News - Results analysis: Numbers and statistics in the final | Eurovision Song Contest News - Germany 2011 

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Written by

Marcus Klier

Published

30/May at 03:02

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esctoday.com

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statistics

Part 1

Results analysis: Numbers and statistics in the final

As always after the Eurovision Song Contest, we take a look at the results from a statistical point of view. The analysis is split into four parts and the first part is dedicated to the numbers and records in the final.

The winner

Germany won the Eurovision Song Contest for the second time following Nicole's victory in 1982 with Ein bißchen Frieden. After two male soloists in a row, a female soloist could win the contest again. Lena is therefore the 34th female solo singer to win the competition. Julie Frost is the first female composer to win the contest since 2004 and the first female lyricist to win since 2005. She is the fifth female composer to win overall (following Nurit Hirsh in 1978, Marie N in 2002, Sertab Erener in 2003 and Ruslana in 2004) as well as the eleventh female lyricist to win the contest (following Lenny Kuhr in 1969, Liliane and Evelyn Koger in 1973, Britt Lindeborg in 1984, Nella Martinetti in 1988, Maian-Anna Kärmas in 2001, Marie N in 2002, Ruslana and Sherena Dugany in 2004 and Natalia Germanou in 2005). 

The winning song received 246 points in the final, which means an average of 6.47 points per country voting (excluding Germany). The number is slightly higher than the lowest average number achived by a winner so far, which was 6.05 for Greece in 2005. Helena Paparizou received 230 points that year, when 39 countries were competing, too. 


Best results (since)

One country achieved its best result ever tonight, which was Georgia finishing ninth on its third participation. Two countries managed to equal their best results so far: Germany (1st, previously achieved in 1982) and Romania (3rd, previously achieved in 2005). 

Some countries achieved their best results in a while. Most notably, Denmark achieved the best result since 2001, when Rollo & King finished second on homeground. Belgium achieved the best result since the runner-up entry Sanomi in 2003. More importantly, it is the best result of an entry submitted by the Flemish broadcaster, which is taking turns with the French speacking broadcaster, since 1959, when Bob Benny also finished sixth (but among eleven participants only back then). Turkey achieved the best result since their only victory in 2003. Despite only finishing 15th, Spain achieved the best result since Ramón's 10th place in Istanbul in 2004. 


Worst results (since)

Other countries did not so well. The UK finished last for the third time ever with the first last place coming in 2003 only. Moldova equaled its worst result in a final finishing sixth from last, but it has to be considered that the country did not qualify for the final in 2008. Belarus also achieved the worst result in a final to date but had qualified for the final for the second time only. Bosnia & Herzegovina finished 17th, which meant their lowest placing since 1997's Goodbye. Apart from the 2007 entry, which did not make it past the semi final, Norway achieved their worst result since 2004 as well as the worst result of a host country since Latvia in 2003. 


12 points

The following countries got 12 points tonight: 

  1. Germany - nine times
  2. Denmark - five times
  3. Azerbaijan - four times
    Greece - four times
  4. Turkey - three times
    Armenia - three times
  5. Georgia - twice
  6. Spain - once
    Cyprus - once
    Bosnia & Herzegovina - once
    Belgium - once
    Serbia - once
    Belarus - once
    Albania - once
    Romania - once
    Russia - once

Therefore, 16 of the 25 competing countries got at least one set of 12 points. The lowest placed entry that got twelve points is the Belarusian one, which came second last in the final. 


The running order

Although the voting had started at the beginning of the show, entries later in the running order seemed to have an advantage as the top three were all performed in the second half of the show. However, the Azerbaijani was the most successful opening entry in the years of televoting and the most successful opening entry in total since Luxembourg's third place in 1986. The second and third spot in the running order turned out to be unlucky once again resulting in a 15th and 20th place respectively.

Stay tuned for the upcoming parts of our results analysis. The parts are:

  1. Numbers and statistics in the final
  2. Numbers and statistics in the semi final
  3. What if...?
  4. Voting blocs, friendly neighbours & diasporas

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Igor T. [44707]
Mon 31 May 2010 19:22:20

@Igor T

If I understood your idea, the tendency is that ESC has to become next Europe-wide Pop Idol show. lol


