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56
41
Research 2000. 01/04-01/07
MoE 2%.
More poll results here.
ND-Sen 01/07
AR-Sen 12/03
FL-Sen 11/19
VA-Gov 10/29
NJ-Gov 10/29
NY-23 10/29
NY-23 10/23
(More...)

This Week in Science

Sat Jan 09, 2010 at 07:30:07 AM PST

Lost amid headlines of the unsuccessful terrorist attack on Flight 253 over the skies of Detroit, the President followed up this week on his commitment announced several weeks ago to increase focus on math and science education:

The partnerships expand the "Educate to Innovate" campaign Mr. Obama launched in November. But where the initial campaign focused on out-of-classroom science exposure – bringing in organizations like the Discovery Channel and Sesame Street – the latest efforts focus specifically the teaching part of the issue. ... "Our future is on the line," said Obama in announcing the new partnerships and honoring more than 100 science and math teachers. "The nation that out-educates us today is going to out-compete us tomorrow."

  • Aviation Week and Space Technology has named the "Space Entrepreneur" as its 2009 Person of the Year. Not to be outdone, Popular Science chimes in with its January 2010 cover story, "The New Space Rush."
  • If you haven't yet heard about the death star, here's some background. Half the articles about it, like this one, start with a headline about earth being "wiped out," but quickly ramp down the histrionic header to something like 'might damage' the ozonosphere.
  • I feel sorry for this kid, too. But more importantly, failure to arm school children with critical thinking skills means that some might grow up, reach positions of high power, and let stupid shit like this happen.
  • Animals aren't the only things that evolve, plants do also and sometimes they get caught red-handed ... by one of Obama's science advisers even.


Obama: New decade, new perils, same old problems

Sat Jan 09, 2010 at 06:34:07 AM PST

Decades might change, but America's challenges don't, President Barack Obama informed listeners in his weekly address this morning, which began with a look at yesterday's sobering jobs report and an acknowldgement that no matter how many economists (or administration officials) declare that the recession's over, Americans aren't feeling it and are rocked by financial insecurity:

Too many of the folks I’ve talked with this year, and whose stories I read in letters at night, tell me that they’ve known their own private recessions since long before economists declared one – and they’ll still feel the recession long after economists have declared it over.

That’s because, for decades, Washington avoided doing what was right in favor of doing what was easy.  And the result was an economy where some made out well, but the middle class too often took a beating.

Vowing to "rebuild the economy"--and using the now familiar phrase, "new foundation"--the President emphasized investment in science and clean energy, education and--you knew it was coming--"fixing our broken health insurance system."

After a long and thorough debate, we are on the verge of passing health insurance reform that will finally offer Americans the security of knowing they’ll have quality, affordable health care whether they lose their job, change jobs, move, or get sick.  The worst practices of the insurance industry will be banned forever.  And costs will finally come down for families, businesses, and our government.

Now, it’ll take a few years to fully implement these reforms in a responsible way.  But what every American should know is that once I sign health insurance reform into law, there are dozens of protections and benefits that will take effect this year.

He then listed the measures that will immediately kick in: insurance plans must offer free preventive care, no lifetime or annual limits on benefits, no dropping when illness is diagnosed and a new independent appeals process for consumers who believe they were unjustly denied a claim.

"All told," the President declared, "these changes represent the most sweeping reforms and toughest restrictions on insurance companies that this country has ever known. "

The full address can be found beneath the fold or on the White House website.

Open Thread

Sat Jan 09, 2010 at 05:32:02 AM PST

Jibber your jabber.

Your Abbreviated Pundit Round-up

Sat Jan 09, 2010 at 05:25:05 AM PST

Saturday 2012 speculation (on the D side, I heard a rumor Obama might be running.)

Hotline On Call:

A poll of GOP insiders suggests that ex-AK Gov. Sarah Palin (R) has little support among the party's professional class -- and maybe that's just how she wants it.
In a survey of 109 party leaders, political professionals and pundits, Palin finished 5th on the list of candidates most likely to win the party's '12 WH nomination. Ex-MA Gov. Mitt Romney (R) was the overwhelming choice of the [insiders].

Here's the R and D votes:

(R) Likely To Win WH'12 Nomination (First place votes)
Ex-MA Gov. Mitt Romney  81 points (62%)
MN Gov. Tim Pawlenty    46 (9%)
Sen. John Thune         38 (12%)
MS Gov. Haley Barbour   28 (6%)
IN Gov. Mitch Daniels   25
Ex-AK Gov. Sarah Palin  25

(D) Likely To Win WH'12 Nomination
Romney       29%
Thune        15
Pawlenty     13
Daniels      11
Gingrich      6

Romney's the favorite, but count me in the second place Thune block (Romney's the blogger favorite as well, but I can't see Romney's elite business status and campaign stiffness playing long term.)

