Durham Academy                14 - 3

                                    Region = NC    Prvate   State = NC
   Nickname = Cavaliers             Coach  = Mike Keeney         

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)   Tp Score      qwf  
                                                          10
 304 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (10-10, 88.7)    13- 6     0.100
 309 H Lovett                 GA    Area03  (18- 1, 95.1)     5-14    -0.250
 310 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9-10, 85.8)    18- 6     0.025
 322 A Greensboro Day         NC    Prvate  ( 8- 6, 84.0)  6 16- 1     0.025
 330 A Forsyth Cou Day        NC    Prvate  ( 5-10, 81.7)  7 11- 3     0.000
 405 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Prvate  ( 9-11, 84.0)  5 11- 3     0.075
 408 A Charlotte Latin        NC    Prvate  (15- 4, 94.6)  2 13-11     0.250
 411 H Cary Academy           NC    Prvate  ( 3-14, 71.9)    17- 0     0.000
 415 A Charlotte Cou Day      NC    Prvate  (14- 9, 91.5)  4 11- 2     0.225
 420 H Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 7- 9, 81.7)  8 12- 2     0.000
 422 A Providence Day         NC    Prvate  (16- 3, 94.8)  1  8- 9  o -0.200
 425 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 1, 94.8)     7- 6     0.275
 427 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Prvate  ( 9-11, 84.0)  5  9- 1     0.025
 503 A Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 7- 9, 81.7)  8 16- 9     0.000
 505 A Cary Academy           NC    Prvate  ( 3-14, 71.9)    18- 6     0.000
 510 H Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 7- 9, 81.7)  8 21- 6     0.500
 513 N Charlotte Latin        NC    Prvate  (15- 4, 94.6)  2 11-12     0.500
                                                   -----               -----
                                                    86.8                1.55

   Pred Goals based on "Reg In" PR for regional & "Norm" Pr for inter-reg. games

   Date  Opponent               Score     Goal Diff +/-   Home  Err-L  Err-E
                                          Real Pred       Adv                   
   304 H Chapel Hill            13- 6       7     6      -0.70          0.67
   309 H Lovett                  5-14      -9     0 ---  -0.82         -9.07
   310 H Durham Jordan          18- 6      12     9 +    -0.70          2.78
   322 A Greensboro Day         16- 1      15     9 ++    0.96   5.79       
   330 A Forsyth Cou Day        11- 3       8    11 -     0.96  -2.67       
   405 A Cardinal Gibbons       11- 3       8     7       0.96   0.74       
   408 A Charlotte Latin        13-11       2     0       0.96   1.63       
   411 H Cary Academy           17- 0      17    20 -    -0.96  -2.95       
   415 A Charlotte Cou Day      11- 2       9     1 +++   0.96   7.77       
   420 H Ravenscroft School     12- 2      10    12      -0.96  -1.77       
   422 A Providence Day          8- 9  o   -1    -2       0.96   0.63       
   425 A East Chapel Hill        7- 6       1    -1 +     0.70          2.24
   427 H Cardinal Gibbons        9- 1       8     9      -0.96  -1.18       
   503 A Ravenscroft School     16- 9       7    10 -     0.96  -2.85       
   505 A Cary Academy           18- 6      12    18 ---   0.96  -6.03       
   510 H Ravenscroft School     21- 6      15    12 +    -0.96   3.23       
   513 N Charlotte Latin        11-12      -1     1 -     0.00  -2.33       
                                                               ------ ------
                                                                 0.00  -3.39



   Ten Goal Limit Correction 

   Date  Opponent               Score          Adj 
   310 H Durham Jordan          18- 6         -2.00
   322 A Greensboro Day         16- 1         -5.00
   411 H Cary Academy           17- 0          2.95
   420 H Ravenscroft School     12- 2          1.77
   505 A Cary Academy           18- 6          6.03
   510 H Ravenscroft School     21- 6         -3.23

   Ten goal correction =   0.0314176381

 NATIONAL RATING

 Natl CCR Rating............  -91.   Natl CCR Rank..............   142
 Natl Poll Vote.............   n/a   Natl Poll Rank.............   n/a
 Natl Power Rating.......... 94.30   Natl Power Rank............   142
 Natl SOS Rating............ 81.64   Natl SOS Rank..............   393
 Natl Quality Win Rating....  1.55   Natl Quality Win Rank......   226
 W-L Pct Rating.............  0.82   W-L Pct Rank...............   221
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE

 Wins/Losses(all   )........ 14- 3   Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)........  4- 2   Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)........  9- 2   Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)........ 11- 2   Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)........  2- 1   Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.7