Hershey                       11 - 7

                                    Region = PA    Mid 1    State = PA
   Nickname = Trojans               Coach  = Ian Baker           

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)   Tp Score      qwf  
                                                          10
 322 A Warwick                PA    LL04    (12- 8, 80.4)     4- 2     0.225
 324 A Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (13- 7, 87.7)  4  4- 6    -0.100
 405 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 86.1)  5  2-10    -0.125
 407 H York Suburban          PA    York 1  ( 3- 8, 75.1)    17- 8     0.050
 409 H Red Lion               PA    York 1  (13- 5, 85.3)  7 13-14    -0.225
 412 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 8, 79.0)     8- 7     0.175
 414 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 0-14, 69.6)    14- 1     0.000
 419 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 4-11, 73.9)     9- 1     0.025
 426 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 4-12, 78.7)    10- 6     0.200
 428 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 4-14, 79.3)     5- 3     0.175
 430 H South-Western          PA    York 1  ( 8- 6, 77.0)     8- 1     0.100
 503 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (15- 5, 90.3)  3  1-14    -0.050
 505 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 7, 78.7)     9- 2     0.150
 510 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 85.7)  6 10-11    -0.225
 512 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (10-11, 73.8)    12- 1     0.025
 514 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   (10- 5, 81.3) 10  8- 2     0.250
 517 A Central Susquehanna    PA    CSNLL   ( 9- 5, 77.9)     8- 9  o -0.350
 525 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (18- 4, 92.9)  2  2-18     0.500
                                                   -----               -----
                                                    78.4                0.80

   Pred Goals based on "Reg In" PR for regional & "Norm" Pr for inter-reg. games

   Date  Opponent               Score     Goal Diff +/-   Home  Err-L  Err-E
                                          Real Pred       Adv                   
   322 A Warwick                 4- 2       2     1       0.60   0.89       
   324 A Lancaster Country Day   4- 6      -2    -6 ++    0.60   4.35       
   405 A Cumberland Valley       2-10      -8    -5 -     0.60  -3.46       
   407 H York Suburban          17- 8       9     8      -0.60   1.10       
   409 H Red Lion               13-14      -1    -1      -0.60   0.48       
   412 H Central Dauphin         8- 7       1     3 -    -0.60  -2.36       
   414 A Bishop McDevitt        14- 1      13    12       0.60   1.17       
   419 H Harrisburg Academy      9- 1       8     9      -0.60  -0.88       
   426 A Conestoga Valley       10- 6       4     2       0.60   1.57       
   428 H Elizabethtown           5- 3       2     3      -0.60  -0.71       
   430 H South-Western           8- 1       7     6      -0.60   0.54       
   503 H Carlisle                1-14     -13    -8 --   -0.60  -5.01       
   505 H Central Dauphin East    9- 2       7     4 +    -0.60   2.67       
   510 H Ephrata                10-11      -1    -1      -0.60   0.12       
   512 H Palmyra                12- 1      11     9      -0.60   1.59       
   514 A Lower Dauphin           8- 2       6     0 ++    0.60   5.64       
   517 A Central Susquehanna     8- 9  o   -1     4 --    0.60  -4.90       
   525 A Manheim Township        2-18     -16   -13 -     0.60  -2.80       
                                                               ------ ------
                                                                 0.00   0.00



   Ten Goal Limit Correction 

   Date  Opponent               Score          Adj 
   414 A Bishop McDevitt        14- 1         -1.17
   503 H Carlisle                1-14          3.00
   512 H Palmyra                12- 1         -1.00
   525 A Manheim Township        2-18          2.80

   Ten goal correction =   0.201444447

 NATIONAL RATING

 Natl CCR Rating............ -933.   Natl CCR Rank..............   984
 Natl Poll Vote.............   n/a   Natl Poll Rank.............   n/a
 Natl Power Rating.......... 82.65   Natl Power Rank............   984
 Natl SOS Rating............ 65.74   Natl SOS Rank..............  1711
 Natl Quality Win Rating....  0.80   Natl Quality Win Rank......  1002
 W-L Pct Rating.............  0.61   W-L Pct Rank...............   756
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE

 Wins/Losses(all   )........ 11- 7   Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)........  0- 4   Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)........  1- 6   Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)........  7- 7   Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)........  1- 2   Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7