John Thune

"Thune looks like a grown-up compared to many of the other names on the list." Greg Dworkin, Daily Kos

Nate Silver: "This is Great News! For Sarah Palin! (Really)". Nate's logic: Sarah Tea Party has a leg up on everyone else except Ron Paul in terms of the original outsider, and since everyone hates the GOP Establishment, especially within the GOP rank and file, why not Sarah? well, I'll give Nate this much. Sarah is a genuine dolt, unlike some of the fake dolts like Pawlenty and Romney, who turn chameleon depending on how the wind blows. So, if you want genuine, vote Sarah...

RCP:

NJ's Jim Barnes, who runs the poll, notes that "although the Insiders Poll doesn't have a terrific record of quickly sorting out who will actually win a nomination, it helps stake out the playing field -- and identify the serious players.

Nothing says political establishment like using the word "serious" in a sentence about potential nominees. Generally, that means how much money you can raise. But remember, Sarah Palin and Howard Dean  are not "serious". Why? Because it's DC, and they threaten the hierarchy, including who gets hired by whom.

Charles Blow:

The attack on the Republican establishment by the tea party folks grabs the gaze like a really bad horror flick — some version of "Hee Haw" meets "28 Days Later." It’s fascinating. But it also raises a serious question: Are these the desperate thrashings of a dying movement or the labor pains of a new one?

Anti-establishment can spawn a movement (See George Wallace, See Ross Perot) and wreck a party, but as to winning elections or <gasp> governing, well...

ABC News:

The most recent victim of "tea party" activists was Florida Republican Jim Greer, who resigned from as state party chairman this week, in part because of the activists' objections to his alliance with Florida's Republican governor, Charlie Crist, who is running for the U.S. Senate. The activists are vocally supporting Crist's opponent -- a young, outspoken conservative, Marco Rubio -- and some believe the tea party group may bring down Crist, too.

If the definition of a politician is the guy who finds a parade, and runs to the front so they can lead...

Open Thread and Diary Rescue

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 08:16:04 PM PST

The fantastic group of Rescue Rangers who brought you tonight's Diary Rescue were grog, Louisiana 1976, jennyjem (double-duty!), YatPundit and jlms qkw.  All stunts were performed by trained professionals with the exception of the editing which dadanation attempted haphazardly.

the rescued Diaries

the usual Extras

jotter has High Impact Diaries: January 7, 2010.

asimbagirl has tonight's Top Comments: Making and breaking bread edition.

the obligatory Closing

Please use this as an Open Thread as well as your chance to promote your favorite diaries of the day. Respectful engagement is most welcome here. Please keep in mind that each Diary Rescue's daily purview extends from 3pm PST yesterday to 3pm PST today. Shamelessly self-promote or pimp for a friend in this Open Thread!

Polling and Political Wrap-Up, 1/8/10

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 07:40:05 PM PST

Time to get the weekend started off properly, a weekend that will wrap up my 37th year on the planet. A dash of polling and a healthy dollop of campaign news goes into this little recipe we call the Polling and Political Wrap for Friday night...

CT-Gov: Dems Primed For A Pickup on Gubernatorial Side
With the retirement of longtime Republican Governor Jodi Rell, the Dems had a prime opportunity to pick up a governorship in a reliably blue state. And the new numbers out today from PPP confirm just that. Democratic Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz has an enormous lead over either of the leading GOP contenders. She leads former Ambassador Tom Foley by 22 points (48-26) and state Lt. Governor Michael Fedele by 25 points (50-25). If there is one thing to mollify the GOP, she does have a fairly sizeable name recognition edge over both of them (though she is far from universally known herself). Other leading Democrats (Dan Malloy and Ned Lamont) had solid leads of their own in the race. Daily Kos, along with Research 2000, will be polling this race as well in the coming week.

KY-Sen: Rasmussen Sees A Republican Hold In Bluegrass State
In results that might be surprising for their margin, if not their outcome, Rasmussen polls the state of Kentucky and concludes that either the establishment GOP candidate (Sec. of State Trey Grayson) or the wildcard GOP pick (physician Rand Paul) would have pretty solid leads over the leading Democratic candidates, state Lt. Governor Dan Mongiardo or state Attorney General Jack Conway. In an odd twist, neither Republican could be said to be stronger against their Democratic counterparts. Rand Paul does much better against Mongiardo (49-35) than does Grayson (who only leads by 44-37). But Grayson, with a ten point lead over Conway (45-35), does better against the AG than does Paul, who holds an eight-point lead (46-38).

IN OTHER NEWS...

