Project on Middle East Democracy

Project on Middle East Democracy
The POMED Wire


Tunisia: Muted Reactions from West Amid Rumors of Coup

January 12th, 2011 by Alec

The riots in Tunisia are becoming more serious, as threats of a potential coup against President Ben Ali emerge, argues Blake Hounshell. He notes that violence and unrest has also exposed a “moderate” and economically well-off nation for what it truly is, one of the Arab world’s “nastiest police states.” Hounshell further explains the muted reaction from U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton reflects the lack of real influence or interests of the United States in Tunisia.  France, the most influential external player in Tunisia, has had virtually no reaction at all.  The lack of response reflects the quiet French preference of the Ben Ali regime for its generous cooperation on counterterrorism and illegal immigration. French President Nicolas Sarkozy previously warned (French) of the risk of Islamic extremists seizing the country in a power vacuum.  Longstanding policy toward Tunisia also reflects France’s desire for good relations with its former colony, so as not to repeat the Algerian example of the early 1990s.

Update: Writing in Foreign Policy, Bassem Bounennidetails the limits of media censorship in Tunisia.   Bounneni cites a designation of President Ben Ali as a “Predator of Press Freedom” by Reporters Without Borders, and the dominance of private media by Ben Ali’s inner circle.  When the riots began last month, “the regime’s first instinct was to escalate its censorship and intimidation of the media” and launch a “smear campaign against international media outlets.”  He champions new media as a crucial outlet for protesters to broadcast the spiraling discontent of the riots, and dismisses ongoing censorship efforts as futile attempts to preserve a regime on the verge of collapse.


Posted in Protests, Tunisia | Comment »

Lebanon: Government Collapses With Hezbollah Walkout

January 12th, 2011 by Alec

As Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri met with President Barack Obama today in Washington, Hezbollah resigned from the government in protest of the U.N. tribunal investigating the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.  Hariri, however, pledged to continue efforts to resolve the political crisis despite the apparent collapse of the recent Saudi-Syrian initiative to break the political deadlock.  Elias Muhanna, writing at Qifa Nabki, suggested that the walkout might have been planned well in advance and stated: “all they’ve done is ensure that when the indictments do become public, there will almost certainly be no Lebanese government in place to formally denounce them.”  Elliott Abrams claimed that the resignation is another way for Hezbollah to hold the nation hostage with support from Syria and Iran.


Posted in Hezbollah, Lebanon, Political Parties | Comment »

Tunisia: Interior Minister Fired, Curfew Imposed to End Protests

January 12th, 2011 by Kyle

Tunisian Prime Minister Mohamed Ghannouchi announced that the country’s Interior Minister Rafik Belhaj Kacem has been fired as a result of ongoing protests. The PM also declared that all protesters that were detained during the unrest had been released. Protests continued despite the announcement and spread to the capital city, Tunis, on Wednesday. In response, the interior ministry imposed a nightly curfew.

Radwan Masmoudi, Tunisian native and founder of the Center for the Study of Islam and Democracy, assessed that President Ben Ali has finally come to realize that the demands will not cease and “he has to make some serious changes and not just of people but in policies.” Secretary of State Hillary Clinton expressed concerns about, “the unrest and the instability, and what seems to be the underlying concerns of the people who are protesting — it seems to be a combination of economic and political demonstrations” and declared, ”we are not taking sides in it, we just hope there can be a peaceful resolution of it.”


Posted in Protests, Reform, Tunisia | Comment »

Will Riots in the Middle East Lead to Political Reform?

January 11th, 2011 by Naureen

Writing at Foreign Policy, Mark Lynch, discusses the lasting impact of recent riots across the Middle East. Despite government crackdowns on the media and the internet, Arab regimes have been unable to control the narrative, forcing even “status quo media outlets” to cover the events and “entertain unsettling questions.” Lynch argues that while these protests may not lead to regime change or bring about major policy changes, they have “seared themselves into Arab political discourse” as they point to “underlying political problems which have enabled the economic mismanagement and corruption and lack of opportunity.”

Some commentators hope that these riots, like economic protests in Jordan in the 1980s, will lead to democratic openings but the likelihood remains unclear. In a piece at The Guardian’s Comment is Free, Simon Tisdall notes the lack of political will on the part of Arab regimes for reform and points to reports highlighting their failure to address political, economic, and social concerns.


Posted in Uncategorized | Comment »

Egypt: Internal Dialogue Needed for Reform

January 11th, 2011 by Naureen

Amr Hamzawy, writing at Babylon and Beyond, argues that despite President Hosni Mubarak acknowledging some violations in recent elections, he has failed to acknowledge the tactics behind the NDP’s success, which have hurt the legitimacy of the regime.  ”It is time for the government to let openness toward the opposition override its conceit. It is also time for the opposition to agree on a national agenda that favors dialogue with the government and can form the basis for needed constitutional and political reforms. Both sides must act before Egypt’s next major campaign — the presidential election later this year.”

