District by district - Michigan

By Shane D’Aprile - 10/06/10 05:55 AM ET


Rep. Mark Schauer (D) vs. Tim Walberg (R)

Schauer is in a dead heat with Walberg, a former member of the House, with both men holding 41 percent of the vote. Thirteen percent of likely voters remain undecided.

Schauer leads among female voters while Walberg leads among males. And with Democrats and Republicans split down party lines, independents will be a key factor in this race.

The poll found 19 percent of independents are undecided, compared to 8 percent of Republicans and 6 percent of Democrats. And in what could be bad news for Schauer, 82 percent of independents disapprove of the job Congress is doing.

Another possible challenge for Schauer is the makeup of undecided voters, who tend to be male and Republican. More men than women said they are likely to vote, and voter enthusiasm is also higher among Republicans: 85 percent of them said they are “very passionate? about voting, compared to 70 percent of Democrats.

The poll was conducted Sept. 25-27, consisted of 404 phone interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories

About the poll

GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight

Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election

Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican

Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines

Editorial: Knowing who will win

District by
district results

New Mexico


Comments (3)

Schauer is doomed.

He beat Walberg last time, and tainted him thusly, and that's the only thing keeping this close right now. A fresh R candidate would be running away with this thing.

Bailouts, Porkulus, Cap and Tax and ObamaCare are curse words 'round these parts, and Schauer has cursed us with them.
BY hondr on 10/06/2010 at 08:14
There's a more recent poll out today, 10/2-3, by Myers, that has Schauer up by 4, 44-40 with 7% going to the 3 third party candidates. This Hill/ANGA poll apparently did not test third parties which is a methodological mistake. Third parties got 5% in this district in '08. Also, Schauer raised $550,000 in Q3 with $1.3 million cash on hand. Walberg has only placed a $350,000 TV buy. So far the DCCC and Labor has matched the NRCC and the right wing groups spending dollar for dollar in this district. Looks to me like Schauer has a slight lead, momentum and a cash advantage. Tough year, tough district, weak opponent. My money's on Schauer pulling out another close one. BY MIanalyst on 10/06/2010 at 12:07
Correct the judiciary and the other branches of government will become balanced. Please see Jail4judges initiative.BY CourtsExtort on 10/08/2010 at 13:17

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