  • MA-Sen: With less than two weeks to go until their special election, there are certainly mixed signals emanating from the Bay State regarding the battle between Democrat Janet Martha Coakley (update: Oy. Someone I worked with and coached a few years back, same last name) and Republican Scott Brown. Coakley's team is highlighting their impressive cash haul in the wake of the endorsement of the Kennedy family (she raised $100,000 in a single day). Meanwhile, there is a pretty dark cloud on the horizon, courtesy of the pollsters at PPP. They are teasing their poll results, which should come out over the weekend. To say that their write-up lacked optimism for the Democratic team would be quite the understatement.
  • NY-Sen: You really have to wonder if this is going to concern the campaign staff of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, or make them really, really happy. It looks like Tennessee transplant Harold Ford Jr is staffing up for a potential Senate bid. In something that is sure to play well with the Democratic base, it appears that two of his first three major hires came from the campaign squad of NYC's Republican Mayor, Michael Bloomberg.
  • CA-Sen/CA-Gov: It's been rumored since shortly after the dawn of the Earth, but whispers are starting to circulate yet again that Tom Campbell, the former Congressman and "moderate" Republican, might be leaping from the gubernatorial race over to the Senate race. He is denying it, and it still strikes me as implausible. If his "moderate" past is a deal-breaker in the gubernatorial race with Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner, why would he expect to have better prospects against hard-right candidate Chuck DeVore?
  • UT-Gov: In a sign that Democrats are still having their fair share of recruiting successes, even in nominally hostile territory, they just got one of their top-tier targets to commit to a run for Governor in the special election this Fall. Peter Corroon, who is the Democratic mayor of populous Salt Lake County, has announced plans to run for Governor of Utah this Fall. Corroon, who scored quite the upset when he claimed the county post six years ago, is viewed as a moderate, particularly on fiscal issues. He is probably the best candidate the Dems could have hoped for in this spot, but he is nonetheless liable to be an underdog in a state dominated by the GOP.
  • WA-Sen: It is mostly a field of dwarves (well, former Redskins football player Clint Didier cannot physically be described as a dwarf), but another "some dude" (hat tip to the dudes at SSP) has added his name to the roster of Republicans trying to defeat Senator Patty Murray. This "some dude" is named Chris Widener, and he is a motivational speaker. Clearly, he is banking on some campaign skills to carry him across the finish line.
  • NY-23: If Doug Hoffman thinks his decision to make a comeback in 2010 means a clear field for the Conservative/Republican, he might need to think again. State Assemblyman Will Barclay is apparently eyeing the race, after having declined to run in the 2009 special election due to family issues.
  • IN-09: In one of those stories that belongs in the "You Have Gotta Be Kidding Me!" files--would you believe, voters of Southern Indiana, Hill-Sodrel Part V? It looks like Mike Sodrel is back for round five with Baron Hill. Hill won in 2002, lost in 2004, and then won in 2006 and 2008. However, all but the 2008 race were competitive. Sodrel is going to have competition in the GOP primary. Hill has been the subject recently of rumors that he is thinking about a 2012 bid for Governor.

Race tracker wiki: KY-Sen CT-Gov MA-Sen

Gingrich: Steele makes "old-time Republicans very nervous" in part because "he's African-American"

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 06:50:04 PM PST

Newt Gingrich defends Michael Steele by admitting the obvious: some Republicans are uncomfortable with his race.

Gingrich said the party should "relax and focus on winning elections and not on inside-the-party cannibalism."

"Michael Steele makes a number of old-time Republicans very nervous," Gingrich said. "He comes out of a different background. He went to seminary ... he's African-American ... But I think he's pretty close to what we need. He's different, he's gutsy and he's going to make a number of Republicans mad."

It's worth noting that even as Republicans fall over themselves to criticize Steele for earning money giving speeches and writing books, they didn't seem to have a problem when George W. Bush picked lobbyist Ed Gillespie to run the RNC back in 2003.

h/t: Sam Wise Gingy

Open Thread

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 06:28:02 PM PST

Jibber your jabber.

Failed Underwear Bombing: Ten Things President Obama Could Have Done To Make It All Better

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 06:00:05 PM PST

President Obama With Advisers
  1. Immediately flown to Detroit to examine the underwear personally.
  1. Ordered an immediate cessation of domestic underwear production and imposed a ban on imports of all underwear.
  1. Bombed any facility overseas developing undergarments of any sort (aka, Weapons of Ass Destruction)
  1. Declared another war on Iraq.
  1. Put Vice President Biden in a secure, undisclosed location.
  1. Demanded that John McCain finally reveal his secret plan to capture Osama bin Laden
  1. Lowered the flag to half-staff on all Federal buildings to honor the victims of Northwest Flight 253.
  1. Showed leadership by no longer wearing underpants on Air Force One.
  1. Asked Donald Rumsfeld to take over the Department of Homeland Security
  1. Declared Mission Accomplished.