No, not at all - tendecy is that ESC should become next Europe-wide MUSIC show, and that people winning it become real European stars. It doesn't matter are they newcomers, or already established stars in their countries. And that is possible only with music which is listenable for larger audience, not only for ESC fans. I'm 100% positive that Lena has got high marks from the televoting, partially because of her, and mostly because of the modern song acceptable in every corner of the Europe.
Off course, Eurovision also should stay a place where countries can present their musical tradition and taste (like Finns did with the hard-rock in several occasions, or with their musical roots this year).
Also, I don't have nothing against songs who will appeal to people in only some parts of the continent (Swedish pop to Scandinavians, Opa to us to who are familiar with Greek music, a.s.o.).
To conclude, I will root for any song who can make any impact - in short, which has capacity to become hit on smaller or larger scale, and not to be forgotten after a few days


rost [62997]
Mon 31 May 2010 18:51:36

Well - like it or not -
It happens once in a whilу -
Just like that Swedish VASA ship - now turned into a museum -
Anna is the for a .... )))))))


rost [62997]
Mon 31 May 2010 18:47:08

HELLO SWEDEN!!!
Hope you won't quit next year! ) LOL ))


rost [62997]
Mon 31 May 2010 18:44:07

Well Europe showed it us againg -
ESC - is a GAY show!!!


togravus ceterum [32383]
Mon 31 May 2010 18:02:14

Rita

Never heard of them before. A google search gets you to the Euro-Business-College in Bonn ...


Rita Belindarian [46330]
Mon 31 May 2010 17:58:44

@Togravus
Thanks :)

I'm also surprised by their quick announcements. Do you know this organisation? Is it serious?


rost [62997]
Mon 31 May 2010 17:56:36

CROATIA was MY WINNER this year!!
And this was it!!!!


togravus ceterum [32383]
Mon 31 May 2010 17:54:32

Rita

The article says that according to a statistical calculation made by Maracon Institute in Bonn Armenia (and not Germany) won the televoting. However, there isn't any information concerning the foundation of this calculation. I cannot imagine that they have got all the detailed jury results yet.

Btw, have you seen João's suggestion on the Spanish thread? I guess you will be pretty busy checking this thread and updating your list over the next couple of days ;)


Rita Belindarian [46330]
Mon 31 May 2010 17:43:30

@Togravus

What does this article say? I understand little German but not all. Looks like according to televotes Eva Rivas was the winner. Is this true?

http://www.morgenpost.de/printarchiv/panorama/article1316777/Lena-ist-nach-dem-Wunsch-der-Zuschauer-nur-Zweite.html


Rita Belindarian [46330]
Mon 31 May 2010 17:10:51

@ws
It was over explained, and it looked a bit ridiculous. The song didn't need all that fuss.

you can say :) lol
it was ridiculous and it has ruined her chances to win


Eureka 7 [59071]
Mon 31 May 2010 16:39:24

Маrco
Actually I don't remember that...
But I just saw the video in youtube and I have to say: Beautiful song. GREAT singer (L). I wonder, however, if she would be able to touch the heart of Europe in the current days...


Марко из Србије [60087]
Mon 31 May 2010 16:15:16

Eureka
You are right, she was!
But do you remember Vicky Leandros participating in German NF in 2006 with AMAZING song "Don't Break My Heart"? it was AMAZING!


Whatever ... ORIGINAL ... [29486]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:50:20

ESC = Europe's Celebration of MUSIC and SONG ... and it is 55 YEARS STRONG!!!!

Finally ;), a Big 4 country is a ESC winner:
Congratulations to GERMANY'S Lena :) with "Satellite"
Congratulations to two more Big 4 countries --
FRANCE :) and SPAIN :), for their best placing in years, too !!!!!!!!!!!
That can happen when you send good songs!!!!


Oslo :) -- wonderful show !!!!
[uThe interval act with the “share the moment” Flash Mob :) was BRILLIANT
and it --- along with the songs of GREECE (H) and ICELAND :) ---
… blew the roof off Telenor Arena
!!!!!!!!!


BUT that little ...banter ;) with a certain country with a STOLEN, well....
Was it "rehearsed"? And what about those 1+1 ...T-shirts at SF1 ?
Was THAT "deliberate", too ????
Bad call, Norway.-

... Music and Politics do NOT mix!

and THAT ...stunt caused them NOT to QUALIFY from SF1 !!!!!


BY NOT FOLLOWING THE RULES ....


When … MISTAKES happen, things like this can happen, too .... ;)

---- ESC First -- Even with a good song, this a Host Country
that got 20th place in the Final (again, Norway ... 5th from the ...BOTTOM)
Did Didrik deserve that? No. --- LESSON NO. 1

because

NOBODY APPRECIATED IT ....

when you did NOT … “share the moment” with other ESC Host Countries,
which were conveniently ... skipped ;) … as if they had never happened --

Believe me …

ESC 2005 Kyiv :) ---- ESC 2006 Athens (L) --- ESC 2007 Helsinki :) --- ESC 2008 Belgrade :)


did happen and (comparably ;)) they were REALLY GREAT SHOWS !!!!!!!!!!

and EUROPE REMEMBERS, too !!! --- LESSON NO. 2


Oh, by the way, in another interval act ----

MUSIC ..... CHOREOGRAPHY ...... LYRICS
are all GREEK Words and ideas / concepts

since NRK did not ... know( ??? ) where MUSIC originated from ;) ...
--- LESSON NO. 3 … (GREEK-style ;))


Another ESC First -- This one is for SVANTE and NRK.
Thanks to an online LIVE! website stream ( freegossip.GR ;))
we got to see the ALL (SF1 / SF2 / Final) DRESS REHEARSALS
BEFORE THE ACTUAL SHOW .... LESSON NO. 4 (again, Greek-style ;))


I do not have anything else to say except for ...

