RCP ranks the Top 10 Upsets of the 2010 Midterms. Also on RCP, Jed Babbin writes that Attorney General Eric Holder will face increased scrutiny with the Republicans in control of the House.

On RCW, Aparna Pande writes about the partnership between the United States and India.

Louis Woodhill argues on RCM that the Fed's quantitative easing won't work. Diana Furchtgott-Roth writes that the Paycheck Fairness Act would be an enormous burden on business, "driving small firms out of business and sending larger corporations overseas."

On RCS, Jeff Neuman argues that Marvin Miller, a former executive director of the players' union, should be voted into baseball's Hall of Fame.

On RCP, Sean Trende breaks down the Illinois gubernatorial race and the Pennsylvania and Colorado Senate races and details why GOP candidates underperformed in all three. Scott Conroy writes about the challenge some non-candidates for president face as they try to convince the media they're not running in 2012. Erin McPike details the rapid turnaround for the New Hampshire Republican Party.

On RCM, John Tamny argues that Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is ignoring basic principles of economics. Larry Kudlow writes about the worldwide opposition to the Fed's quantitative easing.

RCS ranks the Top 10 MLB Award Winners on Non-Playoff Teams. Tim Joyce writes about Andy Roddick's struggles against Roger Federer.

On RCP, David Paul Kuhn sits down with Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, who, as a Reagan Democrat, finds himself increasingly out of place in today's Democratic Party.

On RCW, Todd Crowell writes that Japan feels like it is being disrespected and pushed around by China and Russia.

Writing on RCM, Bill Frezza describes the private stock markets that have emerged as a result of government regulations. On Forbes.com, RCM Editor John Tamny argues against revenue sharing in the NFL.

On RCS, Jeff Neuman lashes out against "tired" topics in sports such as the BCS, Brett Favre and the debate over steroids in baseball and the Hall of Fame.

Also, be sure to check out the newest RealClear sites, RealClearReligion and RealClearScience. Writing in the "Newton Blog" this weekend, Science Editor Alex Berezow argues that Stephen Hawking should keep his opinions on topics outside of physics to himself.

The GOP presidential primary battle to determine who will take on President Obama in 2012 begins in earnest this week now that the midterms are over, and FOX News is jumping in.

Special Report with Bret Baier is launching a 12-day series on the topic called "12 in '12" that each day will feature a profile of one of 12 Republicans who may launch presidential bids for the 2012 race. Exclusive interviews with 11 of the 12 candidates are planned for the profiles, which begin Thursday evening with Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels.

Other candidates being profiled include: Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, South Dakota Sen. John Thune, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint, Indiana Rep. Mike Pence, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal.

A thirteenth story is also planned with long-shots such as former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, Texas Gov. Rick Perry, Texas Rep. Ron Paul, and others like Donald Trump. All 13 stories will air again after the series in a one-hour special.

In a phone interview Wednesday morning, Baier pointed out that now that the midterms have ended, the focus will shift to the presidential race, beginning with the Republican primary.

"There is the potential for a long list to get in" to the primary, he said. "Most of America does not know a lot of these names."

Baier flew to several of their home states to interview potential contenders, including South Dakota for Thune and Indiana for Daniels.

The anchor said he got a lot of access to Daniels and interviewed him in his office in Indianapolis. He spent a lot of time behind the scenes and caught Daniels on one of his infamous motorcycle rides. Baier got to Barbour on the anniversary of Hurricane Katrina in Mississippi.

"These pieces will feel a bit bigger," said Baier, who added that the mission of the series is to introduce potential candidates and press them on issues. There will be analysts in each of the pieces to assess each candidate's vulnerabilities and assets in the race, as well as their chances.

So which one of the 12 candidates was the one who opted not to sit down with Baier for an interview? Romney.

Baier said he still has to tape an interview with Christie as well, but that has just been a scheduling issue, and he's talking to Christie's team today to iron out a time.

"Gov. Romney is a different story," Baier said. "We've talked to them a number of times. They've told me they are hesitant to do anything that has a 2012 connotation to it."

He added, however, that most of his interview subjects still say they aren't running or couched their answers in some way.

Nevertheless, Baier said, "I don't think many people in politics would bet against Mitt Romney running."

He said he's going to try one more time to get an interview and is still holding out hope.

"If not, we're still going to be very fair with the piece," Baier said. "He's one of the leading contenders. He'll get a lot of attention."

An official for Romney's Free and Strong America PAC told RealClearPolitics that Romney did participate because FOX News was able to gather footage of Romney stumping for candidates on the campaign trail in the midterms in recent weeks.