How's that Name-Change Working Out?

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 05:10:04 PM PST

Back in 2007, Senator Bernie Sanders introduced Senate Bill S 2398, the Stop Outsourcing Security Act. It collected a single co-sponsor, Senator Hillary Clinton.

The crux of the bill:

The use of private security contractors for mission critical functions undermines the mission, jeopardizes the safety of American troops conducting military operations in Iraq and other combat zones, and should be phased out.

It went nowhere.

Back in the heat of the presidential campaign, in February 2008, Senator Clinton said that:

"...from this war's very beginning, this administration has permitted thousands of heavily-armed military contractors to march through Iraq without any law or court to rein them in or hold them accountable. These private security contractors have been reckless and have compromised out mission in Iraq. The time to show these contractors the door is long past due."

Indeed. And Clinton's voice was not the only one raised against the damage done by mercenaries. A Congressional report found the same, and Secretary of Defense Robert Gates had tough words as well.

One of the main catalysts for those tough words was the company that now calls itself Xe but is still known to everyone as Blackwater. Although Blackwater's contract for security work in Iraq was canceled after nearly five years of behavior that some might call scandalously reckless and I call bloodthirsty, the administration in which Clinton is now a key player has found itself unable to cut its ties to Blackwater. At a hearing last month of the Commission on Wartime Contracting, it was learned, as Justin Elliott reported at TPMuckracker, that Blackwater pre-qualified as one of the five companies to train Afghan police. It was learned too that Blackwater is the only company that handles security for State Department employees in Afghanistan. And it obviously has a security contract with the CIA for front line work in Afghanistan.

The question is why. Or, rather, what the hell? As if U.S. military interventions weren't problematic enough, these cowboys still operate as if they were in some third-tier action movie. Not a low-budget one, however.  

As if all the sanguinary scandals and investigations of the past weren't enough, all through December, the headlines fairly screamed "Blackwatergate."

First came the news about Blackwater participating in CIA raids in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Then a more than mildly perturbed judge ruled that the five company employees who had killed 17 civilians in Iraq couldn't be tried because federal prosecutors had botched what should have been an airtight case against them by violating their constitutional rights. Then it was learned that two of the seven CIA operatives killed December 30 by a double-agent suicide bomber in Khost, Afghanistan, were Blackwater employees. Then it turned out that a third Blackwater employee was injured in the Khost bombing. Then two Blackwater employees were indicted for murdering two Afghans last May.

The news about the deaths at Khost sent Illinois Democrat Jan Schakowsky, chair of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, over the edge. She was launching an investigation she told Jeremy Scahill, a reporter at The Nation who has been following Blackwater since he began research for his outstanding 2008 book, Blackwater: The Rise of the World's Most Powerful Mercenary Army. Schakowsky said:
 

"The Intelligence Committees and the public were led to believe that the CIA was phasing out its contracts with Blackwater and now we find out that there is this ongoing presence. ... Is the CIA once again deceiving us about the relationship with Blackwater?
...

"It's just astonishing that given the track record of Blackwater, which is a repeat offender endangering our mission repeatedly, endangering the lives of our military and costing the lives of innocent civilians, that there would be any relationship," Schakowsky said. "That we would continue to contract with them or any of Blackwater's subsidiaries is completely unacceptable."

Today, on Democracy Now, Amy Goodman and Juan Gonzalez interviewed Scahill and Schakowsky. You can watch it, read the transcript at the link, or read the excerpt below:

JEREMY SCAHILL: ... Let’s remember here that this was the worst attack on a CIA base that we know about since the 1980s. And here you have three Blackwater guys in the center of this blast at the time. Now, we’re not sure what the role was of the Blackwater guys there. That’s what Representative Schakowsky is investigating right now. But let’s say for a moment that they were doing security, because Blackwater has, since 2002, had a contract with the CIA to do force protection in Afghanistan for the CIA. They not only guard static outposts of the CIA, but when CIA operatives move around the country, Blackwater guys travel with them as their security.

So if they were doing the security there, and you have, on their watch, this incredibly devastating attack, not just against some random CIA outpost in the middle of Canada or something, but against the epicenter of the forward operating maneuvers that the intelligence community of the US is engaged in to hunt down Ayman al-Zawahiri and Osama bin Laden, because this asset made it onto that base, we understand, claiming that he had just met with Ayman al-Zawahiri. So how is it that he walks in there with explosives? And then, I think that should be one of the things that’s investigated as Congresswoman Schakowsky takes this on.

