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Highland Park Fighting Scots (10-4)

Region: TX 1 North

State: TX

Coach: Derek Thomson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/03	at Kinkaid (14-3)	TX 1 South	94.3	4	L	7-	10		-0.225
3/04	at The Woodlands (9-5)	TX 1 South	89.0	9	W	11-	3		0.150
3/08	at St Mark's (17-4)	TX 1 North	95.8	2	L	7-	8		-0.175
3/16	CHRISTIAN BROS (11-8)	TN 1 West	88.5		W	13-	3		0.050
3/17	MONTGOMERY BELL ACAD (11-6)	TN 1 East	91.1		W	10-	9		0.125
3/17	AUSTIN (13-7)	TX 1 Centrl	89.3	8	W	16-	5		0.100
3/23	at Plano (4-9)	TX 1 North	86.3		W	11-	10		0.125
3/28	PLANO WEST (3-10)	TX 1 North	82.2		W	13-	3		0.000
3/31	EPISCOPAL DALLAS (15-3)	TX 1 North	97.5	1	L	4-	6		-0.250
4/03	POPE (11-8)	GA Area08	90.2		W	16-	3		0.100
4/05	SOUTHLAKE CARROLL I (9-10)	TX 1 North	88.1	10	W	11-	4		0.100
4/10	at Dallas Jesuit (16-4)	TX 1 North	94.0	5	W	11-	6		0.225
4/18	ST MARK'S (17-4)	TX 1 North	95.8	2	W	8-	7		0.250
4/25	EPISCOPAL DALLAS (15-3)	TX 1 North	97.5	1	L	6-	13		-0.250
			92.6						0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/03	A	Kinkaid	7-	10	-3	-1	–	1.40	-2.49
3/04	A	The Woodlands	11-	3	8	4	+	1.40	3.79
3/08	A	St Mark's	7-	8	-1	-3		1.40	1.70
3/16	H	Christian Bros	13-	3	10	8	+	-1.67		2.36
3/17	H	Montgomery Bell Acad	10-	9	1	5	–	-1.67		-3.97
3/17	H	Austin	16-	5	11	6	++	-1.40	4.95
3/23	A	Plano	11-	10	1	5	–	1.40	-3.65
3/28	H	Plano West	13-	3	10	11		-1.40	-1.28
3/31	H	Episcopal Dallas	4-	6	-2	0		-1.40	-1.74
4/03	H	Pope	16-	3	13	6	+++	-1.27		7.44
4/05	H	Southlake Carroll I	11-	4	7	6		-1.40	0.56
4/10	A	Dallas Jesuit	11-	6	5	1	++	1.40	4.00
4/18	H	St Mark's	8-	7	1	0		-1.40	0.90
4/25	H	Episcopal Dallas	6-	13	-7	0	–––	-1.40	-6.74
									0.00	5.83

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/16	H	Christian Bros	13-	3	0.00
3/17	H	Austin	16-	5	-1.00
3/28	H	Plano West	13-	3	1.28
4/03	H	Pope	16-	3	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	171
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.44		Natl Power Rank	171
Natl SOS Rating	95.23		Natl SOS Rank	33
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	759
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	532
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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