Ops Soldier's Letter From Iraq we published Monday, and our stories yesterday about the op that killed Saddam's sons (yay!!!). Both involve a recent shift in tactics by U.S. forces, and that shift made a big difference.
The MSNBC / Washington Post piece is called "Little targets led to the top", and is proof that there are still some real journalists in theater. The template it offers is worth remembering next time someone talks about combatting terrorism, organized crime with global reach, or other kinds of "4th generation warfare" threats.
UPDATE: Blaster of Overpressure.com makes a very good point about adopting the same approach in official public communications.
Libya Learning
Joe Katzman
Saif al-eslam Gadhafi, son of Libyan dictator Moammar Gadhafi, tells CNN's Judy Woodruff:
"I would like to send this message to the American people and the American government that we, the Libyan people, we want to have a more constructive and fruitful relationship with the Americans. . . . We don't want confrontation and aggression and, you know, to fight anymore. It's over. It's behind us now. It's dead with the Cold War."
As WSJ Best of the Web editor James Taranto notes:
"Smart boy. He knows what happens to dictators' sons who do seek confrontation with America."
Just in case you had any lingering doubts, Saif.... As for Syria and Iran, another warning from U.S. President Bush to reinforce the concept.
July 22, 2003
Going Off the Cliff -- Democrats in 2004
Trent Telenko
Tod Lindberg has a column in the Washington Times today that plays to Armed Liberal's lament about his party in 2004.
The Howard Dean phenomenon in the Democratic Party is now much bigger than the person of the candidate himself. Mr. Dean's success in coming from nowhere and generating a wildly enthusiastic following among the Democratic base is now having the effect of driving the entire field of Democratic presidential aspirants to the left. By now, there is very little political space in which centrist Democrats of the Democratic Leadership Council and Progressive Policy Institute can operate. And so the question now is whether we aren't getting close to something like a national consensus that Democrats should run a "progressive" campaign in 2004, sharpening differences between themselves and Republicans and running boldly and unapologetically to the left. Like I said before in my posts "The Democrats' Dilemma," "U.S. Democrats: Going Palestinian?!?," and "Dead and Damned -- Democrats after 9/11," Democratic activists and money men have chosen to go off the cliff in 2004. I'm also betting that the Democratic primary voting base will choose to do so as well since they will have no other choice.
Pro-war Democrats will have no candidates to express their view. This has implications...
read the rest! »
...which Tod Lindberg touches on at the end of his column.
"The progressive wing of the Democratic Party would rather be right than be president, as the noted American non-president Henry Clay said in 1850. Not, by the way, that the party's left thinks this is necessarily the electoral outcome that will result — only that it is willing to take the risk. There is nothing the least bit crazy about this. Reshaping the Democratic Party as a resolutely progressive party is the real task at hand. It will take how long it takes.And what about the centrist Democrats? How can they possibly be said to have an interest in a left-wing nominee? Well, put it this way: They, too, are engaged in a long-term project, namely, the creation of a Democratic Party that is moderate across a sufficiently broad range of subjects to get elected nationally and therefore to have the White House and the executive branch at the service of a (moderately) progressive agenda. If you think Mr. Bush looks pretty formidable for 2004, then you are at some level already playing for the recriminations following a Democratic loss. A Democratic nominee running far to the left and losing buttresses the centrist case going forward.
The condition of the Democratic debate this year reminds me of the condition of the Republican debate on the eve of the 1964 convention at San Francisco's Cow Palace. True, Barry Goldwater went on to lose the general election in an epic landslide. But the modern conservative movement considers his nomination its first great victory.
Lindberg is right to choose the role of Goldwater in remaking the Republican Party. He is wrong in casting centrist Democrats as Goldwaterites. That role belongs to the Dean-istas because they have a candidate and the pro-war Democratic centrists don't.
American political party factions without candidates in their party either die or walk to other political parties. An example of this happened in the 1980s when the Democrats national security wing, the "Scoop Jackson Democrats," became today's Republican Neo-Cons. The reason that happened is because the rest of the Democratic Party made Reagan-hate and Pro-Soviet anti-anti-communism a political litmus test for Democratic Party membership in 1984.
In 2004 the Democrats are making Bush-hate and anti-war opposition another litmus test for the party. Those, like Armed Liberal, who fail that test will be treated no differently than Richard Perle, the Neo-Con "Prince of Darkness" and still a registered Democrat.
All I can say to Armed Liberal and other pro-war Democrats is you are going to have no home in the Democratic Party so Welcome to the Republican (AKA Dark) Side of the Force.
Mwa ha ha ha...! (Key in the Star Wars Imperial March theme music) « ok, I'm done now
Saddam's Sons: Dead and Deader!