JUAN GONZALEZ: Well, Congresswoman Schakowsky, your concerns about this latest report and what you’re hoping to look into?

REP. JAN SCHAKOWSKY: You know, regardless of what the role that the Blackwater operatives were playing in this incident, why is the CIA, why is any unit of the government, the State Department, the Department of Defense—why would anyone hire this company, which is a repeat offender, threatening the mission of the United States, threatening, endangering the lives of American, well, CIA and military, and then—and also known to threaten and kill innocent civilians? It is just amazing to me, astonishing to me, that we still find Blackwater anywhere in the employ of the United States government at any place around the world.

AMY GOODMAN: Now, during the primaries, Hillary Clinton supported a ban on Blackwater. President Obama didn’t. How does that relate to what you’re introducing now, the legislation that you’re introducing?

REP. JAN SCHAKOWSKY: Look, I’m introducing legislation called Stop Outsourcing Our Security, and the idea of that is that when we have mission-sensitive activities, inherently governmental functions in battle zones around the world, that we should have only people that bear the stamp of the United States government. And that means that that would include no private military contractors at all in those operations.

Now, look, when we have a situation where you can question whether or not these contractors can get away with murder—after all, this case against those shooters at Nisoor Square has been dismissed—hopefully that there will be another effort by the Justice Department to go after these people, because it was dismissed for prosecutorial misconduct, which is true. I think there were many mistakes made. But right now, these contractors are in a legal limbo. And so, if these individuals can get away with murder, imagine—you don’t have to imagine, you know what it does to our relations with the Iraqi government and with governments around the world. And now you’ve got a situation where Germany is asking, what were Blackwater people doing in Germany?

Not just Blackwater. Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill, chairperson of the Subcommittee on Contracting Oversight, pointed out in mid-December that from June 2009 to September 2009, there was a 40% increase in Defense Department contractors in Afghanistan. In the same period, the number of armed private security contractors working for the Pentagon in Afghanistan doubled, to more than 10,000.

I suspect that the Stop Outsourcing Our Security legislation has no more chance of passing in 2010 than it did in 2007-08. That's not merely troubling, it's infuriating. Because whatever you think of U.S. policy in Afghanistan - and I think the White House is on the wrong track and we'll all soon come to regret it - who can doubt that these private armies are a serious danger, and not just to U.S. "interests and image" abroad, but, quite possibly in the not-too-distant future, to citizens at home.  

Cheers and Jeers: Rum and Coke FRIDAY!

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 04:47:49 PM PST

From the GREAT STATE OF MAINE...

This Late Night Snark Has Been Patted Down:

"Hear about the guy [who] tried to get his underwear to explode? ... He was wearing a pair of Fruit of the Lunatic."
---David Letterman
-
"Legal experts are saying that if he’s convicted, the underwear bomber could be sentenced to life in a federal prison. But even worse, for the rest of his life he’ll be known as 'The Underwear Bomber.'"
---Conan O'Brien
-
"America is executing fewer prisoners. Oh my god! That means Texas has seceded!"
---Stephen Colbert
-
"No one knows what caused Rush Limbaugh's chest pains, but if you're Rush Limbaugh, it could be any number of things: The economy is getting better, the healthcare bill is going to pass, the Republicans are having trouble raising money..."
---Jay Leno
-
"In Taiwan, marine biologists have discovered a crab they say looks just like a strawberry. And by marine biologists, I mean two guys on mushrooms."
---Jimmy Fallon

And this from The Daily Show:

Jon Stewart: Two elected Democratic senators out of their caucus of 60 are stepping down, and 11 Democratic congressional representatives will be retiring, compared to 6 out of the 40 Republican Senators and 14 House Republicans. So I think we know how the media is going to play this:

Campbell Brown: Congressional Democrats dropping like flies...
Andrea Mitchell: Democrats reeling from a recent string of retirement announcements...
Sean Hannity: Democrats all around the country are running scared...
Rush Limbaugh: They're running for the hills!

Stewart: It's less! The other party has more people leaving! How are those figures not even like a wash, or a little bit in the Democrats' favor? Boy, you fuckers can make controversy out of anything, can't you?  Why do you have to have everything sound more interesting than it is? Y'know, if Congress made it rain cookies, the headline would read: DEMOCRATS LEAVE MILLIONS MILKLESS

Your west coast-friendly edition of Cheers and Jeers starts in There's Moreville... [Swoosh!!] RIGHTNOW! [Gong!!]

Poll

Who won the week?