Romney appeared on Sean Hannity's program on the network on Monday night and was asked about the presidential race as well as the health care law he pushed through as governor. Baier said that for now, they will use the sound from that interview.

Dan Balz wrote in the Washington Post over the weekend that as Romney prepares for a likely 2012 bid, he's been keeping his head down - with the exception of headlining dozens of events all over the country for high-profile Republican candidates.

"The Romney team thinks there is only limited value in time spent on cable television, particularly when the focus is on the outrage of the moment and politicians are forced to react to events rather than make a case for themselves," the story reads.

Indeed, in conversations with RealClearPolitics, Romney strategists say they don't like to talk about the presidential race and often offer the familiar refrain that for now, "We're just a PAC."

The most frustrating thing about this cycle has been the lack of House race polling.  There are about 30 House races that I'd probably give a limb to get some type of hard information about.  Fortunately, there is one fewer such race now, diminishing the prospect of an intemperate voluntary amputation on my part.

The latest SurveyUSA poll, commissioned by the conservative Civitas Institute, shows Renee Ellmers leading Bob Etheridge 46 percent to 41 percent.  The poll is of all registered voters, which usually favors the Democrat, and that is certainly the case here.  When looking at people who describe themselves as "10s" when it comes to certainty of voting, Ellmers leads 66 percent to 50 percent; Etheridge does worse among those who describe themselves as less likely to vote -- and those voters do, in fact, usually vote in lower numbers.  Among those who have already voted, Ellmers leads 50 percent to 43 percent.

Needless to say, this is not where an incumbent wants to be five days before the election.

In his attempt to pull off an upset victory over Republican former Rep. Pat Toomey in the Pennsylvania Senate race, Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak is packing his schedule with appearances across the state and will be joined again by President Clinton and President Obama.

On Thursday, Sestak plans several retail events in Philadelphia, where he'll be joined later by President Clinton for three rallies. The Clinton events are all designed to turn out young voters on college campuses. Sestak and Clinton will appear together at Bryn Mawr College, Cheyney University and Temple University.

This weekend, President Obama will also head to Temple University, where he's appeared several times in the last two months.

A statement from the Democratic National Committee today noted, "The canvass kickoff...will be the first event of the GOTV weekend the president will hold before Election Day on Nov. 2nd."

Sestak is not simply limiting his event schedule to turnout activities, however. He's also continuing to focus on events oriented toward small business.

Sestak stopped in Reading, Allentown and Doylestown earlier today for visits to small businesses. He also met with workers from the Visteon auto parts plant, which closed recently.

This evening, Sestak is holding a pair of rallies in Philadelphia.

Toomey plans to visit 17 counties this week as he travels the state for what he's calling his "More Jobs, Less Government" tour.

Sestak pulled even with Toomey in some public polling this month, but Toomey has begun to turn the surveys around again. He leads Sestak by 3.2 points in the RealClearPolitics polling average.

Boxer by 5! Fiorina by 3!  Boxer by 1! Boxer by 9! Twice!!!

If you follow California Senate polling closely, you have to be feeling a little bit nauseated from the roller coaster ride you've been on.  Some polls are showing Senator Barabara Boxer with a comfortable 9-point lead and above 50 percent, while others are showing a much closer race.  One Republican pollster even shows Fiorina ahead.

What is going on here?  The answer is something I've discussed before:  Pollsters are having a devil of a time agreeing on what the electorate is going to look like.  Let's take a look at the partisan breakdown of the polls, sorted by the edge for Senator Boxer.

As you can see, the ration of Democrats to Republican in the sample goes hand-in-glove with the size of Boxer's edge.  More Democrats equals more Boxer votes.  In fact, the adjusted r-square is pretty nice -- about .74!  These internals don't disagree that much -- most of them have both candidates losing about 10 percent of their respective bases, while Fiorina has a double-digit edge among independents.

So who is right?  Well, that's the frustrating thing -- we can't definitively say!  But we can get some sense of history here.  The following table shows the exit poll results for 2008, 2006 and 2004, as well as the present early voting numbers:

As you can see, the pollsters showing a comfortable Boxer lead are showing electorates that are similar to 2008.  On the other hand, the pollsters who are showing a tight race see an electorate more like 2004 or 2006.