(Comment to be continued)


Whatever ... ORIGINAL ... [29486]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:50:01

(Continued from my previous comment)

GREECE .... 140 points / WON 8th place out of 39 songs

THANK YOU, EUROPE !!!!!!!!!! :D :D :D

Especially to the countries, that voted for GREECE
(YOU have GREAT taste in MUSIC !!!!) ;)

...................... CYPRUS :)... 12 points (L) ... TOP MARK ;) Well done, too! FABULOUS performance of Jon!
........................ ALBANIA :)... 12 points … TOP MARK ;)
........................BELGIU M :) ... 12 points … TOP MARK ;)
...........UNITED KINGDOM :) ... 12 points … TOP MARK ;)
...........................SER BIA :)... 10 points
...................GERMANY :)... 8 points ... CONGRATULATIONS for No. 1 "Satellite" !!!!!!!!!!!!!
......................PORTUGAL :) ... 8 points
......................... ICELAND :)... 8 points ... Thank you for the 1st ...Nordic ;) vote
........................ ROMANIA :) ... 7 points ... Congratulations for No. 3 "Playing with fire"
..........................FINL AND :) ... 7 points ... Thank you for the 2nd ...Nordic ;) vote
.............................M ALTA :) ... 7 points
....... BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA :) ... 6 points
.........................SLOVA KIA :) ...5 points (THIS should have been in the Final, along with …0 points? ;) Sweden)
....................... BULGARIA :)... 5 points
............................. SPAIN :)... 5 points
........................... FRANCE :)... 4 points
……………………………………………………………………………………………………

........................... TURKEY :)... 3 points ... Congratulations for the …GREEK-style ;) COPY
No. 2 " We could be the same" COPY


What? Why? … BECAUSE Turkey[s maNga CHEATED by using

THE …TWO [2] …KEY words .......... eyes ;).......... surprise ;)


from the LYRICS of GREECE'S (H) ... ESC 2009 "This is our night"
-- words that made a … BIG difference to their song !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The Turkish ESC outcome of No. 2.... was a COPY … GREEK-style ;) :D :D :D :D
from both a SONG and ARTIST (Sakis Rouvas (L)) that deserved a better result LAST YEAR !!!!!
Hadise was just as much a disaster as was this year’s Safura.

SURPRISED ;) ……Well, it is all in the … EYES ;) ….
(and, obviously, MY ;) …good musical ear, because I noticed)
…………………………………………………………………………………………….

Continuing now, with a big THANK YOU to:
................ NETHERLANDS :)... 3 points
...........................ARM ENIA :)... 3 points
..........................MOLD OVA :)... 2 points
.............................P OLAND :)... 1 point

GREECE - 140 POINTS / WON 8th place
....and done WITHOUT …VOTES ;) from Baltic states(!!) OR ex-Soviets (!!!)

................ "Everybody say: "OPA" !!!!

ARTIST’S CLIP: http://www.youtube.c(...)/watch?v=s5lns1JmEN4

SF1 Live! Performance: http://www.youtube.c(...)/watch?v=CZ3MwZQpjco


What makes this song ORIGINAL --- it was sung in GREEK !!!!!!!!!!! ;)


Thank you to Giorgos Alkaios & Friends for entertaining Europe
with that professional and ... ENERGETIC ...Greek-style ;) performance
of ... "OPA" !!!
.

WELL DONE, GREECE!!!!!!!!!!! (H) … the ORIGINAL


Eureka 7 [59071]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:48:16

Marko
I would say that ESC must have not only professional singers, but also new talents :).
Btw, I am sure abotu this... but wasn't Charlotte a young talent when she first represented Sweden in ESC? :P


w s [29210]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:30:39

Rita, I think Eva would have been much stronger without that entourage on stage. I felt like a little kid being held be the hand. It was over explained, and it looked a bit ridiculous. The song didn't need all that fuss. (The same applies to the Azerbijani song, but that is another matter.)