18%825 votes
9%429 votes
3%175 votes
9%442 votes
20%891 votes
3%157 votes
1%68 votes
7%332 votes
8%377 votes
2%104 votes
4%198 votes
6%291 votes
3%149 votes

| 4438 votes | Vote | Results

Late afternoon/early evening open thread

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 04:02:04 PM PST

What's coming up on Sunday Kos ....

  • Dante Atkins will introduce himself and try to remind us of just how far we've come in his initial essay, (by way of reintroduction).
  • With Ellen Malcolm, the president of EMILY’S List, announcing her retirement, Angry Mouse will examine whether the nation’s largest feminist advocacy organizations are still effective or even necessary.
  • exmearden will stir the dust with thoughts on life, death, health insurance, and, well, dinnerware.
  • Meteor Blades will discuss why progressive activism, both the idealistic and pragmatic kind, is essential for transformative change and always has been.
  • If you're always looking for ways to reduce your carbon footprint, or if you've ever been woken up by the noise of a garbage truck, Laura Clawson will tell you about something you'll wish they had in your town: The Pedal People collect the trash on bicycles.
  • In many ways, 2010 could turn out to be a year that will see unprecedented changes in the national security landscape. One of the areas in which President Obama has the potential to make history is in the area of arms control, specifically with respect to nuclear weapons. Plutonium Page will go beyond the rhetoric and the headlines to show you how.

MA-Sen: Seriously, Enough with the Complacency

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 03:10:04 PM PST

What have I been saying the last couple of days?

That complacency is the main danger Democrats face in Massachusetts right now.

PPP is polling Massachusetts right now, and, finding that there's a "massive enthusiasm gap" and that Republican Scott Brown has very high favorables, here's their conclusion:

This has become a losable race for Democrats- but it could also be easily winnable if Coakley gets her act together for the last week of the campaign. Complacency is the Democrats' biggest enemy at this point and something that needs to be overcome to avoid a potential disaster.

If you live in or near Massachusetts, it can't hurt to volunteer. There are phone banks going all day tomorrow in Watertown and Charlestown, and next weekend is a three-day weekend. If she wins big, your effort won't have been necessary. But what would you prefer: regretting an unnecessary effort, or watching a Republican win and knowing you didn't do what you could to prevent it?

Race tracker wiki: MA-Sen

Televising the conference

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 02:20:04 PM PST

I happened to catch Eric Boehlert of Media Matters on the "Montel Across America" radio show this morning, and wanted to address something that came up during the discussion interview.

Montel entered into the following exchange after playing clips of then-candidate Obama saying he'd opt for open, transparent and televised negotiations on the health care bill, including the conference committee on the bill:

WILLIAMS: How can you argue this? The President said it over and over and over again: this will be on C-SPAN. Now we get down to the short strokes, and it's in the closed room.

BOEHLERT: Yeah, you know, I mean, Brian Lamb, the CEO of C-SPAN sent a letter over to the Congressional leaders asking that the reconciliation be televised, and things like that. And, you know, I think that's an interesting and could be potentially a good idea. I don't think it's ever been done. We've never seen the reconciliation process between the House and Senate televised. And I guess the only point I'd make about what Obama was saying on the campaign -- I don't think he was talking about the reconciliation process. He was comparing the Clinton in '93, when sort of the White House, well, was accused of writing the legislation and leaving Congress out of it. I think, clearly, those comments from Obama on the campaign trail were talking about formulating the legislation. I certainly don't think he was talking about when, you know, there's a bill passed by the House and the Senate, they meet to sort of make ends meet -- that that would be on C-SPAN. But he certainly opened the door to having a debate about a transparent process.

WILLIAMS: I mean, he opened that door, and you know, Igor Volsky was on a little earlier in the show today, from the Center for American Progress, and he made a good point about the fact that, yeah, you know, it's good for the process in some ways. All it does though is help hamper the process and slow it down, because most of the politicians use it as a free opportunity to grandstand and politicize the process rather than actually utilize the process for what it was there for, which is to come up with a decent bill. But it does kind of, you know, come back and bite you. You've got to look at yourself in the mirror when you say eight times, I'm gonna be transparent, I'm gonna be transparent on health care, on health care, on health care, on health care. When you do it eight times, the public may expect you to follow through with what you said.

BOEHLERT: Yeah, and when you talk about C-SPAN a lot, and when C-SPAN comes up and says, oh by the way, we want to air the reconciliation process -- so, yeah, there's always things you say on the campaign trail which can come back to haunt you. I would argue that this is not as direct as some critics are trying to make it. Again, I don't think anyone was ever discussing the reconciliation process. And again, I don't think that has ever been televised in the history of C-SPAN. It certainly wasn't televised when Republicans were running Congress. And I think there is something to be said for once you do televise it. This reconciliation process, in any bill it's difficult and complicated. For health care, it's even more difficult and complicated. And the idea that you're going to televise it and then make the process somehow any better -- there's an argument to be made that that will just complicate things. Of course, there's an argument to be made that all transparency is a good thing in government.