International calls for political reform have not been favorably received. Egyptian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hossam Zaki stated, “We value our friendship with many players around the world including the United States, but we cannot allow any country to dictate to us what it wants us to do or not do. Political, economic and social reform has to be done in a way that preserves stability and the fabric of society. It’s the government’s responsibility to see it happens this way.”


Posted in Egypt, Elections, Political Parties | Comment »

Tunisia: Violent Unrest Continues

January 11th, 2011 by Kyle

In response to continued riots, the Tunisian government has closed all schools and universities indefinitely in an attempt to quell the unrest. Maya Jreibi, a leader of the opposition Progressive Democratic party demanded, “The president should order an end to the firing on protesters, a fight against corruption and a political opening. Two decades of frustration have led to this explosion.” The US State Department recently summoned the Tunisian Ambassador to Washington to express concerns over protests and recent events in Tunisia, and released a statement: “We, again, affirmed our concerns not only about the ongoing violence, the importance of respecting freedom of expression, but also the importance of the availability of information.”


Posted in Human Rights, Political Parties, Protests, Tunisia | Comment »

Clinton Makes Surprise Visit to Yemen

January 11th, 2011 by Naureen

On Tuesday, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, made a surprise visit to Yemen to meet with President Ali Abdullah Saleh. In addition to the US-Yemen security relationship, Clinton affirmed support for a number of reforms, including “an inclusive political process that will, in turn, support a unified, prosperous, stable, democratic Yemen.” The US has rebalanced Yemen’s aid package accordingly so “it is not so disproportionately consisting of funding necessary for the counter-terrorism agenda but also includes the other priorities.” Clinton also met with opposition leaders, nongovernmental organizations and students in Yemen to draw focus to women’s and children’s rights. She is the first US secretary of state to visit Yemen in 20 years.


Posted in Foreign Aid, US foreign policy, Yemen | Comment »

Addressing the Foreign Aid Budget Debate

January 10th, 2011 by Naureen

Rich Tafel, writing at the Huffington Post, called on Republicans and the Obama administration to join forces to sharpen USAID’s focus, and establish relationships between the agency and the private sector to make it more innovative and effective.  In response to calls to dramatically cut foreign aid, Tafel argues: “Bring a butcher knife to US foreign aid? Not a good idea. Sharpen it? Yes, make it a double-edged sword to address America’s economic health and security.”

Appropriations Chairs Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL) and Harold Rogers (R-KY) have recently called for cuts and increased scrutiny on the foreign aid budget. Speaking on the Hugh Hewitt Show, Rogers stated, “I’m no big foreign aid person […] we will fund what we have to fund, but not a penny more.”


Posted in Foreign Aid, US politics | Comment »

Algeria: Protests a Reflection of Country’s Own History

January 10th, 2011 by Alec

In a piece for Foreign Policy’s The Middle East Channel, Hugh Roberts asserts that although the current riots in Algeria have been linked to steep increases in food prices, the riots reflect a broader sense of Algerian society morally revolting against the regime.  Roberts further argues that Algerians have long given up hope on the country’s official institutions, the parliament in particular. “So the Algerians in their majority have learned the hard way that direct action — making a nuisance of themselves to the authorities in one way or another — is the only tactic that works.”  In comparing current unrest to the 1988 October riots, Roberts notes that although the current rioting is larger in size and scope, the government has dealt with them much less aggressively.


Posted in Algeria, Protests | Comment »

Sudan: Arab Leaders Uneasy Over Referendum

January 10th, 2011 by Alec

Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Abul Gheit stated that the government would respect the results of the referendum despite fears that a vote for independence could spark the disintegration of Sudan and threaten Egypt’s economic and security interests. Nasr Farid, Egypt’s former grand mufti, joined other prominent Islamic scholars to state that independence for southern Sudan “contravenes Islamic law.” Emile Hokayem, writing for The National, elaborates on Arab fears over the possibility of a North-South split in Sudan: “Sudan would be breaking up just as Kurdish self-determination sentiments in Iraq are rising,” and the continued history of inter-Arab sectarian conflict in Lebanon and the independence movement in Western Sahara remain troubling.  Arab leaders fear that southern Sudanese independence could re-energize and exacerbate these sentiments.


