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McDonogh Eagles (19-5)

Region: MD A MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Scott Corrigan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/11	vs. Southlake Carroll I # (9-10)	TX 1 North	88.4		W	17-	4		0.000
3/12	at Saint Andrews (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0		L	10-	13		-0.275
3/13	at Pine Crest (9-12)	FL Dist-2	77.3		W	19-	2		0.000
3/14	vs. Winter Park # (19-6)	FL 6B Centrl	93.5		W	20-	2		0.125
3/15	at Gulliver Prep (13-8)	FL Dist-1	89.1		W	18-	3		0.050
3/21	MALVERN PREP (17-5)	PA IAC	98.5		W	8-	7		0.225
3/23	HAVERFORD SCHOOL (19-5)	PA IAC	99.2		W	11-	10		0.250
3/27	at Loyola-Blakefield (13-2)	MD A MIAA	99.6	2	W	11-	9		0.350
3/30	ST MARY'S ANNAPOLIS (9-8)	MD A MIAA	96.6	9	W	8-	5		0.200
4/02	at Gilman (7-9)	MD A MIAA	95.3		W	10-	7		0.250
4/07	WORCESTER PREP (14-3)	MD Indep	90.8		W	15-	5		0.025
4/07	PENN CHARTER (14-12)	PA IAC	95.4		W	11-	3		0.150
4/10	ST PAUL'S (14-4)	MD A MIAA	98.4	4	L	2-	3		-0.275
4/13	CALVERT HALL (5-7)	MD A MIAA	95.7	10	W	9-	6		0.200
4/14	ST CHRISTOPHER'S (6-10)	VA 1 VIP	86.2		W	12-	7		0.000
4/17	BOYS' LATIN (18-2)	MD A MIAA	99.7	1	L	6-	8		-0.150
4/20	at Mount St Joseph (9-6)	MD A MIAA	95.5		W	10-	8		0.200
4/21	HEMPFIELD (18-6)	PA LL04	91.9		W	13-	2		0.050
4/24	SEVERN (10-8)	MD A MIAA	95.7		L	8-	9		-0.350
4/27	URBANA (10-5)	MD 32 West	90.2		W	10-	5		0.025
5/01	at Archbishop Spalding (8-11)	MD A MIAA	93.3		W	9-	7		0.150
5/04	at Friends (0-13)	MD A MIAA	82.4		W	17-	5		0.000
5/08	ST MARY'S ANNAPOLIS (9-8)	MD A MIAA	96.6	9	W	8-	6		0.200
5/11	vs. Boys' Latin # (18-2)	MD A MIAA	99.7	1	L	4-	12		-0.125
# Neutral site			92.6						1.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	N	Southlake Carroll I	17-	4	13	10	+	0.00		3.38
3/12	A	Saint Andrews	10-	13	-3	1	–	1.10		-3.95
3/13	A	Pine Crest	19-	2	17	20	–	1.10		-2.69
3/14	N	Winter Park	20-	2	18	5	+++	0.00		13.50
3/15	A	Gulliver Prep	18-	3	15	8	+++	1.10		7.16
3/21	H	Malvern Prep	8-	7	1	1		-1.31		0.11
3/23	H	Haverford School	11-	10	1	0		-1.31		0.84
3/27	A	Loyola-Blakefield	11-	9	2	-4	++	1.33	5.84
3/30	H	St Mary's Annapolis	8-	5	3	2		-1.33	1.35
4/02	A	Gilman	10-	7	3	0	+	1.33	3.29
4/07	H	Worcester Prep	15-	5	10	9		-1.41		1.38
4/07	H	Penn Charter	11-	3	8	4	++	-1.31		4.08
4/10	H	St Paul's	2-	3	-1	1	–	-1.33	-2.11
4/13	H	Calvert Hall	9-	6	3	2		-1.33	1.03
4/14	H	St Christopher's	12-	7	5	13	–––	-0.93		-7.74
4/17	H	Boys' Latin	6-	8	-2	-4		-1.33	1.51
4/20	A	Mount St Joseph	10-	8	2	2		1.33	0.32
4/21	H	Hempfield	13-	2	11	8	+	-1.44		3.41
4/24	H	Severn	8-	9	-1	4	––	-1.33	-5.14
4/27	H	Urbana	10-	5	5	9	–	-1.03		-3.86
5/01	A	Archbishop Spalding	9-	7	2	4		1.33	-1.88
5/04	A	Friends	17-	5	12	13		1.33	-1.41
5/08	H	St Mary's Annapolis	8-	6	2	2		-1.33	0.35
5/11	N	Boys' Latin	4-	12	-8	-5	–	0.00	-3.15
									0.00	15.61

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/11	N	Southlake Carroll I	17-	4	-3.38
3/13	A	Pine Crest	19-	2	2.69
3/14	N	Winter Park	20-	2	-8.00
3/15	A	Gulliver Prep	18-	3	-5.00
4/07	H	Worcester Prep	15-	5	0.00
4/21	H	Hempfield	13-	2	-1.00
5/04	A	Friends	17-	5	1.41
10-goal correction: -0.55

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	194.		Natl CCR Rank	37
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	34
Natl Power Rating	98.05		Natl Power Rank	35
Natl SOS Rating	96.16		Natl SOS Rank	23
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	139
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	275
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	19-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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