OK, I've got some issues with this. But because I've said a number of times now that when the question deals with Congressional procedure, the answer is almost always "yes and no," you won't be surprised to learn that the answer is the same in this case, too.

First of all, the minutia: the conference process is not the same thing as reconciliation. We've been over this. Though a conference reconciles competing versions of a bill, "reconciliation" also refers to a specific budgetary procedure that's also come up a lot in the context of the health insurance reform bill, and it just confuses things needlessly to refer to the conference process as the reconciliation process.

With that out of the way, we could come to the question of whether or not candidate Obama meant to include the conference process in his definition of the "negotiations process." On the one hand, I hope so, because it's really not helpful in transparency terms to say that the preliminary stages of the process will be open, but the rewrite will be closed. Conference is often where the rubber meets the road, and to exclude it -- without explicitly saying so -- from your definition isn't exactly fair.

On the other hand, I guess I hope that Obama didn't include the conference process in his working mental definition of the negotiations process, because the President, while naturally a powerful player in the process, really has no business dictating legislative procedure to the Congress. One branch per person, please.

But to me, at least for the moment, that's kind of a lesser point too. Basically, I've come to expect overpromising and blurring the lines on the campaign trail. That's probably part of why I dislike the primary campaigns so much. It seems a waste of time to me to fight with one another so intensely over the contents of campaign position papers, when I know so much of it is going straight out the window when it gets to Congress, anyway.

That does, however, bring me to the other point, which is the one where I pivot to the "yes and no" answer.

Has there ever been a Congressional conference committee televised on C-SPAN? Yes there has. As a matter of fact, C-SPAN televised the February 2009 conference committee meeting on the stimulus bill, and you can watch it on the C-SPAN web site. And if you do, you'll hear Harry Reid say that there hasn't been an open conference like that for 15 years.

So, "yes and no." Yes, there have been televised conferences before. And no, it doesn't happen very often and never happened when Republicans were in charge, as Boehlert points out.

But there's more. Go ahead and watch the whole conference, but you'll never see any of the negotiations. Why not? Because they weren't conducted in that room. They were conducted elsewhere, and then the conferees came into a nice conference room with a big, broad table and some TV cameras in it, and proceeded to read speeches to each other -- Democrats praising the bill and the process, and Republicans condemning it.

What was in it? Oh, you heard a little about that. How did it get in there? Not so much about that.

So again, "yes and no." Yes, you can put a conference committee on C-SPAN. But no, you can't make them actually do their deals in front of the camera. And so you get the "steak sauce" answer: You asked for an open and transparent conference. We just showed you everything covered by the definition of "conference" on C-SPAN.

But you didn't learn anything.

And that's part of the value of learning about the process -- and the gap between what the rules say and how things are actually done. Ask for a televised conference and you may very well get it. But you won't necessarily get what you were after, and you'll instead spend your time arguing with one another over something more akin to what the meaning of "is" is.

Catherine Biden Has Died

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 02:01:02 PM PST

Condolences to Vice-President Biden and his family:

My mother, Catherine Eugenia “Jean” Finnegan Biden, passed away peacefully today at our home in Wilmington, Delaware, surrounded by her children, her grandchildren, her great-grandchildren and many loved ones. At 92, she was the center of our family and taught all of her children that family is to be treasured, loyalty is paramount and faith will guide you through the tough times. She believed in us, and because of that, we believed in ourselves. Together with my father, her husband of 61 years who passed away in 2002, we learned the dignity of hard work and that you are defined by your sense of honor. Her strength, which was immeasurable, will live on in all of us.

For more discussion, see Julie Gulden's diary.

NY-SEN: Horald Ford to seek GOP nomination

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 01:10:04 PM PST

Braking newz:

Focksnews.com -- At a press conference in Washington, DC today, former Tennessee Rep. Horald Ford today announced he would seek the GOP nomination to challenge U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) in the 2010 election.

"I'm a life-long conservative who has dedicated his political capital to weakening the Democratic Party," Ford said.

Ford said teabaggers would just love him.

"For starters, I'm to the right of most New York Republicans," Ford said. "Dede Scozzafava? HA! I'm to the right of that Doug Hoffman dude, and he didn't even run as  Republican."

Asked for specific examples of his conservative record, Ford rattled off a comprehensive list.

"Well, I'm pro-life," he said. "I want to outlaw abortion. I said so in 2006 -- live, on national TV. It's up there on YouTube if you want to see it.