Posted in Egypt, Elections, Sudan | Comment »

Iran: Sotoudeh Sentenced to 11 Years in Prison, Banned from Travel and Practicing Law

January 10th, 2011 by Naureen

On Sunday, Iranian human rights lawyer Nasrin Sotoudeh was sentenced to 11 years in jail for “anti-regime propaganda, acting against national security and failing to wear Islamic cover in a film.” Sotoudeh has also been banned from practicing law and leaving the country for 20 years. According to her husband, Reza Khandan, the main charges against Sotoudeh were a result of interviews she gave to foreign news outlets and allegations that she was a founding member of the Defenders of Human Rights Center, an association of lawyers led by Nobel Peace Prize winner Shirin Ebadi. Khandan also said that Sotoudeh believed her sentence was politically motivated, as she was told by interrogators before her trial that her sentence would be “guaranteed to be more than 10 years.”

Update:  Philip J. Crowley, State Department spokesman, condemned the verdict and called for her immediate release stating, “Ms. Sotoudeh is a strong voice for rule of law and justice in Iran. We are dismayed by her continued detention and loss of the right to practice law. Her conviction is part of a systematic attempt on the part of Iranian authorities to silence the defense of democracy and human rights in Iran.”


Posted in Freedom, Human Rights, Iran, Middle Eastern Media | Comment »

Lebanon: Hariri Meets with World Leaders on Special Tribunal, Internal Deadlock

January 10th, 2011 by Naureen

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton expressed support for the UN tribunal investigating the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri after meeting with the current Prime Minister Saad Hariri.  UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon also reiterated his support for the independent tribunal and his hope that it “would help end impunity in Lebanon.”

Hariri also met with King Abdullah bin Abdel-Aziz of Saudi Arabia to discuss the Saudi-Syrian-brokered accord aimed at reducing political tension and maintaining stability in Lebanon. Saudi Arabia and Syria have been attempting to mediate the dispute between Hezbollah and Hariri’s government since July, with both sides accusing the other of stalling.


Posted in Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Sectarianism, Syria | Comment »

Sudan: U.S. Leaders React to Referendum

January 10th, 2011 by Alec

President Barack Obama, in an editorial, stated that if Khartoum fulfilled its obligations to ensure peace the U.S. could remove Sudan from its list of state sponsors of terrorism but warned, “In contrast, those who flout their international obligations will face more pressure and isolation.”  Secretary of State Hillary Clinton stressed the importance of development aid to both southern and northern Sudan: “We also have to work with, and invest in, the north in Sudan so that they see the benefits of having done a very courageous action.”

In Sudan, Senator John Kerry praised Sudanese leaders, the U.N., and the Obama administration for helping make the referendum a “reality.”  He also reiterated the need to remain engaged in Sudan and help the parties negotiate unresolved issues including the final status of the Abyei region.  Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, Chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, cautioned “The U.S. and other responsible nations must not ease the pressure on the regime in Khartoum, or provide any concessions, until the result of the referendum in South Sudan is assured [and] peace has been achieved in Darfur and throughout Sudan.”


Posted in Elections, Foreign Aid, Sudan | Comment »

Egypt: Mohamed ElBaradei Calls for a Boycott of Presidential Election

January 10th, 2011 by Alec

Mohamed ElBaradei called for a “popular boycott” of the upcoming Egyptian presidential election on Sunday via Twitter: “When only 5 people out of 85 mill. are eligible to run for presidential elections: boycotting this deception is key to regain our rights.”


Posted in Egypt, Elections | Comment »

Kay Granger to Chair State and Foreign Operations Appropriations Subcommittee

January 7th, 2011 by Kyle

House Appropriations Chairman Hal Rogers today announced the Appropriations subcommittee Chairs and members for the 112th Congress. Congresswoman Kay Granger was selected to serve as the Chairwoman of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on State and Foreign Operations.  The State and Foreign Operations Subcommittee has the responsibility of overseeing and allocating all foreign aid spending. In addition, Granger will continue to serve as a member of the Defense Appropriations Subcommittee. With the two subcommittee assignments, Granger will oversee nearly $750 billion in government spending with the combined defense and foreign operations budgets.


Posted in Congress, Foreign Aid | Comment »

Egypt: Suspect Tortured to Death

January 7th, 2011 by Naureen

The Alexandria District Attorney’s Office is investigating the death of Sayed Bilal, a Salafi preacher, who was arrested by State Security Investigation officers  for questioning over the New Years Eve church bombing. Bilal was reportedly tortured to death on Wednesday, 24 hours after being arrested and was buried against the consent of the family. While authorities have claimed that torture and fatal beatings of suspects are isolated events, human rights organization have called them systematic. According to a 2009 Human Rights Watch report, “Torture in Egypt has become epidemic, affecting large numbers of ordinary citizens who find themselves in police custody as suspects or in connection with criminal investigations.”