As I've mentioned, there are many potential reasons for this.  If a pollster uses a common question -- did you vote in 2006 or 2008? -- to screen out voters, then that pollster will let all the Obama surge voters from 2008 proceed to later screening questions (if any) while keeping any tea partiers or newly-enthusiastic Republicans out of the mix. If you let through too many mildly enthusiastic voters in a year like this you are probably letting through a large group of Democrats who won't ultimately vote.  As you might expect, we saw an opposite effect at the state level in 2008.  One point worth noting here:  Among those who claim they have actually voted, both Suffolk and PPP look an awful lot like SurveyUSA and Reuters.

In the end, we can't know who has the electorate right until Election Day.  For now, if you think California Dems have gotten their mojo back to 2008 levels, Boxer is a pretty safe bet.  If, however, you think that things have settled down to 2006 levels and Republicans are surging, then this race is a coin toss.

South Carolina Republican gubernatorial candidate Nikki Haley was one of the first major "Mama Grizzlies" that Sarah Palin plucked from obscurity and helped propel to victory in the GOP primary. In a way, this foreshadowed the much larger Palin-influenced upsets in Alaska and, of course, Delaware.

But some polls have indicated that Haley may be struggling in her race against Democratic state Senator Vincent Sheheen. Democratic polling firm Hamilton Campaigns shows Haley with a narrow 49 percent to 44 percent lead. Insider Advantage, by contrast, shows Sheheen down 51 percent to 37 percent. Haley leads by 10.7 percent in the RCP Average.

A tight race here is consistent with some of the news that has been circulating about the Haley family. The rumors of affairs continue to swirl around Haley, and questions persist about the family's finances.

Overall, I think you can synthesize these polls as suggesting Haley is in the lead.  If you ignore the two polls from the Democratic firm, Sheheen has never been above 40 percent in the polls, while Haley hasn't been below 46 percent since June.  There may be an unusually large number of undecideds for this late in the game, but in a conservative state like South Carolina, we might expect them to break Republican.

In 2006 and 2008, D.C. was in awe of Rahm Emanuel's ability to recruit members of Congress capable of running competitive races in heavily Republican districts. But the problem with the majority that Rahm built is that it was a very unstable one. These Democrats were only safe so long as they voted more-or-less like Republicans, and so long as the national Democratic Party didn't get too far ahead of their districts.

So needless to say, this election cycle isn't looking pleasant for Democrats who picked up Republican seats. Consider the class of 2006:

A few seats are missing because Republicans picked them up in 2008. But note that of the remaining Democrats who beat Republican incumbents, only two are considered likely to retain their seats, both of whom are in Democratic districts. Only eight are favorites. At the same time, eight of them are favored to lose their seats; five of the five incumbents voted for the health care bill.

It isn't surprising that the Class of 2008 fares even a bit worse:

There are two reasons for this. The obvious one is that these members have less seniority, and are therefore more vulnerable.

But another reason is that so many of these candidates didn't win election in their own right, but rather rode Obama's coattails to victory. This produced a batch of freshmen representing much more conservative districts; the average Class of '08 member represents an R+3 district, while the average Class of '06 member represents an R+1 district.

One of the main reasons that Democrats are set for a bad year is that they have so many members who represent districts that just a few years ago were electing Republicans. It looks like these districts will likely be returning to their roots soon.

Republican Congressman Dave Reichert continues to lead Democratic former Microsoft executive Suzan DelBene in his bid for a fourth term in Washington's 8th District, according to a new poll from SurveyUSA.

The poll of 639 likely voters shows Reichert ahead of DelBene by seven points, 52 percent to 45 percent.

Though this suburban Seattle district has elected exclusively Republicans since its creation in 1982, they have all been moderates, and the district voted for Democrats in the last three presidential elections, notably giving Barack Obama 57 percent of the vote in 2008. Additionally, all three of Reichert's races have been competitive. His largest margin of victory came in 2008, when he defeated Darcy Burner 53-47.

Still, DelBene has ground to make up. In the state's unique "top two" primary on August 17, Reichert received 47 percent of the vote and DelBene received 27 percent. More importantly, Republican candidates combined to top Democratic candidates 58 percent to 40 percent.

Also, DelBene has trailed in all independent polling conducted in the race. Reichert led by seven in the last SurveyUSA poll conducted in late September and by three in a recent Daily Kos/PPP (D) poll. RealClearPolitics rates the race "leans GOP."

DelBene has donated $2.28 million of her personal fortune to her campaign, including $1.35 million in the first two weeks of October. As of September 30, DelBene faced a severe cash-on-hand shortage. Reichert had $1.3 million while DelBene had just over $260,000. After spending money on several ads this month, Reichert now has $606,777 to close out the race while DelBene has just $195,051 available.

The SurveyUSA poll was conducted from Monday to Wednesday and has a margin of error of +/- 4 percent.