Conestoga Valley               4 -12

                                    Region = PA    LL04     State = PA
   Nickname = Buckskins             Coach  = Patrick Sasse       

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)   Tp Score      qwf  
                                                          10
 330 H Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (13- 7, 87.7)  4  5-15    -0.050
 331 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 7- 8, 81.3)     9-10  o -0.175
 404 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (23- 5, 97.2)  1  1-19     0.000
 406 H Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (18- 4, 92.9)  2  3-17     0.000
 411 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 4-11, 73.9)    11- 1     0.100
 412 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 85.7)  6  8- 7     0.375
 414 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 4-14, 79.3)     4-10    -0.250
 419 H Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 7- 8, 81.3)     5-10    -0.200
 421 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   (10- 5, 81.3) 10 10-13    -0.175
 426 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 82.6)  9  6-10    -0.200
 505 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 85.7)  6  4-12    -0.150
 509 H Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 1-15, 71.1)    12- 1     0.000
 511 A Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (13- 7, 87.7)  4  3-17    -0.025
 513 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 4-14, 79.3)    16-12     0.300
 517 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (18- 4, 92.9)  2  6-25     0.000
 519 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (23- 5, 97.2)  1  0-19     0.000
                                                   -----               -----
                                                    82.8               -0.45

   Pred Goals based on "Reg In" PR for regional & "Norm" Pr for inter-reg. games

   Date  Opponent               Score     Goal Diff +/-   Home  Err-L  Err-E
                                          Real Pred       Adv                   
   330 H Lancaster Country Day   5-15     -10    -8      -0.60  -1.83       
   331 A Penn Manor              9-10  o   -1    -3       0.60   1.89       
   404 H Hempfield               1-19     -18   -20      -0.60   1.73       
   406 H Manheim Township        3-17     -14   -15      -0.60   1.03       
   411 H Harrisburg Academy     11- 1      10     6 ++   -0.60   4.15       
   412 A Ephrata                 8- 7       1    -5 +++   0.60   6.36       
   414 H Elizabethtown           4-10      -6     0 --   -0.60  -5.67       
   419 H Penn Manor              5-10      -5    -2 -    -0.60  -3.31       
   421 A Lower Dauphin          10-13      -3    -3       0.60  -0.33       
   426 H Hershey                 6-10      -4    -2      -0.60  -1.57       
   505 H Ephrata                 4-12      -8    -4 -    -0.60  -3.85       
   509 H Cocalico               12- 1      11    10      -0.60   1.35       
   511 A Lancaster Country Day   3-17     -14    -9 --    0.60  -4.62       
   513 A Elizabethtown          16-12       4    -2 ++    0.60   5.53       
   517 A Manheim Township        6-25     -19   -16 -     0.60  -2.77       
   519 A Hempfield               0-19     -19   -21       0.60   1.93       
                                                               ------ ------
                                                                 0.00   0.00



   Ten Goal Limit Correction 

   Date  Opponent               Score          Adj 
   330 H Lancaster Country Day   5-15          0.00
   404 H Hempfield               1-19         -1.73
   406 H Manheim Township        3-17         -1.03
   411 H Harrisburg Academy     11- 1          0.00
   509 H Cocalico               12- 1         -1.35
   511 A Lancaster Country Day   3-17          4.00
   517 A Manheim Township        6-25          2.77
   519 A Hempfield               0-19         -1.93

   Ten goal correction =   0.0457187444

 NATIONAL RATING

 Natl CCR Rating............-1300.   Natl CCR Rank..............  1351
 Natl Poll Vote.............   n/a   Natl Poll Rank.............   n/a
 Natl Power Rating.......... 78.68   Natl Power Rank............  1351
 Natl SOS Rating............ 74.22   Natl SOS Rank..............   960
 Natl Quality Win Rating.... -0.45   Natl Quality Win Rank......  2014
 W-L Pct Rating.............  0.25   W-L Pct Rank...............  1773
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE

 Wins/Losses(all   )........  4-12   Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)........  0- 6   Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)........  1- 9   Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)........  2-12   Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)........  1- 2   Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3