Posted in Egypt, Human Rights | Comment »

State Department Takes Questions on QDDR, Critics Say Reforms Ineffective

January 7th, 2011 by Alec

The US State Department broadcast its seventh live webcast in its Conversations with America series on Thursday.  Dr. Anne-Marie Slaughter, Director, Policy Planning; and Donald Steinberg, Deputy Administrator, both of USAID discussed the Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review (QDDR).   Philip J. Crowley, Assistant Secretary of State, Bureau of Public Affairs moderated the event.  Slaughter commented that the QDDR was an answer to the question of how to make government more efficient and effective.  Steinberg noted, “international development, that is sustained economic growth in poor countries abroad, isn’t just a question of reflecting our national values but our national interests as well.”

Helle Dale and James Roberts claim in a Heritage Foundation report that the QDDR represents an expansion of government bureaucracy and a waste of taxpayer funding. Implementation of the review’s recommendations will, “make more bureaucrats less accountable by further diluting and expanding the government’s development bureaucracy.”  Dale and Roberts further argue that the review fails to solve the “longstanding turf wars” between the State Department and USAID, ignores the Millennium Challenge Corporation, and fails to adequately address the, “need to reform the public diplomacy and strategic communication tools of the U.S. government.”


Posted in Diplomacy, Foreign Aid, US foreign policy | Comment »

POMED Notes: “Waging Peace in Sudan: The Inside Story of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement and the Prospects for Sudan’s Future

January 7th, 2011 by Alec

The Brookings Institution hosted a panel discussion on Thursday on the upcoming referendum on independence in southern Sudan entitled, “Waging Peace in Sudan: The Inside Story of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement and the Prospect for Sudan’s Future.”  Michael O’Hanlon, senior fellow in Foreign Policy at Brookings moderated and introduced the panelists: Hilde Johnson, former Norwegian Development Minister and current Deputy Executive Director of UNICEF, Gayle Smith, special assistant to President Obama and senior director at the National Security Council, Richard Williamson, nonresident senior fellow in Foreign Policy at Brookings and former US special envoy to Sudan under President George W. Bush.  The fourth panelist, Congressman Donald Payne of New Jersey (D-10), was called back to the House floor before the session began and was unable to participate.

For the full notes, continue reading below. Or, click here for the PDF. Or, click here for full audio.

Read the rest of this entry »


Posted in Civil Society, Elections, Foreign Aid, Sudan | Comment »

Secretary Clinton’s Upcoming Visit to the Middle East

January 7th, 2011 by Kyle

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will meet with King Abdullah Bin Abdulaziz of Saudi Arabia and Prime Minister Saad Hariri of Lebanon in New York City on Friday. Clinton will then travel to the Middle East from January 8th to January 13th visiting the United Arab Emirates, Oman and Qatar. Mark Toner, acting deputy department spokesman, said the focus of the trip is to, “consult with government officials on a full range of regional and bilateral issues and emphasize the importance of government - civil society engagement.” Clinton will, “engage with civil society and community leaders in each country working to help citizens realize shared aspirations for progress.” The top issues in her agenda will be Middle East peace, Iraq, and Iran and will be addressed at the seventh Forum for the Future in Doha, a meeting of government, civil society, and business leaders from around the region to promote reform in the Middle East.

Update: Senior US State Department Officials gave a background briefing on Clinton’s visit, and answered questions regarding recent political developments in the region.  In regards to Tunisia, one official stated the US “expressed our concern about both what is happening with regard to the demonstrations and encouraged the Tunisian Government to ensure that civil liberties are protected, including the freedom to peacefully assemble.”  In response to criticism that the Forum for the Future had not produced valuable outputs in past meetings, one official noted, “One of the biggest [outcomes] is the Foundation For The Future, which is based in Jordan and which is an independent NGO that supports civil society development throughout the BMENA region.”


Posted in Civil Society, Diplomacy, Oman, Qatar, Reform, UAE, US foreign policy | Comment »

POMED Notes: The Crisis in the Arab World’s Aging Leadership

January 7th, 2011 by Kyle

On Wednesday, the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars hosted a discussion focused on the issues of succession, authoritarianism and democracy in relation to Arab leaders entitled, “The Crisis in the Arab World’s Aging Leadership.” Dr. Haleh Esfandiari, Director of the Middle East Program at the Wilson Center introduced the speaker David Ottaway, former Cairo Bureau Chief of The Washington Post and current Senior Scholar at the Wilson Center.

For the full notes, continue reading below. Or, click here for the PDF. Or, click here for full video.

Read the rest of this entry »


Posted in Civil Society, Egypt, Events | Comment »