Eureka 7 [59071]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:26:16

Rita Belindarian
I completely agree with you. Even though Armenia was not in my top10, I think that the stage presentation of the song was just silly and not very appealing.
On the other side, I agree with Togravus... Eva was in fact better in the semi-final. She was out of tune in the final performance, specially in the final of the song when the made an attempt to hit the high notes.


togravus ceterum [32383]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:26:09

The pittiest thing is that she wasn't a big fun of all that mascarade either. Her producers have decided for the whole show from scratch. And I'd kill them for that.

If you need any help doing that, just drop me a line ;)


Марко из Србије [60087]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:26:08

Eureka
Yes that's true, but there is too many of that now! :(
Milan Stankovic is also from talent show!
I wanna more singers like Charlote Perelli, Carola, Nanne Grenvall, Hera Bjork, Chiara, Niamh Kavanagh to enter ESC these days! They somehow seems more professional for me than new local talents, but that still doesn't mean i can't like their songs in ESC even more, and I know majority prefer them now in ESC coz they think we need smth fresh!
For example 2004 Germany NF was puire magic, i loved almost all songs (in German and in English language), but the winner was the worst for me as usually! :(
You know unlucky Marko! :P


Rita Belindarian [46330]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:18:11

@Togravus

Sorry, lol :) I meant Oslo 2010, not the Norvegian entry.
I loved the show.

I'm surprised you prefer Eva's performance in the SF to one in the final. I think she was better in the final. She looked and sounded more confident.

To be honest with you Togravus. Even if I hoped she wins, the day I saw her props and dancing, the whole stage settings, I knew she will have almost no chances to win with that silly show. The pittiest thing is that she wasn't a big fun of all that mascarade either. Her producers have decided for the whole show from scratch. And I'd kill them for that.

All she needed to be alone on stage without anything, just backing vocals somewhere in the shadow. Producers have ruined the show, and all the fans were warning them against it.
Well, whatever!
I think this year the performances of participants were in general on a very high level. I had so many good surprises with some entries I disliked in the beginning. So I say it was a good year closing this decade. Still, my favourite years are 2005 and 2008!


Eureka 7 [59071]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:10:26

...

I actually don't see anything wrong about it...
Younger singers like those, all they want is a break (and I think that Lena just got it :)).


Eureka 7 [59071]
Mon 31 May 2010 15:07:10

Marko
Our dear Anna was a former Idol contestant :P. The same goes for Harel Skaat, Tom Dice (X Factor here?), Safura, Milan Stankovic and Filipa Azevedo (Familia Superstar)...
:P

I actually don't see anything wrong


Марко из Србије [60087]
Mon 31 May 2010 14:51:44

GOSH one of rare times I agree with Rita Belindarin!
I'm a bit tired of Idol and other talent shows participants in ESC! :(
That'swhy I like MGP, MF the most coz they offer us old good Swedish and Norwegian singers (of course small number of them, but still better than in other countries) and I'm not fan of Idol type preselections (Germany 2010 and UK 2009)!
I would like to see Germany organizing NF like earlier, I loved those NFs, but I know that won't happen! :( :( I would like to see Scooter, Cascada and Monrose, Cassandra Steen and Yvonne Catterfeld participating in those NFs!


togravus ceterum [32383]
Mon 31 May 2010 14:50:19

Rita

Thanks :)

My father loved Norway too. He had Didrik in 1st place on his list. Btw, such a pity that Eva's vocals weren't as strong in the final as they had been in the semi. I had tipped Eva to win, but after Saturday's performance I was sure that she wouldn't. Do you know what happened? Has she said anything herself?


Rita Belindarian [46330]
Mon 31 May 2010 14:43:44

@Igor T

If I understood your idea, the tendency is that ESC has to become next Europe-wide Pop Idol show. lol ;)

But don't you think this contest is already a Pop Idol type show, and it has been one since the beginning.

By the way, if it has to be Pop idol then forget about quality. Patricia Kaas will be the last big name you've seen in this contest.

@Togravus,
Congratulations with the victory. I count on you to make a great show next year. ;)
I loved Norway, by the way. It was simply zupa! (L) lol


Марко из Србије [60087]
Mon 31 May 2010 14:13:26

Alkaios and friends were terrible! FAKE ETHNIC entry, voted only by televoting, as we can see from Romanian jury! (S)
I liked Kalomira, but 3rd place is overrated and I liked Sakis Rouvas last year - performance and clothes, but song not so much, thus again overrated!
Anna Vissi is underrated for Greece and!
And I don't wanna beginning of 00s back (tho Swedish entries were the best then), but 90s yes, when Ireland with all those AMAZING entries RULED, "it's for you" will be clear winner then! (L) And Marc Roberts with "Mysterious woman" should have won back then! :D


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