Joe Katzman
Recall this article we ran a while ago about Uday and Qusay Hussein, Saddam's most dangerous biological weapons and living proof that human evil is real. Now there are reports they may have been killed in a major raid near Mosul. Pentagon is using language like "reasonably confident". We'll see.
UPDATE: Well, kiss mah grits... looks like they got the sons of bitches:
"We're certain that Uday and Qusay were killed," Lieutenant General Ricardo Sanchez told a news conference in Baghdad. "We've used multiple sources to identify the individuals."
All just one day after we published that Special Forces letter from Iraq which promised:
"P.S. A couple of you asked me about Curly and his two sons, Dumb and Dumber. I still think we got him and one son, but the slugs may have gotten away. If they are alive, I can't believe they are hanging around here. Even Curly isn't that stupid ... then again. He might be in Syria or Lebanon. If he is, he's too moronic to keep quiet, then we'll get him. I promise."
And Mosul, yet... isn't that kind of like Josef Mengele trying to hide out in a quiet suburb of Tel-Aviv?
UPDATE:
· Our coverage continues.
· The shift in U.S. Tactics that made the difference.
I Want My Party Back
Armed Liberal
It's tough.
Porphyrogenitus is challenging me with high inside fastballs - his question really can't be avoided any more.
...given the direction you'd like to see the Democrats go in, which would be more catastrophic to you: that the Democrats follow the path they're on and lose?Or that they follow that path and win?
He knows how unhappy I am with the current state of the Democratic Party, and challenges me both to take a stand on this election and to do something about it. Other people are taking the same position. Max Jacobs:
Yes, Bush's approval rating is falling but in order to be voted out of office the Democrats would actually have to find someone that people would be willing to vote for and I don't think they have come close at all to doing so. And Michael Totten wraps it all up:
Suicide Watch...Huh? Wha? says the Democratic Party as it’s found by its friend sprawled on the men’s room floor with a hypodermic needle sticking out of its arm. I don’t have a problem. Whatcha talkin' about?
Get a grip, Dems.
read the rest! »
Note that I've dismissed Trent's claims that the Dems are about to self-destruct offhand, and have even put up some cash on the subject.
Michael was writing at 1 a.m., and so maybe he has a touch of the late-night blues. But I'm writing this at noon, and I'm feeling pretty blue as well.
I know that the Bush administration is immensely vulnerable on substantive issues. I think that they have several components of the answer right, and several more profoundly wrong.
On their strongest card, the war on terrorism, I think that they are just flat blowing the defense side of the equation, and moving the country a step or two toward abandoning our civil liberties. I think they have missed what should have been their best chance - to sit down with their Saudi friends and speak bluntly - as only friends can do - about what needs to happen.
I think that they are hollowing out the military that they claim to value so highly.
I think that the GOP fiscal and tax policies are outrageous. I don't think they have a clue as to what to do to try and offer Americans who are middle-class and below a tighter grip on the ladder.
But all I hear about from the Democrats is yellowcake and "what did he know and when did he know it."
And as I look at the field of plausible Democratic candidates, all I see are guys I would trouble supporting for Governor of California, much less President. My hand doesn't reach for my checkbook to donate or my phonebook to call up friends and support.
And Porphy's right, we need to do something. In my case I've been of some minor help to a friend who I hope will run for Lt. Governor or Treasurer of CA in the next cycle.
But that's not enough.
I'm going to see if I can come up with a plan to give all of us - the "Disaffected Democrats" - some traction. I'm thinking about something that blends EMILY's List and MoveOn.org; one provides seed funding to selected candidates and the other a trumpet that effectively uses the Internet to get attention for issues. I'd like to solicit input from others who feel the way I do, and let's see if we can deliver a plan and a constituency to someone who can do something with it. I'm pretty good at thinking things up, and with some help, maybe we can find someone with the stature to execute it.
(corrected edit on Porphy's question) « ok, I'm done now
Hushoor's Korea Briefing: 2003-07-22
Joe Katzman
Winds of Change.NET Regional Briefings run on Tuesdays & Wednesdays, and sometimes Fridays too. This Regional Briefing focuses on Korea, courtesy of Robert Koehler of the Marmot's Hole.
Today's Topics Include: North Korean high explosive tests, Chinese wheelin' and dealin', William Perry's warnings and the "Rummy Plan," funny business at the DMZ, and so much more.
read the rest! »
- Donald Rumsfeld has reportedly ordered military commanders to devise a new war plan with North Korea (courtesy Rantburg). The plan, named Operations Plan 5030, apparently seeks to topple the North Korean regime by destabilizing its military. Details of the pre-war phase of the plan include such scenarios as running recon flights even closer to North Korean airspace, conducting suprise military exercises along the DMZ, disrupting financial networks and sowing disinformation.
The next installment of the Marmot's Korea Briefing will be August. Meanwhile, regular updates concerning Korean events can be found at The Marmot's Hole. « ok, I'm done now
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