In the Spotlight

A Place in the Sun or Fifteen Minutes of Fame?

While Turkey’s vote against additional UN Security Council sanctions on Iran was viewed by some as a sign that Turkey is drifting away from the West, in reality the relationship is much more complicated, explains Sinan Ülgen.

More on Turkey
Turkey Rising
An Alternative Approach to Turkey
The Way Forward for Turkey and the EU: A Strategic Dialogue on Foreign Policy

Background on Sudan’s Secession Vote

The people of southern Sudan will likely vote this week to secede from the north, marking the beginning of a complicated process that could create additional conflict in this troubled region. Carnegie’s new guide to Sudan offers background and analysis on the latest developments unfolding from the referendum and the challenges ahead.

A Russian Solution to Europe’s Energy Problem

Russia’s supply of natural gas could hold the answer to Europe’s great energy challenge, writes Adnan Vatansever, but a successful partnership between Russia and Europe will require greater mutual trust.

Causes and Consequences of Belarus’s Post-Electoral Violence

The presidential election in Belarus was marred by serious irregularities, plunging the streets of Minsk into scenes of violence. The key question at this point, explains Olga Shumylo-Tapiola, is why, despite moderate improvements over previous elections, things went wrong.

More on Belarus
A Post-Election Agenda for Belarus
A Pyrrhic Victory for Lukashenko?

Looking Ahead to the World in 2011

Jessica Mathews details the issues that will define the next twelve months and analyzes major challenges in a world where emerging powers are beginning to alter the global balance of power.

Ukraine’s Administrative Reform

Ukraine took a significant first step towards administrative reform when President Yanukovych signed a decree on the optimization of the executive branch. This decree has the potential to lead to the Europeanization of Ukraine, but there is a chance it could also drag Ukraine back into the past, writes Olga Shumylo-Tapiola. (full text in Russian)

Who Will Gain from a Renminbi Revaluation?

Policy makers around the world who are pushing China to revalue its exchange rate should note that an appreciation of the renminbi—unless accompanied by an acceleration of China’s domestic demand—will be of little benefit to most economies, write Uri Dadush and Shimelse Ali.

Russia and Poland: A Friendship That Must Not Fail

President Medvedev’s visit to Poland is the next step in expanding and deepening the positive changes in the Polish-Russian relationship. Dmitri Trenin writes that this transformation has the potential to make the relationship between the two countries one of the key pillars of stability and security in Europe.

Russia's Oil Exports: Economic Rationale Versus Strategic Gains

Russia, the world’s largest oil producer, is vigorously promoting the development of new outlets for oil exports, an initiative Adnan Vatansever argues will have considerable policy and economic implications for Eastern and Central Europe and even the United States.

A Post-Nuclear Euro-Atlantic Security Order

Achieving a genuinely collaborative approach to missile defense would address a common threat to the Euro-Atlantic region and help remove the misgivings that are blocking progress toward a common security space, write Sam Nunn, Igor Ivanov, and Wolfgang Ischinger.

Defining NATO's Future Role

The Lisbon NATO summit is a critical event for making the Alliance between Europe and North America fit the security challenges of the twenty-first century, explains Detlef Waechter. Paul Schulte warns that disagreements over the potential security ramifications of reducing or withdrawing U.S. nuclear weapons in Europe have the potential to undermine the strength of the Alliance.

Afghanistan at the Breaking Point

The United States is set to review its strategy in Afghanistan this December. Gilles Dorronsoro writes that the current strategy of defeating the Taliban militarily is unrealistic and that the United States should pursue a political solution to the conflict that includes a cease-fire and negotiations with the insurgents.

Afghanistan: En Quête D’un Accord Politique

La stratégie de la coalition en Afghanistan est dans l’impasse et rien de ce qui a été entrepris depuis l’été 2009 n’a permis d’enrayer la dégradation de la situation sécuritaire et politique, selon Gilles Dorronsoro.

Europe Must React to Turkey’s Vote

While the passage of Turkey’s recent constitutional referendum was another electoral victory for Prime Minister Erdogan, Sinan Ülgen explains that the referendum campaign also brought greater visibility to Turkey’s bid for EU membership.

Turkey, a Silver Lining of the Crisis

The crisis in the eurozone may prove a blessing in disguise for Turkey, given its strong economic performance over the past years, and could even revitalize Turkey’s prospects for membership in the European Union, suggests Sinan Ülgen.

