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Guilford Indians (11-8)

Conference: SCIAC

Region: CT M

State: CT

Coach: Brian White

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	EAST LYME (16-4)	CT M	94.3		L	6-	9		-0.275
4/07	NORWICH FREE ACADEMY (10-7)	CT L	86.0		W	12-	5		0.000
4/10	XAVIER (5-11)	CT L	85.8		W	11-	3		0.050
4/12	at Daniel Hand-Madison (7-11)	CT M	91.6		L	5-	9		-0.175
4/14	at Brookfield (6-11)	CT M	85.3		W	16-	8		0.075
4/19	NORTH HAVEN (7-9)	CT M	85.4		W	13-	4		0.025
4/20	SHELTON (8-9)	CT L	85.1		W	16-	3		0.000
4/23	at Amity Regional (14-5)	CT L	94.6		L	6-	12		-0.175
4/28	WINDSOR (4-12)	CT M	82.7		W	18-	3		0.000
5/01	HAMDEN (8-10)	CT L	87.6		W	18-	5		0.075
5/03	at Branford (19-4)	CT M	96.5	5	L	9-	14		-0.075
5/07	WEST HAVEN (6-10)	CT L	82.0		W	19-	3		0.000
5/10	NOTRE DAME-WEST HAVEN (5-11)	CT M	79.8		W	14-	0		0.000
5/12	at Fitch-Groton (5-11)	CT M	82.0		W	8-	3		0.025
5/15	at Fairfield Prep (19-3)	CT L	98.3	2	L	2-	10		-0.025
5/19	at Cheshire HS (15-5)	CT L	95.4	10	L	3-	12		-0.125
5/23	at Cheshire HS (15-5)	CT L	95.4	10	L	5-	6		-0.125
6/02	FARMINGTON (9-9)	CT M	86.0		W	17-	8		0.025
6/06	at Darien (19-3)	CT M	98.8	1	L	2-	14		0.000
			86.5						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	East Lyme	6-	9	-3	1	–	-1.70	-3.78
4/07	H	Norwich Free Academy	12-	5	7	11	–	-1.70	-3.82
4/10	H	Xavier	11-	3	8	8		-1.70	-0.21
4/12	A	Daniel Hand-Madison	5-	9	-4	-3		1.70	-1.41
4/14	A	Brookfield	16-	8	8	7		1.70	1.41
4/19	H	North Haven	13-	4	9	9		-1.70	-0.43
4/20	H	Shelton	16-	3	13	10	+	-1.70	2.91
4/23	A	Amity Regional	6-	12	-6	-3	–	1.70	-3.30
4/28	H	Windsor	18-	3	15	11	+	-1.70	3.70
5/01	H	Hamden	18-	5	13	7	++	-1.70	5.89
5/03	A	Branford	9-	14	-5	-7		1.70	1.62
5/07	H	West Haven	19-	3	16	14	+	-1.70	2.06
5/10	H	Notre Dame-West Haven	14-	0	14	13		-1.70	0.94
5/12	A	Fitch-Groton	8-	3	5	9	–	1.70	-3.70
5/15	A	Fairfield Prep	2-	10	-8	-9		1.70	1.04
5/19	A	Cheshire HS	3-	12	-9	-5	––	1.70	-4.49
5/23	A	Cheshire HS	5-	6	-1	-5	+	1.70	3.51
6/02	H	Farmington	17-	8	9	9		-1.70	-0.26
6/06	A	Darien	2-	14	-12	-10		1.70	-1.67
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	H	Shelton	16-	3	-2.91
4/28	H	Windsor	18-	3	-3.70
5/01	H	Hamden	18-	5	-3.00
5/07	H	West Haven	19-	3	-2.06
5/10	H	Notre Dame-West Haven	14-	0	-0.94
6/06	A	Darien	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.56

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	424
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.47		Natl Power Rank	424
Natl SOS Rating	82.91		Natl SOS Rank	573
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	2383
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	966
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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