WTIO31 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (JAL) WARNING NR 013// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (JAL) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z --- NEAR 13.4N 80.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N 80.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 14.4N 78.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 79.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05B (JAL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC JAL IS CURRENTLY MAKING LANDFALL AS A RAPIDLY WEAKENING SYSTEM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ALONG THE INDIAN COASTLINE WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED OVER 100 NM INLAND. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KNES. TC JAL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW WARNING CRITERIA (35 KNOTS) FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN BASIN WITHIN 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS FURTHER INLAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 13 FEET.//