Post-Crisis China

The growing imbalance between high-growth economies—led by China—and low growth ones will have increasingly profound implications for trade and investment patterns and the global distribution of power.

Europe’s Long-Term Growth Prospects

European policy makers will need to enact far-reaching structural reforms in order to respond to the Great Recession and subsequent debt crisis, and to ensure that today’s downturn does not devolve into long-term slow growth and deflationary trends, explain Uri Dadush and Bennett Stancil.

Turkey Faces the Democracy Test

In a nationwide referendum, Turks approved a new set of amendments to their constitution that risks undermining the independence of the judiciary and eroding one of the necessary checks on the power of the executive branch, according to Sinan Ülgen.

Turkey’s Shifting Foreign Policy: What Next?

 Sinan Ülgen analyzes the shift in Turkey’s foreign policy priorities and raises important concerns as to the sustainability of Turkey’s new regional stance.

Carnegie at 100 - A Century of Impact

Pioneering the Global Think Tank

Research Highlights from Carnegie's International Centers

Unemployment Crisis and Protests in Tunisia

TunisiaWith nearly one in three Tunisian youth unemployed, the country’s policy makers must develop a strategic vision for growth and create jobs quickly, writes Lahcen Achy.


Calming the Storm in U.S.-China Relations

Hu JintaoIn advance of Chinese President Hu Jintao’s meeting with President Obama, Douglas Paal details the expectations for the trip and the challenges ahead in U.S.-China relations.


China’s Economic Transformation

China's economyDespite China’s high growth rates, the country still faces a number of economic challenges, from trade tensions with the West to reducing income inequality at home.


Russia-2020

Pro et ContraPolitical analysts from Russia and abroad discuss the outlook for Russia ten years down the road and outline the potential for its social, economic, and political development.



 

Paradigm Lost: The Euro in Crisis

Terrorism Out of Weak States

Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative

Carnegie Europe Featured Events

Re-interpreting Turkish Foreign Policy

Brussels – Thursday, January 20, 2011

With the EU and the United States no longer occupying the central place in Turkey’s foreign policy, some of Ankara’s new foreign policy choices have created frictions with its traditional allies and are sparking concern among some observers of a gradual drift away from the West.

 
More on Turkey's Transformation >

A Place in the Sun or 15 Minutes of Fame? Understanding Turkey’s New Foreign Policy

Paris – Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Ankara’s new diplomatic activism represents a significant transformation of Turkey's regional role. However, some policy choices have created frictions in relationships with traditional allies.

 
More on Turkey's Transformation >

Europe's Decline and Fall: The Struggle Against Global Irrelevance

Brussels – Tuesday, December 14, 2010

With the ratification of the Lisbon treaty, the EU had hoped to develop the infrastructure to handle the challenges of the twenty-first century world, but recent developments have sparked widespread talk of Europe's relative decline.

Moldova's Elections: What Comes Next?

Washington, D.C., Brussels, Chisinau – Thursday, December 2, 2010

The unsettled political situation in Moldova could hamper further negotiations over the country's accession to the EU, economic reform, and resolution of the enduring separatist conflict in Transdniester.

Whither Ukraine?

Washington, D.C. – Tuesday, November 30, 2010

After nine months in power and a fresh victory in October’s local elections, the Yanukovich government’s record raises important questions about the future of Ukraine.

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New Middle East

The New Middle East

The Middle East remains one of the most volatile yet fast changing regions in the world. Carnegie Europe brings the Carnegie Middle East Center and Middle East Program together to foster a greater understanding in Europe on the Middle East’s new political and economic actors.

Afghanistan

Transatlantic Afghanistan Initiative

The Transatlantic Afghanistan Initiative aims to formulate fresh ideas and foster an open debate on the choices ahead and critical challenges for Europe and the U.S. in Afghanistan and its surrounding region.  

Erdogan

Turkey's Transformation

Turkey's domestic situation and foreign policy are in the midst of dramatic transformations. Carnegie scholars in Brussels, Beirut, and Washington analyze Turkey’s politics, regional power, and relations with its neighbors and the West.

Russia and the World

Russia and the World

Russia and the World brings the perspectives of our leading scholars in Moscow and Washington D.C. to Europe, and encourages a strategic dialogue between Russia, the U.S. and the EU to formulate ideas for a renewed Euro-Atlantic security compact.

Trident

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Chinese Factory

Global China

China’s unprecedented economic rise has increased the importance of its foreign policy decisions. With the country expected to become the world’s largest economy in just a few decades, its influence around the world will continue to grow.

 
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