"But that's not all, folks. I am for the Iraq War. I'm against immigration. I thought Congress should have intervened in the Terri Schiavo case to stop her socialist husband. And I'm for permanent repeal of the Nazi estate tax.

"I'm the teabaggers' sweetest dream and the Democrats' worst nightmare."

Asked about whether his support for the bailouts and his career as a Wall Street consultant might hurt his reputation amongst teabaggers, Ford muttered something about the looming Communist menace and stormed out of the press conference.

Rumor has it Glenn Beck is looking to serve as the Ford campaign's spokesbagger.

Race tracker wiki: NY-Sen

Midday Open Thread

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 12:18:04 PM PST

  • Portugal, which, by the way, is 84% Catholic, becomes the sixth European country to legalize same-sex marriage. As Joe Sudbay at Americablog points out, it's refreshing to see a government that isn't run by the Conference of Catholic Bishops.
  • President Obama will:

    ... unveil a $2.3 billion tax credit on Friday to promote clean energy technology and boost job creation in the hard-hit manufacturing sector, the White House said.

    It said in a statement the credit, from funds earmarked under an emergency $787 billion stimulus package Obama signed in February 2009, would create 17,000 new U.S. jobs and would be matched by an additional $5 billion in private capital.

  • Fire up the tea kettles:

    In a National Journal survey of 109 Republican "party leaders, political professionals and pundits", not a single one deemed Sarah Palin to be the most likely Republican nominee.

  • Tom Cole (R-OK), the only Native American in the House, calls RNC Chairman Michael Steele's use of the phrase, "honest injun," unacceptable and offensive. And maybe when Steele's book tour is over, he'll apologize.
  • Who knew? Bob Bennett (R-UT) just isn't conservative enough:

    “Bob Bennett is out of touch with the times and with his state, and Utah Republicans have better choices for their candidate in November,” Club President Christ Chocola said.

    “Our extensive research into the race suggests Utah Republicans already understand this, as they have begun rallying around several viable and superior candidates,” he continued. “The Club for Growth PAC is committed to seeing one of them defeat Bennett either at the nominating convention in May or in a primary election in June.”

  • Read greendem's diary and learn how dangerous it can be for a cartoonist in a teabagging world.
  • Can someone please light a fire under Martha Coakley?

    According to PPP’s Tom Jensen, Democratic candidate Martha Coakley’s sleepy campaign–which is increasingly starting to irritate party strategists who trusted her to lock the race down early–has resulted in an electorate that’s more Republican than usual and more anti-health care reform than the state as a whole. Brown, one of the few Republicans of stature in the state, has a 60 percent favorable rating–a result of his own ads and of being basically ignored by Coakley.

  • From the you-can't-make-this-shit-up files:

    Fed up with the mainstream media filter, Rep. Sue Myrick (R-NC) is taking her quest to inform Americans about the threat of jihad to the Internet -- namely, YouTube -- in a new weekly terror news video series that will be featured on her congressional Web site.

    Who is paying for Myrick's little one-woman jihad?

  • A former GOP chairman says that a gubernatorial bid by Norm Coleman is a "bad idea both for Coleman and for Minnesota."
  • Will anyone listen?

    Mountaintop coal mining -- in which Appalachian peaks are blasted off and stream valleys buried under tons of rubble -- is so destructive that the government should stop giving out new permits to do it, a group of scientists said in a paper released Thursday.

  • Geraldo Rivera flip-flops on racial profiling.
  • Elvis Presley would have been 75 years old today.

Steele abruptly cancels ABC interview

Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 11:30:04 AM PST

Uh-oh...is RNC Chairman Michael Steele's head about to roll? CQ Politics:

Under fire from top donors and Congressional Republicans, Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele Friday abruptly cancelled a scheduled noon interview with ABC News — the network that has played host to some of Steele more controversial statements.

Steele had been scheduled for an appearance on "Top Line" with Rick Klein, but after confirming his noon appearance at 11:15 with Klein, Steele suddenly backed out 15 minutes later, according to Klein’s Twitter feed.

According to Klein's tweets, Steele initially blamed his cancellation on a mysterious "emergency meeting." Next, sources told Klein there was not only no emergency meeting, there was no meeting at all. Then, the story changed again, with aides claiming that there was a meeting scheduled, but it wasn't an emergency. Hmmm, sounds fishy.

Who knows what is going on, but just in case this is our last chance to weigh in on the matter, it's time for our first ever official leadership poll on Michael Steele.

Let your voice be heard!

Poll

OFFICIAL LEADERSHIP POLL: As a Democrat, do you have confidence in RNC Chairman Michael Steele's ability to provide the leadership we need for the GOP?

73%5401 votes
26%1901 votes

| 7305 votes | Vote | Results


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